格隆汇8月26日丨苏利股份(603585.SH)公布2025年半年度报告，报告期实现营业收入13.03亿元，同比增 长25.04%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润7979.06万元，同比增长1,128.33%；归属于上市公司股东的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润7510.15万元，同比增长1,141.87%；基本每股收益00.44元。 尽管新产线投产带来的折旧摊销、能源及人工成本增加以及公司产线技改对产能释放有所影响，但受市 场景气度提升，公司主要产品销量、价格及毛利率的增长仍然较大的提升了公司盈利能力。 ...

Group 1 - The decline in raw material prices is expected to enhance the company's profitability, with soda ash prices dropping 13.8% since the beginning of the year and energy prices weakening, leading to a decrease in downstream chemical product prices [1] - The company's main raw material costs are projected to decrease in the second half of 2024, with average procurement prices for soda ash, ethylene tar, anthracene oil, and coal tar dropping by 21.3%, 11.5%, 7.0%, and 11.5% respectively [1] - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 19.2% in 2024, an increase of 4.3 percentage points compared to 2023, driven by lower raw material costs [1] Group 2 - The company is expanding its production capacity with new projects, including a 50,000-ton nano carbon material project set to start production in June 2024 and a silica capacity increase of 30,000 tons expected in November 2024 [2] - The production and sales volume of carbon black and silica are projected to increase significantly in 2024, with carbon black production and sales rising by 25.6% and 20.9% respectively, and silica production and sales increasing by 27.7% and 26.5% [2] - The company is also progressing with the second phase of its nano carbon material project, which is expected to contribute to incremental performance [2] Group 3 - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 2.72 billion, 3.23 billion, and 3.92 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 19.9%, 18.8%, and 21.6% respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 360 million, 450 million, and 600 million yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.7%, 26.9%, and 32.1% [3] - Based on the closing price on May 21, the corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 13, 10, and 8 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a strong start in 2025, with Q1 revenue of 8.315 billion yuan, up 8.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.202 billion yuan, up 14.8% year-on-year [5][6] - The company continues to expand its product categories and maintain robust growth in key regions, particularly in the eastern and southern markets [6][7] - The gross profit margin improved to 40.04%, an increase of 2.73 percentage points year-on-year, driven by cost reductions and enhanced production efficiency [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 83.15 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1% and 14.8% respectively [5] - The company’s revenue and net profit for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 combined showed a year-on-year increase of 8.9% and 16.0% respectively [5] Product and Regional Growth - Revenue growth by product category in Q1 2025: soy sauce +8.20%, seasoning sauce +13.95%, oyster sauce +6.10%, and other products +20.83% [6] - Revenue growth by region in Q1 2025: eastern +14.17%, southern +16.13%, central +7.90%, northern +5.76%, and western +9.44% [6] Cost and Profitability - The company’s gross profit margin reached 40.04%, benefiting from economies of scale, lower raw material costs, and improved production efficiency [6][7] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 26.49%, an increase of 1.54 percentage points year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its steady growth in 2025 through channel expansion, product innovation, and efficiency improvements [7][8] - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted upwards, with expected net profits of 71.02 billion yuan, 78.89 billion yuan, and 86.89 billion yuan respectively [8]