投资风险

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如何应对市场波动?彼得·林奇罕见露面:如果你不懂自己买的公司,一旦下跌就会慌,那就别买……
聪明投资者· 2025-10-11 03:51
Core Insights - Peter Lynch, a legendary fund manager, achieved an annualized return of 29.2% while managing the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990, growing it from $18 million to $14 billion [5][6]. - Lynch emphasizes the importance of understanding what one is buying and suggests that investors should write down their reasons for purchasing a stock before buying it [7][10]. - He warns that the real danger in investing is not market volatility but being scared away by it, noting that the average stock on the NYSE experiences a 100% annual volatility [8][9]. Investment Philosophy - Lynch's key investment principle is to know what one is buying; if an investor cannot explain their investment to an 11-year-old in a minute, they should not buy it [10][81]. - He believes that successful investing is not about predicting the future but understanding the present and relying on diligence, common sense, and real-world observation [13][110]. - Lynch advises investors to write a script before buying stocks, detailing why they are buying and why the stock is undervalued [84][91]. Market Insights - Lynch acknowledges the current high valuations in the market, with the S&P 500 trading at a 22x P/E ratio, which he does not consider catastrophic [11]. - He expresses skepticism about the AI hype, stating he has not invested in any AI stocks and only recently learned how to pronounce "Nvidia" [10][161]. - Lynch reflects on the market's tendency to overlook companies that are undervalued or in distress but have potential for recovery, suggesting that these can be lucrative investment opportunities [170][171]. Personal Experience and Lessons - Lynch shares his journey from being a caddy to becoming a successful analyst at Fidelity, highlighting the importance of real-world experience in understanding investments [32][39]. - He recounts the pressure of managing funds for many American families and how he navigated market downturns by maintaining confidence in his investments [22][24]. - Lynch emphasizes that ordinary investors can succeed by applying diligence and common sense, rather than relying solely on complex models or predictions [172][174].
UPM-Kymmene: Why I Don't Mind The Longer Downward Trend
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-09 22:08
Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of UPMMY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. While this article may sound like financial advice, please observe that the author is not a CFA or in any way licensed to give financial advic ...
金融破段子 | 6年前,我曾这般“躲牛市”
中泰证券资管· 2025-09-29 11:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "avoiding bull markets" through personal experiences in real estate investment, emphasizing the importance of cautious decision-making and understanding one's risk tolerance in the context of market fluctuations [2][4][5]. Group 1: Real Estate Market Insights - In 2019, the real estate market was booming, with a prevailing belief that property prices in major cities would continue to rise indefinitely [4]. - The author initially considered leveraging more debt to improve living conditions and investment returns but was persuaded to adopt a more cautious approach [5]. - The decision to focus solely on residential improvement rather than investment speculation led to a lower loan-to-value ratio, reducing financial pressure during market fluctuations [8]. Group 2: Behavioral Insights on Investment - Human nature tends to foster overly optimistic future predictions during bullish market conditions, often overlooking potential risks associated with high asset prices [8]. - Investors are prone to follow popular opinions without critical analysis, as seen in the widespread belief that property prices would always increase [8]. - Making decisions based on what is understandable and manageable can mitigate the impact of unexpected negative events, such as job loss or salary reduction [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategy Considerations - The article highlights the importance of focusing on long-term market averages rather than short-term gains, suggesting that ordinary investors should prioritize understanding their risk tolerance and investment goals [11]. - It emphasizes that successful investing is not a race, and individuals should concentrate on their own financial well-being rather than comparing themselves to others [11].
鲍威尔:将确保关税不会驱动通胀。重申未来的政策路径不会是没有风险的
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-23 16:38
鲍威尔:将确保关税不会驱动通胀。重申未来的政策路径不会是没有风险的。 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 ...
又一黄金料商跑路!一夜之间人去楼空,连胖东来也被连累
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 08:39
投资有风险! 最近,"黄金"商业区域传出多家黄金原料商 "爆雷跑路"消息! 深圳市粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司在该地区是属于知名的黄金原料交易场所,每天有稳定的人流量,基本都 稳定在2000人左右。 可就在9月13日,周围的商铺竟然意外的发现粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司竟然和往常不同。 大门被紧紧关着,并且在门上还贴着一张白色的封条,周围的人也觉得很纳闷。 没想到短短几个小时群里的人数就超过了400人,并且群里一直在不断的进入,不仅仅是本地,还有一 些外地的商户也是受害者。 并且群里还有部分的商户直接被粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司卷走了将近400万元,群里普遍被卷走了几十 万。 毕竟平常这个情况早就开门了,并且"粤宝鑫"三个大字被拆除了,明明前一天晚上还是正常营业,一晚 上过去就只剩下空的了。 随后隔壁的店铺还说在12日的时候还看见粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司店里人一直在整理货。 这个消息在当地被传开后就有不少曾和粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司业务往来的商户来到了现场的。 一开始并不知情随后发现联系不人,这个时候大家才意识到自己是不是被骗了,粤宝鑫贵金属有限公司 的负责人早就已经卷钱"跑了"。 现场有不少的受害者都在围观,并且彼此询问过后才知道都存在 ...
Ask an Advisor: Should I Pay Off My 2.375% Mortgage or Invest in 4% CDs Before Retiring in 7 Years?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 17:00
Group 1 - The decision to pay off a mortgage early or invest more depends on financial goals and potential gains from each option [2][4] - Comparing the mortgage interest rate of 2.375% with potential investment returns, such as a 4% CD, is a common approach [4][7] - The risk associated with investments, particularly in stock portfolios, contrasts with the certainty of savings from paying down a fixed-rate mortgage [6][7] Group 2 - The analysis should consider the time horizon for retirement and the comfort level with investment risk [7] - The low mortgage interest rate of 2.375% supports the argument for not paying it down sooner, especially when a fixed-rate CD offers a higher return [7][8] - Tax implications of CD interest and potential mortgage interest deductions should also be factored into the decision-making process [8]
广州瑞立科密汽车电子股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并在主板上市投资风险特别公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-17 19:56
保荐人(主承销商):中信证券股份有限公司 发行人和保荐人(主承销商)特别提请投资者关注以下内容: 1、本次发行采用向参与战略配售的投资者定向配售(以下简称"战略配售")、网下向符合条件的投资 者询价配售(以下简称"网下发行")和网上向持有深圳市场非限售A股股份和非限售存托凭证市值的社 会公众投资者定价发行(以下简称"网上发行")相结合的方式进行。 本次发行的战略配售、初步询价及网上、网下发行由保荐人(主承销商)负责组织实施。本次发行的战 略配售在保荐人(主承销商)处进行,初步询价和网下发行均通过深交所网下发行电子平台及中国证券 登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司登记结算平台实施,网上发行通过深交所交易系统实施。 2、初步询价结束后,发行人和保荐人(主承销商)根据《广州瑞立科密汽车电子股份有限公司首次公 开发行股票并在主板上市初步询价及推介公告》规定的剔除规则,在剔除不符合要求投资者报价的初步 询价结果后,协商一致将拟申购价格高于43.18元/股(不含)的配售对象全部剔除;将拟申购价格为 43.18元/股、拟申购数量小于1,200万股(不含)的配售对象全部剔除。以上过程共剔除297个配售对 象,对应剔除的拟申购总量 ...
振邦智能:光模块读写器产品目前未实现大规模量产与销售
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-17 09:45
Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhenbang Intelligent (stock code: 003028), has indicated that its optical module reader products have not yet achieved large-scale production and sales, and this business segment contributes a small proportion to the overall revenue [1] Group 1 - The optical module reader products are currently not in large-scale production [1] - The revenue from this business segment is relatively small compared to the company's total revenue [1] - Investors are advised to be cautious regarding investment risks associated with this segment [1]
手里有500w,现在应该怎么投?
雪球· 2025-09-16 08:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses investment strategies for a personal investor with 5 million yuan in idle funds, emphasizing the importance of safety and realistic return expectations in the current market environment [2][4]. Investment Strategy - The investor has a time horizon of at least 3-5 years and seeks to maintain capital safety while accepting a 10-15% volatility with an expected annual return of 5-6% [6][10]. - Achieving a 5-6% annual return while ensuring capital safety is possible but not guaranteed, as it may involve accepting potential capital losses [6][7]. Asset Allocation Recommendations - Certain products should be avoided, such as insurance products due to their complex terms and low returns, and short-term debt or cash products which do not meet the return expectations [12][13]. - Recommended investment options include: - Bank wealth management products, particularly those with multi-asset strategies, which can provide better risk-return profiles [13]. - Securities firm asset management products that offer fixed income plus strategies, requiring careful selection and professional advice [13]. - Public and private equity products, as well as broad-based indices, which can be suitable for long-term investment but require professional guidance for selection [14]. Specific Investment Suggestions - The investor is advised to allocate funds into a diversified portfolio, with a suggested allocation of 25% in global assets, 25% in quantitative strategies, and 50% in fixed income [19][20]. - The investment should be executed in phases, with an initial investment of 30-50% of the total amount, followed by gradual investments based on market conditions and advice from the investment manager [23][24]. Conclusion - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the risks involved in investment and the need for a well-thought-out strategy that aligns with the investor's financial goals and risk tolerance [9][22].