文 | 思辨财经 罗永浩大战西贝之后，"预制菜"毫无争议地又一次成为社会和舆论挞伐的对象。当我们盘点和梳理该事件的行业线索 后，一个关键问题却一直萦绕脑中，无法得到很好解释： 市场经济基本原理中，商家靠产品和价格获得用户，既然"预制菜"如此不得人心，商家是可以本能"避坑"的（也可以 进行差异化竞争），但为何头部大型企业一个个前赴后继去踩"预制菜"的坑呢？这是有非常大的潜在风险的，这非简 单的侥幸心理所能解释。 近期高德地图高调"杀入"本地生活领域，推出"高德扫街榜"（基于用户导航、到店等真实行为数据生成的线下服务榜 单），其后又宣布对所有餐饮商家免入住费一年，并为后者提供流量补贴以及专属客服等支持，近期高德发布数据， 3天15万商家资讯入驻，平均每天5万个，电话都被打爆了。 新的"鲶鱼"搅动行业，但我们关心的核心问题依然是"预制菜"：这场行业变动能否将其边缘化，并推动餐饮业回到健 康发展的轨道？ 本文核心观点： 其一，餐饮业目前正处于内卷化周期，先前高连锁化的发展增加企业经营难度，预制菜是无奈之举； 其二，线上营销对餐饮业影响力在弱化，用户，平台，商家三方的信任纽带不复存在； 其三，边缘化预制菜，必须要重整信 ...

他们既要推动战略落地、确保结果达成，也要做好团队管理与人才培养，同时还要在管理实践中提升自我认知与格局，更需通过自身影响力凝聚团队力 量。 但在管理实践中，组织往往因管理者领导力的缺失或偏弱而导致效率低下。因此，中高层管理者向卓越领导力跃升，成为卓越组织的关键挑战。 而卓越领导力的基础，是一个永恒不变的主题——信任。 富兰克林柯维团队在多年的调查研究中总结出构建可信度的四大核心和13种行为，以及"观-言-行"的信任构建模型。 内容来源：富兰克林柯维线上研讨会，「信任的速度®」、「乘法领导者®：卓越领导者如何点燃周围人的智慧」为富兰克林柯维公司版权解 决方案。 卓越组织，不是靠超级领导者的孤军奋战，而是依靠团队的集体智慧。 中高层管理者，是组织的核心力量。 一、卓越组织，需要卓越领导力 1.卓越领导力的四个挑战 ① 战略落地与执行偏差 一方面，对上层战略理解得并不透彻。 而在没充分理解组织战略的情况下，他们很难把战略转化为团队目标，自然也没法带领团队拿到结果。 这种"上承下接"的缺失，甚至战略传递中的断层，会严重影响组织的战略执行力。 另一方面，存在"重规划、轻落地"的问题。 却忽略了在执行过程中，要通过给团队 ...

一万元，承载着老人的生活期盼，见证着好心人的诚信品格。客户的信任是我们最宝贵的财富，归德支 行将继续以高度的责任感，守护每一位客户的信任，让金融服务成为连接人心的桥梁。 近日，农行归德支行发生了一件温暖人心的故事，一位好心人与银行工作人员共同接力，将一万元现 金"完璧归赵"，传递了社会正能量，彰显了农行"以客户为中心"的服务宗旨。 农业银行作为国有大行，服务周到、管理规范，把钱交给农行，她十分放心。就在张女士离开后不久， 一位满头大汗的老人急匆匆地跑进农行归德支行，神情慌张地向工作人员求助："我的钱丢了，是一万 块，用纸袋包着的，你们有没有看到？"大堂经理见状，立即上前安抚老人情绪，并仔细询问细节。原 来，老人当天上午从其他银行取了一万元现金准备急用，但途中不慎遗失。在核实了老人取款时间、金 额、包装方式等信息后，确认这笔钱正是张女士捡到并交来的款项。"太感谢了！这可是我给孩子的钱 啊！"当工作人员将现金交还到老人手中时，老人激动得连连道谢，并执意要当面感谢拾金不昧的张女 士。 当天上午，张女士路过农行归德支行，在门口发现一个纸袋，打开一看，里面竟是一沓厚厚的百元现 金。 "这么多钱丢了，失主肯定急坏了！"张 ...

Market Dynamics - The market is gradually shifting towards a "Zhuang-style" model, seeking trust through funded entities controlling the float, fostering confidence in holding positions, and believing that funds will drive market growth, allowing retail investors to share in the profits [1] - The market needs a role that can restore trust [3] - The collapse of VC coins is attributed to the erosion of trust within the industry [3] Trust & Value - Ability brings value, value brings trust, and trust in turn feeds back into ability [2] - Early profits are given to the community to allow believers to earn money, thereby generating more and more value resonance, and ultimately promoting the community to feed back to its core capabilities [1] Key Stakeholders - Any project basically consists of four roles: project party, investors, market makers, and community [3] - Theoretically, these four parties should be co-builders and win-win [3]

Pain Points in Traditional Prediction Industry - Traditional platforms suffer from a lack of fairness and transparency, including issues like manipulating odds and delaying payments [1] - Security and trust are major concerns due to fund freezes and platforms disappearing [1] - Traditional platforms lack effective incentive mechanisms to enhance user loyalty [4] - Traditional prediction ecosystems are closed, lacking asset appreciation channels [7] Hash Epoch's Blockchain Solutions - Blockchain technology ensures data transparency and fairness through immutable smart contracts and hash-based random number generation [1] - Smart contracts manage user funds, and a 1:1 collateral mechanism ensures payment capability [2][3] - A multi-dimensional incentive system rewards users with HEST tokens for tasks, social sharing, and staking [5] - A loss compensation mechanism provides HEST token rewards to users who lose predictions, reducing risk [6] - DeFi integration allows users to earn interest by investing idle funds in liquidity pools [8] - Users can participate in node validation by staking HEST, sharing platform revenue [8]

Group 1 - Trust is the cornerstone of leadership, influencing interactions and outcomes within teams [2][3] - Organizations with a culture of trust can unlock potential, while those lacking trust face creativity and engagement declines [2][3] - Trust is built on various factors, including decision-making, protection of team members, and the ability to share information and feelings [2][3] Group 2 - The balance between vulnerability and feedback is crucial for effective leadership, yet it is often challenging to achieve [4][6] - Defensive mechanisms can hinder open communication, leading to a lack of trust and understanding between team members [4][6] - The dynamics of trust can be disrupted by defensive interactions, as seen in the case of Mark and Lisa, where blame-shifting occurred instead of constructive dialogue [13][16] Group 3 - Vulnerability is essential for building trust, as it involves taking risks by sharing personal information and emotions [17][19] - Honest feedback is a key component of trust-building, yet it is often difficult to give and receive due to fear of rejection or conflict [20][21] - Questioning assumptions and beliefs is necessary for deepening relationships, but it requires courage and can provoke defensive reactions [22][24] Group 4 - Effective leadership involves managing emotions and creating space for others to express their feelings, which contributes to trust [26][27] - Leaders must navigate the complexities of vulnerability and distance to foster a trusting environment [26][27] - The interplay of vulnerability, feedback, and questioning forms a dynamic relationship that is essential for trust development [24][27]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of embracing conflict as a natural part of relationships, both in work and life, and highlights the necessity of reconciliation after conflicts arise [2][10]. Group 1: Reasons to Embrace Conflict - Embracing conflict allows individuals to express their positions and defend their values, which is crucial for effective management [4]. - It helps maintain personal boundaries, as individuals must learn to say "no" to unreasonable demands to prevent boundary violations [6][8]. - Conflict can lead to problem-solving and growth, as differing opinions can spark innovation and lead to better solutions [8]. Group 2: Strategies for Reconciliation - Understanding human nature is essential; analyzing the underlying reasons for conflict can help address the root causes [10][16]. - Strengthening common goals fosters unity; recognizing shared objectives can help teams overcome conflicts and enhance cohesion [15]. - Building trust is vital; trust can be established through honesty, goodwill, competence, and proven results in conflict resolution [18][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of software development through the advent of large language models (LLMs), suggesting that the marginal cost of software creation will approach zero, similar to the impact of the internet on content production [3][6]. Group 1: Evolution of Software Development - The introduction of LLMs is predicted to lead to the dissolution of traditional software as a "container," shifting the focus from writing code to describing needs [10][15]. - The historical context is provided by comparing the launch of YouTube in 2005, which democratized content creation, to the current state where a simple prompt can generate software solutions [8][10]. - The article emphasizes that the process of software creation will become as accessible as content creation, allowing anyone to turn ideas into products with minimal effort [8][10]. Group 2: Cost and Trust Dynamics - As the cost of software generation decreases, trust will become a critical factor in determining which systems can effectively represent user needs [11][14]. - The article notes that traditional software companies may struggle as free distribution models gain dominance, similar to how print media faced challenges from digital platforms [11][12]. Group 3: The Future of Software - The ultimate conclusion is that the traditional notion of software will fade away, with functionality becoming ubiquitous and easily accessible, marking the "end of software" as a distinct entity [15][16]. - The article posits that as logic can be invoked and combined freely, the concept of software containers will become obsolete, leaving only the functions themselves [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of being cautious in interpersonal relationships, highlighting that excessive openness and trust can lead to exploitation and harm [4][18][55]. Group 1: The Dangers of Overexposure - Sharing personal secrets can quickly become public knowledge, often leading to ridicule rather than sympathy [7]. - Personal information can be weaponized against individuals in competitive situations, as illustrated by a story of a woman whose confidences were used against her by a supposed friend [12][14]. - The article warns that being overly sincere and trusting can invite malicious behavior from others, as people may take advantage of such openness [15][29]. Group 2: The Consequences of Blind Trust - The narrative of a character from a drama illustrates how absolute trust can lead to betrayal, resulting in significant personal and professional setbacks [26][28]. - The article suggests that being overly accommodating and forgiving can lead to being taken advantage of, as seen in the story of a diligent employee who was exploited by colleagues [34][42]. - It stresses that one should not expect compromise to lead to peace, as it may instead encourage further exploitation [43]. Group 3: The Pitfalls of Unconditional Kindness - The article discusses how unrestrained kindness can lead to being manipulated, using a real-life example of a school principal who was taken advantage of by a needy individual [49][53]. - It emphasizes that kindness should be reserved for those who deserve it, to avoid being overwhelmed by the greed of others [54]. - The conclusion reiterates that the evils in human nature are often provoked by one's own actions, advocating for a balance between kindness and self-protection [55].