产业空洞化

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 丰田公司本土建厂意在逆转产业空洞化
 Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 13:01
 Group 1: Core Insights - The impact of industrial hollowing and population decline on Japan's economy and society is significant and warrants attention [1][4] - Toyota's announcement to build a new factory in Aichi Prefecture, with an annual production capacity of 3 million vehicles by 2030, is seen as a potential catalyst to reverse industrial hollowing and rejuvenate the manufacturing sector [1][6] - The trend of Japanese companies increasing direct investment in the U.S. since 2018, particularly in response to U.S. tariffs, highlights a shift in investment strategies [3][8]   Group 2: Industrial Hollowing - Industrial hollowing refers to the phenomenon where companies relocate domestic production activities overseas, leading to reduced domestic employment and economic growth [2] - Since the late 1980s, the appreciation of the yen has increased production costs in Japan, prompting many manufacturing firms to relocate abroad [2][3] - Japan's manufacturing sector has significantly shrunk, with the shipbuilding industry's global market share projected to drop to 3% by 2024, and semiconductor market share declining from 50.3% in 1988 to less than 10% in 2019 [3]   Group 3: Population Decline - Japan's population has been declining for 15 consecutive years, with a record drop of 860,000 people in 2023, leading to labor shortages and reduced consumer spending [4][5] - As of January 2024, Japan's total population is approximately 121.56 million, with projections indicating a decrease in the labor force from 76 million in 2015 to 45 million by 2060 [4][5] - The labor shortage has resulted in increased wage pressures, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises, which struggle to absorb rising labor costs [5][6]   Group 4: Economic Implications - The combination of industrial hollowing and population decline has led to a fragile economic structure characterized by rising costs, shrinking markets, and declining competitiveness [6][7] - Japan's current account surplus reached a record 29.3 trillion yen in 2024, primarily driven by initial income surplus from overseas investments, while trade and service balances showed deficits [6][7] - The depreciation of the yen, while beneficial for exports, has increased import costs, further straining domestic businesses and consumer purchasing power [7]   Group 5: Future Outlook - The challenges posed by industrial hollowing and population decline are not unique to Japan and may offer lessons for other countries facing similar issues [8] - Collaborative efforts among government, industry, and society are essential to address the structural economic challenges and revitalize the manufacturing sector [7][8]
 SHEIN村的局限与“大中国”
 日经中文网· 2025-03-28 02:57
广州郊外的"SHEIN村"聚集着无数小规模工厂 桃井裕理:"干活的都是40~60岁的人,快干不动了",探访广州郊外的"SHEIN村",这里的时间好像停 留在中国改革开放初期。中国正迎来经济结构的转型期,学者李稻葵称"中国不会像日本那样出现产业 空洞化"。一个"大中国市场"在形成…… 桃井裕理: 彻底改变全球电商的供应链革命的起点——记者听到这个说法后探访了广州市番禺区的"SHEIN村", 这里时间好像停留在中国改革开放初期。 这是被遗弃在大城市中的被称为"城中村"的南村镇。在错综复杂的道路两旁,建筑物的一楼全都敞开着,积满灰 尘的地上排列着老旧缝纫机。在聚集在该地区的无数商家中,很多都承接了来自中国服装电商"SHEIN(希 音)"的业务。 发出致命一击的SHEIN "有订单,进账也很稳定。但是交货期太紧,几乎没有利润",一名广西的女老板这样抱怨。每个订单100件,如果 是简单的衣服,3~4名熟练裁缝一起踩缝纫机,几个小时就能完成。利润为每件0.2~0.3元。如果有失误,会被罚 款。 SHEIN的特点是超低价格和"小批量、快速交货"。没有库存,如果认为卖得好,就立刻追加生产。由熟练技术人 员和相关企业组成的产业 ...

