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铁矿石:铁矿石相对弱势,关注宏观政策增量
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-10-17 05:59
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoint - The iron ore market is relatively weak, and short - term attention should be paid to domestic macro - policy increments. The price of iron ore will fluctuate within a range, and the strategy is to conduct range operations and use covered call options [2][5]. 3) Summary by Relevant Contents Market Situation - The black - series carbon elements were relatively strong yesterday, the price of finished products stabilized, while the iron ore price was relatively weak, and the sentiment of the black - series market remained weak [3]. Supply - The overseas ore shipment decreased slightly month - on - month. The shipment of Rio Tinto in Australia decreased significantly, while that in Brazil was relatively stable. The arrival volume reached a new high this year, and the support from the supply side continued to weaken [3]. Demand - Domestic demand decreased month - on - month but remained at a high level, still supporting the iron ore price. The blast furnace overhauls mainly occurred in Hebei, Shanxi, Jiangsu, and Shandong. The daily average pig iron output in this period was 2.4095 million tons (month - on - month - 0.59), basically the same as the average level in August. High demand still supported the iron ore price to some extent [4]. Inventory - The inventory level at the steel mill decreased slightly month - on - month, and the daily consumption of imported ore at steel mills decreased due to production cuts. Steel mills were about to enter the seasonal inventory accumulation stage. The port inventory continued to accumulate month - on - month due to the continuous increase in arrival volume [4].
苯乙烯日报:原油价格下跌,关注成本端压力-20250515
Tong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 08:40
能源化工 通惠期货•研发产品系列 苯乙烯日报 2025 年 5 月 15 日 星期四 苯乙烯日报:原油价格下跌,关注成本端压力 一、 日度市场总结 通惠期货研发部 成本:5 月 14 日布油主力合约收盘 63.7 美元/桶(+1.7 美元/桶),WTI 原油主力合约收盘 66.6 美元/桶(+1.6 美元/桶),华东纯苯现货报价 6205 元/吨(+100 元/吨)。 库存:苯乙烯样本工厂库存 23.2 万吨(+2.2 万吨),环比提升 10.3%, 江苏港口库存 6.85 万吨(-1.67 万吨),环比下降 19.6%,苯乙烯港口库存持 续去化,现货流动性收紧。 供应:苯乙烯检修装置逐渐回归,供应有增量预期。受部分装置重启影 响,苯乙烯周产量环比提升 2.43%至 33.07 万吨(+0.78 万吨),工厂产能利 用率 72.2%(+1.7%)。 需求:下游 3S 开工率变化不一,其中 EPS 产能利用率 47.4%(- 1.35%),ABS 产能利用率 69.0%(+1.9%),PS 产能利用率 57.4%(-1.3%)。整 体而言下游需求走弱。 李英杰 从业编号:F03115367 投资咨询:Z0019 ...