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大摩:英伟达云资本支出份额持续提升 新AI应用“才刚刚起步”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 13:48
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley highlights that NVIDIA's market share in cloud capital expenditures is continuously increasing, with new AI applications still in their early stages [1] Group 1: Company Insights - NVIDIA's management expresses strong confidence in both short-term and long-term prospects, driven by robust growth in cloud capital expenditures [1] - The revenue growth observed is primarily due to the shift of computing workloads from CPUs to GPUs, indicating a significant trend in the industry [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on NVIDIA, setting a target price of $210 [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The current demand growth is largely attributed to the strong upward trend in cloud capital expenditures [1] - Despite the ongoing growth in cloud spending, transformative AI applications have yet to fully materialize in the market [1]
大摩唱多硬件:HDD行业正进入“长期走强”周期 上行峰值延至2028年 瞄准西部数据(WDC.US)希捷科技(STX.US)
智通财经网· 2025-09-30 11:15
智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利于近日发布IT硬件行业报告,聚焦硬盘驱动器(HDD)领域,认为HDD行 业正进入"长期走强(Stronger For Longer)"周期,行业上行峰值将延长至2028年(CY28)前,当前处于周期 中期。该行大幅上调西部数据(WDC.US)与希捷科技(STX.US)的业绩预测及目标价,维持两家企业"增 持"评级,西部数据为首选标的。 从需求端看,HDD需求受云资本支出(Capex)与AI双重驱动,呈现爆发式增长。云资本支出方面,2025 年全球Top11云厂商资本支出预计达4590亿美元,同比增长61%,2026年仍将保持16%的增速;摩根士丹 利预测2024-2028年全球数据中心总支出达2.9万亿美元,其中85%将投向AI专用数据中心。西部数据与 希捷科技的营收与云资本支出相关性高达0.8-0.9,云业务占两家企业营收超75%,云支出增长直接拉动 HDD需求。 而在AI领域,AI推理工作负载成为关键增量——全球云厂商代币处理量持续攀升,多模态数据(视频、 图像)生成量激增,1分钟压缩视频的数据量约为普通文本页的2万倍以上,大幅提升存储需求;微软威斯 康星AI数据中心的存储系 ...
阿里云否认:相关消息不实
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 07:36
Group 1 - Alibaba Cloud is rumored to face a computing power shortage, leading to an urgent order of 150,000 Cambricon SiYuan 370 chips, although Alibaba Cloud denies the accuracy of this procurement news [2] - Cambricon's stock has surged significantly, with a 110.36% increase in August, attributed to its scarcity and performance reversal [2] - Goldman Sachs has raised Cambricon's target price by 14.7% to 2,104 RMB, indicating a potential upside of 41% from the closing price on August 29 [2] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has increased its earnings forecast for Cambricon based on higher AI chip shipment expectations and improved operating expense ratios, raising the 2030 target valuation multiple from 65x to 69x [3] - The firm expects Cambricon's AI chip shipments to reach 145,000 units in 2025, up from the previous estimate of 143,000 units [3] - The rationale for the frequent target price increases is the significant capital expenditure expansion by Chinese cloud vendors in the AI sector, with Alibaba's capital expenditure reaching 39 billion RMB in Q2 2025, a 57% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 100% year-on-year increase [3] Group 3 - The rise of domestic chipsets is noted as local large language models and inference demand grow, supported by government policies aiming for over 70% penetration in key areas by 2027 and 90% by 2030 [4] - Cambricon issued a risk warning regarding its stock price, which increased by 133.86% from July 28 to August 28, indicating a potential disconnect from its fundamentals [4] - The company projects its total revenue for 2025 to be between 5 billion and 7 billion RMB [5] Group 4 - As of the latest report, Cambricon's stock closed at 1,395.09 RMB, reflecting a decline of 6.53% [6]
多领域呈积极态势!大摩IT硬件行业数据追踪:苹果(AAPL.US)App Store增长超预期 云资本支出强势反弹
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 07:01
Group 1: App Store Performance - The App Store's net revenue continues to exceed expectations, with a year-over-year growth of 12.2%, unaffected by external link risks [1][2] - In August, the App Store's net revenue grew by 11.1% year-over-year, slightly down from July's 12.4% [2] - The U.S. App Store revenue growth aligns with trends, showing an 8% year-over-year increase in net revenue per download, indicating strong monetization capabilities [3] Group 2: Notebook Production and Market Outlook - Notebook ODM production forecasts have been raised, with expected production reaching 33.6 million units in Q3, a 1% increase quarter-over-quarter [4] - However, there are warnings about potential pressure in Q4 due to conservative growth outlooks from ODMs [4] Group 3: IBM Consulting and Cloud Spending - IBM's consulting job postings have dropped significantly, with a 26% decrease compared to the end of Q2, indicating potential demand weakness [7] - In contrast, cloud capital expenditures are projected to grow by 58% to $451 billion in 2025, driven by consensus adjustments from major cloud service providers [7] Group 4: iPhone 16 Delivery and Market Demand - iPhone 16 delivery times have shortened to 2 days for all models, with varying trends observed across different models [9] - In the Chinese smartphone market, iPhone shipments saw a year-over-year decline of 10% in May, while domestic brands experienced a 24% drop [10] Group 5: Other Key Data - Apple Vision Pro models have a delivery time of 3 days, indicating stable demand [17] - The proportion of AI-related positions at Apple has increased from 10% six years ago to 26%, with deep learning roles making up 60% of AI positions [17]
AI算力需求继续井喷式扩张:英伟达供应持续告急 谷歌TPU引领ASIC后来居上
智通财经网· 2025-06-30 12:46
Group 1 - The core focus of the article is the increasing investment in AI, with 68% of CIOs planning to allocate over 5% of their IT budgets to AI in the next three years, up from the current 25% [1][4] - AI-related spending as a percentage of CIO IT budgets is expected to rise to 15.9% in three years, from approximately 5.9% currently, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41%, which exceeds the semiconductor revenue growth expectations of 30-35% [4][5] - Cloud spending as a percentage of IT budgets is projected to increase from 25% to 38% over the next five years, with a CAGR of 9-13%, reflecting strong demand from large enterprise clients [5] Group 2 - The demand for AI computing power is described as vast, with both AI GPUs and AI ASICs expected to benefit from this trend [6] - Geopolitical dynamics and tariffs are causing companies to adopt a more cautious approach to IT spending in the short term, but the long-term outlook remains positive for AI infrastructure growth [6] - Major tech companies are heavily investing in AI, with projected AI computing spending by the top four U.S. tech giants expected to reach $330 billion by 2026, indicating nearly a 10% increase from record levels [9][10] Group 3 - Nvidia's market capitalization is projected to potentially reach $6 trillion, driven by the ongoing global AI infrastructure arms race, with a target stock price increase from $175 to $250 [11] - The cumulative spending on Nvidia's AI GPUs by cloud computing giants and tech companies is estimated to be around $2 trillion by 2028, highlighting the significant demand for AI capabilities [11]