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【环球财经】巴西央行下调今年经济增长预期
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-26 14:12
Core Viewpoint - The Brazilian Central Bank has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 down from 2.1% to 2%, with a further slowdown expected in 2026 to 1.5% due to various external factors [1] Economic Growth - The report indicates that despite strong performance in agriculture and mining in the second half of the year, uncertainties related to U.S. tariff policies and escalating global geopolitical tensions will negatively impact Brazil's economic growth in 2025 [1] - The expected economic growth for Brazil in 2026 is projected to slow down significantly due to multiple influencing factors [1] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Brazilian inflation remains above the target level, with the Central Bank forecasting a 2025 inflation rate of 4.8%, exceeding the target median of 3% and the allowable fluctuation range of 1.5 percentage points [1] - The Central Bank has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 15%, indicating that high rates will need to be sustained for a "considerable period" to combat inflation [1] - Market expectations suggest that the Central Bank may not lower interest rates until 2026 [1]
美联储巴尔金:洛根关于基准利率的提议“颇具深思熟虑之感”。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 12:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Federal Reserve official Barkin finds Logan's proposal regarding the benchmark interest rate to be "thoughtful" [1]
乌兹别克斯坦央行将基准利率维持在14%不变
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-23 15:52
Core Insights - Economic activity and consumer demand in Uzbekistan showed growth in the second quarter, with inflation beginning to slow down since August due to the fading low base effect from last year [1] - As of the end of August, the annual inflation rate decreased to 8.8% and the core inflation rate fell to 7.6%, prompting the central bank to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 14% [1] - The central bank anticipates that inflationary pressures may increase due to slow global inflation decline, ongoing international trade restrictions, rising food prices, and high inflation in major trading partner countries, projecting an inflation rate of approximately 8.7% by the end of 2025 [1] Monetary Policy - The central bank's relatively tight monetary policy is aimed at enhancing savings attractiveness, promoting balanced credit activity, controlling total demand within reasonable limits, and mitigating the impact of monetary factors on inflation [1] - In the short term, inflation in Uzbekistan is expected to remain at a high level, with the central bank ready to adjust monetary policy if risks escalate or price pressures exceed expectations [1] - The next meeting for adjusting the benchmark interest rate is scheduled for October 23 [1]
日本央行维持基准利率在0.5%不变,符合预期
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-19 03:47
Core Insights - The article discusses the current market trends and potential investment opportunities in the technology sector, highlighting significant growth areas and emerging companies [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The technology sector has seen a substantial increase in investment, with a reported growth of 25% year-over-year [1] - Emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and cloud computing are driving this growth, attracting both venture capital and institutional investors [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Several key players in the technology industry have reported strong quarterly earnings, with an average revenue increase of 15% across the sector [1] - Notable companies have expanded their market share, with some reporting a 10% increase in customer acquisition [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The article identifies specific companies that are well-positioned for future growth, particularly those involved in cybersecurity and renewable energy technologies [1] - Analysts suggest that investing in these sectors could yield significant returns, given the increasing demand for innovative solutions [1]
英国央行宣布维持4%基准利率不变
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-09-18 11:45
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4%, aligning with market expectations, primarily due to persistent inflationary pressures [1] Inflation and Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released by the UK National Statistics Office on the 17th of August shows that both year-on-year and month-on-month inflation rates met market expectations but remain significantly above the 2% inflation target [1] - Given the ongoing inflation rates exceeding the target and signs of fatigue in the labor market, international institutions widely predict that the Bank of England will not rush to lower interest rates [1]
通胀还没压到3%,巴西维持15%基准利率
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 04:02
Core Points - The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate (Selic) at 15%, with unanimous agreement among committee members [1] - The global economic environment remains uncertain due to factors such as U.S. economic policies, impacting financial markets, particularly in emerging economies [3] - Brazil's domestic economic conditions are characterized by expected volatility, higher-than-expected inflation, strong economic activity, and a robust labor market [3] - The Central Bank forecasts inflation rates of 4.8% and 4.3% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, and 3.4% for the first quarter of 2027, all exceeding the official target of keeping inflation below 3% [3] - As of August 2025, Brazil's year-on-year inflation rate was 5.13%, remaining above 5% since February 2025 [3] - The Central Bank will continue to monitor U.S. tariffs on Brazil and domestic fiscal policy developments, which may influence monetary policy and financial assets [5] - The current benchmark interest rate is at its highest level in nearly 20 years, with the next monetary policy meeting scheduled for early November [6]
巴西央行维持基准利率15%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-18 02:29
9月17日当天,美联储宣布降息0.25个百分点至4%至4.25%的区间。(完) 巴西央行维持基准利率15% 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:万可义 中新社圣保罗9月17日电 (记者 林春茵)巴西中央银行货币政策委员会当地时间17日宣布,维持基准利率 在15%不变,并表示将"在相当长一段时期内"保持高利率,以确保通胀回归目标。 巴西央行2024年9月以来连续七次加息后,7月30日宣布停止加息,此次维持不变。过去9个月内,巴西 基准利率累计上调4.5个百分点,创近19年最高。巴西地理统计局16日发布的统计数据显示,巴西就业 市场依旧强劲,7月失业率降至5.6%,创2012年以来新低。 巴西央行当天发布公告说,美国经济政策与地缘政治带来不确定性。经济活动指标显示巴西经济"增长 趋缓",但劳动力市场依然"活跃",通胀仍高于目标。当前通胀风险仍偏高,需要在相当长一段时期内 维持显著偏紧的货币政策立场。 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview"),看更多精彩财经资讯。 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原 ...
巴西央行维持基准利率15%不变
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-09-18 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Brazil has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 15%, indicating a need for significant monetary tightening to manage inflation and economic resilience in a volatile environment [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Decision - The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Brazil announced the decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 15% [1] - The current economic situation is characterized by expected volatility, inflation above expectations, strong economic activity, and a pressured labor market [1] - The committee emphasizes the necessity of implementing a tight monetary policy for an extended period to ensure inflation returns to target levels [1] Group 2: Economic Context - The current benchmark interest rate of 15% is the highest level in nearly 20 years [1] - The next meeting of the Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee is scheduled for early November [1]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-09-17 13:54
加拿大央行于周三将基准利率下调了25个基点至2.5%,为6个月以来首次降息,理由是就业市场疲软以及基础通胀动能减弱。行长麦克勒姆表示,数据显示核心通胀(剔除食品和能源等波动性项目)的向上动能已经"消退",加拿大决定放弃对大多数美国产品的报复性关税"将意味着这些商品的价格未来压力会减小"。 ...
How the Federal Reserve shapes consumer loan rates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 19:07
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's adjustments to the federal funds rate significantly influence borrowing costs across various loan types, including personal, auto, and private student loans [1][3][4] Impact on Loan Rates - The federal funds rate serves as a benchmark for lenders, affecting how much they charge for overnight lending, which in turn impacts consumer loan interest rates [3][4] - Between February 2022 and August 2023, the Fed raised the federal funds rate from 0.08% to 5.33% to combat inflation, leading to higher loan rates that remain elevated despite some rate cuts in 2024 [4][5] - The prime rate, which is typically set about three percentage points above the federal funds rate, also influences consumer loan rates, particularly for creditworthy borrowers [4] Personal Loan Rates - Average personal loan rates have remained high, decreasing slightly from 12.49% in February 2024 to 11.57% currently for two-year loans [5][6] - Most personal loans have fixed rates, meaning existing borrowers will not see changes in their rates, while new borrowers may face higher rates compared to previous years [6] Student Loan Rates - Federal student loan rates are set by Congress and are not directly influenced by the Fed, while private student loan rates are affected by the federal funds rate [7][9] - Federal student loan rates were particularly low at 2.75% for the 2020-21 academic year but have increased to 6.39% for the 2025-26 academic year [8] Auto Loan Rates - Auto loan rates are also influenced by the federal funds rate, with average rates for new car loans at 7% and used car loans at 10.7% as of August 2025 [11] - Various factors, including credit score and vehicle type, also play a role in determining auto loan rates [11] Strategies for Securing Competitive Rates - Improving credit scores and financial profiles can enhance the chances of securing better loan rates [13][15] - Shopping around with multiple lenders and comparing repayment terms can help borrowers find the best offers [17][19] - Timing borrowing decisions based on the Fed's rate changes can also be beneficial, particularly if rates are expected to decrease [20]