Macroeconomic Analysis - In October, China's CPI year-on-year was 0.2%, exceeding expectations of -0.1% and up from -0.3% in September. Core CPI rose to 1.2%, the highest since October 2023, from 1.0% in the previous month [4] - October's PPI year-on-year was -2.1%, marking the third consecutive month of recovery, with expectations at -2.3% [5] Industry Insights - The fund industry is seeing regulatory changes with the draft guidelines for theme investment funds, which may lead to a reallocation of investments towards underperforming sectors like chemicals and consumer goods [8] - TSMC reported October revenue of NT$367.473 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.9%, although it is the lowest growth rate since February 2024. The demand for AI chips remains strong, with expected Q4 revenue between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of approximately 35% [8] Advanced Manufacturing - The cost pressures for lithium carbonate production are increasing due to a required payment of 177 million yuan for mining rights and a rise in resource tax rates. This could lead to a cost increase of 1,500 yuan per ton of lithium carbonate [11] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector is showing signs of recovery, with companies like Anjuke Foods and Angel Yeast experiencing significant sales growth. The restaurant supply chain is also improving, leading to a valuation recovery in the sector [13] - The Hainan duty-free market is rebounding strongly, with sales in the first week of November up 34.86% year-on-year, driven by new policies that expand product categories and customer eligibility [14]

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views - The stock market experiences sector rotation, with funds flowing from the technology sector to the chemical and consumer sectors, and the bond market shows a tendency of oscillating upward [2][3] - In the stock index futures market, it is recommended to transfer technology funds to the price - rising chain and continue the dumbbell - style allocation [3][7] - In the stock index options market, it is advisable to continue holding covered positions for additional income [3][8] - In the treasury bond futures market, the bond market is expected to oscillate upward [4][9] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Market Views Stock Index Futures - On Monday, the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded in a U - shape, with a rotation to low - lying sectors. High - beta sectors retreated, while value and defensive sectors rose. Due to the policy window period and recent volume contraction, it is recommended to transfer technology funds to the price - rising chain and continue the dumbbell - style allocation. The operation suggestion is to hold a long position in the Dividend ETF + IM. [3][7] - The basis points of IF, IH, IC, and IM for the current month are - 8.85, 0.94, - 41, and - 54.45 respectively, changing by - 3.06, 0.49, - 5.09, and - 5.98 points compared to the previous trading day. The inter - period spreads (current month - next month) are 14.2, 0.8, 67, and 87.8 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of 0.6, 0.2, 5.2, and 6.4 points. The positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM change by 10827, 5768, 8841, and - 1747 lots respectively. [7] Stock Index Options - The trading volume of each option variety rebounded slightly but remained at a low - liquidity level since October. The option sentiment index was weak, especially for technology - sector options. Option volatility varied, with the implied volatility of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option strengthening and that of the CSI 300 stock index option weakening. It is recommended to continue holding covered positions for additional income. [8] Treasury Bond Futures - Most treasury bond futures rose yesterday. The T, TF, TS, and TL main contracts changed by 0.01%, 0.02%, 0.00%, and 0.22% respectively. The central bank's large - scale net injection supported the bond market. In October, the CPI improved, and the core CPI increased significantly. The central bank restarted treasury bond trading, and the short - term factors driving bond yields down were lacking. The stock - bond seesaw effect may weaken, and the restart of treasury bond trading may boost bond market sentiment. The operation suggestions include a trend strategy of oscillating upward, a hedging strategy of paying attention to long - position substitution at high basis levels, a basis strategy of looking for positive spreads and basis widening, and a curve strategy of appropriately paying attention to curve steepening. [4][9] - The trading volumes of T, TF, TS, and TL for the current quarter are 58830, 49109, 24929, and 96097 lots respectively, with a one - day change of 3915, 4624, - 1360, and - 3686 lots. The positions are 231393, 138398, 67365, and 129150 lots respectively, with a one - day change of - 4216, - 4021, - 700, and 1495 lots. The inter - period spreads (current quarter - next quarter) are 0.225, 0.030, 0.052, and 0.250 yuan respectively, with a one - day change of - 0.025, - 0.010, 0, and 0.010 yuan. The cross - variety spreads and basis points also have corresponding changes. [8][9][10] 2. Economic Calendar - The economic data to be released this week includes China's October new RMB loans, social financing scale, M2 money supply annual rate, the US October CPI annual rate, China's October total retail sales of consumer goods annual rate, and China's October industrial added value above designated size annual rate. [12] 3. Important Information and News Tracking - The Asset Management Association of China is soliciting opinions on the "Guidelines for the Management of the Thematic Investment Style of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds" to standardize the style drift problem of thematic investment funds. [13] - The State Council General Office issued measures to promote private investment, including expanding access, removing obstacles, and strengthening support. [13] - Two departments issued a guidance on promoting new energy consumption and regulation, with goals set for 2030 and 2035. [13] - China successfully launched the 13th group of low - orbit satellite Internet satellites. [14] - The US Senate reached an agreement to end the federal government shutdown. [15] 4. Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report mentions data monitoring of stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but no specific data content is provided. [16][20][32]

Group 1 - The US has officially announced a one-year suspension of the 301 investigation measures against China's shipbuilding industry, while China has reciprocated by suspending special port fees for US ships for one year [2] - The US Congress has passed a temporary funding bill to end the government shutdown, with a final vote expected soon in the House of Representatives [2] - Warren Buffett's Thanksgiving letter indicates he will no longer write annual reports and plans to convert 1,800 Class A shares into 2.7 million Class B shares for donations, retaining a significant amount of Class A shares until confidence in the successor CEO is established [2] Group 2 - The State Council has issued measures to promote private investment, including encouraging private capital participation in smaller city infrastructure projects for the first time [3] - A plan has been released to promote logistics data sharing, with ten categories of logistics data to be made publicly available [3] - The China International Import Expo concluded with a record intended transaction amount of $83.49 billion, a 4.4% increase from the previous year [3] - Central enterprises have increased investment in key areas such as technology innovation and equipment updates, with fixed asset investment exceeding 3 trillion yuan in the first three quarters [3] Group 3 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is seeking opinions on guidelines for public fund thematic investment style management to address issues of style drift [4] - A-shares showed mixed performance with consumer sectors surging, while the overall trading volume reached 2.19 trillion yuan [4] Group 4 - The Hang Seng Index closed up 1.55%, driven by consumer stocks, with net inflows from southbound funds exceeding 66.54 billion HKD [5] - The China Securities Index Company will launch new indices to provide more investment benchmarks [5] Group 5 - TSMC reported October revenue of 367.47 billion NTD, a 16.9% year-on-year increase, but the lowest growth rate since February 2024 [8] Group 6 - Domestic retail prices for refined oil have been raised for the seventh time this year, with gasoline and diesel prices increasing by 125 yuan and 120 yuan per ton, respectively [9] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has issued compliance guidelines for e-commerce platforms during the "Double Eleven" sales event [9] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have outlined goals for large-scale development and high-quality consumption of new energy [9] Group 7 - The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is in discussions to launch cryptocurrency spot trading products next month [10] - The US Treasury and IRS have released new guidelines for cryptocurrency exchange-traded products [10] - The Bank of England has proposed new regulations for stablecoins, allowing significant investments in short-term government bonds [10] Group 8 - Douyin has clarified rumors regarding penalties for selling products below market price, emphasizing a campaign against false advertising [11] - WeRide has received approval to operate a fully autonomous Robotaxi service in Abu Dhabi, marking a significant milestone in autonomous driving [11] - Tesla's Cybertruck project leader announced his departure after eight years, with sales significantly below production capacity [11] Group 9 - The US and Thailand have reached a trade framework agreement, with Thailand eliminating tariffs on 99% of goods [12] - The Federal Reserve is considering further interest rate cuts to prevent economic downturns [12] - October container imports in the US fell by 7.5% year-on-year, with predictions of further declines in November and December [12] Group 10 - China's gold consumption in the first three quarters decreased by 7.95%, while gold ETF holdings increased significantly [17] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange announced fee waivers for certain international contracts starting November 2025 [17] - International precious metals futures saw widespread gains, driven by geopolitical risks and a weaker dollar [17] Group 11 - The domestic bond market showed strength, with long-term bonds outperforming short-term ones, and the central bank conducted significant reverse repo operations [16] - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue up to 47.71 billion yuan in electronic savings bonds [16] - Hong Kong is set to launch a new round of multi-currency digital bond issuance [16]