美联储洛根：关税带来的风险是导致失业率上升和通胀上升，使美联储两大目标发生冲突。 ...

Group 1 - The court has halted Trump's tariff policy, adding uncertainty to global trade negotiations [1] - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes indicate increased risks of rising unemployment and inflation [1] - The Bank of Korea's governor revealed that Asian countries are in foreign exchange negotiations with the U.S. [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 70% and bearish sentiment of 30% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 74% and bearish sentiment of 26% [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 31% and bearish sentiment of 69% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 54% and bearish sentiment of 46% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 54% and bearish sentiment of 46% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 12% and bearish sentiment of 88% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 71% and bearish sentiment of 29% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 16% and bearish sentiment of 84% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 31% and bearish sentiment of 69% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 44% and bearish sentiment of 56% [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a bullish sentiment of 87% and bearish sentiment of 13% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 62% and bearish sentiment of 38% [4] - The CAD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 72% and bearish sentiment of 28% [4] - The NZD/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 49% and bearish sentiment of 51% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 71% and bearish sentiment of 29% [4] - The USD/CNH pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 85% and bearish sentiment of 15% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's staff has presented a clear stagflation forecast during the May meeting, which may serve as the foundational framework for the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) [1] Group 1: Economic Predictions - The Federal Reserve staff indicated a substantial slowdown in the labor market, leading to an expected rise in the unemployment rate this year [1] - The unemployment rate is projected to remain elevated throughout the forecast period, extending to 2027 [1] - Inflation is expected to rise "significantly" this year, with a smaller price increase anticipated in 2026 [1] Group 2: Inflation Risks - The staff noted that if their inflation forecasts for 2026 and 2027 (projected at 2%) are incorrect, it is more likely to be an underestimation rather than an overestimation of inflation risks [1]

美联储会议纪要：通胀上升和失业率上升的风险增加。 ...

美联储威廉姆斯：预计经济增长将大幅放缓，通胀和失业率将更高。 ...

美联储主席鲍威尔7日表示，特朗普政府的新政策仍在不断演变中，其对经济的影响仍然"高度不确 定"。如果已宣布的大幅提升关税政策持续实施，可能会导致通胀上升、经济增长放缓以及失业率上 升。（央视新闻） 据美国有线电视新闻网5月8日报道，美国高盛集团最新研究报告预计，受高额关税和美元走软影响，剔 除波动较大的食品和能源价格后的核心消费者价格指数将在未来几个月上涨，并在12月达到3.8%。高 盛还预计，到12月，二手车价格将上涨8.3%，家用电器价格将上涨7.8%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rapid increase in unemployment rate last year raised significant concerns according to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell [1] Group 1 - The unemployment rate's rise was noted as a critical issue that could impact economic stability [1]

美联储主席鲍威尔：失业率上升和通胀上升的风险已经上升，但还没有出现在数据中。 ...

美联储主席鲍威尔：失业率上升和通胀风险已增加。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is currently concerned about both rising inflation and increasing unemployment, presenting a challenging situation for the central bank [1] Group 1 - Analysts anticipate that Jerome Powell will be questioned about which risk, inflation or unemployment, poses a greater threat [1]