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过去四周,AI推理爆了,GPU在燃烧,英伟达依旧供不应求
硬AI· 2025-04-29 00:18
根据摩根士丹利Joseph Moore团队25日发布的报告, 这种强劲的需求主要驱动因素在于token生成量的 增长,自年初以来,token生成量增长了5倍以上 ,这给生态系统带来了巨大压力,并推动了对处理这些 工作负载的投资激增。 点击 上方 硬AI 关注我们 大摩指出,受益于大型语言模型对推理芯片的巨大需求,英伟达面临GPU供不应求局面。但在持续的供应限制、毛利率 压力等负面影响下,大摩轻微下调英伟达目标价至160美元。长期来看,公司增长轨迹依然强劲。 硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 编辑 | 硬 AI 过去四周,投资者情绪因宏观经济和供应链风险而恶化,但与此同时,对英伟达GPU核心的需求却因主要 大型语言模型(LLM)对推理芯片的巨大需求而飙升,且这种需求遍及所有地区。 多家AI公司报告用户数量呈爆炸式增长,例如,Open Router等API公司的数据显示,许多公司为满足推 理软件的巨量需求,被迫争抢GPU资源,甚至出现"最后一块GB200"在2025年仅剩一块的状况。 摩根士丹利认为, 这种对推理的需求是关键。 这是由使用模型并产生收入的部分驱动的,证明了推理模 型的扩展是真实存在的,这与仅依赖于风险投 ...
机构:2027年HBM4将用于自动驾驶
半导体芯闻· 2025-03-07 10:20
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the critical role of memory solutions in driving the development of Generative AI (GenAI), highlighting the need for innovation in semiconductor technology [2][4] - It discusses the challenges faced by DRAM solutions, including cost and time to market, and suggests that manufacturers must adopt cost-reduction strategies while customers should commit to procurement [2][4] Group 1: Memory Solutions and Innovations - Counterpoint Research identifies that short-term Processing-In-Memory (PIM) is the most innovative memory solution, primarily supporting Neural Processing Units (NPU), but is limited to a few applications [2] - The article predicts that by 2026, Apple will transition from Package-on-Package (PoP) architecture to standalone DRAM configurations in iPhone Pro Max and foldable models to enhance bandwidth [2] - High-performance application processors (AP) and LPDDR usage are expected to increase with the advancement of autonomous driving technology, with HBM4 anticipated to be introduced in autonomous driving systems after 2027 [2] Group 2: Technological Developments and Challenges - NVIDIA's DIGITS technology aims to enhance memory bandwidth through the integration of GPU and HBM, with plans to improve CPU bandwidth by mid-2025 using SOCAMM technology [3] - The article notes that PCB and connector costs remain a significant challenge, with no immediate plans to apply this technology to the general PC market [3] - Samsung emphasizes the need for a balance between high bandwidth, speed, capacity, low latency, and power management in generative AI memory solutions [3] Group 3: Future Trends and Industry Dynamics - The article forecasts that by 2030, HBM5 will reach 20 stacked layers and integrate more logic devices into a single chiplet architecture, increasing the importance of TSMC's role in CoWoS technology [3] - The shift towards horizontal collaboration in the supply chain is highlighted as a trend that will replace the traditional vertical integration model [3][4] - The development of large language models (LLM) for mobile AI by DeepSeek is expected to lead to standardization of AI technologies by companies like OpenAI [3]
京东健康20250306
2025-03-07 07:47
Summary of JD Health Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: JD Health - **Year**: 2024 Key Points and Arguments User Growth and Engagement - JD Health achieved 183 million active user accounts in 2024, with an average of over 498,000 online consultations per day, maintaining this level for four consecutive years [2][3] - Direct sales revenue reached 48.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of over 6.9%, with strong performance in surgical services and electric scissors [2][3] Market Position and Innovations - JD Health maintains its leadership in the pharmaceutical e-commerce sector, accelerating online channel development to meet growing user demand for flu medications and personal treatment [2][5] - The company innovated in internet medical services, providing a full process from online consultation to home check-ups and prescriptions, enhancing convenience [2][5] - JD Health is the first online healthcare platform to apply large language models (LLM) on a large scale, improving doctor communication and research efficiency [2][5][6] Financial Performance - Service revenue exceeded 9.36 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%, accounting for 16.1% of total revenue [2][10] - The gross margin increased by 17 basis points to 22.9%, reflecting supply chain optimization efforts [10][11] Retail and Insurance Services - JD Health launched online drug purchase services using personal medical insurance accounts in 80 cities, covering over 100 million people [3][12] - The company plans to expand online medical insurance payment services in 2025, enhancing user experience and recognition [23] Technological Advancements - JD Health introduced AI solutions to support hospital applications, optimizing patient care processes and clinical research [2][6] - The company is committed to AI technology development, with top-tier AI language models available for hospitals, medical institutions, and patients [20][21] Future Strategies - In 2025, JD Health will focus on strengthening B2C direct sales, online markets, and on-demand retail operations to solidify its position as a leading online healthcare platform [8][18] - The company aims to deepen hospital service skills and enhance home service models, while investing in technology applications to create real value for the healthcare industry [8][18] Industry Trends and Responses - The Chinese healthcare market is rapidly expanding, driven by an aging population and increasing health awareness among younger generations [22] - JD Health plans to address these changes by enriching product lines, optimizing channel experiences, and integrating online and offline resources [22] Competitive Landscape - JD Health will leverage insights into user needs to optimize its business model and enhance supply chain capabilities, ensuring sustainable competitive advantages [16] Collaboration and Partnerships - The company has engaged in innovative collaborations with firms like October, MSC Helium, and Pfizer in supply chain services, patient services, and academic marketing [9][19] Customer Experience and Trust - JD Health is focused on enhancing customer trust through competitive pricing strategies and comprehensive service offerings, including free prescription drug change services and 24/7 support [19] Additional Important Content - JD Health's commitment to continuous investment in AI and big data technologies aims to maintain its leadership position in the digital health sector [14][15] - The company is exploring new growth opportunities in the specialty drug market and enhancing its academic marketing platform to attract more medical companies [19]
深度|OpenAI主席Bret Taylor:看好AI Agent前景
Z Potentials· 2025-03-06 06:36
图片来源: Unsplash 在周二巴塞罗那的移动世界大会炉边谈话中, Bret Taylor 仍未给出 AI Agent的确切定义。 这位 Sierra 创始人和 OpenAI 董事会主席选择回避 CNN 主持人 Anna Stewart 关于AI Agent 与"生成式 AI 聊天机器人"有何不同的问题,而是暗示大家都不 喜欢前者,却对 AI Agent能提供的"共情"回应感到欣喜。 鉴于他的新创业公司正在构建一个客户服务 AI 代理,你会期待 Taylor 对这项技术的潜力充满热情。 "这些代理的非凡之处在于,人们实际上非常喜欢它们。" AI正在提升客户体验并降低成本 他确实没有让人失望:"我对大型语言模型和当前这波技术浪潮的兴奋程度,超过了我能记得的任何技术,也许可以追溯到我十几岁时发现互联网的时 候,"他在会议上对代表们说道。 生成式 AI 驱动的 AI Agent,与早期版本的 AI 聊天机器人相比,其能力的飞跃在于达到了更高的水平——例如"多语言且即时响应"的 AI。 "我认为我们现在正处于这样一个时代,这些 AI 解决方案实际上比替代方案更好,"他说道,并补充说:"我们与美国的 SiriusX ...
谷歌大肆招人,开发网卡芯片
半导体行业观察· 2025-03-05 01:03
Core Viewpoint - Google is expanding its chip development operations in Israel, focusing on the development of a new type of communication chip known as Network Interface Card (NIC), which is essential for communication between core processors and graphics processors used in AI processing [1][2]. Group 1: Chip Development and Market Dynamics - The NIC has become a valuable commodity due to the surge in AI processing operations, with prices rising significantly, making it challenging for tech giants to deploy AI technologies profitably [1]. - Google established its chip development department four years ago to reduce reliance on external suppliers like Intel, Nvidia, and Broadcom [1][4]. - Major tech companies, including Nvidia, Google, and Amazon, are competing to develop new NIC processors internally, following the release of specifications for next-generation language model processing chips by leading firms like OpenAI [2]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Google has previously developed a NIC processor named TIN, which now needs adaptation for handling large language model processing tasks [2]. - Amazon has invested significantly in chip development, acquiring Annapurna Labs for $370 million and developing various processors for cloud services and AI applications [4]. - Google's chip development efforts are reportedly smaller than Nvidia's and are managed by two Israeli executives, Uri Frank and Guy Azrad [4]. Group 3: Recruitment and Workforce - Google is actively recruiting dozens of engineers in Israel for both NIC and CPU development, with a current workforce of 140 electrical and software engineers in Haifa and Tel Aviv [5].
速递|字节将为泰国数据中心投资88亿美元,此前马来西亚数据中心或终止对华服务
Z Finance· 2025-02-28 08:06
图片来源: Unsplash 根据路透社报道,TikTok全球公共政策副总裁海伦娜·勒施(Helena Lersch)周五在曼谷的一场活动 上表示, TikTok将在未来五年内向泰国的数据中心投资88亿美元 。目前尚不清楚这笔投资是否包含 泰国投资委员会上个月宣布的38亿美元协议。 近年来,字节跳动越来越多依赖东南亚数据中心,特别是在马来西亚的数据中心。公司计划今年通过 租赁协议等方式进行大规模订单,以增加其海外AI能力。 黑石、贝恩资本、华平投资和泛大西洋投资等美国私募股权公司已投资了数十亿美元在马来西亚经营 数据中心的企业。然而,这些公司的业务 正面临美国对华芯片禁令的反噬 。 自2023年起,美国芯片禁令对华升级了技术封锁,限制中国公司购买英伟达的高性能芯片。 但是, 如果中国公司通过租用海外数据中心的空间,特别是在马来西亚,依然能够合法获利用这些芯片,这 些数据中心内的芯片属于第三方公司。 但美国的新规进一步升级了禁令。中国公司利用海外的计算中心这一通道预计将在今年5月被关闭。 新规不仅禁止中国公司购买英伟达的高端芯片,还禁止它们访问这些技术。 美国前工业与安全副部长艾伦·埃斯特维兹(Alan Est ...