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马云说的话要成真了?11月以后,手中有现金的人,或要面临2大难题?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 08:56
昨天和做生意的朋友老陈聊天,他说最近手头攒了不少现金,可是不知道该怎么办。放银行里利息太低,投资又怕风险,创业更是不敢轻易尝试。他感慨地 说,以前觉得手里有钱心里踏实,现在反而觉得这些现金成了烫手山芋。 持有现金本来是件好事,说明有了一定的财富积累。问题是,在当前的经济环境下,单纯持有现金可能会面临一些新的挑战。我们来分析一下这两个现实问 题。 投资风险的增加是持有现金者面临的第一个难题。以前我们觉得买房子、买股票、买理财产品,总有一样能赚钱。现在情况变了,各种投资渠道都存在不同 程度的不确定性。 房地产市场就是个明显的例子。从2021年开始,多个城市的房价出现了调整。根据国家统计局的数据,2024年前三季度,全国商品房销售面积同比下降了近 20%。这种情况下,很多人对房地产投资变得谨慎。 股市的波动也让人头疼。今年以来,A股市场经历了多次起伏,很多投资者都有过山车的感受。即使是一些看起来稳健的蓝筹股,也出现了较大幅度的调 整。散户投资者中,能够持续盈利的比例并不高。 理财产品的收益率也在不断下降。以前银行理财产品年化收益率能达到4?%,现在很多产品的收益率都在3%以下。而且,理财产品打破刚性兑付后,投资者 ...
大佬预言成真?2025年,手握存款的人或面临三大挑战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-26 22:53
Core Insights - The Chinese real estate market is undergoing significant adjustments, with property prices in major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen experiencing substantial declines, reflecting a broader trend of "de-bubbling" in the market [3][5] - The downward trend in savings rates is evident, with a notable decrease in three-year deposit interest rates from 3.25% to 2.15%, indicating a challenging environment for savers [5][7] - By 2025, depositors may face three major challenges: declining deposit interest rates, increasing risks in high-yield investments, and the difficulties associated with entrepreneurship [5][8][9] Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - The real estate market in China is shifting, with once-stable cities now seeing price drops, exemplified by Shanghai's average price falling from over 90,000 yuan per square meter to around 60,000 yuan, a decrease of approximately 30% [3] - Many second and third-tier cities are experiencing even steeper declines, with prices dropping to as low as 3,000 to 4,000 yuan per square meter, highlighting a significant market correction [3] Group 2: Savings and Investment Challenges - The trend of declining deposit interest rates is expected to continue, driven by an oversupply of bank deposits and weak loan demand, which pressures banks to lower rates [5][7] - As deposit interest rates decrease, many savers are considering reallocating their funds to higher-risk investments, but most lack the necessary expertise, increasing the likelihood of losses [7][8] - The stock market has seen a significant decline, with the A-share market losing approximately 26.94 trillion yuan in total market value in 2024, resulting in average losses of around 140,000 yuan per investor [8] - The performance of various investment products, including funds and bank wealth management products, has also deteriorated, with many investors facing losses of 20% to 30% [8] Group 3: Entrepreneurship Risks - The combination of falling deposit rates and a challenging job market is prompting individuals to consider entrepreneurship as a path to financial freedom, but this route is fraught with high risks [9] - Success in entrepreneurship requires exceptional skills, resilience, and thorough preparation, as many ventures fail, potentially leading to significant financial losses for those who invest their savings [9]