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名创优品(09896)Q3:模式进退两难,留给叶国富的空间已不多
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 06:34
"对投资,我想来想去,总觉得只有一样东西最简单,就是当你买一个股票时,你一定是认为你在买这家公司,你可能拿在手里10年,20年,有这种想法 后就容易判断很多。长期而言(10年20年或以上)坚持只投好的商业模式,好的企业文化的公司大概率上是会有比较好的回报的,而且这种投资方法让人很 愉快,不需要整天瞎操心。" ——段永平 名创优品(09896,MNSO.US)发布了 25 年 Q3 财报: 1、营收同比增长 28.2% 至 57.97 亿元,创下单季营收新高,毛利润同比增长 28%(指扣掉商品成本的利润,未包括其他费用,如营销、行政、财务等), 毛利率提升至 44.7%。归母净利润4.41亿元,同比减少31%,经调整净利润达到 7.67 亿元(加上了Top Toy 筹备上市的股权激励等一次性费用),同比增长 12%,经调整净利率为 13.2%。 2、具体业务上:MINISO品牌:营收 52.2 亿元(+23%)、TOP TOY品牌:营收 5.7 亿元(+111.4%);门店总数:全球达 8138 家(其中 MINISO 7831家 + TOP TOY 307家); 我们对比 Q1、Q2 的数据: 3、同店 GM ...
单季理财赚百亿,“拒不分红” 拼多多要当 “巴菲特”?
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-27 06:25
Core Viewpoint - Pinduoduo has accumulated significant cash assets and is facing the critical question of how to utilize these funds effectively as it transitions from a growth phase to a mature phase [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Pinduoduo's interest and investment income reached a level of 10 billion RMB, which is a notable contribution compared to the 25.8 billion RMB operating profit from its main business [1] - The average quarterly profit remains around 5.3 billion RMB, consistent with the previous year's performance [1] Group 2: Cash and Investment Assets - As of the second quarter, Pinduoduo has 538.8 billion RMB (approximately 75 billion USD) in cash or idle funds that can generate interest or be invested [3] - The key components of idle funds include monetary funds, restricted cash, short-term investments, and other non-current assets [3] Group 3: Short-term Investments - Short-term investments, which account for 60% of the total, primarily consist of fixed deposits and held-to-maturity bonds, with a growing portion allocated to stock trading [5][6] - The stock trading balance increased from 17.2 billion RMB in 2023 to 44.5 billion RMB in 2024, indicating a shift towards higher-risk investments to enhance yield [6] Group 4: Non-current Assets - Pinduoduo's non-current assets are primarily composed of long-term fixed deposits and held-to-maturity bonds, with minimal equity investments [8] - The company maintains a clean balance sheet with no significant external equity investments or cross-industry mergers [10] Group 5: Investment Returns - The overall return on cash and investment assets has remained between 4-5% over the past two years, aligning with the risk-free return rates of U.S. Treasury bonds [13] - The yield from fixed deposits and held-to-maturity bonds is approximately 4%, consistent with recent U.S. Treasury rates [15] Group 6: Capital Allocation Strategy - Pinduoduo's return on equity (ROE) stands at 13.5%, significantly higher than the 4-5% return on idle cash, highlighting the need for optimized capital allocation [16] - The company faces a strategic decision on whether to reinforce its core business, explore new markets, or consider dividends and share buybacks as growth slows [16] - The potential for cash accumulation without strategic investment could lead to declining ROE and valuation concerns [16][17]
红质调仓颠覆认知!中证红利质量调仓:最优竟非调入股…
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 03:33
Core Viewpoint - The recent rebalancing of the CSI Dividend Quality Index is a significant departure from traditional index rebalancing methods, focusing on a more strategic approach that emphasizes quality and lower valuations in the selected stocks [1][20]. Group 1: Industry Changes - The rebalancing involved a complete exit from coal and financial sectors, with strong additions from consumer and manufacturing sectors [2][10]. - A total of 21 constituent stocks were adjusted, with both the number and weight of changes around 42% [2][3]. Group 2: Stock Exclusions - Notably, no major bank stocks were retained, and traditional high-dividend sectors like coal and oil were also excluded [5][9]. - The only two financial stocks, China Ping An and China Pacific Insurance, were removed, marking a shift to a "non-financial dividend index" [8][7]. Group 3: Stock Inclusions - New inclusions are primarily from consumer healthcare, machinery manufacturing, and non-ferrous chemicals, establishing a foundation for the index [10]. Group 4: Valuation and Quality Improvements - The rebalancing resulted in a decrease in average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 20 to 18, and the median from 21 to 17 [14]. - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio decreased from 3.5 to 3.3, while the median remained at 3.1 [14]. - The average return on equity (ROE) increased from below 17% to above 18% [15]. Group 5: Retained Stocks Performance - The retained stocks in the index showed superior metrics, with average dividend yield and ROE both exceeding those of the newly added and removed stocks [18]. - The average PE ratio of retained stocks was below 0.9, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to the new inclusions [18]. Group 6: Conclusion - The CSI Dividend Quality Index aims to combine low valuations with high-quality companies, making it a benchmark for value investors [23][26]. - The strategy emphasizes the importance of buying into a logical framework rather than relying solely on past performance [25].