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6家银行率先预喜半年度业绩,银行ETF天弘(515290)连续2日“吸金”,机构预计银行将进一步得到主动基金增持
Group 1 - Bank stocks experienced a morning rally on August 7, with the Tianhong Bank ETF (515290) rising by 0.58% and a trading volume exceeding 36.15 million yuan [1] - Six banks have reported positive half-year performance forecasts, with five banks showing a year-on-year net profit growth of double digits [1] - The Tianhong Bank ETF closely tracks the CSI Bank Index, which consists of up to 50 bank stocks from the CSI All Share Index, reflecting the overall performance of the banking sector [1] Group 2 - Future expectations indicate that with the gradual implementation of public fund reform plans, the constraint of performance benchmarks will strengthen, leading to increased holdings in banks by active funds [2] - The current under-allocation of bank stocks is estimated to be around 5%-7%, suggesting that the mid-term market for banks is likely not over yet [2]
外资主动、被动基金最新流向!大摩拆解 7 月中国股市关键数据
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 15:01
Group 1: Market Overview - In July, foreign capital inflow into Chinese stocks accelerated to $27 billion, up from $12 billion in June, with passive funds leading the trend by inflowing $39 billion [2][14] - Year-to-date, southbound capital inflow reached $110 billion, surpassing the total for the entire year of 2024 [14] Group 2: Fund Flows - Passive funds saw significant inflows, with a total of $110 billion year-to-date, exceeding the $70 billion level for 2024, while active funds experienced cumulative outflows of $11 billion, a slowdown compared to $24 billion in 2024 [4][12] - Global funds and Asia-Pacific funds (excluding Japan) slightly reduced their underweight positions in China, while emerging market funds increased their underweight positions by 3.2 percentage points [6] Group 3: Sector and Company Analysis - Active fund managers increased their holdings in media and entertainment, pharmaceuticals, and insurance sectors, while reducing their positions in consumer services and durable goods [9] - The most increased holdings among companies included Tencent, NetEase, Jiangsu Hengrui, and WuXi AppTec, while Meituan and Xiaomi saw the largest reductions [11] Group 4: Investment Trends - The inflow of foreign passive funds into China was notably concentrated at the end of July, coinciding with several antitrust announcements [4] - The overall short positions in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks increased primarily in the consumer staples, financial, and communication services sectors [21][22]
公募股基持仓&债基久期跟踪周报:股票加仓通信,债基久期下降-20250803
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-03 09:07
Group 1: Overall Market and Fund Position Overview - The CSI 300 index declined by 1.75% from July 28 to August 1, 2025. The overall estimated equity position of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds increased by 0.00% to 84.58%, down 3.64% compared to the quarterly report [3][7] - The estimated equity position of active equity funds increased by 0.39% to 88.69% this week, while that of partial - equity hybrid funds decreased by 0.08% to 83.64% [7] Group 2: Industry Allocation of Active Equity and Partial - Equity Hybrid Funds - The top 5 industries held by active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds this week are electronics (13.52%), power equipment (8.33%), pharmaceutical biology (7.37%), communication (6.35%), and automobiles (6.19%) [4][16] - The top 3 industries with increased positions are communication (+0.66%), national defense and military industry (+0.58%), and comprehensive (+0.53%); the top 3 industries with decreased positions are computer (-0.39%), banking (-0.35%), and automobiles (-0.30%) [4][16] Group 3: Fund Position Characteristics - The overall estimated equity position adjustment range of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds is mostly concentrated in [0%, 1%), with 496 funds, followed by [-1%, 0%), with 180 funds [10] - Funds with sizes of 2 - 5 billion, 8 - 10 billion, and over 10 billion slightly increased their positions this week, while funds of other sizes slightly reduced their positions [10] - In terms of fund holding styles, the proportion of growth stocks in fund holdings is higher. Both value stocks and growth stocks were slightly reduced this week. The proportion of small - cap stocks in fund holdings is relatively high. Large - cap stocks were slightly increased, while mid - cap and small - cap stocks were slightly reduced [13] Group 4: Bond Fund Duration Estimation - The yield to maturity of China Bond's 10 - year CDB bonds decreased by 5bps this week. The median estimated duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.00 to 3.66 years, at the 99.70% quantile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 3.46 years. The duration divergence decreased, and the estimated duration standard deviation decreased by 0.03 to 1.89 years. The median duration of short - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.08 to 1.02 years [4][19] - The median duration of credit bond funds increased by 0.00 to 3.15 years, with 8% of actively operated funds and 24% of conservatively operated funds; the median duration of interest - rate bond funds decreased by 0.28 to 4.85 years, with 45% of actively operated funds and 7% of conservatively operated funds [4] - The estimated duration of credit bond funds this week is concentrated in [3, 3.5), with 122 funds, followed by [3.5, 4), with 118 funds; the estimated duration of interest - rate bond funds this week is concentrated in [5, +∞), with 181 funds, followed by [4, 4.5), with 50 funds [27] - Among credit bond funds, the proportion of funds with active duration operations (above the 80% quantile of their own duration in the past year) is 8.02%, and the proportion of funds with conservative duration operations (below the 20% quantile of their own duration in the past year) is 24.43%; among interest - rate bond funds, the proportion of funds with active duration operations is 45.01%, and the proportion of funds with conservative duration operations is 7.28% [28] - The yield to maturity of China Bond's 1 - year CDB bonds decreased by 3bps this week. The median estimated duration of short - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.08 to 1.02 years, at the 95.00% quantile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 1.02 years. The duration divergence increased, and the estimated duration standard deviation increased by 0.00 to 0.48 years. The estimated duration of passive policy - bank bond funds increased by 0.10 to 3.87 years [32]
公募股基持仓&债基久期跟踪测算周报:股票加仓通信,债基久期小幅下降-20250803
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-03 05:18
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - From July 28 - August 1, 2025, the CSI 300 declined by 1.75%, while the overall estimated stock position of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds remained unchanged at 84.58% [3][7]. - The top 5 industries held by active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds this week are Electronics (13.52%), Electric Power Equipment (8.33%), Medicine and Biology (7.37%), Communication (6.35%), and Automobile (6.19%) [4][17]. - The top 3 industries with increased positions are Communication (+0.66%), National Defense and Military Industry (+0.58%), and Comprehensive (+0.53%); the top 3 industries with decreased positions are Computer (-0.39%), Bank (-0.35%), and Automobile (-0.30%) [4][17]. - The yield to maturity of the 10 - year China Development Bank bond decreased by 5bps this week. The median estimated duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.00 to 3.66 years, at the 99.70% quantile in the past 5 years [4][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fund Stock Position Estimation - The overall estimated stock position of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds has shown a volatile trend recently. Compared with the quarterly report, it has decreased by 3.64%. Active equity funds' estimated stock position increased by 0.39% to 88.69%, while partial - equity hybrid funds' position decreased by 0.08% to 83.64% [7]. - This week, the overall increase or decrease in positions of active equity and partial - equity hybrid funds was mostly concentrated in [0%, 1%] (496 funds), followed by [-1%, 0%) (180 funds) [11]. - Funds with sizes of 2 - 5 billion, 8 - 10 billion, and over 10 billion slightly increased their positions, while other - sized funds slightly decreased their positions [11]. - In terms of fund holding styles, growth stocks accounted for a higher proportion, and both value and growth stocks were slightly reduced this week. Small - cap stocks accounted for a relatively high proportion, with large - cap stocks slightly increasing positions, and mid - cap and small - cap stocks slightly decreasing positions [14]. 3.2 Bond Fund Duration Estimation - The median estimated duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.00 to 3.66 years, at the 99.70% quantile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 3.46 years. The duration divergence decreased, with the estimated duration standard deviation decreasing by 0.03 to 1.89 years. The median duration of short - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.08 to 1.02 years [4][20]. - The median duration of credit bond funds increased by 0.00 to 3.15 years, with 8% of actively - operated funds and 24% of conservatively - operated funds. The median duration of interest - rate bond funds decreased by 0.28 to 4.85 years, with 45% of actively - operated funds and 7% of conservatively - operated funds [4]. - The median estimated duration of credit bond funds was concentrated in [3, 3.5) (122 funds), followed by [3.5, 4) (118 funds). The median estimated duration of interest - rate bond funds was concentrated in [5,) (181 funds), followed by [4, 4.5) (50 funds) [26]. - Among credit bond funds, 8.02% of funds actively adjusted their duration, and 24.43% adjusted conservatively. Among interest - rate bond funds, 45.01% of funds actively adjusted their duration, and 7.28% adjusted conservatively [27]. - The yield to maturity of the 1 - year China Development Bank bond decreased by 3bps. The median estimated duration of short - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.08 to 1.02 years, at the 95.00% quantile in the past 5 years. The average median duration in the past 4 weeks was 1.02 years. The duration divergence increased, with the estimated duration standard deviation increasing by 0.00 to 0.48 years. The estimated duration of passive policy - bank bond funds increased by 0.10 to 3.87 years [31].
顺络电子2025年中报简析:营收净利润同比双双增长,公司应收账款体量较大
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-31 22:11
Core Viewpoint - Shunluo Electronics (002138) reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 3.224 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 486 million yuan, up 32.03% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 1.763 billion yuan, reflecting a 23.12% increase year-on-year, while net profit for the quarter was 253 million yuan, up 27.74% [1]. - Gross margin stood at 36.68%, a slight decrease of 0.76% year-on-year, while net margin improved by 10.98% to 17.34% [1]. - Total operating expenses (sales, management, and financial expenses) amounted to 257 million yuan, accounting for 7.96% of revenue, down 12.86% year-on-year [1]. Key Financial Metrics - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 31.91% to 0.62 yuan [1]. - Operating cash flow per share rose by 21.33% to 0.99 yuan [1]. - The company's receivables were significant, with accounts receivable amounting to 2.479 billion yuan, representing 297.94% of net profit [1][3]. - Cash and cash equivalents increased by 128.01%, driven by higher cash inflows from operating activities [2]. Cost Structure - Sales expenses increased by 12.79% due to enhanced market development efforts [2]. - Management expenses rose by 8.0% due to increased share-based payments and personnel costs [2]. - R&D expenses surged by 23.82%, attributed to higher share-based payments and R&D personnel costs [2]. - Financial expenses decreased by 16.3% due to reduced interest expenses and increased exchange gains [2]. Investment Outlook - Analysts expect the company's performance in 2025 to reach 1.057 billion yuan, with an average EPS forecast of 1.31 yuan [3]. - The company has been recognized by a prominent fund manager, who has increased their holdings in Shunluo Electronics [3][4].
交运行业2025Q2基金持仓分析:持仓比例回升,顺丰显著增配
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-27 12:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [8]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the transportation industry saw a 0.32 percentage point increase in the proportion of public fund heavy holdings, reaching 2.01%, primarily driven by the logistics and supply chain sector [2][5]. - The number of heavily held stocks in the transportation sector increased to 66, with a total market value of 25.93 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.1% quarter-on-quarter increase [5]. - The logistics and supply chain sector's allocation increased significantly, while other sub-sectors experienced a decrease in allocation [5][6]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Holdings - The transportation sector's heavy holding ratio is 2.01%, up from the previous period, and ranks 14th among 32 primary industries, indicating a low allocation status [5]. - The logistics and supply chain sector saw a significant increase in allocation, while the aviation, railway, and maritime sectors experienced reductions [5][6]. Heavy Holdings - The top five heavily held stocks in the transportation sector accounted for 67.5% of the total market value of heavy holdings, up from 54.5% in Q1 2025 [6]. - SF Express continues to attract significant institutional interest, with the number of funds holding it increasing to 163, reflecting a strong upward trend in its business performance [6][25]. Northbound Capital - Northbound capital holdings in the transportation sector increased to 5.91%, with express delivery being the largest segment at 190 billion yuan, accounting for 33.9% of the sector [7][31]. - The airport, railway, and shipping sectors saw the highest increases in northbound capital holdings, indicating a positive sentiment towards these segments [7][34].
二季度公募基金大幅增持银行股
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-07-25 10:45
Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Bank's revenue and profit are accelerating, leading to a stock price increase of over 6%, reaching a nearly two-year high, with other city commercial banks also experiencing gains [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ningbo Bank's current price is 28.94c, with a year-to-date increase of 23.01% [2] - Other banks such as Changshu Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and Jiangsu Bank also saw price increases, with year-to-date gains of 13.63%, 18.33%, and 21.62% respectively [2] - The banking sector has cumulatively risen over 12% this year, significantly outperforming the broader market [2] Group 2: Institutional Investment - As of the end of Q2 2025, public funds held a total market value of approximately 25.837 billion yuan across 2,917 A-share companies, with significant investments in the banking sector [3] - Public funds increased their holdings in banks and telecommunications by over 40 billion yuan, leading the industry [3] - Major banks like China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, and Jiangsu Bank have seen substantial public fund investments, with China Merchants Bank leading at 75.9 billion yuan [3] Group 3: ETF Inflows - In the first half of the year, a total of 12.2 billion yuan flowed into the banking sector through ETFs, primarily from the CSI 300 ETF and dividend ETFs [4] - Individual banks such as Industrial Bank, Agricultural Bank, and China Merchants Bank benefited from significant net inflows exceeding 500 million yuan [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The banking sector's weight in active equity funds is currently 3.35%, while the CSI 300 index has a weight of 15.71%, indicating potential for increased allocation [5] - The recent reforms in public funds are expected to align fund allocation closer to benchmark weights, benefiting the underweighted banking sector [5] - Insurance capital is also anticipated to further support inflows into the banking sector [5]
2022Q2基金持仓:食饮持仓环比减少,白酒环比减仓较多
Minsheng Securities· 2025-07-25 06:51
Investment Rating - The investment recommendation for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" [10][16] Core Insights - The heavy holding ratio for the food and beverage industry decreased by 2.13 percentage points to 6.62% in Q2 2025, with the white liquor heavy holding ratio dropping by 2.34 percentage points to 4.96% [5][19] - The top five holdings in the food and beverage sector are Kweichow Moutai (0.98%), Wuliangye (0.43%), Shanxi Fenjiu (0.38%), Luzhou Laojiao (0.26%), and Dongpeng Beverage (0.18%) [5][14] - The report highlights a shift in fund allocations, with non-dairy beverages seeing an increase in holdings while white liquor experienced significant reductions [12][27] Summary by Sections 1. Q2 2025 Fund Holdings: Decrease in Food and Beverage Holdings, Significant Reduction in White Liquor - The heavy holding ratio for the food and beverage industry is 6.62%, with an overweight ratio of 1.63%, both showing a decrease [11][19] - The heavy holding ratio for white liquor is 4.96%, with an overweight ratio of 1.63%, also reflecting a decline [11][19] 1.1 Food and Beverage Industry Public Fund Holding Ratio - The public fund heavy holding ratio for the food and beverage industry is 6.62%, down 2.13 percentage points, ranking fourth among sectors [19][20] - The standard allocation ratio is 4.99%, with an overweight ratio of 1.63%, down 1.55 percentage points [19][20] 1.2 Excluding Heavy White Liquor Funds - The concentration of white liquor holdings is high, with eight funds holding over 1 billion yuan in white liquor, accounting for 52.91% of the total white liquor holding value [12][24] - Excluding these funds, the remaining funds show a white liquor holding ratio of 2.34%, down 1.79 percentage points [12][24] 1.3 Non-Dairy Beverages Increased Holdings - In Q2 2025, the holding ratios for various sub-sectors are as follows: white liquor (4.96%), beer (0.35%), non-dairy beverages (0.40%), and others, with non-dairy beverages seeing a 0.15 percentage point increase [13][27] 1.4 Non-Dairy Beverages and Snack Foods Increased Holdings - The top five holdings in the food and beverage sector are Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Gujing Gongjiu [41][44] - The report notes that Dongpeng Beverage, Yanjing Beer, and Salted Fish saw the largest increases in holdings [14][44] 1.5 Net Outflow of Northbound Capital from the Food and Beverage Industry - As of June 2025, northbound capital holdings in the food and beverage sector totaled 177 billion yuan, with a holding ratio of 3.75%, down 0.40 percentage points [15][22] 2. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on structural growth opportunities in new channels and products, while also considering traditional cyclical stocks that are currently undervalued [16][19]
食品饮料行业2025年二季度基金持仓分析:白酒板块基金持仓比例环比下降,大众品板块略有增持
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-23 05:17
Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating [4][5][37] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry has a fund holding ratio of 6.2%, which is a decrease of 1.86 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking fifth among Shenwan's primary industries. The overall overweight ratio for the industry is 1.37%, which has decreased by 1.34 percentage points [1][12] - The liquor sector remains the most heavily weighted, but its overweight ratio has declined, while the consumer goods sector has seen an increase in fund holdings [2][17] Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q2 2025, the liquor sector's fund holding ratio decreased by 2.07 percentage points to 4.5%, with an overweight ratio down by 1.52 percentage points to 1.35%. Excluding Moutai, the liquor sector's fund holding ratio fell by 1.61 percentage points to 2.61% [2][17] - The consumer goods sector saw increases in fund holdings for soft drinks, snacks, and condiments, with the soft drink sector's fund holding ratio rising by 0.15 percentage points to 0.41% [2][18] Individual Stock Performance - Major liquor stocks such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye saw a decrease in the number of funds holding their shares, with Moutai's holding ratio dropping to 1.88% and Wuliangye's to 0.89% [29][30] - In contrast, stocks like Dongpeng Beverage and Yanjing Beer received increased allocations, with Dongpeng's holding ratio rising to 0.35% [29][30]
基金二季报重仓股盘点:“宁王”茅台仍居前二,新易盛、中际旭创跻身TOP20
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 04:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant changes in the holdings of public funds in the second quarter, with notable reductions in positions for major stocks like Kweichow Moutai and Tencent Holdings, while new entrants like Xinyi Semiconductor and Zhongji Xuchuang have emerged in the top 20 holdings [1][2][3][4]. - The top two heavyweights in public fund holdings remain CATL and Kweichow Moutai, with both experiencing a decrease in market value held by funds, exceeding 120 billion yuan [1][2][3]. - New faces in the top 20 holdings include Xinyi Semiconductor and Zhongji Xuchuang, which have seen significant increases in their holdings, while traditional favorites like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye have seen a decline in their positions [2][3][4]. Group 2 - The first major stock for active funds is Tencent Holdings, with a market value exceeding 600 billion yuan, but the number of shares held has decreased by over 22 million [6][7]. - Stocks that saw significant increases in holdings include Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Semiconductor, both of which performed well in the second quarter, with some experiencing over 50% growth [7][9]. - In the non-A-share market, public funds increased their positions in companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft, while reducing holdings in Alibaba and Tencent [10][12]. Group 3 - The FOF products saw a significant increase in scale, with the BoShi ZhenXuan ChuHui three-month holding period (FOF) growing from 3.5 billion shares at the end of the first quarter to approximately 72 billion shares by the end of the second quarter, marking a 20-fold increase [13][15]. - The top holdings of the FOF products primarily consist of BoShi fund products, indicating an internal FOF structure that contributes to the scale of these funds [15][16].