新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 1月13日，黄金已阶段性突破前期4600高点，目前刷新历史关口至4630，再度开启上行通道。依据趋势 判断，本年度坚持看涨且不猜顶的原则不变，26年预计仍是黄金强势之年。在多变的地缘局势下，白宫 对降息的迫切诉求强化了市场宽松预期，黄金避险情绪自25年末至26年初持续升温，加之各国央行购金 行动持续推升黄金ETF持仓，短期内金价较难出现大幅回调。因此，今年我们将继续维持回落做多的交 易策略。 新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。 黄金行情分析 在四小时级别走势中，经历一波快速拉升后，短期乖离率略显偏大，短期内续升可能性降低，倾向于通 过高位横盘或价格回落完成技术形态修复；小级别周期上价格已小幅企稳，需关注短线调整修复情况。 目前黄金受消息面刺激且多头形态完好，趋势维持极强状态，昨日白盘仍呈循环上升格局，今日延续上 涨概率较高，尽管市场恐高情绪升温，但价格始终持稳强势节奏，短线波动并不影响整体上行趋势，破 位续涨或仅需契机。综合来看，今日 ...

中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投资实 物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF（517400）。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 消息面，1月13日盘中，伦敦金现突破4600美元/盎司大关。 申万宏源证券指出，美国打击委内瑞拉等地缘事件刺激避险需求，对金价形成支撑。长期来看，货币信 用格局重塑持续，美国财政赤字率提升背景下，央行购金成为长期趋势，叠加我国黄金储备仍偏低，金 价中枢有望持续上行。此外，降息后实际利率下行将吸引黄金ETF资金流入，当前贵金属板块估值具备 修复动力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant rise in gold prices driven by global central bank purchases and geopolitical shifts, highlighting the investment journey of Sichuan Gold and the strategic foresight of Leishi Investment in capitalizing on this trend [3][4]. Group 1: Market Context and Investment Strategy - As of now, international gold prices remain at historical highs, surpassing market expectations due to ongoing central bank purchases and geopolitical restructuring [3]. - Sichuan Gold (001337.SZ) made a remarkable debut on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in March 2023, with a first-day surge of 44%, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 10 billion [3]. - Leishi Investment was an early and steadfast institutional investor in Sichuan Gold, entering the market during a time of industry divergence in 2021, thus securing core stakes [4][5]. Group 2: Macro Analysis and Investment Rationale - Understanding the macroeconomic context of 2020 is crucial for grasping Leishi's investment decisions, as gold was not considered an attractive asset during that period [5]. - Leishi identified two pivotal turning points: the reconstruction of geopolitical order and the inevitable debt cycle, leading to a conclusion that gold, priced in dollars, would enter a sustained upward cycle [5][6]. Group 3: Investment Methodology and Risk Management - Leishi's approach involved filtering out market noise to focus on the fundamental belief that gold prices would rise, supported by extensive research and investment in gold ETFs [7]. - The firm emphasized the importance of understanding the exit strategy in mining investments, ensuring that they had a clear path to an IPO for Sichuan Gold, which was validated through thorough due diligence [7][8]. Group 4: Cognitive Framework and Market Insights - Leishi's investment philosophy is rooted in a three-tier cognitive framework, distinguishing between mere logical understanding and deeper insights into market dynamics [9][10]. - The firm believes that true investment success comes from recognizing the right conditions and applying the appropriate strategies, rather than relying solely on luck [10]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Focus - Leishi Investment is now applying its disciplined approach to the AI sector, particularly in enhancing China's manufacturing capabilities, which is seen as a unique advantage [12][13]. - The firm aims to shift focus from crowded AI valuations to long-term value creation in manufacturing, leveraging AI to reduce costs and improve efficiency [12][13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the price of spot gold is experiencing a rebound, currently trading around $4592.80 per ounce, following a period of profit-taking after previous gains [1] - Strategists from State Street Global Advisors report that the probability of spot gold surpassing $5000 per ounce this year has exceeded 30%, driven by recent price momentum and geopolitical dynamics [1] - The demand for gold from central banks is expected to support physical demand, providing stability to the precious metals market [1] Group 2 - The daily chart shows that the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs, indicating strong bullish momentum [2] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70.17, suggesting that prices may pause or experience a slight pullback [2] - The 21-day SMA at $4417.93 provides immediate dynamic support, and as long as prices remain above this level, the upward trend is intact [2]

Core Insights - The report from State Street Global Advisors indicates that the probability of spot gold surpassing $5,000 per ounce this year has exceeded 30% due to recent price momentum and geopolitical dynamics [1] - By 2026, gold is expected to be in a favorable position supported by factors such as rising global debt burdens, Federal Reserve policy direction, and potential volatility shocks [1] - The correlation between U.S. stocks and bonds is likely to remain positive in 2026, which could increase the allocation of gold in investment portfolios as investors seek liquidity alternatives [1] - Central bank demand for gold is anticipated to support physical demand, providing a stable anchor for the precious metals market [1]

来源：滚动播报 道富投资管理公司策略师在报告中指出，基于近期的价格动能与地缘政治动态，现货黄金今年突破5000 美元/盎司的概率现已超过30%。在2026年，黄金将处于有利位置，其支撑因素包括全球债务负担激 增、美联储政策走向以及潜在的波动性冲击。策略师认为，2026年美国股票与债券的相关性可能会保持 为正，这为黄金在投资组合中的配置增加了空间，因为投资者可能会寻求流动性替代品。与此同时，各 国央行购金需求有望支撑实物需求，为贵金属市场提供稳定锚。 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices have reached new highs, leading to a continued rise in Hong Kong gold stocks [1] - China Gold International increased by over 6%, Shandong Gold rose by 3.3%, and Zijin Mining gained 3% [1] - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold and Zijin Gold International saw increases of 2.6%, while Chifeng Jilong Gold and Mount Everest Gold rose by over 2% [1] Group 2 - Zhaojin Mining, Zijin Mining, and China Gold International have all reached historical highs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a year-on-year growth of 125% to 175% [1] Group 1: Performance Preview - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 440 to 530 million yuan for 2025, with a corresponding non-recurring net profit of 420 to 510 million yuan, both reflecting a year-on-year growth of 125% to 175% [1] - For Q4 2025, the company expects a net profit of approximately 170 million yuan, marking a substantial turnaround from a loss of 120 million yuan in Q4 2024 [1] Group 2: Key Focus Areas - The jewelry segment is expected to continue its strong growth, with Q3 2025 jewelry business revenue increasing by 54% year-on-year [2] - The company is actively expanding its online and offline channels and accelerating its international layout, with a total of 1,668 jewelry stores expected by the end of 2025, adding 163 stores throughout the year [2] - The company anticipates that the rising gold prices, which increased by 59% in 2025, will enhance consumer interest and preference for gold jewelry [2] Group 3: Brand and Product Strategy - Brands with distinctive features and strong recognition are expected to outperform the industry, with the company focusing on fashionable interpretations of Eastern culture and expanding its young and trendy gold product lines [3] - The company has successfully launched products such as intangible cultural heritage flower silk and IP collaborations, demonstrating its strong product design capabilities [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.53 and 0.66 yuan, respectively, and introduces a 2027 EPS forecast of 0.81 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to 19 and 15 times the P/E ratios for 2026 and 2027, respectively, with a target price of 16.39 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 31% [4]

本报记者 彭 妍 外资银行则聚焦长期限、高收益赛道，瞄准高净值客户群体。例如，1月1日，星展银行推出保本类结构 性存款产品系列，挂钩黄金美元即期价格，年化收益范围1.5%至4.0%，期限12个月，最低认购金额1万 美元；1月7日，渣打银行推出挂钩SPDR黄金信托的结构性存款产品，非年化收益范围0%至5.0%，最低 认购金额5万元，投资期限18个月，该产品为涨跌双赢结构，到期100%本金保障，风险评级3级。 中国邮政储蓄银行研究员娄飞鹏对《证券日报》记者表示，银行密集推出挂钩黄金的结构性存款产品， 主要在于把握黄金避险情绪升温的市场窗口，更好服务客户投资理财需求，同时也提升自身零售AUM （资产管理规模）与中间业务收入，优化收入结构缓解净息差压力。 伴随投资热度攀升，相关风险提示同步升级，理性配置成为关键。娄飞鹏表示，对普通投资者而言，黄 金结构性存款兼具本金保障与潜在收益弹性，相较实物金、ETF或期货，门槛低、操作简便、风险可 控，是当前布局黄金的较优选择之一，但收益表现与金价走势紧密相关。若金价大幅上涨，可获得浮动 收益上限；若金价回调或滞涨，则可能仅获保底收益甚至接近零收益，具体取决于产品结构设计。 在产 ...

国内银行更注重短期灵活配置与低门槛，以吸引广泛投资者。例如，上海农商银行1月8日推出的鑫和系列产品挂钩伦敦 金，期限涵盖7天、14天、35天及91天，预期年化收益区间1.20%至1.65%；江苏银行无锡分行近期推出3个月与6个月两款挂钩 黄金的结构性存款，起存金额均为1万元，预期年化收益率分别为1%或1.89%或2.09%；招商银行"点金"系列产品期限覆盖7天 至181天，其中1月9日起售的"点金看涨三层区间周周存"，根据黄金价格波动区间突破情况，提供1%或1.27%或1.47%的预期到 期年化收益率。 外资银行则聚焦长期限、高收益赛道，瞄准高净值客户群体。例如，1月1日，星展银行推出保本类结构性存款产品系列， 挂钩黄金美元即期价格，年化收益范围1.5%至4.0%，期限12个月，最低认购金额1万美元；1月7日，渣打银行推出挂钩SPDR黄 金信托的结构性存款产品，非年化收益范围0%至5.0%，最低认购金额5万元，投资期限18个月，该产品为涨跌双赢结构，到期 100%本金保障，风险评级3级。 本报记者 彭妍 2026年开年以来，金价高位震荡运行，黄金相关投资产品成理财市场"香饽饽"。记者采访获悉，多家中外资银行顺 ...