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“人人都是程序员”的梦该醒了,AI 编程“大逃杀”:Cursor 或成创业公司唯一“幸存者”,“60 分开发者”撑起最后防线
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-04 07:26
Core Insights - The user traffic for various AI coding tools has significantly declined, with Lovable experiencing a drop from 35 million to under 20 million monthly active users, nearly halving its user base [1][10]. - The industry is witnessing a rapid return to value after a period of capital-driven hypergrowth, with high user churn rates prompting companies to focus on sustainable business models [2][10]. User Traffic Trends - Lovable's user traffic decreased by 41% in the last 12 weeks, while Cursor and Replit also saw declines of 18% and 18% respectively [3]. - Other products like Bolt.new and Vercel v0 experienced declines of 27% and 64% respectively, indicating a broader trend of user attrition across the sector [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The initial surge in user numbers was driven by a marketing narrative that appealed to non-developers, but this has not translated into long-term retention [10][11]. - The concept of "Vibe Coding" has been criticized for lacking a sustainable user base, as many users do not renew subscriptions after initial trials [10][14]. Investment Perspectives - Investors are beginning to question the long-term viability of products targeting non-developers, with a shift in focus towards tools that cater to professional developers [15][19]. - The potential for "vibe working," which involves using AI to process data without requiring technical knowledge, is seen as a more sustainable direction for the industry [19][21]. Product Capabilities - Current AI coding tools are limited in their ability to support non-technical users in creating production-level applications, although they have lowered the entry barrier for basic development tasks [20][21]. - The tools are effective for simpler applications but struggle with complex, high-demand projects, indicating a clear boundary in their capabilities [20][21]. Future Outlook - The industry may see a consolidation of successful players, with only a few companies likely to dominate the developer market [12][19]. - As the initial hype fades, the focus will likely shift towards improving product quality and user experience, particularly in enterprise settings where non-technical employees can leverage these tools effectively [21].
这,才是Vibe Coding的未来。
数字生命卡兹克· 2025-12-04 01:20
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent updates to Ant Group's Lingguang platform, highlighting its new features that allow users to create mini-games and applications easily, emphasizing the accessibility of technology for ordinary users [3][28][67]. Group 1: Lingguang Platform Features - Lingguang now supports not only mini-applications but also mini-games, expanding its functionality [28]. - The platform has received overwhelmingly positive feedback from users, indicating its effectiveness and user-friendliness [5][7]. - Users can create applications by simply stating their needs, without requiring any coding knowledge, which lowers the technical barrier [26][67]. Group 2: User Experience and Feedback - Users have expressed excitement about the platform, with many noting its intuitive design and strong performance compared to other AI products [6][7]. - The platform's ability to generate applications quickly has been highlighted, with examples of educational games being created in seconds [41][60]. - The article mentions specific user experiences, such as a history teacher creating a game based on the Three Kingdoms to make learning more engaging [35][41]. Group 3: Future Potential and Vision - The article envisions a future where AI can generate artistic materials for games, further enhancing the creative possibilities for users [59]. - It emphasizes the importance of making technology invisible, allowing users to focus on their ideas rather than the technical complexities behind them [64][67]. - The ultimate goal is for individuals to transform their ideas into reality effortlessly, marking a significant revolution in how technology is utilized [68][70].
Vibe Coding 加速创业,路上有哪些“坑”要提前避开?答案请戳 >> GTLC 杭州站议程
AI前线· 2025-12-01 09:27
Group 1 - The core theme of the GTLC Hangzhou event is "New Entrepreneurs in the Vibe Coding Era," focusing on AI programming, entrepreneurial practices, and product operations [3][5]. - The event will feature a variety of formats including TED-style quick shares, open mic sessions, Hackathons, and closed-door meetings, promoting an interactive and engaging atmosphere [3][4]. - The event aims to gather 300-500 participants, including industry leaders and new entrepreneurs, to explore innovative ideas and share experiences [5][21]. Group 2 - AI programming is positioned as a new productivity engine for entrepreneurs, emphasizing the shift from traditional coding methods to AI-assisted development [7]. - The evolution of AI models and their application in developing next-generation agents will be discussed, highlighting the transition from workflow-based development to more advanced coding paradigms [8]. - The event will include sessions on building Vibe Coding projects using open-source frameworks and the organizational changes required in the Vibe Coding era [12][21]. Group 3 - The event will feature a "Creator Show" open mic session, allowing participants to present their ideas and engage with over 300 fellow entrepreneurs and investors [14][20]. - A Hackathon will be held to encourage rapid prototyping and collaboration among new entrepreneurs, fostering a spirit of innovation [19]. - The event will also include a special dinner to enhance networking opportunities among participants [16][19]. Group 4 - The GTLC Hangzhou event is scheduled for December 6, 2025, and aims to create a platform for collaboration and partnership among technology leaders [5][22]. - The ticket price is set at ¥2999 per person, with free admission for TGO members and their invited guests [27][28]. - TGO is actively recruiting co-creation partners to enhance brand exposure and facilitate business growth opportunities during the event [22][29].
6小时告破30年数学难题,亚里士多德一夜成名
量子位· 2025-12-01 05:45
微软前AI副总裁、目前在OpenAI研究AGI的Sebastien Bubeck激动分享了这一消息,并表示: 30年悬而未决的数学难题就这样被AI证明了?! 此时此刻, (前推特) 正在刮起一股讨论之风—— 来自Harmonic的数学AI模型独立证明了 Erdős问题 #124 ,而这个问题已经被数学家无奈搁置了近30年。 一水 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 该解决方案100%由AI生成,总计耗时6小时。 甚至连陶哲轩这样的顶尖数学家也跑来围观讨论,他在对比了Gemini和ChatGPT的深度研究工具后发现,Harmonic模型对该问题的证明表 现更佳。 所以这到底是一个怎样的问题?Harmonic模型又是如何"大显神功"? 咱接着瞧—— AI证明了Erdős问题 #124简易版 首先需要提醒,在听完各路大神讨论后,我们才意识到—— 原来Harmonic模型所证明的并非原版Erdős问题 #124 ,而是一个简易版本 。 Erdős问题 #124需要提供的证明如下 : $$\sum_{1\leq i\leq k}{\frac{1}{d_{i}-1}}\geq1.$$ 通俗理解即为: 假设你有 ...
Gemini3 Pro实测:文科生确实能自己做网页了
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-27 23:58
以下文章来源于刺猬公社 ,作者刺猬公社编辑部 刺猬公社 . 本文来自微信公众号: 刺猬公社 ,作者:刺猬公社编辑部,题图来自:AI生成 Gemini3Pro发布后,市场充斥着欢呼声。最引人瞩目的,是其"Vibe Coding"能力,即用户通过自然 语言描述,就能指挥AI牛马,写出自己的代码。 但最近两年,AI圈的"炸裂"时刻实在太多了,论数量可能仅少于电影圈,狼炸多了总显得面目可 疑。比起Crusor、Trae等市面上已有的Vibe Coding产品,Gemini3Pro到底有何新变化? 刺猬公社决定派出一位文科生作为代表,实测毫无编码基础的普通用户,能用Gemini3Pro做些什 么。 实测1:生成一个牛马时钟 互联网内容行业观察与研究 牛马时钟是本次实测中需求最简单的一个案例。交互层面,用户只需要选择计划退休时间、上班时间 和下班时间,剩下的都是计算和前端显示。没有经过任何调试,最终效果几乎挑不出毛病来。 唯一值得讨论的问题,是页面右下角电量消耗进度条使用了绿色而不是灰色。但由于电量消耗到 100%,用户就能迎来下班,状态确实比上班更快乐,所以你也不好说这到底是一个Bug还是一个 Feature。 在做这 ...
Base44’s Founder, Maor Shlomo on Why Vibe Coding Has No Defensibility
Maor Shlomo is the Founder and CEO of Base44, the AI building platform that Maor built from idea to $80M acquisition by Wix, in just 8 months. Today the company serves millions of users and will hit $50M ARR by the end of the year. Before Base44, Maor was the Co-Founder and CTO of Explorium. ----------------------------------------------- Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:13 The Decision Behind Selling Base44 11:56 How Base44 Thinks About Defensibility 16:37 Mapping the Future of the Market in 3–5 Years 23:18 I’m ...
Vibe coding with Gemini 3 — live from Mountain View
Google· 2025-11-20 13:48
Gemini 3 Capabilities & Features - Showcases Gemini 3's ability to bring any idea to life in AI Studio through vibe coding [1] - Highlights various functionalities of AI Studio's build tab, including one-shot, iteration, deployment, sharing, and "I'm Feeling Lucky" features [1] - Demonstrates features like Nano Banana, Maps Grounding, and Live API within AI Studio [1] - Showcases Gemini 3's multimodal capabilities, including video understanding [1] - Illustrates Gemini 3's multilingual and reasoning capabilities [1] AI Studio Applications & Demos - Presents a hand-tracking rhythm game demo [1] - Features an interactive choreography app created through vibe coding [1] - Demonstrates Google Maps Grounding with a running app demo [1] - Showcases the use of Gemini 3 for web design and aesthetics [1] - Presents a demo of bringing images to apps [1] - Visualizes quantum research papers [1] - Showcases interactive floor plans and 3D home design [1] - Features a live vibe coding session building a fishing game [1] - Introduces Anti-Gravity, a next-generation agentic IDE [1] - Demonstrates Anti-Gravity features like artifacts and browser actuation [1] - Presents a multiplayer collaborative whiteboard demo [1] - Showcases a 3D globe travel app and chess learning application [1] - Features a Veo 3.1 generative video app demo [1]
Gemini 3 Pro刷新ScienceQA SOTA|xbench快报
红杉汇· 2025-11-20 03:38
Core Insights - Google has officially launched its latest foundational model, Gemini 3, which shows significant improvements in deep reasoning, multimodal understanding, and agent programming capabilities [1] - Gemini 3 Pro achieved a new state-of-the-art (SOTA) score of 71.6 on the xbench-ScienceQA leaderboard, surpassing Grok-4 and demonstrating faster response times and lower costs [1][3] Performance Metrics - Gemini 3 Pro scored an average of 71.6 with a BoN of 85, while Grok-4 scored 65.6, indicating a 6-point lead over the second-place model [5] - The average response time for Gemini 3 Pro is 48.62 seconds, significantly faster than Grok-4's 227.24 seconds and GPT-5.1's 149.91 seconds [6] - Cost analysis shows that running the ScienceQA tasks with Gemini 3 Pro costs only $3, compared to $32 for GPT-5.1, making it substantially more economical [6] Technological Advancements - Gemini 3 introduces a cognitive architecture that shifts from reactive to cautious reasoning, utilizing a "Deep Think" mode that allows for multiple reasoning pathways and self-verification [8] - The model employs a sparse MoE architecture, activating only a small subset of its vast parameters during computation, which enhances efficiency while maintaining performance [8] Developer Tools and Features - The introduction of "Vibe Coding" allows Gemini 3 to align code generation with developer intent, functioning as an autonomous agent capable of executing complex tasks within an IDE [9] - Gemini 3 Pro integrates with Google’s Antigravity platform, enabling developers to automate workflows that involve reading web pages, executing commands, and generating code seamlessly [10] Multimodal Capabilities - Gemini 3 adopts a native multimodal architecture, allowing it to process text, code, images, video, and audio using a unified world model, enhancing its perception and interaction capabilities [11] - The model can generate dynamic, interactive user interfaces in real-time based on user intent, marking a shift from static outputs to interactive experiences [12] Hardware Infrastructure - Gemini 3 is trained on Google’s proprietary TPU (Tensor Processing Unit), designed for high-bandwidth and parallel computing, facilitating efficient training and cost management [13]
Wix(WIX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-19 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total bookings grew to $515 million in Q3 2025, up 14% year-over-year, driven by robust new user cohorts and better-than-expected results from Base44 [15][22] - Total revenue increased to $505 million, also up 14% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15][22] - Non-GAAP gross margin in Q3 was 69%, slightly down from 70% in Q2 [18] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $159 million, or 32% of revenue, an increase from 30% last quarter [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Partners' revenue grew 24% year-over-year to $192 million, driven by traction among professional designers and solid Studio adoption [16] - Transaction revenue was $65 million, up 20% year-over-year, driven by 13% growth in GPV [16] - Base44's share of audience traffic increased to over 10% in October, up from low single digits in June [10][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic traffic improved as more users searched for Wix online, indicating enhanced brand awareness [9] - Base44 serves over 2 million users globally, translating to more than 1,000 new paying subscribers daily [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to democratize software creation through Vibe Coding, enabling users without coding knowledge to build applications [3][5] - Base44 is positioned as a leader among low-code tools, with significant growth potential in the AI-powered app building space [6][10] - The company plans to enhance its marketing efforts to capture stronger-than-anticipated demand for Base44 [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the core business and the ability to enter new markets effectively [14] - The company raised its full-year bookings outlook to $2,060-$2,078 million, reflecting strong performance from Base44 [22][23] - Management anticipates improved operating and free cash flow margins over time as AI costs decrease and marketing investments normalize [21][24] Other Important Information - The company issued $1.15 billion in 0% convertible senior notes due 2030, with plans to use the cash for business purposes and share repurchases [22] - The anticipated launch of a new flagship product has been delayed to early 2026 due to technical challenges [7][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dynamics of monthly vs. annual subscriptions for Base44 - Management noted that most Base44 users are currently on monthly subscriptions, with expectations that they will transition to annual plans over time as trust in the platform grows [28][30] Question: Cost management and AI compute expenses - Management acknowledged that while AI costs are currently high due to new user consumption, they expect to reduce these costs over time through various strategies [31][35] Question: Vision for Wix in the AI era - Management highlighted efforts to ensure that all Wix websites are indexable by LLMs and to continuously add new e-commerce standards to enhance visibility [39][40] Question: Cohort retention trends for Base44 - Management indicated that retention trends for Base44 are similar to those seen in early Wix cohorts, with expectations for improvement as brand recognition grows [42][43] Question: Pathway to improving Base44 margins - Management discussed the need for time to see improved margins as the user base matures and costs stabilize, with expectations for better profitability in the future [48][53] Question: Impact of hyper-growth on margins - Management confirmed that while there will be short-term margin pressure due to high growth and new customer acquisition costs, they anticipate margin improvement as the business scales [56][66]
Wix(WIX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-19 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total bookings grew to $515 million in Q3 2025, up 14% year-over-year, driven by robust new user cohorts and better-than-expected results from Base44 [15][16] - Total revenue increased to $505 million, also up 14% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15][16] - Non-GAAP gross margin in Q3 was 69%, down slightly from 70% in Q2 [18] - Free cash flow was $159 million, or 32% of revenue, an increase from 30% last quarter [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Partners' revenue grew 24% year-over-year to $192 million, driven by traction among professional designers and solid Studio adoption [16] - Transaction revenue was $65 million, up 20% year-over-year, driven by 13% growth in GPV [16] - Base44's share of audience traffic increased from low single digits in June to over 10% in October [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - GPV grew 13% year-over-year to $3.7 billion, with partners contributing approximately 55% of total GPV [16] - Base44 serves over 2 million users globally, translating to more than 1,000 new paying subscribers daily [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to democratize software creation through Vibe Coding, enabling users without coding knowledge to build applications [3][5] - Base44 is positioned as a leader among low-code tools, with significant growth potential in the AI-powered app building space [6][11] - The company is focusing on building a comprehensive brand and marketing function for Base44 to capture a larger market share [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the core business and the ability to enter new markets effectively [14] - The company raised its full-year bookings outlook to $2,060-$2,078 million, reflecting strong performance from Base44 [22][23] - Expectations for free cash flow are approximately $600 million for 2025, or 30% of revenue [24] Other Important Information - The company issued $1.15 billion in 0% convertible senior notes due 2030, with plans to use the cash for business purposes and potential M&A opportunities [22] - The anticipated launch of a new flagship product has been delayed to early 2026 due to technical challenges [7][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dynamics of monthly vs. annual subscriptions for Base44 - Management noted that most Base44 users are on monthly subscriptions, with expectations that as trust builds, more users will transition to annual plans [26][27] Question: Churn rates and subscription dynamics - Churn is currently higher than Wix's standard, but management is optimistic about future retention as the product matures [27][28] Question: Pathway to improving Base44 margins - Management indicated that as Base44 matures, margins are expected to improve, with a focus on reducing AI costs and optimizing the customer mix [49][53] Question: Impact of hyper-growth on margins - Management acknowledged that while there will be short-term margin pressure due to high growth, they expect margins to improve as the business scales [56][66] Question: Delays in the new self-creator tool - The delay is attributed to fine-tuning technology and addressing technical challenges, with a confident outlook for a launch in early 2026 [70] Question: Retention trends for Base44 cohorts - Early retention trends for Base44 are similar to those seen in Wix's early days, with expectations for improvement as brand visibility increases [43][44]