普来仕环球及日本股票投资组合专家Daniel Hurley分享其对日本股市的观点。自4月解放日后，日本股 市录得显著升幅，多个因素推动市场表现。首要及最重要的因素是日本与美国达成的贸易协议，关税定 于15%，这远低于此前威胁加征的25%，更令市场感意外的是，占美国对日贸易逆差八成的汽车业亦获 纳入协议范围。 另一方面，市场憧憬美联储于今秋减息，料可利好风险资产表现。日本作为高度开放及具周期性的经济 体系，可望受惠于利率下调环境。 此外，日本本土经济正摆脱失落年代的零通胀及零增长困局，通胀压力逐步形成，经济增长步伐加快。 预料此转变将刺激储户及投资者将资产由现金及定息工具转移至股票市场。值得一提的是，自2012年起 持续改善的企业管治改革正全速推进，大规模股份回购计划陆续展开。这为能够识别具吸引力目标的投 资者创造庞大机遇，有望带来可观回报。 尽管如此，相对历史水平，日本股票的估值并未见过度扩张，较环球其他市场仍见吸引。普来仕对日本 市场未来三至五年维持建设性看法，认为仍存在重大投资机遇。除上述因素外，日本在国防及半导体产 业的结构性投资方面具优势。 企业管治改革趋势正影响股市各大领域，但部分行业的改革意欲明显 ...

Group 1 - Allianz Investment indicates that the uncertainty in global markets is increasing due to the depreciation of the US dollar and rising risks of an economic recession in the US, leading to a shift in investor confidence and capital flows [1] - Concerns over the credibility of US policies and fiscal sustainability are driving capital towards Asia, strengthening regional currencies and creating new growth opportunities for the Asian economy [1] - Currently, Asian economies hold approximately $8.6 trillion in US bills and fixed-income assets, and any capital repatriation could significantly support regional currencies and enhance the performance of local stock and fixed-income markets [1] Group 2 - Allianz Investment expresses optimism for Asian economies driven by domestic demand, particularly China, India, and Australia, which have room for policy rate cuts and are less affected by specific political and economic concerns [2] - The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has shown significant gains compared to major US indices this year, with a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 14.2, indicating attractive valuations in the Asian stock market [2] - Investment opportunities are abundant in the Asia Pacific stock market, especially in large, liquid markets with robust domestic demand, and investors are encouraged to diversify across growth, value, and dividend stocks while capitalizing on themes such as innovation and corporate governance reform [2]