关税2.0时代

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关税2.0时代,中国企业如何展现经济韧性?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-05-26 09:37
Group 1 - The global trade landscape is undergoing rapid restructuring, entering a more challenging "Tariff 2.0 era" characterized by broader implications, higher average tariffs, and more pronounced factional divisions [1] - The Shanghai University of Finance and Economics hosted a forum focused on "The Path for Chinese Enterprises in the Tariff 2.0 Era," aiming to explore strategies and opportunities for Chinese companies under new tariff policies [1] - The forum emphasized the need for a practical dialogue mechanism, innovative talent cultivation models, and contributions of Chinese wisdom to global governance [1] Group 2 - Companies are facing challenges in overseas financing, with banks raising requirements for outbound financing, including the need for loans from qualified foreign banks and ESG compliance [1][2] - The phenomenon of "involution" in competition is leading to a decline in market share for Chinese companies in overseas markets, necessitating industry associations to establish standards to prevent vicious competition [2] - To mitigate trade risks, companies are encouraged to diversify exports and upgrade transshipment trade, with suggestions to explore new intermediary countries like the UAE for better trade relations with the U.S. [2] Group 3 - A roundtable discussion revealed that 80% of surveyed foreign trade enterprises in Suzhou achieved positive growth despite adverse external conditions, showcasing the resilience of private export enterprises [5] - The government of Suzhou is actively involved in addressing foreign trade issues to prevent potential social problems arising from factory shutdowns and employee layoffs [5] - Companies are adapting to increased tariffs by maintaining existing trade methods, leveraging cost advantages, and utilizing transshipment trade to circumvent tariff barriers [5][6] Group 4 - Different sizes and types of companies exhibit varying strategies in response to tariffs, with those possessing core competitiveness being less affected [6] - Traditional B2B companies with less bargaining power face significant pressure from sudden tariff increases, potentially leading to order cancellations or delays [6] - High-tech industries with irreplaceable products can mitigate tariff impacts through price adjustments, while smaller sellers may benefit from shifts in sales volume due to changes in platform traffic [6]
关税2.0时代,企业如何重构海外供应链?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-21 05:05
Core Insights - The global political and economic landscape is evolving under Trump's second term, with the U.S. market still holding strategic value for Chinese companies' globalization efforts [1] - Chinese enterprises need to enhance their capabilities in international rule interpretation and establish dynamic response mechanisms in supply chain restructuring and compliance management [1] Group 1: Trade Policy and Tariffs - Trump's trade policy is characterized by five strategic directions, including unilateral trade policies and the weakening of multilateral rules [3][4] - Tariff mechanisms include IEEPA tariffs raising Chinese imports by 20%, 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum products, and a significant increase in counter-tariffs on Chinese goods [4] - The Geneva Joint Statement led to a temporary suspension of tariff increases on certain goods, indicating a phase of balance in tariff negotiations [4] Group 2: Supply Chain Risks and Compliance - Supply chain risk management is crucial for internationalization, with origin rules posing significant risks [5] - Common misconceptions about origin rules can lead to unnecessary tariff burdens and compliance risks, emphasizing the need for a detailed understanding of U.S. customs regulations [5] - ESG compliance has become a global regulatory focus, requiring companies to integrate supply chain compliance with ESG management to navigate complex international regulations [6] Group 3: Economic Sanctions and Legal Risks - Chinese companies engaging in U.S. business must adhere to U.S. economic sanctions to avoid severe penalties and asset freezes [7] - The "long-arm jurisdiction" of U.S. law poses significant challenges for Chinese enterprises, with many facing legal difficulties due to unfamiliarity with U.S. legal systems [8] - Key legal challenges include a lack of understanding of U.S. legal rules, external pressures from trade tensions, and high costs associated with legal compliance [9] Group 4: Supply Chain Restructuring Strategies - Companies are encouraged to adopt strategic supply chain restructuring to mitigate risks and enhance efficiency, with three main approaches suggested: relocating production to third countries, separating overseas and domestic operations, and establishing local production in the U.S. [10][11]