市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 此前，美国国会预算办公室（CBO）预计，政府停摆可能会造成每天有75万人被临时裁员。 ...

Hey Carl. Well, at this point, Congress is hurdling towards uh the first real government shutdown that we've seen uh since the 2018 2019 one. And at this point, there is a plan in the Senate to likely vote later this afternoon and this evening on that stop gap that could fund the government through November 21st. But at this point, it just does not seem like there are the votes. Remember, you need seven to eight Senate Senate Democrats to come along. And as we've heard from uh Senate Minority Leader Chuck S ...

为避免联邦政府停摆，在9月29日晚间，特朗普在白宫会见国会两党领袖，讨论临时拨款法案。这次会谈被视为在10月1日凌晨美国联邦政府停摆大限到来 之前，两党弥合分歧、达成预算共识的最后机会。但会后双方的表态表明民主与共和两党并未谈拢，美国联邦政府再次停摆或已在所难免。 在29日晚间的会谈结束后，美国副总统、共和党人万斯直截了当地表示："我认为我们正走向停摆"。万斯还透露了双方的一大分歧点，也就是医保政策。 万斯表示，"美国的医疗保健政策已经崩溃"，共和党在过去执政的8个月中不断尝试解决这一问题。 距离美国联邦政府资金彻底耗尽已不足24小时。 据央视新闻消息，当地时间9月30日，美国总统特朗普表示，一旦美联邦政府"关门"，可能导致大量联邦雇员被裁。他还表示，若不满意军方将领，将"当 场解职"。 对于低收入家庭，打击会更快到来。数百万孕妇和儿童的食品券将受影响，住房援助和能源补贴也会因资金断档而延迟，联邦政府对学前教育和学校午餐 的支持可能被迫由地方政府垫付，州县财政压力骤增。 此外，交通、旅行、医疗、公共卫生等都将受到影响。人手短缺不仅会导致航班延误、排队频繁，并且新航线审批、飞行员培训和执照发放也会停止；此 外， ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 美国众议院议长约翰逊表示，对避免政府停摆持"怀疑态度"。 ...

当地时间9月30日，美国总统特朗普表示，一旦美联邦政府"关门"，可能导致大量联邦雇员被裁。 他还表示，若不满意军方将领，将"当场解职"。 新闻多看点 美国联邦政府资金将于当地时间9月30日午夜耗尽，政府再次陷入停摆危机。 29日，特朗普在白宫会见了参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默、参议院共和党领袖约翰·图恩、众议院议长迈 克·约翰逊及众议院民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯，讨论防止联邦政府停摆的措施。据美国媒体报道，国 会两党领导人在会见特朗普后纷纷对媒体表示，双方存在巨大分歧，谈判进展甚微。 （文章来源：央视新闻） ...

If congressional leaders can't agree to pass a short-term funding measure by 12.01 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, the government will shut down. That would delay the release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly jobs report, which could have a knock-on effect on markets, seeing as investors are still uncertain about whether the Federal Reserve will carry on cutting interest rates. CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 30, 2025: Dow Hits New Record Last Updated: Updated 11 hours ago Stock Futures Slip ...

Core Points - The U.S. stock index futures are collectively down due to ongoing risks of a government shutdown, with the S&P 500 futures down 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.3%, and Dow futures down 0.2% [1][3] - Gold prices have reached a new historical high, rising nearly 1% to $3868.8 per ounce, reflecting market concerns over the potential government shutdown and global trade tensions [1][12] - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with Bilibili up approximately 5%, Xpeng Motors up about 2%, and Alibaba up around 1% [1][3] - BHP's U.S. stock fell nearly 7% in after-hours trading [1][6] Market Performance - Asian stock markets showed mixed results, with the Nikkei 225 down 0.2%, the Seoul Composite down 0.2%, and the Vietnam VN Index down 1%, while the Singapore Strait Index and Malaysia Index both rose 0.4% [1] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.15% to 97.79 [3] - Brent crude oil fell by 0.5% to $66.73 per barrel [11] Economic Implications - If the government shuts down, the release of economic data will cease, impacting the Federal Reserve's ability to set interest rate paths [2]

Core Points - The U.S. federal government is facing a potential shutdown if bipartisan agreement on funding is not reached by midnight on September 30 [2][4] - The current political standoff is primarily centered around the Affordable Care Act, with both parties blaming each other for the impasse [4][5] - This shutdown could be different from previous ones due to the White House's directive for federal agencies to prepare for large-scale layoffs, potentially leading to permanent job losses [3][7] Group 1: Government Shutdown Context - A government shutdown occurs when Congress fails to pass budget appropriations, leading to the cessation of non-essential services [3] - Historically, the U.S. government has experienced over 20 shutdowns since the 1970s, with the longest one occurring during Trump's first term, lasting 35 days [6][10] - The current political landscape, with the Republican party controlling Congress and the White House, complicates the passage of spending bills due to the need for Democratic support [4][5] Group 2: Implications of the Shutdown - If a shutdown occurs, hundreds of thousands of federal employees may face unpaid leave or be required to work without pay, impacting consumer spending and market confidence [9][11] - Essential services like Social Security and Medicare will continue, but other services may be delayed or interrupted, affecting various sectors [9][12] - The potential for long-term economic impacts exists, as prolonged shutdowns could disrupt market order and erode public trust [10][12] Group 3: Political Dynamics - Trump's administration may leverage the shutdown to expand executive power, potentially undermining congressional authority over fiscal matters [8] - The ongoing negotiations reflect significant divisions between the parties, with Democrats seeking immediate discussions on healthcare while Republicans push for a simple funding extension [4][5] - The outcome of this standoff could set a precedent for future budget negotiations and the balance of power between the executive and legislative branches [8]

政府停摆在美国十分常见，让人感受不到惊讶！ 9月30日收官钟声将至，美国联邦政府可能陷入一场与以往截然不同的停摆。这一次游戏规则变了，比 以往任何一次都更难预测，也可能造成更大的破坏。 从临时休假到永久解雇 自1976年以来，美国联邦政府共发生过21次停摆，多数情况下雇员权益能通过事后补发来实现兜底。 以持续35天的 "史上最长停摆" 为例，当时约80万联邦雇员受影响，其中40%的非必要岗位人员进入停 薪留职状态，60%的必要岗位人员需无薪坚守岗位。 目前约2.5万名试用期雇员身处漩涡，而OMB的解雇名单指令是否合规，恐将成为停摆期间的又一诉讼 焦点。 从机场瘫痪到经济失明 联邦航空管理局与运输安全管理局虽属必要职能部门，但历史教训已敲响警钟，2019年35天停摆中， TSA安检员缺勤率飙升至10%，是同期的3倍，导致亚特兰大、华盛顿等机场安检口关闭，旅客等待超 1 小时。 而2019通过的《政府雇员公平待遇法案》，更是以法律形式明确：无论雇员属于必要岗位还是非必要岗 位，只要因政府停摆导致无薪工作或停薪留职，在停摆结束后均能全额补发薪酬，这一规定在此前的停 摆事件中从未被突破，成为联邦雇员的 "安全底线"。 ...

数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 备注：I：铁矿石 铁矿石产业链日报 2025/9/30 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | I 主力合约收盘价（元/吨） | 780.50 | -3.50↓ I 主力合约持仓量(手) | 447,365 | -26627↓ | | | I 1-5合约价差（元/吨） | 21 | -0.50↓ I 合约前20名净持仓(手) | -15349 | -2809↓ | | | I 大商所仓单（手） | 0.00 | -700.00↓ | | | | | 新加坡铁矿石主力合约截止15：00报价(美元/吨) | 103.7 | +0.68↑ | | | | 现货市场 | 青岛港61.5%PB粉矿 (元/干吨) | 845 | -1↓ 青岛港60.8%麦克粉矿 (元/干吨) | 832 | -2↓ | | | 京唐港56.5%超特粉矿 (元/干吨) | 766 | -5↓ I 主力合约基差 (麦克粉干吨-主力合约) | 51 | ...