Core Viewpoint - Outgoing Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic expresses concerns about potential rate cuts impacting inflation expectations, emphasizing the need for the Fed to maintain a restrictive policy to control inflation [1][2]. Group 1: Inflation Concerns - Bostic believes that cutting rates could unanchor inflation expectations, with surveys indicating firms plan to continue raising prices into 2026 [2]. - He stresses the importance of the Fed prioritizing inflation control before making further economic moves, reflecting a hawkish stance [5]. Group 2: Employment and Economic Risks - Bostic acknowledges the risks associated with employment and inflation, noting that there are no riskless choices in monetary policy [4]. - He highlights the potential impact of upcoming economic stimulus, including higher refunds and Fed cuts, which could influence inflation dynamics [6]. Group 3: Labor Market Insights - The recent unemployment rate data has garnered attention, with Bostic indicating that while he expected the numbers, there is concern about future trends [3].

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he thought the economy was no longer in danger of a sharp rise in the unemployment rate that might spur a recession. ...

Key Takeaways November Job Gains Grew 64K from October's -105KThe Unemployment Rate at 4.6% is Highest Since July 2021Pre-markets Slid into the Red on the News; Bond Yields RoseTuesday, December 16, 2025We are finally up to date on the Employment Situation report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) this morning. After skipping over October initially and pushing back the November numbers a week and a half, we finally see where we are: +64K now jobs were created last month overall, with an Unemploy ...

Kevin Hanks, CBOE pre-bell playbook live there. Good morning to you, Kevin. Uh, we're going to get to this jobs report too.Your thoughts this morning. Good morning. >> Good morning, Nicole.Yeah, we've got a lot to go through, a lot of data, some of it meaningful, but I think if you look at the data, it's actually not as bad as everyone thought because there's reasons why this happened. First and foremost, but let's get to the data. the non-farm payrolls for November, 64,000.That's higher than expected, 40,0 ...

Core Viewpoint - London's FTSE 100 index experienced a decline, primarily driven by losses in the energy and defense sectors, as investors evaluated new jobs data that bolstered expectations for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England later in the week [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The FTSE 100 index slipped on Tuesday, indicating a negative market trend [1] - Losses were particularly noted in the energy and defense stocks, which contributed to the overall decline of the index [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Fresh jobs data was released, which played a significant role in shaping investor sentiment [1] - The jobs data reinforced expectations for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England, suggesting a potential shift in monetary policy [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release non-farm employment data for October and November, with the report expected to influence interest rate trends and potentially cause fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate [1] - The report will include data from two months, with October's figures primarily based on business surveys, and November's expected to show an increase of approximately 40,000 jobs [1] - The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.4%, with a slight increase to 4.5% expected for November [2] Employment Data Expectations - Analysts predict a rebound in employment numbers for November, while October's data may show a decline, particularly influenced by government sector employment [2] - Average hourly earnings are expected to increase by 0.3% month-over-month in November, following a year-over-year increase of 3.8% in September [2] Market Reactions - Recent economic indicators show an increase in initial jobless claims and limited improvement in the services sector, with unexpected declines in private sector employment [2] - The upcoming non-farm data is crucial for market expectations regarding future interest rate adjustments, with potential implications for the dollar's strength against the euro [2][4] Technical Analysis - The euro to dollar exchange rate is currently consolidating near recent highs, with technical indicators suggesting potential upward movement [5] - If the exchange rate continues to rise, it may test levels of 1.1800 and 1.1850, with further resistance around 1.1919 [5] - In case of a pullback, initial support may be found around 1.1644, with further attention on the 1.1610 area [5]

Source: Nomura Source: FRB, Bloomberg, Nomura A divided Fed Policy Watch Global Markets Research Economics - North America December FOMC Recap Fig. 2: The FOMC announced reserve management purchases would begin in December, with the NY Fed indicating an initial pace of $40bn per month Nomura's monetary policy outlook | Tool | Key assumptions | | --- | --- | | Policy rate | | | 2026 | Two 25bp cuts in June and September, EOP | | 3.125% | | | Terminal | 3.00 - 3.25% | | Balance sheet policy | | | | Reserve-ma ...

Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $4,371.50 per troy ounce Thursday, down 0.1% from Wednesday’s closing price of $4,373.90. This is the first time gold has opened above $4,370, but the price dipped lower in early trading. Contributing to gold’s strength are growing tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela and economic uncertainty partly stemming from delayed and missing government reports. President Trump has ordered a blockade of Venezuela’s oil tankers and moved troops and warships to the region. Oil is a ...

A quarterly survey of major Japanese manufacturers released Monday shows business sentiment improving to its best level in four years, even after President Trump raised tariffs on goods from the U.S. ally to a baseline level of 15%. The Bank of Japan is bound to take the results of its quarterly “tankan” survey into account during a policy meeting this week, when it is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate. Analysts said the stronger results may sway the BOJ toward pressing ahead with a 0.25 perce ...

12月15日，经济学家预测，欧洲央行的下一步利率行动将是加息，这与投资者和具有影响力的执行委员 会成员伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔的观点一致，因为通胀率正稳定在2%左右。一项调查中，超过60%的受访者 表示，官员们更有可能上调而非降低借贷成本——这是一个显著的变化，因为在10月份，只有三分之一 的受访者持这种看法。然而，他们并不认为这种情况会很快发生：预计存款利率将在12月18日及未来两 年内维持在2%不变。在通胀趋稳且欧元区经济经受住全球贸易紧张局势和地缘政治动荡的考验（表现 好于预期）之后，分析师们正在修正他们的预测。施纳贝尔在一次采访中列举了这种韧性——以及政府 大量支出所助力的更光明前景——作为她对市场押注下次利率行动是加息感到"相当安心"的理由之一。 一项指标指向首次加息可能发生在2027年下半年。 另外，英国10月GDP意外收缩0.1%，加之通胀预期从两年高位回落，为英国央行下周重启降息周期提 供有力支撑。疲弱的增长数据及缓和的价格压力正推动市场将降息概率推升至90%。 英国国家统计局 周五公布的数据显示，10月GDP环比下滑0.1%，低于路透调查经济学家预期的0.1%增长。这是英国经 济过去七个月中实现增 ...