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【提醒:日内请重点关注(以下均为北京时间)】① 时间待定 华为或将发布AI领域突破性技术,第十五届全运会闭幕;② 13:00 印度11月制造业、服务业、综合PMI;③ 15:00 英国10月零售销售;④ 16:00 欧洲央行副行长金多斯讲话,欧洲央行管委科赫尔讲话;⑤ 16:30 ...
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 05:11
Group 1 - Huawei is expected to release breakthrough technology in the AI field [1] - The 15th National Games in China will conclude [1] Group 2 - Key economic indicators to watch include India's November manufacturing, services, and composite PMI at 13:00 [1] - The UK will release October retail sales data at 15:00 [1] - The European Central Bank (ECB) officials, including Vice President and President Lagarde, will be speaking at various times throughout the day [1] - The US will release several important economic indicators, including the average hourly earnings and the Michigan consumer sentiment index at 21:30 and 23:00 respectively [1]
开发者把掌舵人骂到关回复!Windows 要变成“Agent OS”?这位印度裔高管遭遇大型翻车现场
AI前线· 2025-11-21 05:07
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft is undergoing a significant strategic shift towards transforming Windows into an "Agentic OS," integrating AI capabilities deeply into user interactions, which has sparked considerable backlash from both developers and regular users [4][5][9]. Group 1: Strategic Changes - Microsoft has unified all Windows engineering teams under Pavan Davuluri to enhance AI capabilities and drive the transformation towards an AI-driven operating system [4]. - The transition to "Agentic OS" represents a radical strategic bet for Microsoft, aiming to embed AI deeply into the operating system rather than offering it as standalone applications [4][5]. Group 2: Leadership and Vision - Pavan Davuluri, a veteran at Microsoft since 2001, has taken on the role of President of Windows and Devices, tasked with redefining the future of Windows [5]. - Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella emphasized the importance of creating AI systems that benefit users and businesses rather than just the platform providers, highlighting a shift in focus towards empowering enterprises with native AI capabilities [6][8]. Group 3: User and Developer Reactions - The announcement of "Agentic OS" has been met with overwhelming criticism from developers and users, who express a desire for a reliable and stable Windows rather than an AI-centric approach [9][10]. - Prominent voices in the developer community have voiced their discontent, suggesting that the current direction of Windows may drive developers towards alternatives like Mac or Linux due to a perceived loss of control [9][10]. Group 4: Current Challenges - Users have reported a decline in Windows' reputation, citing performance issues, a cluttered interface, and intrusive advertisements, leading to frustrations over the direction of the operating system [10][11]. - Microsoft has faced backlash for tightening restrictions on local accounts, making it increasingly difficult to use Windows without a Microsoft account, which has further fueled user dissatisfaction [11]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The concept of "Agentic OS" envisions an operating system that allows both enterprises and regular users to create AI agents for automating tasks, potentially redefining user interaction with technology [12]. - The ongoing debate surrounding "Agentic OS" reflects deeper discussions about the role of operating systems in user decision-making and the trust developers have in Windows [13].
X @Elon Musk
Elon Musk· 2025-11-21 05:05
Forcing AI to read every demented corner of the Internet, like Clockwork Orange times a billion, is a sure path to madnessBrian Roemmele (@BrianRoemmele):AI DEFENDING THE STATUS QUO!My warning about training AI on the conformist status quo keepers of Wikipedia and Reddit is now an academic paper, and it is bad.—Exposed: Deep Structural Flaws in Large Language Models: The Discovery of the False-Correction Loop and the https://t.co/QL2gBrWxCR ...
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:贵金属及基本金属-20251121
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 05:04
Report Overview - The report is the "Guotai Junan Futures Commodity Research Morning Report - Precious Metals and Base Metals" dated November 21, 2025, covering gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, tin, aluminum, alumina, cast aluminum alloy, nickel, and stainless steel [1]. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - Gold: Expectations of interest rate cuts are rising [2]. - Silver: Undergoing a volatile adjustment [2]. - Copper: Risk sentiment remains weak, and prices are oscillating [2]. - Zinc: Subject to macro - level disturbances [2]. - Lead: Reduced inventory restricts price decline [2]. - Tin: Prices are falling from high levels [2]. - Aluminum: Affected by macro - level disturbances [2]. - Alumina: Trading within a range [2]. - Cast aluminum alloy: Following the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2]. - Nickel: Nickel prices have broken through support and are under pressure to move in a volatile manner [2]. - Stainless steel: Weak market realities are suppressing steel prices, but the downside is limited [2]. Summary by Commodity Gold and Silver Gold - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Gold 2512 yesterday was 932.56, with a daily decline of 0.47%. The night - session closing price was 933.90, down 0.66%. SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 4 to 1,039.43. Comex gold inventory (the day before yesterday) decreased by 255,568 to 36,969,176 troy ounces [4]. - **News**: In September, the US non - farm payrolls added 119,000 jobs, far exceeding expectations. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, a four - year high [4]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [4]. Silver - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Silver 2512 yesterday was 12,046, down 0.81%. The night - session closing price was 11,967, down 1.34%. SLV Silver ETF holdings (the day before yesterday) increased by 20 to 15,246.63. Comex silver inventory (the day before yesterday) decreased by 3,005,099 to 462,530,023 troy ounces [4]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [4]. Copper - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Copper's main contract yesterday was 86,130, up 0.02%. The night - session closing price was 85,920, down 0.24%. Peru's copper production in September increased by 3.7% year - on - year to 240,995 tons. China's refined copper imports in October decreased by 13.62% month - on - month [8][10]. - **News**: The US non - farm payrolls in September and unemployment rate data had an impact on the market. The Dutch government suspended intervention in Nexperia [8]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [10]. Lead - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Lead's main contract was 17,220, down 0.17%. Shanghai Lead's futures inventory decreased by 650 tons to 30,556 tons [14]. - **News**: Similar to other commodities, affected by US employment data [15]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [15]. Tin - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Tin's main contract was 292,030, down 0.46%. The SMM 1 tin ingot price increased by 1,500 to 282,800 [18]. - **News**: Affected by macro - level news such as US employment and AI - related policies [19]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [20]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy Aluminum - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Aluminum's main contract was 21,530, down 40. The electrolytic aluminum enterprise's profit was 5,489.26, up 24.58 [21]. - **News**: As of the week ending November 15, the number of initial jobless claims decreased, but the number of continued claims reached a new high since October 2021. The Fed's internal hawkish - dovish divergence reappeared [23]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [23]. Alumina - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Alumina's main contract was 2,732, down 8 [21]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [23]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of the aluminum alloy's main contract was 20,780, down 35 [21]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [23]. Nickel and Stainless Steel Nickel - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of Shanghai Nickel's main contract was 115,380, down 270. The 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron (ex - factory price) was 895, down 3 [25]. - **News**: The Indonesian forestry working group took over a nickel mine area, and China suspended a non - official subsidy for imports of copper and nickel from Russia [25][26]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [29]. Stainless Steel - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of the stainless - steel main contract was 12,285, down 50 [25]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [29].
恒生科技ETF(513130)交投大幅放量,半日成交额已突破56亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-21 04:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) amid fluctuating market conditions, driven by investor interest in Hong Kong tech assets and the resilience of leading tech companies in their Q3 earnings reports [1][2]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index is currently at a historically low valuation, with a PE ratio of 21.57, significantly lower than the Sci-Tech 50 Index and the Nasdaq, indicating a notable valuation advantage [2]. - The Hang Seng Technology ETF has seen substantial inflows, with a net inflow of 171 billion yuan in the first 14 trading days of November, reflecting strong investor sentiment towards the tech sector [1][2]. Group 2 - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) offers multiple advantages, including large scale, good liquidity, and a low management fee of 0.2% per year, making it an important tool for investors looking to gain exposure to core Hong Kong tech assets [3]. - The management company, Huatai-PB Fund, is one of the first ETF managers in China, with extensive experience in managing various successful ETFs, enhancing investor confidence in the product [3].
A股大跌2%失守3900点,科技股牛市结束了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 04:55
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia reported better-than-expected financial results, but the capital market reacted negatively, with the stock opening up 5% and closing down over 3%, indicating significant volatility in the tech sector [3] Group 1: Market Impact - Nvidia's market capitalization of $4.4 trillion gives it substantial weight in the U.S. stock market, and its volatility has influenced the broader market, with the Nasdaq experiencing fluctuations from a 2.58% increase to a 2.15% decrease [3] - The decline in Nvidia's stock has also affected other AI and tech-related companies, including Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Cambricon, which saw varying degrees of decline [3] Group 2: A-Share Market Analysis - As of November 21, the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets experienced significant declines, with the Shanghai index dropping over 2% and falling below the 3900-point mark, particularly impacting previously active sectors like lithium mining, energy storage, and semiconductors [4] Group 3: Bull Market Analysis - The recent bull market in A-shares, which began in late September 2024, can be divided into two phases, with the first phase seeing a rapid increase of nearly 1000 points in less than half a month, while the second phase, starting in early April 2025, was primarily driven by tech stocks [5] - The second phase of the bull market resulted in a rise from 3040 points to a peak of 4034 points by November, showcasing a strong performance in tech stocks that diverted funds from other sectors [5] Group 4: Indicators of Market Trends - Three key indicators are essential to monitor whether the tech bull market has ended: the formation of a synchronized decline in global tech stocks, the continuous flow of large capital, and the behavior of major shareholders and institutional investors regarding stock holdings [6][7][8] - A sustained decline in major tech stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Tesla could signal a potential peak for tech stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong markets [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - The performance of tech stocks in Q4 of this year and Q1 of next year will be crucial in determining future price movements, with the potential for continued opportunities if earnings growth outpaces valuation increases [10] - As the tech bull market shows signs of cooling, there may be a shift in capital towards undervalued blue-chip stocks, indicating a potential rotation in market dynamics [10]
别问树模型了!死磕结构化数据,清华团队把大模型表格理解推到极限
机器之心· 2025-11-21 04:50
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of structured data processing in the context of AI advancements, particularly highlighting the introduction of the LimiX model, which represents a paradigm shift in handling structured data [2][31][35] Group 1: LimiX Model Introduction - LimiX is a groundbreaking model that successfully integrates structured data processing into the era of large models, achieving what previous models could not [3][12][31] - It is capable of performing multiple tasks such as classification, regression, missing value imputation, and causal inference without the need for retraining [12][22] Group 2: Performance and Benchmarking - LimiX-16M has demonstrated superior performance in various benchmarks, outperforming traditional models like XGBoost and CatBoost, achieving optimal results in 58.6% of datasets [13][15] - In regression tasks, LimiX models secured the top two positions, with a combined win rate of 62% [15] - LimiX excels in missing value imputation, achieving state-of-the-art results in this area [18] Group 3: Real-World Applications - The model has been successfully implemented in industrial settings, such as food production, where it predicts complex relationships between process parameters and product quality, reducing average deviation to less than 9% [21] - In the electricity market, LimiX improved internal model error from 46.93% MAPE to 25.27% MAPE, showcasing its practical utility [21] Group 4: Accessibility and Community Engagement - LimiX-2M, a lightweight version of the model, has been made open-source, allowing researchers and small teams to utilize it effectively [22][29] - The model's community is active, with quick responses on GitHub, facilitating user engagement and support [30] Group 5: Future Implications - The introduction of LimiX signifies a shift towards a new paradigm in AI, emphasizing the importance of structured data in industrial applications [31][34] - The model's success positions China at the forefront of structured data modeling, with potential global implications for industrial AI [35][36]
银行股护盘 农业板块逆势走强
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-21 04:48
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective pullback in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.88% to 3857.24 points, Shenzhen Component down 2.72%, and ChiNext down 3.18% [1][2] - Over 4900 stocks in the market declined, indicating widespread selling pressure [1] Sector Performance - The banking sector played a protective role, with China Bank rising over 2% during the session and accumulating an 8% increase for the week, stabilizing its market capitalization at 2 trillion yuan [2] - The agriculture sector showed resilience, with Qianyuan High-Tech hitting a 20% limit up, and other agricultural stocks like Qiule Seed and Shennong Seed rising over 8% [6] Lithium Market - Lithium carbonate futures saw a significant decline, with the main contract LC2601 hitting a 9% limit down and closing at 92,000 yuan per ton, down 8.02% [8] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange has made consecutive adjustments to trading and settlement parameters for lithium carbonate futures, including an increase in transaction fees [10] - The lithium battery sector faced heavy losses, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Dazhong Mining hitting their daily limit down [12] - Current market conditions indicate strong supply and demand for lithium carbonate, but high prices are leading to cautious sentiment among downstream buyers, resulting in a lack of transactions in the spot market [13]
通信行业双周报(2025、11、7-2025、11、20):全球已有12家运营商推出5G-A商用网络-20251121
Dongguan Securities· 2025-11-21 04:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [2][43]. Core Insights - The number of global operators launching 5G-A commercial networks has reached 12, indicating a shift in industry focus from initial non-independent networking to more substantial investments in standalone (SA) networks, marking a deepening phase in 5G independent networking development [3][39]. - The communication industry is entering a period of technological iteration and policy dividends, with new productivity directions such as AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy expected to drive growth [3][39]. - The report suggests focusing on three main lines of opportunity: "technology commercialization + policy catalysis + performance certainty" [3][39]. Industry Performance Review - The communication sector index fell by 3.26% over the past two weeks (11/7-11/20), underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.53 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 first-level industries [10][11]. - For November, the communication sector index has decreased by 1.88%, again underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.25 percentage points [10][11]. - Year-to-date, the communication sector index has risen by 58.84%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 42.83 percentage points [10][11]. Industry News and Company Announcements - In September, domestic mobile phone shipments reached 27.93 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, with 5G phones accounting for 86.3% of total shipments [15][18]. - Dell'Oro Group reported that 12 mobile network operators have launched 5G-Advanced commercial networks, indicating a global trend towards standalone network deployment [18]. - The IDC reported a recovery in China's video cloud market, with a market size of $5.23 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year growth [20]. Industry Data Updates - As of September 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.828 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.78% [26]. - The internet broadband access user base was about 695 million, up 5.35% year-on-year [28]. - The total number of 5G base stations reached 4.705 million, with a net increase of 455,000 from the end of the previous year [34].
每日资讯晨报-20251121
Jinyuan Securities· 2025-11-21 04:31
Group 1: International Stock Market Overview - European markets saw all three major indices close higher, with the German DAX index rising by 1.11% to 23,419.35 points, the French CAC40 index increasing by 0.34% to 7,981.07 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index up by 0.21% to 9,527.65 points [4][7] - In the US market, all three major indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.84% to 45,752.26 points, the S&P 500 down by 1.56% to 6,538.76 points, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 2.15% to 22,078.05 points. Cisco and Boeing led the decline, both dropping over 3% [4][7] - The Hang Seng Index in the Asia-Pacific region rose by 0.02% to 25,835.57 points, while the Nikkei 225 index increased by 2.65% to 49,823.94 points [4][7] Group 2: Company News - NetEase reported third-quarter revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, with a net profit of 9.5 billion yuan compared to 7.5 billion yuan in the same period last year [4][13] - Xiaomi's automotive division celebrated the production of its 500,000th vehicle at its super factory, achieving this milestone in just over one year and seven months [4][13] - Nvidia is on track to reach its target of $500 billion in core AI chip revenue over the next two years, reporting third-quarter revenue of $57 billion, a 62% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of $31.9 billion, up 65% [4][13] Group 3: Domestic News - The one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) in China remained stable for six consecutive months, reported at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively, indicating potential for future decreases to stabilize the economy [10][11] - The scale of college graduates in China for 2026 is expected to reach 12.7 million, an increase of 480,000 from the previous year, with over 12 million job opportunities provided during recruitment activities [12][13]