Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 758.17 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a slight decrease of 0.04% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.256 billion yuan, down 18.29% year-on-year. The Q3 revenue was 259.42 billion yuan, down 9.80% year-on-year, and the net profit was 1.781 billion yuan, down 65.02% year-on-year, primarily due to the continuous decline in pig prices [1] - The company has seen a significant increase in pig output, with a cumulative output of 27.6677 million pigs in Q1-Q3 2025, up 28.3% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the output was 9.7358 million pigs, up 35.5% year-on-year. The average selling price for pigs in Q3 was 13.9 yuan/kg, down 28.7% year-on-year due to the release of production capacity [2] - The chicken business has shown signs of recovery, with cumulative sales of 94.799 million chickens in Q1-Q3 2025, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year. The average selling price for chickens in Q3 was 11.9 yuan/kg, down 9.8% year-on-year but up 10.2% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery in prices since August [3] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1007.76 billion yuan, 1054.26 billion yuan, and 1095.68 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3.90%, +4.61%, and +3.93%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.544 billion yuan, 9.154 billion yuan, and 10.559 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year changes of -39.94%, +65.13%, and +15.34% [4][5] - The company maintains a strong focus on cost advantages in pig and chicken farming, with a projected PE ratio of 22, 13, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3、《神农集团（605296）：养殖成 本行业领先，出栏量快速增长》 2024-08-07 —神农集团（605296.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cf ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：卫正 | S1050124080020 | | weizheng2@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3 ...