Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates a significant improvement in market trading volume and new fund issuance at the beginning of 2026, which is favorable for the fundamentals of financial IT and brokerage sectors. Brokerage firms are expected to continue rapid growth in their brokerage business, while investment banking, asset management, and overseas expansion are likely to enhance the return on equity (ROE) of leading brokerage firms. The insurance sector has also seen a strong start in both individual and bank-insurance channels, with a continued trend of deposit migration, suggesting a positive outlook for the insurance sector in the spring market [4][6]. Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - Daily average trading volume for stock funds reached 3.44 trillion, down 16% week-on-week; however, the average trading volume since the beginning of 2026 is 3.64 trillion, a 105% increase compared to Q1 2025 [4] - New stock and mixed fund issuance in January 2026 totaled 44.3 billion, a 56% year-on-year increase [4] - The "Public Fund Performance Benchmark Guidelines" was officially released on January 23, 2026, establishing stricter standards for benchmark selection and changes, enhancing performance evaluation and compensation management systems [4] Insurance Sector - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a stable research value for ordinary life insurance products at 1.89%, slightly down from 1.90% in the previous quarter, indicating a trend towards stability [6] - The individual insurance channel is under pressure due to various factors, but the strong start in 2026 is expected to improve new policy growth, aided by favorable market conditions [6] - The stabilization of long-term interest rates and a favorable equity market are expected to enhance net assets and profitability for insurance companies, with a potential valuation recovery towards 1x PEV for leading firms [6] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Guangfa Securities, Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and China International Capital Corporation H, as well as China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and Ping An Insurance [7]

证券板块 25Q4 公募持仓数据出炉，券商板块仍处于低配状态。25Q4 券商 A 股主动权益公募重仓市值达 118 亿元，环比+14%， 行业配置比例为 0.73%，环比+0.10pct，行业低配 2.67pct，环比收窄 0.29pct。 证券类 APP 月活人数表现亮眼，高市场活跃度延续。易观千帆最新数据显示，2025 年 12 月份，证券类 APP 月活跃人 数达 1.75 亿，环比增长 1.75%、同比增长 2.26%，创下 2025 年单月新高。券商自营 APP 中，华泰涨乐财富通、国泰 海通君弘两家月活突破千万，分别为 1212.07 万、1040.1 万；增速方面，兴业证券优理宝月活达 187.21 万，同比大 涨 20.66%。预计 26Q1 券商利润增速亮眼，继续重点关注板块补涨机会。 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优质券商，重点关注国泰海通；建议关注 AH 溢价率较高、有收并购主题的券商。（2）四川双马：科技赛道占优，创投业务有望受益，布局基因治疗赛道新标的， 深化生物医药产业链。公司管理基金的已投项目：屹唐股份、西安奕材、沐曦股份（科创板已上市）、奕斯 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook for the insurance sector, indicating a strong continuity in market performance despite recent fluctuations [2][12][16]. Core Insights - The financial sector experienced a mixed performance this week, with the non-bank financial index down by 1.45%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.83 percentage points. The insurance sector saw a decline of 4.02%, while the brokerage sector decreased by 0.61% [1][10]. - The insurance sector's performance is driven by two main factors: policy support leading to economic recovery and liquidity easing combined with a strong stock market. The report suggests a shift from liquidity-driven growth to a focus on macro policy support and economic recovery expectations [2][13][16]. - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from new regulations that enhance investment management quality, with a recommendation to focus on larger, undervalued firms and those involved in mergers and acquisitions [3][18]. - The banking sector is facing a slight decline, but there are signs of recovery in profitability for leading banks, with recommendations to focus on banks with high dividend yields and those expected to benefit from market conditions [19][21]. Summary by Sections Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's recent decline is attributed to short-term market sentiment and liquidity changes, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to strong support from both the liability and asset sides [2][12][16]. - Key recommendations include focusing on companies like China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, China Life (H), and China Taiping, with a specific recommendation for New China Life [4][16]. Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector's performance is slightly better than the overall market, with a focus on the new guidelines from the regulatory body that aim to improve fund management quality [3][17]. - Recommended firms include Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and others, particularly those with strong merger and acquisition prospects [4][18]. Banking Sector - The banking sector has shown a decline but is expected to stabilize, with recommendations to focus on banks with high earnings elasticity and strong dividend yields [19][21]. - Specific banks to watch include Hangzhou Bank, Ningbo Bank, and others, with a focus on those that have previously been undervalued [4][21].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in insurance holdings, with public fund holdings in the non-bank financial sector rising from 1.49% in Q3 2025 to 2.48% in Q4 2025, driven by market style rebalancing and marginal support from the sector's fundamentals [24][34] - The report notes that despite the ongoing pursuit of high-elasticity technology sectors, the non-bank financial sector is at a historical low valuation, with strong performance in the insurance sector and increased trading volumes in brokerage firms, indicating fundamental resilience [24][34] - The report suggests that the public fund holdings in the securities sector increased slightly from 0.63% in Q3 2025 to 0.71% in Q4 2025, reflecting improved performance trends and the appeal of low valuations [33] Summary by Sections New Public Fund Issuance - In Q4 2025, the number of newly issued funds remained stable at approximately 477, with a year-on-year increase of 81% compared to 264 in Q4 2024, while the issuance volume decreased by 15.19% year-on-year [12][19] - The share of newly issued equity funds decreased from 41% in the previous quarter to 32%, while mixed fund shares increased from 15% to 19% [12] Non-Bank Financial Fund Holdings - Public fund holdings in the non-bank financial sector increased, with the total market capitalization share rising to 2.48% in Q4 2025 [24] - The report attributes this increase to a shift in funds from crowded technology sectors to undervalued defensive sectors, alongside a recovery in northbound capital allocations [24] Major Non-Bank Companies' Holdings - The report indicates that major non-bank companies saw slight increases in public fund holdings, with China Ping An leading at 1.11% and China Pacific Insurance at 0.35% [41] - The report recommends focusing on key companies such as CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Ping An for potential investment opportunities [24][41]

在监管层持续深化"长钱长投"政策导向与低利率环境双重驱动下，保险资金正加速涌入一级市场，以私募基金为重要通道，布局国家战略性新兴 产业。1月23日，中国人寿公告，将与关联方成立汇智长三角（上海）私募基金合伙企业（有限合伙），重点投向人工智能技术和相关应用等。 2025年以来，在政策持续引导与科技革命带来的产业机遇共同驱动下，一级市场信心逐步回升，金融机构类LP（有限合伙人），尤其是保险机构 的出资活跃度同步提升，成为不可忽视的重要力量。从人工智能、集成电路到新能源、生物医药，险资凭借规模大、期限长的核心优势，精准锚 定国家战略赛道，为产业升级注入长期活水的同时，也重塑着资本市场的价值投资逻辑。 在业内看来，保险资金的大规模出资，在为一级市场提供"源头活水"的同时，其偏好长周期、经营稳健、服务国家战略发展的投资风格，也在引 导市场向更理性、耐心的价值投资转变。科方得智库研究负责人张新原表示，险资的"长钱长投"属性与这些赛道的长期发展周期高度匹配。这些 行业通常需要较长的研发和产业化周期，与险资的资金久期相契合，能够实现稳健的资产增值。 投硬投新是主旋律 保险系私募基金的投资方向一直备受关注。从行业布局看，其投资 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, indicating it is currently undervalued compared to the market, with a recommendation to focus on the sector's beta attributes and potential catalysts such as upcoming earnings reports [2][3]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has seen a significant increase in allocation from active equity funds, with the proportion of non-bank sector holdings rising to 2.96%, up 102 basis points quarter-over-quarter, surpassing the three-year average of 1.63% [2]. - The report highlights that the earnings forecasts for 2025 are showing strong growth, with companies like Everbright Securities expecting a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22% [2]. - The insurance sector is experiencing a decline, with the insurance index dropping 4.62%, underperforming the market [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,702.50, with a decline of 0.62% over the week, while the non-bank index fell by 1.45% [5]. Non-Bank Sector Insights - The report notes that the brokerage sector is currently experiencing a mismatch between fundamentals and valuations, suggesting a potential for recovery as market conditions improve [2]. - Key brokerage firms such as Huatai Securities and CITIC Securities are highlighted for their strong performance and growth potential [2]. Individual Company Announcements - China Pacific Insurance reported a cumulative premium income growth of 8.1% for 2025, indicating resilience in its business model [10]. - Guotai Junan Securities anticipates a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a growth of approximately 406% [13]. - Northeast Securities expects a net profit increase of 69.06% for 2025, driven by enhanced market conditions [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading brokerage firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities, as well as firms with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities and Dongfang Securities [2]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life, New China Life, and Ping An are recommended for their potential value re-evaluation opportunities [2].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the brokerage sector, suggesting that it is currently in a phase of fundamental and valuation mismatch, with expectations for improvement in the first half of the year [2][6]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has seen a significant increase in allocation by active equity funds, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 102 basis points, surpassing the three-year average [2]. - The report highlights strong earnings forecasts for 2025, with notable increases in net profits for several brokerages, including a projected 405.3% increase for Guolian Minsheng [2][16]. - The insurance sector is expected to stabilize, with a forecasted recovery in the predetermined interest rate for life insurance products, anticipated to rise to 1.96% in Q1 2026 [2][28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,702.50 with a decline of 0.62%, while the non-bank index fell by 1.45% [6]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported changes of -0.61%, -4.02%, and +3.10%, respectively [6]. Non-Banking Sector Insights - The report notes that the China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for performance benchmarks for publicly offered securities investment funds, aiming to enhance transparency and accountability [8][10]. - Key announcements from individual companies include China Pacific Insurance reporting an 8.1% increase in premium income for 2025, and Guolian Minsheng forecasting a significant profit increase due to business integration [12][16]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan and Citic Securities, as well as those with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [2]. - In the insurance sector, the report maintains a positive medium-term outlook, recommending companies like China Life and Ping An Insurance [2]. Key Data Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the average daily trading volume was reported at 30,388.36 billion [32]. - The margin trading balance stood at 27,249.13 billion [38].

Core Insights - The report highlights that the short-term changes in broad-based ETF shares are impacting weighted stocks, while long-term regulatory changes are constraining deviations in benchmarks [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 24, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11%. The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.34% [10]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.80 trillion yuan, reflecting a 19% decrease compared to the previous period [5]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with marginal improvements in long-term interest spreads. The 10-year government bond yield was 1.83%, down 1 basis point from the previous week, indicating a stable economic outlook [11][14]. - The insurance sector is benefiting from regulatory changes that enhance asset-liability management capabilities, which are expected to support high growth in 2026. Key stocks to watch include China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life [14][15]. Securities Sector - The report notes a significant decline in broad-based ETF shares, with the CSI 1000 dropping by 42%, the SSE 50 by 25%, and the CSI 300 by 23%. This decline is expected to have a direct impact on the trading volumes of associated leading stocks [15][19]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks, effective March 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing stability and protecting investor interests [24][28]. Group 3: Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - China Ping An (601318.SH) has a current price of 68.40 CNY, with a target value of 85.17 CNY, indicating a buy rating. The expected EPS for 2025 is 8.91 CNY, with a PE ratio of 7.68x [6]. - New China Life (601336.SH) is rated as a buy with a target value of 94.21 CNY, and an expected EPS of 14.04 CNY for 2025, reflecting a PE ratio of 4.96x [6]. - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) is also rated as a buy, with a target value of 52.44 CNY and an expected EPS of 6.09 CNY for 2025, resulting in a PE ratio of 6.88x [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The implementation of new regulations for public fund performance benchmarks aims to reshape the industry towards long-term value creation, moving from a "scale-oriented" to a "capability-oriented" approach [14][16]. - The insurance sector shows high efficiency in claims processing, with claim acceptance rates generally above 99%, driven by technology such as AI and big data [43][44]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - The new public fund performance benchmark regulations will take effect on March 1, 2026, addressing issues like benchmark ambiguity and style drift, thereby enhancing the accountability of fund managers [14][15]. - The report highlights a mixed performance among major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 4,136.16 points, up 0.84% week-on-week, while the non-bank financial index fell by 1.70% [16][19]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - Recent claims reports from various insurance companies indicate a high claim acceptance rate, with companies like Ping An Life achieving 99.2% [43]. - Despite high acceptance rates, consumer perceptions of "claim difficulties" persist, primarily due to misunderstandings regarding policy terms and inadequate preparation of claim materials [44]. - The average payout for critical illness insurance is around 100,000 CNY, while the average treatment cost for severe illnesses can reach 400,000 CNY, highlighting a significant coverage gap [44]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The central bank's net injection in the open market was 9,795 billion CNY for the week of January 19-23, 2026, indicating ongoing liquidity management efforts [49].

保险板块配置比例大幅上升，重视配置力量带来的保险机会：保险板块配置比例从1.03%升至2.13%， 欠配0.33%，四季度保险指数上涨23.42%。个股方面，中国人寿持仓市值比例从0.019%提升至0.020%， 中国平安、中国太保获超配。其中平安持仓市值比例从0.68%提高至1.449%，中国太保持仓市值比例从 0.22%提高至0.422%。基于未来配置资金持续入市并优先增配低估值标的的预期，随着利率企稳和保险 企业负债端转型深化，我们继续推荐保险标的。 多元金融及金融科技板块配置比例下降，金融科技相关标的值得关注：四季度多元金融及金融科技板块 公募基金（剔除被动指数基金）持仓比例由0.204%降至0.145%。个股方面，拉卡拉和越秀金控获增 配，持仓市值比例分别从0%提升至0.0027%，从0%提升至0.0025%。随着增量资金入市政策的持续落 地、数字人民币的场景拓展、AI在金融领域的产品落地以及科创类公司IPO数量增加，我们继续看好金 融信息服务，第三方支付和股权投资相应标的投资机会。 投资建议：非银板块仍处于欠配状态，总体欠配3.08Pct。中长期增量资金加速入市，看好四类投资机 会：1）看好居民资 ...