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知名经济学家杜帅评论:“十五五” 现代化进程的关键中继与改革攻坚期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 09:09
Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" (2026-2030) is a critical transitional phase for China, serving as a bridge between the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the "16th Five-Year Plan," and is essential for achieving socialist modernization by 2035 [1] Strategic Positioning - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is a unique observation and transition period to assess previous development outcomes and accumulate momentum for future acceleration [3] - It is a completion point for over 300 major reform tasks from the 20th National Congress, with specific milestones set for 2026-2029 to ensure reforms translate into tangible results [3] - This period is also a window for China to align with global rule restructuring, particularly in international trade and digital governance, which will impact its competitive position in global agreements like CPTPP and DEPA [3] Industrial Development Focus - The emphasis on "real economy" and "manufacturing reasonable proportion" is not merely about expanding capacity but is centered on "value-oriented" scientific layout [4] - As of the first half of 2025, China's manufacturing value added accounted for 25.7% of GDP, indicating a need to balance between too high and too low proportions to avoid resource strain and economic vulnerability [4] - The goal is to shift from a "scale-oriented" approach to a "value-oriented" one, focusing on core component R&D, independent intellectual property breakthroughs, and technological innovation to drive high-end, intelligent, and green transformation in manufacturing [4] Governance Philosophy Upgrade - The report elevates the concept of "people-centered" governance to "people first," emphasizing investment in human capital as a key infrastructure focus [6] - Over 120 reform tasks directly address critical life stages from birth to end-of-life, with quantifiable and accountable targets to ensure tangible improvements in quality of life [6] - The plan aims to convert demographic dividends into quality dividends through vocational training and equalization of public services, ensuring inclusivity in modernization efforts [6] Economic Long-Term Outlook - Despite challenges, the long-term positive trend of China's economy during the "15th Five-Year Plan" remains intact, supported by three main advantages: a vast market, latecomer advantages for industrial upgrades, and sustained competitive edge through technological innovation [8] - The large population and middle-income group provide a solid market foundation, while China's manufacturing scale and complete industrial system are unmatched globally [8] - The country can leverage its latecomer status to adopt advanced international practices in emerging fields like AI and quantum technology, exemplified by its rapid advancements in the renewable energy sector [8] Conclusion - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is positioned as a pivotal period for China to deepen reforms, strengthen industries, and enhance livelihoods, laying a solid foundation for achieving socialist modernization [9]
商务部消费促进司负责人解读《关于开展茧丝绸产业“东绸西固”工作的通知》
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-17 08:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the issuance of a notification by the Ministry of Commerce and six other departments to promote the "East Silk West Solid" initiative in the silk industry, aiming to optimize the regional layout and enhance the overall quality of the industry chain [1][2]. Group 2 - The background of the notification highlights the need for traditional industries to innovate and upgrade, as emphasized by Xi Jinping, and the importance of constructing a modern industrial system as outlined in the 20th National Congress report [2]. - Since the implementation of the "East Mulberry West Move" project in 2006, the scale of silkworm breeding in central and western provinces has expanded significantly, now accounting for over 70% [2]. - The notification aims to facilitate the transfer of silk weaving, dyeing, and other deep processing segments from the eastern regions to the central and western regions, while promoting technological innovation and brand development in the east [2]. Group 3 - The notification outlines three main areas with nine key tasks: 1. Extend the industrial chain in the central and western regions by enhancing silkworm production capacity and optimizing mulberry cultivation [3]. 2. Strengthen technological leadership in the eastern regions to promote quality upgrades in the industry, including the development of high-end silk fabrics and smart equipment [3]. 3. Foster coordinated development between the east and west by establishing information platforms and facilitating project matching and support for enterprises [3]. - The Ministry of Commerce plans to improve the working mechanism and enhance communication to ensure the effective implementation of the "East Silk West Solid" measures [3].
《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重要文章《因地制宜发展新质生产力》
清华金融评论· 2025-11-17 05:29
三 因地制宜发展新质生产力※ 习近平 什么是新质生产力、如何发展新质生产力?我一直在思考,也注意到学术界的一些研究成果。概括地说,新质生产力是创新起主导作用,摆 脱传统经济增长方式、生产力发展路径,具有高科技、高效能、高质量特征,符合新发展理念的先进生产力质态。它由技术革命性突破、生 产要素创新性配置、产业深度转型升级而催生,以劳动者、劳动资料、劳动对象及其优化组合的跃升为基本内涵,以全要素生产率大幅提升 为核心标志,特点是创新,关键在质优,本质是先进生产力。 要以科技创新引领产业全面振兴。要立足现有产业基础,扎实推进先进制造业高质量发展,加快推动传统制造业升级,发挥科技创新的增量 器作用,全面提升三次产业,不断优化经济结构、调整产业结构。整合科技创新资源,引领发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业,加快形成新质 生产力。 去年7月以来,我在四川、黑龙江、浙江、广西等地考察调研时,提出要整合科技创新资源,引领发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业,加快形成 新质生产力。12月中旬,在中央经济工作会议上,我又提出要以科技创新推动产业创新,特别是以颠覆性技术和前沿技术催生新产业、新模 式、新动能,发展新质生产力。我提出新质生产力这个 ...
让产业“家底”更加殷实——推动“十五五”时期经济社会发展向新而行②
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-17 03:28
Group 1 - The robotics industry is rapidly evolving, with humanoid robots like "Kua Fu" participating in significant events, showcasing advancements in technology and skills [1] - China is expected to account for two-thirds of global robot patent applications in 2024, maintaining its position as the largest industrial robot market for 12 consecutive years [1] - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is crucial for driving the development of emerging industries and transforming traditional sectors, contributing to the construction of a modern industrial system in China [1] Group 2 - The modern industrial system is the material and technical foundation of Chinese-style modernization, aimed at deepening the integration of technological and industrial innovation [2] - The focus on building a modern industrial system is highlighted as a strategic task, emphasizing the importance of addressing weaknesses and promoting the integration of innovation and industry chains [2] - Ensuring technological independence and reliability is essential for the industrial system, with advancements in key areas like high-speed rail and 5G technology reinforcing China's competitive edge [2] Group 3 - The transformation of innovation into practical applications is critical, with "pilot testing" seen as a key step from laboratory success to industrial implementation [3] - Companies play a vital role in enhancing the efficiency of integrating innovation and industry chains, with examples of successful innovations in various sectors [3] - The forecast for the 14th Five-Year Plan period indicates that strategic emerging industries like new energy and new materials will create several trillion-yuan markets, emphasizing the need for continuous integration of technology and industry [3]
10月全省经济运行稳中向好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 00:24
Economic Performance Overview - In October, Henan Province's major economic indicators showed accelerated growth, consistently surpassing the national average and expanding its leading advantage [1] - The province's industrial production maintained rapid growth, with the industrial added value of above-scale enterprises increasing by 7.9% year-on-year in October, 0.1 percentage points faster than the previous month, and 3.0 percentage points higher than the national average [1] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment in Henan Province grew by 4.5% year-on-year, matching the growth rate of the previous three quarters and exceeding the national average by 6.2 percentage points [2] - Investment in projects above 100 million yuan increased by 8.7%, contributing 5.6 percentage points to the overall investment growth in the province [2] Consumer Demand and Retail Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 267.32 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1%, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the national average [2] - The retail sales in rural areas increased by 2.2%, marking a recovery for five consecutive months, while urban retail sales grew by 4.8% [2] High-Quality Development and Modern Industry - The added value of high-tech manufacturing and strategic emerging industries grew by 19.0% and 16.5% year-on-year in October, respectively, indicating a solid advancement in high-quality development [3] - Investment in high-tech manufacturing increased by 6.7% from January to October, outpacing the overall fixed asset investment growth [3] Green Development - The added value of the energy-saving and environmental protection industry increased by 9.0% in October, reflecting steady progress in green development initiatives [3]
10月全省主要经济指标增速加快
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-11-16 23:40
Economic Performance - The province's major economic indicators accelerated in October, maintaining a steady and positive trend, with growth achieving qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth [1] - The industrial production showed robust growth, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 7.9% year-on-year in October, surpassing the national average by 3.0 percentage points [1] Industrial Growth - The added value of key industrial chains increased by 9.0% year-on-year in October, contributing 74.9% to the growth of industrial enterprises above designated size [1] - The electronic information industry experienced significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, which is 10.0 percentage points higher than the overall industrial growth rate [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector also saw a strong performance, with a year-on-year increase of 14.0% in October [1] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment in the province grew steadily, with a year-on-year increase of 4.5% from January to October, and an 8.2% increase when excluding real estate development investment, outperforming the national growth rate of 6.5% [2] - Investment in key industrial chains rose by 16.8% year-on-year, significantly contributing to overall investment growth [2] - Private investment maintained a strong growth trend, increasing by 7.3% year-on-year from January to October, consistently outpacing overall investment growth since April of the previous year [2] Consumer Demand - Consumer demand accelerated, with the total retail sales of social consumer goods reaching 267.32 billion yuan in October, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the national average [2] - From January to October, the total retail sales of social consumer goods amounted to 2,372.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.0%, exceeding the national growth rate by 1.7 percentage points [2] High-Quality Development - The province is advancing high-quality development, with the added value of high-tech manufacturing and strategic emerging industries increasing by 19.0% and 16.5% year-on-year in October, respectively [3] - Investment in high-tech manufacturing grew by 6.7% year-on-year from January to October, outpacing the overall fixed asset investment growth [3] - The green development sector showed steady progress, with the added value of the energy-saving and environmental protection industry increasing by 9.0% year-on-year in October [3]
让产业“家底”更加殷实(评论员观察)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-16 22:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of integrating technological and industrial innovation to build a modern industrial system in China, which is crucial for economic development and competitiveness [1][2] - The robot industry is rapidly evolving, with humanoid robots like "Kua Fu" participating in significant events, showcasing advancements in technology and skills [1] - China maintains its position as the largest industrial robot market globally, with a projected 2024 patent application volume accounting for two-thirds of the global total [1] Group 2 - The construction of a modern industrial system is identified as a strategic priority in China's economic development, as outlined in the 12 strategic tasks from the 20th Central Committee [2] - Ensuring technological self-sufficiency and security is critical to overcoming "bottleneck" issues in key sectors, which enhances the competitiveness of the industrial system [2] - The integration of innovation chains, industrial chains, and supply chains is essential for effective technology transfer and application, which is vital for enhancing new productivity [3] Group 3 - Companies are recognized as the main entities driving innovation, with examples such as the General Technology Group's breakthroughs in five-axis machine tools and Huawei's advancements in the Harmony operating system [3] - The forecast for the 14th Five-Year Plan period indicates that strategic emerging industries like new energy and new materials will create several trillion-yuan markets [3] - The focus on education, technology, and talent development is crucial for seizing opportunities in the new technological revolution and industrial transformation [3]
让产业“家底”更加殷实——推动“十五五”时期经济社会发展向新而行②(评论员观察)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-16 21:57
Core Insights - The development of a modern industrial system is essential for China's modernization and is a key focus for integrating technological and industrial innovation [2][3] - The emphasis on problem-oriented approaches aims to address weaknesses in the industrial system, fostering deep integration between innovation chains and industrial chains [2][3] Group 1: Technological and Industrial Innovation - The robot industry is rapidly evolving, with humanoid robots like "Kua Fu" participating in significant events, showcasing advancements in technology and skills [1] - China is projected to account for two-thirds of global robot patent applications in 2024, maintaining its position as the largest industrial robot market for 12 consecutive years [1] - The synergy between technological innovation and industrial innovation is crucial for driving new industries and upgrading traditional sectors, contributing to the construction of a modern industrial system [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus and Safety - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party has prioritized building a modern industrial system as a strategic task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the importance of a robust real economy [2] - Ensuring technological independence and security is fundamental to the industrial system, with advancements in key areas like high-speed rail and 5G technology reinforcing China's competitive edge [2] Group 3: Innovation and Enterprise Role - Effective transformation of innovations into practical applications is vital, with pilot testing being a critical step in moving from laboratory success to industrial implementation [3] - Companies play a central role in innovation, with examples like the General Technology Group's breakthroughs in machine tools and Huawei's advancements in operating systems highlighting the importance of enterprise-led innovation [3] - The forecast for the 14th Five-Year Plan period indicates that strategic emerging industries such as new energy and new materials will create several trillion-yuan markets, emphasizing the need for integrated development of education, technology, and talent [3]
消费如何自然提升:打通与就业和收入的循环
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-16 16:20
Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of strengthening the real economy, with a focus on technological self-reliance and promoting domestic demand as key tasks [2][4][6] - Consumption promotion is not merely about increasing the production of new consumer goods but involves creating more opportunities for consumption through market liberalization and public services [2][9][12] Group 1: Economic Strategy - The plan prioritizes the reinforcement of the manufacturing sector as a foundation for economic development, with technology as a crucial driver for new economic momentum [4][5][15] - The shift from investment-driven growth to a dual-engine model of investment and demand is highlighted as a significant strategic adjustment [4][6] Group 2: Consumption Dynamics - Current consumer spending in China is approximately 37%, significantly lower than the 50% target and 70% in developed countries, indicating a need for structural changes in consumption patterns [7][10] - The focus on service consumption is increasing, with a call for a balanced approach that respects individual needs and promotes diverse consumption opportunities [8][10] Group 3: Social and Cultural Factors - Encouraging personal pursuits and cultural activities, such as street dancing and singing, is seen as essential for stimulating consumption and creating a vibrant economic cycle [2][12][13] - Addressing social concerns, such as healthcare and education, is crucial for boosting consumer confidence and spending [11][12] Group 4: Technological and Industrial Development - The plan aims to leverage new productive forces to lead various industries towards modernization, emphasizing the integration of technology into traditional sectors [15][18] - The importance of maintaining a complete industrial chain and self-sufficiency in technology and resources is underscored as a response to global competition [19]
习言道|传统产业改造升级,也能发展新质生产力
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-16 02:37
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of developing new quality productivity through technological innovation and green development, aligning with China's strategic goals for economic transformation and sustainability [1][8]. Group 1: New Quality Productivity - New quality productivity is primarily driven by revolutionary technological breakthroughs, which can lead to the emergence of new industries, models, and dynamics [3][4]. - The core elements of developing new quality productivity include enhancing technological innovation, particularly original and disruptive innovations, to achieve high-level self-reliance in technology [4][15]. Group 2: Green Development - Green development is highlighted as the foundation for high-quality development, with new quality productivity being inherently linked to green productivity [8]. - There is a strong emphasis on accelerating the green transformation of development methods to support carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, promoting the idea that "lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets" [8]. Group 3: Industry Transformation - The need to seize opportunities presented by a new round of technological revolutions and industrial transformations is stressed, with a call to increase innovation efforts and cultivate emerging industries [10][17]. - It is essential to balance the development of new quality productivity with the upgrading of traditional industries, avoiding a one-size-fits-all approach and ensuring localized strategies [12][14]. Group 4: Strategic Focus - The development of characteristic advantageous industries should be a primary focus, with an emphasis on region-specific strategies for emerging industries, particularly in the western regions of China [12][17]. - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is identified as a fundamental path for developing new quality productivity, ensuring that both traditional and emerging industries are advanced simultaneously [15][17].