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警报拉响!美联储降息进入倒计时,一场席卷全球的财富洗牌开始了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 19:59
编辑:X 整个华尔街似乎都在屏息以待,CME的那个FedWatch工具,数字已经跳到了92.5%。另一边的芝商所数据也毫不示弱,给出了89%的概率,甚至还有11%的 赌注押在了更激进的50个基点上。市场几乎是在用一种不容置疑的口吻宣告:九月份,那25个基点的降息,稳了。 然而,一边是板上钉钉的预期,另一边却是资产价格的混沌表现。黄金,这个无息资产的代表,自八月下旬以来已经猛冲了6%,一举捅破了在3200至3450 美元区间盘整数月的天花板,如今在3650美元的高位上空盘旋,让人又爱又怕。 视线转回国内,A股市场自九月以来则完全是另一番景象,上证指数在3738到3820点之间来回拉扯,市场情绪从高点回落,成交额也从3.1万亿元的峰值萎缩 到了2.15万亿元。这哪里像是要开席的样子?明明是狂欢前的冷静。 为何一个如此确定的超级利好,却没能带来一场确定性的普涨狂欢?这背后,到底藏着怎样的博弈? 市场的笃定,当然不是空穴来风,它的基石,是美国经济那份略显疲态的体检报告。这份报告,就是鲍威尔和他的同僚们扣动降息扳机的最大理由。 首当其冲的,是就业市场的"红灯"。就在八月份,被视为经济晴雨表的非农就业岗位仅仅新增了2.2 ...
【财闻联播】大基金,有新动作!中国海军三型舰载机在福建舰成功完成起降训练
券商中国· 2025-09-22 12:13
★ 宏观动态 ★ 中国海军三型舰载机在福建舰成功完成起降训练 据央视新闻,记者22日从海军有关部门获悉,在纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年大会上 受阅的歼-15T、歼-35和空警-600三型舰载机,已于此前成功完成在福建舰上的首次弹射起飞和着舰训练。这 是我国航母发展历程中取得的又一次突破,标志着福建舰具备了电磁弹射和回收能力,对推进海军转型建设具 有里程碑意义。 深圳机场自9月23日20时起暂停航班运行 根据台风"桦加沙"影响评估,预计9月23日夜间至24日白天为台风对深圳机场运行影响最强时段。为确保航班 运行和旅客出行安全,深圳机场将于9月23日20时起暂停航班运行,恢复运行时间将根据台风动态和影响情况 而定。 8月中国游戏市场实际销售收入292.63亿元,同比下降13.01% 中国音数协游戏工委发布2025年8月中国游戏产业月度报告,8月中国游戏市场实际销售收入为292.63亿元,虽 然环比增长0.61%,但同比下降了13.01%。这一下滑并非由单一原因造成,而是"用户消费行为转变"与"行业产 品迭代断档"共同作用的结果。核心原因在于去年同期的收入基数被现象级产品《黑神话:悟空》推至高 ...
收评:三大指数集体收涨 券商、汽车板块拉升
Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-22 09:56
中国经济周刊-经济网讯 A股三大指数今日震荡拉升,集体收涨。截至收盘,上证指数报3828.58 点,涨幅0.22%,成交额9418.00亿元;深证成指报13157.97点,涨幅0.67%,成交额11796.83亿元;创业 板指报3107.89点,涨幅0.55%,成交额5437.71亿元。 编辑:何颖曦 盘面上看,旅游餐饮、酿酒、食品饮料、传媒、零售、银行等板块走低,半导体板块强势,券商、 汽车板块拉升,消费电子、CPO概念等活跃。 ...
收评:科创50指数大涨超3%,券商、汽车板块拉升,半导体板块强势
Market Overview - The three major stock indices experienced narrow fluctuations in the morning, followed by a rebound in the afternoon, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising significantly [1] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.22% to 3828.58 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.67% to 13157.97 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.55% to 3107.89 points [1] - The Sci-Tech 50 Index saw a notable increase of 3.38%, while the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,427 billion [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as tourism, catering, liquor, food and beverage, media, retail, and banking experienced declines [1] - The semiconductor sector showed strong performance, while brokerage and automotive sectors also saw gains [1] - Consumer electronics and CPO concepts were active in the market [1] Analyst Insights - According to CITIC Securities, the market remains at a high level without a clear trend of topping or retreating [1] - There is an increasing rotation among previously popular sectors, with the overall index in a phase of horizontal consolidation [1] - Historical reference suggests that the final support level may align with the 60-day moving average, indicating a likelihood of continued sector rotation and declines in high-performing stocks [1] - The recommendation is to maintain a horizontal mindset in the short term, focusing on sector rotation and individual stocks rather than the overall index [1]
午评:沪指涨0.07% 摩尔线程概念大涨
Core Viewpoint - The stock market showed slight fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index experiencing minor gains, while the ChiNext Index saw a slight decline. The market was characterized by strong performances in specific sectors such as AI glasses, consumer electronics, and robotics, while other sectors like hotel and tourism faced declines [1]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.07% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.17% at midday, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.09% [1]. - Notable stocks included Industrial Fulian, which surged over 8%, reaching a historical high [1]. Sector Highlights - The Moer Thread concept saw significant gains, with stocks like Hehe Tai, Lianmei Holdings, Donghua Software, and Chuling Information hitting the daily limit [1]. - AI glasses, consumer electronics, and Apple-related stocks performed strongly, with companies such as Luxshare Precision, Guoguang Electric, and Keri Technology also reaching the daily limit [1]. - The robotics sector experienced a boost, with stocks like Wanma Co., Dayang Electric, and Yokogawa Precision hitting the daily limit [1]. - The CPO concept also rose, with stocks like Demingli and Pengding Co. reaching the daily limit [1]. - The liquid cooling server concept was active, with Haiou Co. and Yingweike hitting the daily limit [1]. - Sectors such as components, communication equipment, semiconductors, and IT equipment showed the highest gains, while hotel and restaurant, tourism, paper, and media entertainment sectors faced the largest declines [1].
汇绿生态跌2.08%,成交额1.86亿元,主力资金净流入1384.35万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 02:01
Core Viewpoint - Huilv Ecological experienced a stock price decline of 2.08% on September 22, 2023, with a current price of 17.92 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 14.052 billion CNY [1] Financial Performance - Huilv Ecological's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 696 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 158.98%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.5142 million CNY, up 189.50% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 166 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 117 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Market Activity - The stock has seen a significant increase of 136.10% year-to-date, with a 13.35% rise in the last five trading days, 33.14% in the last 20 days, and 93.52% in the last 60 days [1] - Huilv Ecological has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" four times this year, with the most recent instance on September 15, where it recorded a net buy of -147 million CNY [1] Shareholder Information - As of August 29, 2025, the number of shareholders for Huilv Ecological increased by 39.21% to 35,500, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 28.17% to 16,221 shares [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, new entrants include Caitong Growth Preferred Mixed A and Caitong Value Momentum Mixed A, holding 7.3694 million shares and 6.1484 million shares, respectively [3] Business Overview - Huilv Ecological, established on January 29, 1990, and listed on November 17, 2021, operates in the landscaping and ecological engineering sector, with main business segments including AOC (38.62%), optical modules (31.08%), and landscaping engineering (17.78%) [2] - The company is categorized under the construction decoration and landscaping engineering industry, with concepts including ecological landscaping and solar energy [2]
A股震荡整固 双节临近旅游股走强
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-19 18:04
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a pullback after reaching a 10-year high, with the Shanghai Composite Index adjusting quickly, while the Shenzhen Component, Sci-Tech 50, and ChiNext also saw fluctuations after multi-year highs. Weekly trading volume increased to 12.59 trillion yuan [1] - Margin trading saw a significant net buy of 50.8 billion yuan this week, marking the 13th consecutive week of net buying exceeding 10 billion yuan, with a total margin balance reaching 2.39 trillion yuan, a historical high [1] Sector Performance - The electronics sector attracted nearly 15 billion yuan in net margin buying over the week, leading the market, followed by non-bank financials with over 6.5 billion yuan. Other sectors like machinery, automotive, and power equipment also saw net buys exceeding 4 billion yuan [1] - The electronics sector recorded a net inflow of 41.6 billion yuan for the week, maintaining the top position, with net inflows of 104.5 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days and 380.7 billion yuan over the last 60 days, significantly outpacing other sectors [1] - Conversely, the non-ferrous metals sector saw a net outflow of over 13.1 billion yuan, with pharmaceuticals and banking also experiencing significant net outflows [1] Future Outlook - According to招商证券, the A-share market is expected to continue along low penetration rate tracks, focusing on eight key sectors including AI, humanoid robots, solid-state batteries, controllable nuclear fusion, military trade, commercial aerospace, semiconductor self-sufficiency, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] - 中金公司 suggests that while A-shares are in a short-term adjustment phase, the downward risk is limited, and the upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session is likely to enhance investor focus on medium to long-term reform directions [2] Sector Highlights - The technology sector remains strong, particularly in the chip sector, with the photolithography machine segment performing best, achieving historical highs during market adjustments [2] - The tourism sector has shown resilience, with indices rising against market trends and reaching a 4.5-year high, driven by increased travel demand ahead of the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays [3] - Data from 同程旅行 indicates a significant surge in travel searches and ticket sales for popular routes, with outbound tourism seeing a 130% increase compared to last year, particularly in Europe and North America [3]
“眉飞色舞”!A股延续调整,下周怎么布局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 16:05
Market Overview - A-shares continued to show a slight decline with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.3% to 3820.09 points and the ChiNext Index down 0.16% to 3091 points, indicating a trend of shrinking trading volume and narrow fluctuations [2][3] - The trading volume decreased to 2.35 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant profit-taking effect in the market, with 1910 stocks rising and 3404 stocks falling [3][5] Sector Performance - The coal sector rose nearly 2%, while the non-ferrous metals, construction materials, and social services sectors saw gains of over 1% [5][6] - Conversely, the automotive sector fell nearly 2%, with the pharmaceutical, computer, and non-bank financial sectors also experiencing declines [7][9] Investment Sentiment - Market participants indicated that the weakness in A-shares was primarily due to profit-taking and normal sector rotation rather than systemic panic, suggesting that the upward momentum may gradually recover [1][10] - Analysts expect the short-term adjustment before the National Day holiday to be nearing its end, with a potential upward trend post-holiday [11][12] Strategic Insights - Investment strategies should focus on technology sectors (AI, semiconductors) as offensive positions, while pharmaceuticals and new consumption sectors can serve as defensive plays [10][12] - The market is anticipated to maintain a "structural market" rather than a broad bull market, with recommendations for investors to balance defensive and growth strategies [11][12]
两市主要指数本周均创新高 国庆假期临近关注大消费板块机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 14:01
两市主要指数本周均创新高 国庆假期临近关注大消费板块机会 本周,受到部分权重股调整影响,大盘冲高回落。值得一提的是,本周两市主要指数均创反弹以来新 高。在几大指数中,上证综指走势相对较弱。上证综指于周四盘中创出3899.96点阶段新高后出现调 整,当日下跌1.15%;周五,上证综指盘中一度飘红,但受到成交量减少的影响,当日下跌0.30%。值得 一提的是,创业板指本周上涨2.34%,在几大指数中表现最强,呈现出周线七连阳的走势。周四,创业 板指盘中创出3168.68点阶段新高,当日下跌1.64%;周五,创业板指小幅下跌0.16%。 ·2025-09-19 21:44 本周,大盘呈现冲高回落的走势,两市主要指数在创出反弹新高后震荡回落。其中,上证综指下跌 1.30%,报收3820.09点;深证成指上涨1.14%,报收13070.86点;创业板指上涨2.34%,报收3091.00点;科创 50指数上涨1.84%,报收1362.65点;沪深300指数下跌0.44%,报收4501.92点。对于下周市场,业内人士 认为,本周大盘波动加大,经过周四调整后,一批高位题材股短线调整压力加大。临近国庆假期,投资 者在控制仓位的同 ...
利空突袭!机器人板块集体大跌,发生了什么?
天天基金网· 2025-09-19 08:11
牛市来了还没上车?上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包,优选基金10元起投!限 量发放!先到先得! 周五的市场,走得非常震荡,盘中三大指数出现多次直线拉升、直线跳水的情况,一起看看 发生了什么事情。 A股大震荡 9月19日,沪指全天震荡,创业板指冲高回落。截至收盘, 沪指跌0.3%,深成指跌0.04%, 创业板指跌0.16%。 两市共1911只个股上涨,59只个股涨停,3404只个股下跌。 | 880005 涨跌家数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 其中 涨停 | | 59 | | 涨幅 | > 7% | 88 | | 涨幅 5-7% | | 63 | | 涨幅 3-5% | | 230 | | 涨幅 0-3% | | 1520 | | 跌幅 | 0-3% | 2766 | | 時幅 3-5% | | 463 | | 跌幅 5-7% | | 105 | | 跌幅 > 7% | | 70 | | 其中 跌停 | | 26 | | 上涨家数 | | 1911 | | 下跌家数 | | 3404 | | 平盘停牌 | | 117 | | 总品种数 | | 5432 | | 总成交 ...