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【大算投】特朗普时代加密梦碎!“数字黄金” 比特币神话的破灭,90%投资者都踩错了周期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 02:29
Core Insights - Bitcoin's performance in 2025 has been disappointing compared to traditional assets, with a return of only 5.78% while gold surged past $4,000 and major stock indices like NASDAQ and S&P 500 saw increases of 16.17% and 11.95% respectively [2][4] - The cryptocurrency market is undergoing a significant structural transformation, moving from a speculative phase dominated by retail investors to a more institutionalized and regulated environment [6][15] Market Performance - Since Trump's inauguration, Bitcoin has seen a modest increase of 5.78%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have risen by 11.95% and 16.17% respectively [4] - Bitcoin has faced repeated failures to break the $100,000 mark, leading to significant sell-offs by miners and a shift of institutional funds towards AI sectors [4][9] Institutional Involvement - Over 5% of Bitcoin's total supply is now held by publicly listed companies, indicating a significant increase in institutional participation [7][15] - The derivatives market for Bitcoin has experienced explosive growth, with open interest in options reaching a historical high of $63 billion, surpassing the spot market for the first time [22][26] Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's price movements are increasingly correlated with traditional financial markets, with a correlation coefficient of over 0.6 with the S&P 500 [26] - The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with long-term holders reducing risk and miners selling off their holdings to cover operational costs [27][29] Challenges and Risks - Bitcoin's price struggles to maintain above critical support levels, with the $97,000 to $100,000 range identified as a crucial threshold [12][29] - The market is experiencing a "bloodbath" phase, where weak hands are exiting, and if support levels are breached, it could trigger a wave of forced selling [28][31] Future Outlook - The potential for a new bull market in 2026 hinges on whether Bitcoin can hold key support levels and the macroeconomic environment, including Federal Reserve policies [29][35] - Innovations such as RWA tokenization and improvements in scalability may provide new growth opportunities for Bitcoin in the future [34][35]
加密市场一度闪崩,24小时内超12亿美元头寸被平仓
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 00:39
根据Coinglass的数据,周一,加密市场的319433个头寸在24小时内平仓超过12亿美元,其中超过11 亿美元遭平仓的是多头,而平仓的空头只有1.155亿美元。大额平仓事件发生前,比特币和以太坊出现 闪崩,分别在一小时内从108000美元降至105,000美元和3700美元降至3500美元。在同一小时内,这两 项资产的平仓总额均超过1亿美元。美国投资者可能是这次下跌的先锋,因为Coinbase比特币溢价指数 在暴跌期间徘徊在- 30美元左右。整个周末,该指数基本上是负的,周五一度达到- 80美元。 (责任编辑:刘畅 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com ...
加密市场10月大清算余波未了!买家集体撤退,比特币恐跌破10万美元
智通财经网· 2025-11-04 00:35
智通财经APP注意到,加密货币在周一持续承压,比特币交易价格低于10.7万美元,其他山寨币表现更为挣扎——三周前一场历史性清算事件冲击了该类资 产,导致数十亿美元杠杆头寸平仓。 Capriole Investments创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹指出,这是七个月来机构对比特币的需求首次跌破新币产出的速度。尽管这一动向暗示大买家可能正在撤退,但 其他活动显示整个加密市场正呈现避险态度。 追踪前100大数字资产中排名靠后50名代币的MarketVector指数连续第三个交易日下跌,跌幅达8.8%,部分代币重新下探10月闪崩时的低点。该指数今年已 下跌约60%。 比特币周一下跌4.3%至105,300美元左右,但自去年12月以来仍上涨约14%。尽管如此,由于投资者转向对宏观经济动向更敏感的风险资产,比特币近几周 表现仍落后于全球股市,使加密货币在整体积极的全球背景下难以站稳脚跟。 尽管许多人将10月视为加密市场波动性的转折点,但仍有观点认为该类资产价格整体疲软的原因尚不明确。 CoinShares数字资产分析师马修·基梅尔表示:"我认为这次回调有些令人费解。"虽然他认同市场"仍在消化清算事件的余波",但同时通过比特币公开 ...
降息周期开启OKX钱包应对宏观波动 XBIT Wallet重塑投资逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 05:07
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking the second rate cut of the year, which initially seemed positive but led to a significant drop in Bitcoin prices, illustrating the "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior in the crypto market [1][3] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments indicated uncertainty regarding future rate cuts, with a 75.8% probability of maintaining rates in December, which has reversed previous market expectations [3] - The crypto market is experiencing unprecedented institutionalization, with Bitcoin spot ETFs seeing a net inflow of $4.1 billion this month, and the total assets surpassing $149.98 billion, representing 6.75% of Bitcoin's total market cap [4] - Traditional financial institutions are accelerating their crypto strategies, with significant investments and product offerings, indicating that crypto assets are transitioning from speculative tools to standard financial options [6] - The XBIT Wallet's compliance framework and risk management features are positioned as essential tools for investors navigating the uncertain regulatory landscape [7] Market Dynamics - The recent rate cut has led to increased volatility in Bitcoin prices, with a notable drop from $111,800 to $109,200, reflecting the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic signals [1][3] - The introduction of new altcoin ETFs has generated significant trading volumes, with Solana and Litecoin ETFs achieving $65 million in first-day trading, highlighting the growing interest in diversified crypto investments [4] - The establishment of a clear regulatory framework is anticipated to enhance the legitimacy of the crypto market, with bipartisan support for legislation expected to provide much-needed clarity [6][9] Investment Opportunities - The XBIT Wallet's features, such as multi-signature and hardware-level cold storage, provide users with enhanced control over their assets during market fluctuations, making it a valuable tool in a volatile environment [3][4] - The wallet's ability to manage cross-chain assets and provide a unified interface for asset management positions it as a key player in the evolving crypto landscape [4][6] - The ongoing influx of institutional capital and the maturation of the crypto market are reshaping Bitcoin's value proposition from a speculative asset to a store of value in the digital age [9]
Web3加密市场早报:美联储降息25个基点后鲍威尔释放鹰派发言,市场全线走低,后市值得期待【Vic TALK 第1453期】
Vic TALK· 2025-10-30 02:06
okx dex钱包折扣注册链接:https://web3.okx.com/ul/joindex?ref=VIC666 币安钱包手续费折扣码:https://web3.binance.com/referral?ref=JO8ZTLYX 推特:https://x.com/victalk6886 币安链接:https://www.binance.com/activity/referral-entry/CPA?ref=CPA_00AJKYPKEA 电报群:https://t.me/joinchat/EN6OG4vXZLw4MDg1 Telegram :victalk2021 #web3 #binance #eth #btc #crypto #币安 # #meme #川普 #比特币 #trump #$TRUMP #川普币 #马斯克 #gork ...
Web3加密市场早报:市场凌晨暴跌,Eth跌破4000美金,山寨币普跌5-10%,X402协议全线崩盘【Vic TALK 第1452期】
Vic TALK· 2025-10-29 00:00
Platform Registration & Discounts - OKX DEX wallet offers a discount registration link [1] - Binance wallet provides a fee discount code [1] - Binance offers a referral activity [1] Social Media & Community - Information shared via Twitter [1] - Telegram group available for community engagement [1] - Telegram contact provided [1] Keywords & Topics - Focus on Web3, Binance, ETH, BTC, and Crypto [1] - Mentions meme coins, Trump, Bitcoin, and related topics like $TRUMP and 川普币 (Trump Coin) [1] - Includes references to Elon Musk and Gork [1]
Web3加密市场早报:大饼以太Sol回升迅猛,山寨币持续走低,X402协议全线走低,预测市场赛道火爆【Vic TALK 第1451期】
Vic TALK· 2025-10-28 00:00
Platform Registration & Discounts - OKX DEX wallet offers a discount registration link [1] - Binance wallet provides a fee discount code [1] - Binance offers a referral activity [1] Social Media & Community - Information shared via Twitter [1] - Telegram group available for community engagement [1] - Telegram contact provided [1] Keywords & Topics - Focus on Web3, Binance, ETH, BTC, and Crypto [1] - Mentions meme coins, Trump, Bitcoin, and related topics like $TRUMP and 川普币 (Trump Coin) [1] - Includes references to Elon Musk and Gork [1]
Web3加密市场日报;Cz被川普特赦!加密市场出现反弹,多个Meme币走势不错,Ping一夜暴涨7倍,市场持续震荡【Vic TALK 第1449期】
Vic TALK· 2025-10-24 02:11
Platform Links & Discount Codes - OKX DEX wallet discount registration link provided [1] - Binance wallet fee discount code available [1] - Binance referral link shared [1] Social Media & Community - Twitter link for victalk6886 provided [1] - Telegram group link shared for community engagement [1] - Telegram contact: victalk2021 [1] Cryptocurrency & Memecoin Mentions - Mentions of Web3, Binance, ETH, BTC, and Crypto [1] - Focus on memecoins, specifically $TRUMP (川普币) and GORK [1] - Mentions of 川普 (Trump), 比特币 (Bitcoin), and 马斯克 (Musk) [1]
特朗普赦免赵长鹏,币安或重返美国,改变美国数字币市场格局
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-24 00:11
Core Viewpoint - The presidential pardon for Binance founder Changpeng Zhao has reignited discussions about Binance's potential return to the U.S. market, which could reshape the competitive landscape of the American digital asset market [1][3]. Market Reaction - Following the pardon announcement, Binance's native token BNB surged by up to 8%, with Bitcoin and Ethereum also experiencing increases of 3% and 3.7% respectively, indicating a positive investor response [1][4]. - BNB is now the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, valued at approximately $157 billion, following Bitcoin and Ethereum [4]. Legal and Regulatory Context - The pardon removes a significant legal obstacle for Zhao and Binance, which had previously acknowledged violations of U.S. anti-money laundering laws and paid a $4.3 billion fine, leading to a ban on operations in the U.S. [3][5]. - There are discussions about Binance potentially registering as a foreign trading commission with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to facilitate its return [5]. Opportunities and Challenges - The pardon opens up possibilities for Binance to re-enter the U.S. market, which could provide American investors access to the largest cryptocurrency trading platform globally, potentially altering the dynamics of the U.S. cryptocurrency market [5]. - However, Binance's return is not guaranteed and will require approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and CFTC based on its proposed products [5]. Political Controversy - The pardon has sparked controversy, with critics suggesting it may involve political favoritism, as Binance is reportedly a major supporter of a cryptocurrency project linked to the Trump family [6]. - Concerns have been raised about the implications of such political influences on the integrity of U.S. financial regulations and the potential for increased political bias if Binance returns to the market [6].
Web3加密市场早报:川普再提关税市场先涨后跌,币安人生上线币安合约后疯狂爆拉至4.5亿美金,中文Meme热度再起【Vic TALK 第1448期】
Vic TALK· 2025-10-21 00:00
Platform Links & Discount Codes - OKX DEX wallet discount registration link provided [1] - Binance wallet fee discount code available [1] - Binance referral link shared [1] Social Media & Community - Twitter link for victalk6886 provided [1] - Telegram group link shared for community engagement [1] - Telegram contact: victalk2021 [1] Cryptocurrency & Memecoin Mentions - Mentions of Web3, Binance, ETH, BTC, and Crypto [1] - Focus on memecoins, specifically $TRUMP (川普币) and GORK [1] - Mentions of 川普 (Trump), 比特币 (Bitcoin), and 马斯克 (Musk) [1]