Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the Chinese defense and military industry [5] Core Insights - The military trade is expected to become a second growth curve for the industry, with Indonesia considering the procurement of Chinese J-10 fighter jets due to their high performance and cost-effectiveness [27] - The report highlights that the recent geopolitical tensions have increased military spending globally, creating new opportunities for China's military exports [6][27] - The domestic aviation industry is expected to accelerate the development of indigenous engines due to U.S. export restrictions on commercial engines [6] Summary by Sections Market Trends - The defense and military industry index rose by 0.41% during the week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.13% [10][11] - The defense and military industry ranked 24th out of 31 sectors in terms of weekly performance [13] News and Announcements - Indonesia is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese J-10 fighter jets to modernize its air force while considering budget constraints [27] - The U.S. has restricted the export of key technologies, which is expected to accelerate the domestic development of aviation engines in China [6] - The report notes that military trade could drive performance in various segments of the supply chain, including core subsystems and components [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on upstream components and key materials, highlighting specific companies such as Zhihua Technology, Aerospace Electric, and Xibu Superconductor for potential investment [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [5]. Core Insights - The military trade is expected to lead to a revaluation of military industrial capacity and value [1]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for Chinese military equipment due to recent international conflicts, particularly the India-Pakistan conflict, which has showcased the performance of Chinese aircraft [25][29]. - The report emphasizes the transition of China's military trade into a new era characterized by high-quality self-developed equipment, moving away from reliance on imported Soviet-style equipment [46]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Military Trade Opportunities - Indonesia is considering the procurement of Chinese J-10 fighter jets, driven by performance in the India-Pakistan conflict and cost-effectiveness compared to Western counterparts [14]. - Pakistan is also looking to acquire various advanced Chinese military equipment, including J-35 fighter jets and HQ-19 air defense systems, following successful military engagements [19][25]. Section 2: Next-Generation Aircraft - The U.S. has announced the development of the F-47 next-generation fighter jet, which may create competitive pressure for Chinese manufacturers like AVIC [61]. - The report discusses the potential of the J-35 to become a military trade hit, comparable to the F-35, due to its lower cost and advanced capabilities [41]. Section 3: Military Equipment Production and Safety - The report highlights the urgent need for upgrades in the production safety of energetic materials, citing frequent accidents in the industry [96]. - The complexity and risks associated with the production of explosives and ammunition are noted as significant challenges, particularly in the context of increasing demand during conflicts [100][105]. Section 4: Industry Growth and Investment Opportunities - The military trade sector is expected to benefit from increased demand and pricing, with primary manufacturers likely to see significant profit improvements [52]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with popular or potentially popular military models, such as AVIC subsidiaries and missile manufacturers [55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the defense and military industry [5]. Core Insights - NATO is expected to increase defense budgets, presenting new opportunities for military trade, particularly for China [2][35]. - The defense industry is poised for long-term growth, with recovery in demand and a clear roadmap for modernization by 2035 and 2050 [3][36]. - The low-altitude economy is gaining attention, supported by recent policies and strategic partnerships, indicating a potential growth area [31][34]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 1.18%, ranking 30th among 31 sectors [1][13]. - The PE (TTM) ratio for the defense sector is 74.26, with aerospace equipment at 133.63 and ground armaments at 138.63 [19][27]. Key Recommendations - Focus on downstream manufacturers such as Hongdu Aviation and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [4]. - Highlight new technologies in military applications, including companies like Lianchuang Optoelectronics and Guangqi Technology [4]. - Emphasize underwater equipment and missile industry chains, with key players like Hailanxin and Guokai Military Industry [4]. Industry Dynamics - The global military trade market is expected to grow due to increased defense spending, particularly in NATO countries [2][35]. - China's military trade exports are anticipated to rise, benefiting from geopolitical tensions and a competitive edge in weaponry [41][39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the defense and military industry [4]. Core Insights - The core viewpoint emphasizes that domestic trade and military trade continue to drive demand in the industry [10][48]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The "New Era of China's National Security" white paper was released on May 12, outlining China's strategic focus on national security and its interaction with global stability [48]. - Recent defense sales agreements were made with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, totaling approximately $4.3 billion, indicating strong international demand for military equipment [49][50][51]. Market Performance - The military industry index (801740) decreased by 1.18% from May 12 to May 16, underperforming compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.12% [19]. - The military index has increased by 0.68% since 2025, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has decreased by 1.16%, showing relative strength in the long term [21]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies three main investment lines: domestic trade, foreign trade, and self-sufficiency [54]. - Domestic Trade: Companies such as Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, and others are highlighted [54]. - Foreign Trade: Companies like Guangdong Hongda and Aerospace Rainbow are recommended [55]. - Self-Sufficiency: Companies involved in commercial engines and nuclear fusion are noted [56]. Financial Insights - As of May 16, the military industry index has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 65.05, indicating a high valuation but potential for recovery in demand by 2025 [53][38]. - Passive fund inflows into military ETFs have increased, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector [32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, suggesting an increase in industry focus [5][29]. Core Insights - Recent uncertainties in orders and the easing of tensions between India and Pakistan have led to a pullback in military stocks. However, the report anticipates that as orders stabilize and military trade continues to materialize, the military market will gradually stabilize and trend upward [5]. - China's military trade is expected to enter a rapid growth phase, with increased international recognition of Chinese military products during the India-Pakistan conflict, thereby expanding the market space and valuation for the entire industry [5]. - The fundamental changes in the military sector are solidifying the basis for industry growth, with the military construction entering a critical phase as the centenary of the army approaches, focusing on quality and quantity improvements [5]. - The report highlights the simultaneous development of multiple satellite constellations in communication, remote sensing, and computing, indicating an acceleration in domestic commercial aerospace development [5]. - The report recommends increasing attention to the military sector, particularly on elastic/theme varieties, with specific focus on precision-guided weapons, underwater capabilities, AI/robotics, and traditional aircraft supply chains [5]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 5.71%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.05%, and the CSI 300 Index, which fell by 0.04% [6][11]. - The report notes that the defense and military sector's 5.71% decline ranked last among 31 Shenwan primary industry sectors [6]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector last week were Chengfei Integration (46.43%), Lijun Shares (44.15%), Tongda Shares (19.92%), Chunxing Precision (11.23%), and ST Ruike (8.72%) [12]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing stocks were Aerospace Changfeng (-14.76%), Hongyuan Electronics (-13.82%), Sichuan Electronics (-12.92%), Huawu Shares (-12.82%), and Optoelectronics Shares (-12.71%) [13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 74.13, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 64.19% since January 2014 and 89.96% since January 2019 [12]. - The report indicates a slight differentiation in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment PE valuations at relatively high levels since 2020 [12]. Key Valuation Targets - The report lists key valuation targets in the military sector, including companies like Feilihua, Tianqin Equipment, and Chengdu Huami, with projected earnings and PE ratios for the coming years [21][24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating an expected return exceeding 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [36]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as one of the few domestic enterprises engaged in the research and production of solid rocket motor propulsion modules and ammunition equipment, with a long-term technological accumulation and advantages in these fields [18][19]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery and expansion of the military trade market, driven by frequent geopolitical events and the emergence of new forms of warfare, leading to a clear second growth curve logic [18]. - The company is actively increasing its R&D investment and extending its operations into the downstream aerospace engine assembly field, which will enhance its core competitiveness and expand potential market space [18]. - The implementation of stock incentives, share buybacks, and cash dividends is expected to effectively align the interests of shareholders, the company, and the core team, promoting long-term development and boosting investor confidence [18]. Financial Data Summary - As of May 9, 2025, the company has a total share capital of 175.70 million shares and a total market value of 10,206.50 million [2]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -1.05 million, a significant decrease of 5.47 million year-on-year, primarily due to delays in military equipment funding settlements [7]. - The company’s contract liabilities increased by 29.36% to 2.35 million, indicating a robust order backlog, while inventory levels remained high at 2.33 million, down 4.05% [8]. - Revenue from military products in 2024 reached 1.167 billion, a growth of 17.34%, while revenue from civilian products decreased by 20.79% to 29 million [9][11]. - The company expects revenues of 1.459 billion, 1.723 billion, and 1.985 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at 235 million, 273 million, and 306 million [19][21].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.24% and 0.23% respectively [1] - The photovoltaic and HJT battery concepts showed strong performance, with stocks like Oujing Technology, GCL-Poly Energy, and Baoxin Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The banking sector experienced fluctuations, with stocks such as Pudong Development Bank and Shanghai Bank reaching historical highs [1] Group 2 - The cross-border e-commerce concept was active, with companies like Huafang Co., Zhejiang Zhengte, and Qingdao Jinwang also hitting the daily limit [1] - Sectors such as military trade, national defense, aerospace, and commercial space saw declines [1] - Daily chemical, hotel and catering, banking, and coal sectors had the highest gains, while shipbuilding, aviation, electrical instruments, and mineral products faced the largest declines [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - Chinese equipment has shown outstanding performance in the recent India-Pakistan conflict, with prime manufacturers benefiting more from military trade growth than upstream companies [12][14] - The military trade market is expected to grow significantly as China's global presence increases, with military equipment exports to Pakistan accounting for 63% of China's total military trade exports from 2020 to 2024 [14][17] - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: 1) Aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, including companies like Feilihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and others [18] 2) New technologies, products, and markets with greater elasticity, including companies like Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing and others [18] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is 1502.54, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [1] Market Performance - The military industry index increased by 5.17%, outperforming the broader market indices [19] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector this week include Chengxi Aviation (+59.26%) and others [22] Valuation Levels - As of May 9, 2025, the military industry index stands at 10729.21, with a PE-TTM valuation of 103.42 and a PB valuation of 3.48, indicating that both valuations are at historical mid-levels [24][25]

Group 1 - The military industry sector has seen significant inflows, with over 6.5 billion yuan net inflow into military-themed ETFs this year, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The aerospace and military sector experienced a surge, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up, reflecting positive market sentiment [2] - The recent escalation of India-Pakistan tensions has highlighted China's military export strength, particularly to Pakistan, which accounts for approximately 60% of China's military exports [2][3] Group 2 - The military industry is expected to benefit from a strong recovery in demand by 2025, supported by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the centenary goals of the military [3][4] - The current price-to-earnings ratio of the military industry index is 65.06, indicating a high valuation level, but with strong recovery expectations, it presents a compelling investment opportunity [3] - The military sector is positioned for substantial growth driven by both domestic and international demand, with a focus on self-sufficiency and rapid military trade development [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "better than the market" [4]. Core Insights - The recent conflict between India and Pakistan, where Pakistan used Chinese weapons to shoot down multiple Indian aircraft, has created new opportunities for China's military trade [2][34]. - Pakistan has imported over 80% of its military equipment from China in the past five years, highlighting its role as a key partner in China's Belt and Road Initiative [2][35]. - The demand for advanced military equipment, such as air defense systems and drones, is increasing due to the ongoing tensions in the region [2][35]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The defense and military index rose by 6.33% last week, outperforming other major indices [13]. - The current PE (TTM) for the defense and military sector is 76.08, with aerospace equipment at 136.47 and ground weaponry at 144.71 [21]. Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft, and Zhongji Aviation for downstream manufacturers; and companies like Lianchuang Optoelectronics and Guangqi Technology for military technology [3][36]. Industry Dynamics - The military industry is expected to see long-term growth, with demand recovering and production capacity improving [3]. - The global military trade market has shown steady growth, with military spending correlating with trade volume [36][42]. Military Trade Insights - The top five military exporters from 2019 to 2023 were the USA (41.7%), France (10.9%), Russia (10.5%), China (5.8%), and Germany (5.6%) [39]. - China's military exports have been rapidly increasing, with a market share of 8.35% in 2023, driven by competitive weaponry and a decline in Russian exports [42][44].