中信建投｜TMT 周观点 20250706 摘要 美股代币化浪潮在海外主要推行三种技术路线：第三方发行加交易所接 入模式、持牌券商自建链加自营发行模式以及差价合约方式，分别适应 不同的合规要求和市场参与者。 香港金融机构积极布局虚拟资产交易服务，已有 41 家完成 1 号牌升级， 超 40 家资管机构升级 9 号牌，虚拟资产交易系统 IT 改造空间预计在 30 亿到 180 亿人民币。 稳定币发行方和加密货币交易所将直接受益于虚拟资产快速发展，同时 RWA 业务服务方如朗新集团，以及跨境支付和证券 IT 相关标的如新大 陆、恒生电子等也将受益。 英伟达 GB200 量产进入高峰，GB300 增量可期，富联、广达等 ODM 厂商预计三季度推出 GB300 系统，Oracle 大型云服务协议预示 AI 基础 设施建设力度持续加强。 液冷技术在海外市场快速发展，预计 2025 年英伟达 B 系列应用液冷后 达到高渗透率，国内液冷技术预计 2026、2027 年达到高渗透率，相关 公司如英维克等有望提升收入规模及毛利率。 香港主力打造全球数字资产创新中心，在港金融机构积极布局虚拟资产交易服 务平台。目前 1,500 ...

教育：K12 教培高景气维持，非学科合规优质供给稀缺，头部机构反馈暑期招生进展良好，看好头部机构持续扩 大市场份额。本周，高途透露正研发多款国际教育 AI 产品，创始人陈向东认为高质量留学时代已经到来。 奢侈品：宏观经济影响奢侈品销售表现，景气略有承压，部分产品创新能力优秀的品牌逆势高增。近日新秀丽更 换欧洲区总裁，Damien Mignot 此前任 Tumi 欧洲区副总裁兼总经理，关注后续变化。 咖啡茶饮：1）咖啡：高景气维持。需求端具备成瘾性&提频性，行业仍具备β性红利，门店仍处于增长周期。2） 茶饮：略有承压。短期景气度受平台外卖大战补贴波动，UE 受补贴改善叠加暑期旺季，门店供给加速增加，行业 竞争加剧，关注供需变化。 电商：略有承压。电商大盘增速放缓，行业竞争依旧激烈。即时零售成为新战场，近期淘宝闪购宣布启动 500 亿 元补贴计划，头部平台竞争激进补贴下，利润端或将受影响。 旅游消费及 OTA：京东宣布进军酒旅，但酒店供应链长且复杂，短期补贴对行业头部玩家及 OTA 高端酒店业务冲 击有限，关注 OTA 龙头低估值机会 流媒体平台：音乐流媒体平台为内需驱动的优质互联网资产，高性价比悦己消费，规模效 ...

Group 1: Web3 Companies and Market Trends - Antalpha and Circle successfully listed on Nasdaq and NYSE, with first-day stock price increases of 70% and 168%, indicating high investor confidence in Web3 infrastructure and stablecoin businesses [1] - Coinbase's upcoming inclusion in the S&P 500 index marks a significant step in integrating Web3 into mainstream financial asset allocation, likely driving capital inflow and enhancing valuation stability [1] - The trend suggests that leading Web3 companies are increasingly meeting the transparency, profitability, and regulatory compliance required for public companies, potentially attracting traditional financial institutions and institutional investors [1] - Guotai Junan International became the first to receive approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, significantly expanding its business scope and achieving a nearly 200% stock price surge [1] - Investors should focus on the future product deployment and customer expansion capabilities of brokerage firms involved in virtual asset businesses [1] - Companies like Coinbase and Ripple are exploring banking licenses to standardize their stablecoin, custody, and payment capabilities into traditional financial services [1] - Web3 companies are evolving from mere technology providers to new financial infrastructure operators in the digital economy, opening up greater commercial model and valuation opportunities [1] - The U.S. has incorporated digital assets into its national financial development plan, with regulatory bodies restructuring rules to balance innovation encouragement and risk control [1] - This trend indicates a reduction in policy risks for Web3 companies, with mid-to-long-term valuations likely receiving institutional support, especially for compliant leading firms [1] Group 2: Stablecoin Market Dynamics - Stablecoins have evolved from tools for hedging and on-chain payments in the crypto ecosystem to a new infrastructure for global cross-border payments, settlements, and digital finance [2] - The total market capitalization of stablecoins surged from $650 million to over $250 billion in six years, a growth of over 380 times, with projected transaction volumes reaching $27 trillion in 2024, surpassing Visa and Mastercard [2] - The stablecoin industry is undergoing a structural shift from being "Web3 native" to being dominated by "Web2 giants," reshaping the entire payment market landscape [2] - Mastercard is actively participating in building infrastructure rather than just collaborating with crypto companies, co-developing compliant on-chain card purchase processes with Chainlink, Zerohash, and Swapper [2] - By integrating stablecoins like FIUSD into its global payment network, Mastercard is addressing the conversion pain points between fiat and on-chain assets, enhancing user experience and capital efficiency [2] - Mastercard's support for merchants to choose stablecoins as settlement currencies breaks the long-standing fiat payment monopoly, significantly optimizing cross-border settlement experiences [2] - Companies like JD.com, Ant Group, and Fiserv are not just using existing stablecoins but are applying for regulatory licenses to create their own stablecoins for core business services [2] - Fiserv's FIUSD is designed for financial institutions and merchants, aligning with the current demand for "programmable dollars," while JD.com aims to reduce cross-border logistics payment costs by 90% [2] - Monitoring whether these companies can shift their revenue structure from "platform fees" to "settlement fees" and "clearing service fees" is crucial, as this may represent new profit growth points [2] Group 3: Regulatory Developments and Market Implications - The U.S. GENIUS Act, the EU's MiCA, and regulatory sandboxes in Singapore and Hong Kong have opened compliance pathways for stablecoin issuance, making "licenses" a scarce financial resource for the next phase [3] - Meta plans to integrate stablecoins into WhatsApp and Instagram, enabling "chat-to-transfer" functionalities, while eight major banks in South Korea have formed a stablecoin alliance to provide lower-threshold international financial services for SMEs [3] - These cases indicate a trend where stablecoins are becoming the preferred pathway for Web2 products to enter the Web3 space, serving as the most compliant and lowest user-threshold "on-chain entry" [3] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Traditional Financial Institutions - Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) partnered with HashKey to issue tokenized securities "GF Token," creating a fusion path between digital assets and traditional securities [4] - The Hong Kong stock market has formed a closed-loop cooperation between "compliant brokerages" and "on-chain issuance platforms," indicating that the traditional financial system is opening interfaces to the virtual asset system [4] - Chinese brokerages with first-mover advantages are expected to receive structural valuation reassessment opportunities, with virtual asset-related revenues (custody, trading, issuance) likely becoming new profit sources [4] - The combination of fundamental turning points and increased policy support is expected to drive Chinese brokerages from "cyclical valuation recovery" to "structural profit improvement," leading to a more sustained performance-driven market [4]

中经记者 罗辑 北京报道 7月2日，中国香港证券及期货事务监察委员会（ 以下简称"香港证监会"）官网显示，获批提供虚拟资 产交易服务的机构已达到42家。这是自6月25日国泰君安国际（1788.HK）成为首家全覆盖虚拟资产交 易、咨询及产品分销的内资券商后，获批交易牌照的机构再度增加。 此前，因国泰君安国际拿到虚拟资产交易服务牌照，引发市场对券商股重新定价。国泰君安国际股价获 批当天单日暴涨198%，更带动香港内资券商指数涨11.75%。同一天，A股券商板块整体上涨5.52%，多 只券商个股涨停。 多位业内人士认为，国泰君安国际完成全牌照布局，或开启"领头"作用，内资券商的国际子公司也将跟 进参与虚拟资产相关服务。这一方面有助于为券商带来新业绩增量；另一方面也有望通过数字金融及业 务创新的推进，提升券商的国际综合竞争优势。 根据香港证监会官网信息，目前已有大量机构拿到相关牌照，例如交易牌照方面，截至7月2日，已有42 家机构（香港证监会披露为"法团"）持牌。对于内资在港券商而言，也并非今年才"出手"，实际梳理来 看，大型内资券商的国际子公司早已布局相关牌照。 一位接近国泰君安国际的相关人士提到，国泰君安国际布局 ...

7月4日港股市场，北水成交净买入66.83亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入30.04亿港元，港股通(深)成 交净买入36.79亿港元。 港股通(深)活跃成交股 小鹏汽车-W(09868)获净买入8.72亿港元。消息面上，小鹏汽车公布，其全新中型SUV小鹏G7售价19.58 万元人民币起，远低于23.58万元的预售价，开售9分钟大定突破10,000辆。里昂认为，此次G7推出，象 征着集团已完成其SUV车型G6、G7及G9的矩阵，预计可带动全系列每月销售1.3万至1.7万辆。 中芯国际(00981)获净买入7.68亿港元。消息面上，西门子、新思科技和楷登电子公司发布的声明称，美 国政府已于本周四取消对中国部分芯片设计软件的出口管制措施。摩根士丹利5月发布的研究显示，三 家公司去年共占据中国EDA软件市场约82%的份额。EDA工具是芯片制造商在智能手机、计算机、汽车 等广泛应用领域中进行半导体设计的核心软件。 北水净买入最多的个股是小鹏汽车-W(09868)、中芯国际(00981)、建设银行（601939）(00939)。北水净 卖出最多的个股是阿里巴巴-W(09988)、小米集团-W(01810)、腾讯(007 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅%↑ | 现价 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 562800 | 融 稀有金属ETF | -1.81% | 0.541 | 4974.58万 | | 2 561910 | 融 电池ETF | -1.79% | 0.494 | 4849.95万 | | 3 588960 | 科创板新能源ETF | -1.77% | 0.998 | 285.01万 | | 4 562880 | 电池ETF嘉实 | -1.74% | 0.507 | 1028.6万 | | 5 159608 | 稀有金属ETF | -1.74% | 0.622 | 1485.2万 | | 6 561800 | 稀有金属ETF基金 | -1.70% | 0.577 | 343.4万 | | 7 159671 | 融 稀有金属ETF基金 | -1.69% | 0.754 | 1050.2万 | | 8 159387 | 创业板新能源E ... | -1.68% | 1.051 | 736.5万 | | 9 159796 | 融 电池50ETF | -1.68% | 0. ...

银行方面，有券商认为，在低利率+资产荒环境下，拥有较高分红水平、稳定ROE能力的红利类资产或 仍具备较强韧性与吸引力，有望在短期波动加剧的市场中成为中长期资金重要的底仓选项。此外，降准 降息后无风险利率下行空间打开，同时国家金融监管总局推动保险资金入市力度，国有大行红利价值凸 显。 值得注意的是，银行ETF天弘（515290）今日二级市场价格创出历史新高，已连续3个月获资金净流 入。 A股三大指数今日震荡走强，沪指再创年内新高。板块方面，银行股全天大涨，券商板块午后直线拉 升，深市同类规模最大的证券ETF（159841）盘中涨超1.6%，银行ETF天弘（515290）涨超2%。 近期，虚拟资产牌照热度持续攀升，国泰君安国际成为首家获批香港虚拟资产交易牌照的中资券商，天 风国际也获准提供相关服务，显示中资券商积极布局新兴业务领域。 有机构表示，中国香港发展虚拟资产的战略决心明确，依托成熟的金融基建与国际化的监管框架，虚拟 资产产业发展迅猛。在此趋势下，传统金融机构持续强化牌照及业务布局。 此外，2025年市场交投维持高位，叠加权益市场上行带来的基本面修复，是券商板块上涨的核心驱动因 素，并购重组主线新进展也是板 ...

通过并购重组，同一或相似股东下的资源整合有望提速，行业内上市公司盈利能力有望加速修复。而另 一方面，在大力建设金融强国之路上，通过并购重组等方式加快建设一流投资银行的政策支持是对证券 行业估值时不可忽视的长逻辑。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，集齐A股各大龙头证券公司，有望一键捕捉A股向上 弹性，当前规模超300亿元位居同类第一，流动性占优。 金融ETF（510230）跟踪上证180金融股指数，根据申万二级行业分类，其中银行行业占比近60%，证 券行业占比近20%，保险行业占比近20%，为布局金融板块的优质标的。证券股可以助力其捕捉A股市 场的弹性，而银行占比较高又使得其能具备红利资产的属性，股息率高、抗跌属性明显。 值得关注的是，金融ETF（510230）也是中央汇金唯一持有的行业ETF，也意味着长钱投资对金融板块 的高度重视。 今日，上证指数涨近1%，剑指3500点。大金融领涨，券商、保险、金融科技集体拉升。牛市旗手—— 证券ETF（512880）涨1.5%，金融ETF（510230）涨超2%。 消息面上，商务部新闻发言人就美取消相关对华经贸限制措施情况答记者问称，中美伦敦经贸会谈后 ...

京北方（002987）在投资者关系活动记录表中称，公司近日与国富量子创新有限公司签署战略合作协 议，双方将聚焦虚拟资产及数字货币业务，围绕IT技术创新、虚拟资产及稳定币生态圈合作创新、金融 业务创新三个层面展开深度合作。 ...

京北方信息技术股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-007 | | 特定对象调研 媒体采访 | 分析师会议 业绩说明会 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | | | | | | 活动类别 | 新闻发布会 | 路演活动 | | | | | 现场参观 | | | | | | 其他 电话会议 | | | | | | 被接待人员： | | | | | | 天风证券 | 缪欣君 | 天风证券 | 李璞玉 | | | 百嘉基金 | 黄艺明 | 博道基金 | 高笑潇 | | | 博时基金 | 王鹤锟 | 财通证券 | 郑元昊 | | | 财通证券 | 李宇轩 | 诚通基金 | 冯晓霖 | | | 传奇投资 | 黄成略 | 大家资管 | 杨科 | | | 大湾区发展基金 | Jason Huang | 鼎萨投资 | 岳永明 | | | 东方睿石 | 唐谷军 | 东吴证券 | 王紫敬 | | | 东兴基金 | 周昊 | 方正证券 | 张轩铭 | | | 复胜资管 | 赵超 | 富安达基金 | 杨红 | | | 格林基金 | 秦秀婷 | 广发 ...