格隆汇8月1日｜A股市场数字货币概念股走弱，其中，恒宝股份跌超6%，四方精创、雄帝科技跌超 5%，信息发展、芯原股份、中科金财、华峰超纤、海联金汇、天阳科技跌超4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of stablecoins, particularly in the context of China's regulatory framework and the implications for global financial systems, highlighting the strategic competition between countries in the digital currency space [1][2][4]. Group 1: Development of Stablecoins - The Hong Kong "Stablecoin Regulation" has officially come into effect, marking a significant step in digital asset governance [1]. - The development of digital currencies can follow two paths: top-down (central bank digital currencies) and bottom-up (cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin) [2][4]. - Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are easier to integrate with existing financial systems and offer regulatory advantages, but lack the market-driven demand seen in cryptocurrencies [2][4]. Group 2: International Competition and Strategy - The differences in digital currency approaches among countries, particularly between China and the U.S., stem from varying levels of recognition and emphasis on digital currencies [4][5]. - The competition in digital currencies is viewed as a form of currency warfare, with emerging powers seeking to establish their currencies while traditional powers respond with stablecoins [5][7]. - The U.S. is pushing for stablecoins to enhance demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly short-term bonds, while the long-term bond market faces challenges [8][9]. Group 3: Implications for Monetary Sovereignty - The rise of stablecoins poses significant challenges to national monetary sovereignty, as they could lead to a loss of control over domestic currencies [18][19]. - The development of a global stablecoin market could undermine traditional monetary policies and create a scenario where countries lose their ability to manage their currencies effectively [18][19]. - The article suggests that the emergence of stablecoins could lead to a unified global currency market, further complicating the monetary sovereignty of smaller nations [19][20]. Group 4: China's Response and Future Outlook - China is encouraged to adopt a dual strategy of promoting both CBDCs and stablecoins to counter the influence of U.S. stablecoins [33][34]. - The potential for a Chinese stablecoin is seen as a strategic move to provide an alternative to the dollar and enhance the internationalization of the renminbi [41][42]. - The article emphasizes the importance of international cooperation and rule-setting in the digital currency space to ensure that China can effectively navigate the challenges posed by stablecoins [31][32].

Core Viewpoint - The current "petrodollar" and "gold-dollar" systems are rapidly collapsing due to the weaponization of the dollar by the U.S., the use of the SWIFT system for sanctions, and the acceleration of de-dollarization by 30% of global central banks. China proposes a strategic alternative based on rare earths, linking the rare earth currency closely with the renminbi, potentially establishing a new path for the global monetary system [1]. Group 1: Strategic Resource and Digital Currency - China has redefined the mission of rare earths as a strategic resource by leveraging digital technology to convert physical stock into credit for digital currency. This innovation creates a digital currency system backed by rare earths, with the rare earth currency closely tied to the renminbi, serving as an extension of renminbi credit in the digital currency realm [3]. - The close relationship between the rare earth currency and the renminbi provides a stabilizing factor for the global monetary system, promoting a "depoliticized" approach to currency competition [3]. Group 2: Infrastructure and Efficiency - A domestic digital payment network established by Chinese tech companies has expanded to over 200 countries, offering developing nations an independent settlement channel outside the dollar system. This network supports the international circulation of the rare earth currency and the renminbi [3]. - The use of blockchain technology for distributed ledger systems has drastically reduced cross-border transfer times from days to seconds and lowered costs by over 90%. This efficiency enhances the appeal of the rare earth currency and the renminbi in international trade [5]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework and Global Influence - China is taking the lead in setting digital currency technology standards and regulatory frameworks, attracting global financial institutions to participate in its ecosystem. This initiative aims to establish a new market based on "Chinese rules," enhancing China's influence in the global digital currency landscape [5]. - The strategic approach of combining soft and hard power positions China advantageously in the de-dollarization process, as evidenced by the European Central Bank's exploration of renminbi settlements for rare earth trade and Southeast Asian countries integrating into China's digital currency system [5]. Group 4: Societal Benefits - The dissolution of monetary hegemony is expected to translate into tangible benefits for ordinary households. The deep integration of the rare earth currency and the renminbi will lead to cost savings in cross-border consumption, diversified investment channels, and the emergence of new financial products related to rare earths and green energy [7].

Core Points - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation officially came into effect on August 1, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) releasing guidelines for licensed stablecoin issuers [1][2] - Major banks such as Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) are expected to be among the first to apply for stablecoin issuer licenses [1][2] - The initial phase will likely see only a few licenses granted, possibly just 2 to 3, as the HKMA aims to be cautious in its approach [2][3] Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The guidelines set clear application thresholds for issuers, including financial conditions, personnel qualifications, reserve assets, and custody redemption requirements [1][2] - Existing stablecoin issuers must apply for licenses within a three-month transition period, or they will enter a winding-up phase by November 1, 2025 [3] Group 2: Market Participants - Various entities, including state-owned banks, sandbox testing companies, and large internet firms, are eager to apply for stablecoin licenses [4] - The three major note-issuing banks in Hong Kong are crucial players in the stablecoin market, as they are responsible for issuing currency backed by U.S. dollar reserves [2][4] Group 3: Application Scenarios - The application scenarios for stablecoins are critical for license approval, with potential uses including digital asset trading, cross-border payments in global trade, and traditional asset tokenization [4] - Different regions may have varying applications for stablecoins, with Western markets focusing more on financial applications [4] Group 4: Securities Firms' Involvement - 44 financial institutions have upgraded to the first type of securities trading license, with an increase of 3 since the end of June [6] - Securities firms are expected to focus on virtual asset trading, financing, and consulting services related to stablecoins [5][6] Group 5: Future Developments - There is anticipation for the emergence of offshore RMB-backed stablecoins, with recent initiatives like the launch of tokenized funds exploring this possibility [8]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong marks a significant step towards the formalization of stablecoin issuance, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) releasing guidelines for licensed stablecoin issuers [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The guidelines set clear application thresholds for stablecoin issuers, including financial conditions, personnel qualifications, reserve assets, custody and redemption requirements, jurisdiction, and transitional arrangements [1]. - The application window for stablecoin issuer licenses is open until September 30, with expectations that only a few licenses will be granted initially, possibly just 2 to 3 [2][3]. Group 2: Key Players - Major commercial banks in Hong Kong, such as Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), are expected to be the first to apply for stablecoin issuer licenses due to regulatory compliance and business needs [2]. - Other potential applicants include Chinese banks, sandbox testing companies, large state-owned enterprises, and internet companies with payment licenses [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The competition for the first batch of stablecoin licenses is intense, with the application scenarios being a critical consideration for approval, including digital asset trading, cross-border payments in global trade, and traditional asset tokenization [4]. - As of the end of July, 44 financial institutions in Hong Kong have upgraded to the first type of securities trading license, with an increase of 3 since the end of June, indicating a growing interest in virtual asset trading [6]. Group 4: Future Prospects - There is a strong anticipation for the emergence of offshore RMB-backed stablecoins, with recent initiatives like the launch of tokenized funds by Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) exploring this possibility [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector [2] Core Insights - The trend of "deposit migration" is likened to "living water" for wealth, facilitating an influx of incremental funds into risk assets. The continuous decline in deposit rates encourages clients to seek higher returns and diversified allocations, prompting financial institutions to innovate products that meet varying risk-return needs [3][4] - The non-bank financial sector presents significant investment opportunities due to performance elasticity, with the capital market entering a valuation recovery phase. The report outlines three phases of a bull market: valuation repair, hot sector rotation, and valuation bubble [3][4] - The report highlights a clear trend of increasing fixed-term deposits among residents, with the proportion exceeding 70% in early 2023 and projected to reach 72.28% by 2025, indicating a shift in savings behavior [16][21] Summary by Sections 1. Deposit Section: Turning Point of Wealth Migration - The report discusses the ongoing trend of wealth migration among residents, emphasizing the shift towards riskier assets as deposit rates decline [3][4] 2. Macro Trends: Sources of Increased Risk Appetite - The report identifies that the decline in deposit rates and the search for higher returns are driving residents to explore various financial products, including bank wealth management and public funds [3][4] 3. Asset Management Section: Adjustments in the "Dumbbell Structure" - The report notes that the asset management sector is experiencing a shift as residents move from traditional savings to more diversified investment products, reflecting a broader trend in wealth management [3][4]

今年二季度，美股在关税摩擦冲击后迅速回暖，并不断突破新高。近期，私募大佬但斌执掌的东方港湾海外基金公布了其2025年二季度的持仓动向。 数据显示，其持仓规模上涨至11.27亿美元，持仓标的也增加到13只。从但斌的美股持仓来看，仍以科技龙头为主，英伟达继续位居第一重仓股，谷歌则跃 升为第二大重仓股。 值得一提的是，但斌在加密资产领域展开尝试，首次买入Coinbase，而该季度Coinbase股价飙涨超103%。 继续重仓英伟达，加仓谷歌 2025年第二季度，但斌执掌的东方港湾再度上调了美股持仓规模。其海外基金Oriental Harbor Investment Master Fund近日向美国证监会提交13F报告，其二季 度持仓动向也随之披露。截至二季度末，该基金共持有13只美股标的，市值总计11.267亿美元，较一季度末的8.68亿美元显著上升。 私募排排网统计数据显示，整体来看，但斌二季度的布局主要围绕"AI技术、算力设施、AI应用"展开。从持仓标的来看，仍以科技龙头为主，英伟达继续位 居第一重仓股，期末持有126.78万股，且该股二季度股价表现亮眼，上涨45.77%。同时，但斌还持有2倍做多英伟达ETF1 ...

Group 1 - The three major indices collectively declined on July 31, with Pinduoduo and ChatGPT concepts leading the gains, while the seafood and rare metals sectors fell [1] - The financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) experienced a significant drop of 1.37% after an initial surge, with mixed performance among its holdings [1] - Recent frequent policy announcements regarding stablecoins, including the implementation of Hong Kong's stablecoin regulations on August 1, are expected to benefit the stablecoin industry [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia financial technology ETF closely tracks the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index, covering software development, internet finance, and the digital currency industry, with a stablecoin content of 23.43%, the highest in the market [2] - The index includes leading stocks such as Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, and Runhe Software, as well as popular stablecoin-related stocks [2]

中国经济周刊-经济网讯 截至今日收盘，上证综指报3615.72点，涨幅0.17%，成交额8196.28亿元； 深证成指报11203.03点，跌幅0.77%，成交额10246.52亿元；创业板指报2367.68点，跌幅1.62%，成交额 4998.73亿元。 盘面上看，水产品午后拉升，中水渔业涨停；旅游板块走强，凯撒旅业、天府文旅等涨停；石油、 传媒、食品饮料、商业连锁、银行等板块涨幅居前；数字货币概念、固态电池概念、人形机器人概念、 多元金融、券商板块等跌幅居前。 编辑：何颖曦 ...

比特币跌破117000美元/枚，日内跌0.84%。 ...