Group 1 - Core conclusion for 汇顶科技 (603160.SH): The company is a global leader in fingerprint sensors, with strong growth potential across its four core businesses: sensing, AI computing, connectivity, and security. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 55.24 billion, 65.8 billion, and 78.4 billion CNY, with net profits of 8.56 billion, 10.78 billion, and 12.68 billion CNY respectively [1][9] - In the first half of 2025, 汇顶科技 achieved revenue of 22.51 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 35.7% to 4.31 billion CNY. The gross margin was 43.3% and net margin was 19.1% [6][7] - The company launched several new products, including a new light sensor and enhanced NFC solutions, which are expected to drive growth during the upcoming consumer electronics peak season [8][9] Group 2 - Core conclusion for 聚辰股份 (688123.SH): The company is experiencing significant growth in its DDR5 SPD and automotive-grade EEPROM products, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 13.09 billion, 17.95 billion, and 24.03 billion CNY, and net profits of 4.42 billion, 6.32 billion, and 8.67 billion CNY respectively [2][13] - In the first half of 2025, 聚辰股份 reported revenue of 5.75 billion CNY, an increase of 11.69% year-on-year, and net profit of 2.05 billion CNY, up 43.50%. The gross margin improved to 60.25% [11][12] Group 3 - Core conclusion for 芒果超媒 (300413.SZ): The company maintains stable performance in its 芒果 TV platform, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 14.47 billion, 15.10 billion, and 18.95 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 6%, 4%, and 25% respectively [3][16] - In the first half of 2025, 芒果超媒 achieved revenue of 59.64 billion CNY, a decrease of 14.31% year-on-year, with net profit of 7.63 billion CNY, down 28.31%. The company is focusing on content investment to enhance user engagement [15][16] Group 4 - Core conclusion for 特宝生物 (688278.SH): The company is experiencing high growth in its product pipeline, particularly with 派格宾, and is actively expanding its early-stage innovative pipeline. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.96 billion, 49.38 billion, and 64.70 billion CNY, with net profits of 10.91 billion, 14.42 billion, and 18.98 billion CNY respectively [4][20] - In the first half of 2025, 特宝生物 reported revenue of 15.1 billion CNY, a growth of 27.0%, and net profit of 4.3 billion CNY, up 40.6% [18][19] Group 5 - Core conclusion for 华峰化学 (002064.SZ): The company is projected to achieve stable long-term growth despite a decline in revenue in the first half of 2025. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 277.84 billion, 293.43 billion, and 305.67 billion CNY, with net profits of 21.33 billion, 28.64 billion, and 31.46 billion CNY respectively [29][31] - In the first half of 2025, 华峰化学 reported revenue of 121.37 billion CNY, a decrease of 11.70%, and net profit of 9.83 billion CNY, down 35.23% [29][30]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - The current adjustment of credit bonds is mainly due to the hot equity market and the decline in the profit - making effect of pure bonds, which leads to the diversion of funds from the bond market. Risk preference may be the main driving factor for the recent trend of credit bonds, and the stock - watching and bond - trading pattern may continue in the short term. If the scale of fixed - income + wealth management continues to grow, it may support the demand for medium - to - high - grade, medium - and short - duration non - financial credit bonds, but it may be difficult to reverse the overall trend of credit bonds. It is recommended to shorten the duration, moderately sink the medium - and short - duration of urban investment bonds, mainly allocate medium - to - high - grade industrial bonds, and institutions with strong trading ability for bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds can trade quickly in and out [2][11][17] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1本轮信用债调整或仍将持续？ - **1.1本轮信用债调整原因探析** - There is an obvious calendar effect. Around August, credit bonds are relatively weak. This is because around August, there are intensive policies for stable growth such as wide - fiscal and stable - real - estate. The concentrated issuance of government bonds disturbs the capital market, and the wide - credit guides the expectation to turn, which cools the bond market sentiment. Since July 2025, the hot equity market and the decline in the profit - making effect of pure bonds have led to the diversion of funds from the bond market, and credit bond yields have fluctuated upward [10][11] - **1.2每轮调整阶段信用债特征** - In the comparable historical adjustment stages from 2023 - 2025, in terms of the maximum callback amplitude, Tier 2 and perpetual bonds generally have a larger callback amplitude than other credit bonds, and medium - and short - duration bonds have a relatively large callback amplitude; in terms of the callback start time, Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, medium - and short - duration bonds, and high - grade bonds tend to start the callback first; in terms of the callback end time, Tier 2 and perpetual bonds end the callback first, and 7 - 10 - year bonds end the callback later [12][14] - **1.3信用债后续走势判断** - Risk preference may be the main driving factor for the recent trend of credit bonds. The dovish signal from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the increasing expectation of US interest rate cuts are beneficial to boosting risk preference. The equity market is expected to continue to have a significant impact on the bond market. If the scale of fixed - income + wealth management continues to grow, it may support the demand for medium - to - high - grade, medium - and short - duration non - financial credit bonds, but it may be difficult to reverse the overall trend of credit bonds. It is recommended to shorten the duration [15][17] 3.2信用债收益率全览 - Last week (August 18 - 22, 2025), the stock - bond seesaw effect continued. Credit bonds continued to weaken, performed worse than interest - rate bonds, and the spreads widened overall. Short - duration credit bond yields rose relatively slightly, with a maximum increase of no more than 8bp; among medium - and long - duration bonds, the 10 - year AAA - grade urban investment bond had the largest increase of 13bp. Urban investment bonds had the largest average increase in yields, and short - end industrial bonds were similar to urban investment bonds, while medium - and long - duration industrial bonds performed better than urban investment bonds. The 3 - year financial bonds performed the worst [22] 3.3一级市场 - **3.1发行量** - Last week, the issuance scale of credit bonds increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year, and the net financing scale increased significantly both month - on - month and year - on - year, mainly driven by financial bonds. From August 18 - 22, the credit bond issuance scale was 401.875 billion yuan, an increase of 49.2 billion yuan month - on - month and a decrease of 30.1 billion yuan year - on - year. The net financing of credit bonds was 102.761 billion yuan [34] - **3.2发行成本** - The average issuance interest rate of credit bonds increased month - on - month. Last week, the average issuance interest rate of credit bonds was 2.21%, an increase of 1bp month - on - month. The average issuance interest rates of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds increased by 8bp and 2bp respectively month - on - month, while that of financial bonds decreased by 3bp month - on - month [41] - **3.3发行期限** - The average issuance term of credit bonds decreased month - on - month. Last week, the average issuance term of credit bonds was 3.15 years, a decrease of 0.27 years month - on - month. The average issuance terms of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds decreased by 0.28, 0.05, and 0.6 years respectively month - on - month [43] - **3.4取消发行情况** - Last week, the number and scale of cancelled credit bond issuances decreased month - on - month but were still the fifth - highest since 2023. From August 18 - 22, 18 bonds were cancelled, a decrease of 1 bond month - on - month; the total scale of cancelled issuances was 15.275 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.745 billion yuan month - on - month [46] 3.4二级市场 - **4.1成交量** - Last week, the total trading volume of credit bonds was 1.2863 trillion yuan, an increase of 93 billion yuan month - on - month. Except for the bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds and brokerage sub - bonds, the trading volume of other credit bond varieties decreased. In terms of remaining term, trading terms of different types of bonds shifted; in terms of implied rating, trading of different types of bonds also shifted [50][53][54] - **4.2成交流动性** - Last week, the turnover rates of urban investment bonds and financial bonds increased, while that of industrial bonds decreased. For urban investment bonds, except for the 7 - 10 - year and over - 10 - year bonds, the turnover rates of other terms increased; for industrial bonds, the turnover rates of all terms decreased; for financial bonds, except for the under - 1 - year bonds, the turnover rates of other terms increased [56] - **4.3利差跟踪** - Last week, most credit spreads of urban investment bonds widened. Except for the 1 - year AAA - grade and AA+ - grade bonds, the spreads of other terms and ratings widened. Most spreads of AAA - grade industrial bonds, except for the commercial trade industry, widened, and all spreads of AA - grade industrial bonds widened. Most spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds widened. The spreads of brokerage sub - bonds and insurance sub - bonds widened across the board [60][68][70] 3.5周度热债一览 - The report selected the top 20 credit bonds in terms of liquidity scores for urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds respectively, providing reference for investors [75] 3.6信用评级调整回顾 - According to domestic rating agencies, there were no debt - rating adjustments last week [80]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The current adjustment started with the commodity price increase in early July, lasted for a short period, and gradually stabilized at the end of the month. Credit bond yields rose following interest rates, and most credit spreads widened [2]. - In the short - term, the adjustment has stabilized, and funds, which were significantly affected, have gradually resumed allocating various bonds. In August, credit bonds are expected to face the impact of wealth management redemptions at the end of the quarter, but the impact is expected to be limited. Credit spreads are expected to fluctuate narrowly [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. How was the trading of credit bonds during this adjustment? - Recent anti - involution policies affected commodity prices, impacting market inflation expectations and causing significant adjustments in the bond market. Credit bond yields rose with interest rates, especially for Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, with yields on those over 3Y rising by over 14bp. Credit spreads showed a differentiated trend, with spreads on Tier 2 and perpetual bonds and short - term non - financial credit bonds widening significantly, while spreads on medium - to long - term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds tightened due to poor liquidity [8]. - From secondary trading, different institutions showed significant differentiation. State - owned large - scale banks were net buyers, increasing their allocation of 1 - 5Y credit bonds, with a cumulative net purchase of 192.62 billion yuan. Joint - stock banks and city commercial banks were major sellers, possibly related to primary - market bond acquisition and secondary - market disposal. Securities firms were consistent sellers, with large - scale net selling before and during the adjustment. Funds reacted slowly, starting disposal in the middle and late stages of the adjustment and mainly focusing on long - term bonds while still buying credit bonds within 1Y. Insurance, wealth management, and other product categories were major buyers, with insurance mainly buying 7 - 10Y ultra - long credit bonds and wealth management and other product categories buying relatively short - term credit bonds [4][13]. 2. How did the overall asset allocations of various institutions change? 2.1 Banks: Large - scale banks significantly increased their allocation of treasury bonds, and rural financial institutions showed obvious portfolio rebalancing - Large - scale banks significantly allocated treasury bonds and inter - bank certificates of deposit (ICDs) and sold policy - bank bonds later, with a clear shortening of duration, net selling treasury bonds over 10Y and significantly allocating 1 - 3Y bonds [4][38]. - Rural financial institutions showed obvious portfolio rebalancing, selling large - scale 1Y - within ICDs and allocating 7 - 10Y policy - bank bonds, possibly to increase returns through capital gains in a context of "asset shortage" [4][41]. 2.2 Securities firms: Significantly sold treasury bonds and ICDs - Securities firms significantly sold treasury bonds and ICDs, with cumulative sales of 104.862 billion yuan and 47.32 billion yuan respectively from July 18 to July 29, and also disposed of over 10 billion yuan of 3 - 5Y credit bonds [44]. 2.3 Insurance: Obvious duration extension, large - scale inflow into local government bonds - Insurance institutions significantly allocated local government bonds, especially those with a 20 - 30 - year long - term duration, and also had a relatively large purchase of ICDs. From July 18 to July 29, the cumulative purchases of local government bonds and ICDs were 68.129 billion yuan and 48.947 billion yuan respectively [47]. 2.4 Funds: Major sellers in the market, comprehensively reduced their holdings of interest - rate bonds and credit bonds - Funds were under greater pressure, comprehensively and significantly reducing their holdings of local government bonds, treasury bonds, policy - bank bonds, and credit bonds during the adjustment, and shortening the duration. They increased their purchases of 1Y - within treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds while reducing their holdings of over 5Y ultra - long - term bonds [4][50]. 2.5 Wealth management and other product categories: Major buyers of short - term bonds - Wealth management and other product categories significantly allocated ICDs, with cumulative net purchases of 76.709 billion yuan and 106.756 billion yuan respectively. Wealth management also made small - scale allocations to policy - bank bonds and credit bonds. They maintained high liquidity [53]. 3. Summary - The adjustment started in early July and stabilized at the end of the month. Credit bond yields rose with interest rates, and most credit spreads widened. Different institutions showed significant differentiation in secondary - market trading and overall asset allocation [59][60]. - The adjustment has stabilized in the short - term, and funds have gradually resumed allocating bonds. In August, credit bonds may face the impact of wealth management redemptions, but the impact is expected to be limited, and credit spreads are expected to fluctuate narrowly [4][61].