信用货币体系
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货币研思录1:简述货币、银行和央行起源
CMS· 2025-09-28 11:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the intertwined nature of money and banking, stating that modern banks and credit money emerged simultaneously, with banks generating interest income through money creation and service fees from money circulation [5][10] - It discusses the evolution of financial regulation, highlighting the tightening of financial supervision and the reduction of regulatory arbitrage opportunities, which impacts banks' macro credit creation capabilities [5][11] - The report notes the global dominance of the US dollar as a world currency, while also addressing the potential for the internationalization of the Renminbi amid the declining trust in the dollar [5][11] Summary by Sections Introduction: Money and Banking - The report introduces the concept that studying banks necessitates an understanding of money, and vice versa, establishing a foundation for further exploration of banking and monetary systems [10] Evolution of Money - The report outlines the progression from a barter system to the introduction of physical currency, illustrating how complex transactions necessitated a common medium of exchange [12][14][16] Wealth Accumulation and Banking - It describes the transition from wealth storage in physical forms to the establishment of banks, where trust in goldsmiths led to the creation of deposit certificates and the initial forms of banking [18][21] Modern Banking System - The report details the characteristics of the modern banking system, including the role of central banks, reserve requirements, and the impact of regulatory frameworks on banking operations [29][30]
中信建投|稳定币的本质
2025-06-16 15:20
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the **stablecoin** industry and its relationship with traditional currencies and digital currencies [1][3][25]. Core Insights and Arguments - The **credit currency system** expands money supply through bank credit, overcoming the limitations of gold supply, which can lead to issues like bad loans and overpricing [1][11]. - **Digital currencies** emerged to address the flaws of centralized credit currency systems, enhancing transparency and trust through technology, but cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin face limitations in becoming true mediums of exchange [1][15][18]. - **Stablecoins** aim to combine the technological advantages of digital currencies with price stability by pegging to fiat currencies or gold, making them more suitable for widespread acceptance as a transaction medium [1][22][25]. - In **cross-border transactions**, stablecoins offer significant advantages by providing the stability of fiat currencies while ensuring the convenience and privacy of digital payments, thus reducing transaction costs [1][25][26]. - **U.S. regulatory bodies** are promoting the development of stablecoins to meet market demand for digital currency convenience while maintaining overall financial system stability and addressing de-dollarization trends [1][26][30]. Important but Overlooked Content - The main challenge in the development of stablecoins lies in maintaining their value stability, which requires issuers to hold equivalent and redeemable dollar assets, along with strict information disclosure and asset liquidity regulations to enhance market trust [1][31]. - The **Chinese central bank digital currency (DCEP)** shares some characteristics with stablecoins but is government-issued, providing higher credibility and security compared to many privately issued stablecoins [1][5][32]. - The **global economic environment** has significantly influenced the development of digital currencies, with large-scale monetary easing leading to increased interest in alternatives like gold and cryptocurrencies [1][27][28]. - **Hong Kong** is positioning itself as a global financial hub by implementing regulatory policies for stablecoins, aiming to enhance asset transparency and attract global investors [1][33][34]. Specific Company or Product Cases - The call mentioned **Circle's USDC**, a high-credit stablecoin that experienced a significant drop in early 2023, highlighting the risks associated with stablecoins [1][34]. - It also referenced **JD.com's stablecoin** and various regulatory policies in Hong Kong aimed at enhancing market confidence in stablecoins [1][35].
全世界都在疯狂借钱
商业洞察· 2025-03-24 09:24
以下文章来源于格隆 ,作者万连山 格隆 . 一个游走于资本市场与佛祖之间的浪子。我可以生,可以死,我大笑,由天决定! 作者 : 万连山 来源:格隆(ID: guru-lama ) 从2月14日开始,经过一个多月博弈、上下反复摩擦,国际金价终于再次突破3000美元/盎司大关。 又一路冲至3037美元的历史新高,国内金价同步飙升至680元/克以上。 但是,该说不说的。 此时此刻,你敢断定黄金真的彻底突破了吗? 后续,是继续在3000美元折腾?还是一路向上?甚至急转直下? "贪婪与焦虑并存",应该是对目前市场情绪的最好描述。 约有20%的投资者认为存在"新闻驱动性"风险。 至少在技术面上,目前的金价已经显示出超买信号,一旦美联储政策或地缘局势意外缓和,情绪反转 可能引发踩踏式抛售。 不过,依然有60%人继续看涨。 因为,现在的宏观局势似乎并不比过去几年好、甚至更差,各国央行的购金潮也仍在继续…… 支撑黄金牛市的驱动力,不仅没减弱、反而更强了。 前者是理性的,后者是有格局的。 一般情况下,赚钱的往往是占少数的前者。 但就这件事,个人更倾向后者。 此消彼长 就算不考虑别的因素,仅仅看"物依稀为贵"这一条,黄金天然也是具 ...