创新驱动的经济增长
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夏春:认识创新、竞争与增长的复杂性——深度解读24-25年诺贝尔经济学奖
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 04:45
Core Insights - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt (KAH) for their research on "innovation-driven economic growth," which is closely related to China's push for new productivity [1][5] - The unexpected aspect of the award is the high overlap of KAH's findings with the anticipated 2024 and 2025 Nobel Prize winners [5][10] - The historical trend shows a preference for macroeconomic and growth fields in Nobel Prize awards, with seven awards given in this area since 2000, indicating a significant focus on these themes [11] Group 1 - KAH's contributions to economic growth theory are significant, particularly in the context of current global technological innovations and competition, especially in AI [5][24] - The research of KAH and the previous winners, Aghion, Johnson, and Robinson (AJR), overlaps significantly, particularly in the area of how innovation and technology impact economic growth and social equality [10][11] - The historical context of the Industrial Revolution and its spread from Britain to Europe is a critical area of study, with various scholars, including AJR and Mokyr, exploring the factors behind this phenomenon [12][13] Group 2 - AJR's research emphasizes the role of inclusive institutions in economic growth, while Mokyr highlights the importance of the combination of theoretical and practical knowledge for sustained growth [12][13] - The integration of geographical, economic, social, and cultural factors into a comprehensive framework for understanding the Industrial Revolution is a notable development in economic thought [15] - The concept of "creative destruction" as a driver of economic growth is explored, with findings indicating that moderate competition fosters innovation, while excessive competition can stifle it [21][28] Group 3 - The decline in total factor productivity (TFP) in various countries, including China, raises questions about the effectiveness of technological advancements in driving economic growth [26][27] - The phenomenon of "superstar firms" dominating markets and potentially hindering innovation among smaller competitors is a critical concern for future economic dynamics [28][30] - The need for policies that promote fair competition and limit the monopolistic practices of large firms is emphasized to ensure a balanced economic environment [33]
阿吉翁家族传奇vs.“人生的意义”小吃店
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-20 23:28
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the theory of "innovation-driven economic growth" [1] Group 1: Innovation and Economic Growth - Aghion's core ideas emphasize that innovation and knowledge dissemination are central to economic growth [6] - Innovation relies on incentives and property rights, with firms as the main agents of innovation and government acting as an "investor" and "insurer" [6][7] - The increasing difficulty of innovation is highlighted, as the number of researchers needed to achieve advancements like Moore's Law has increased significantly [8] Group 2: Creative Destruction - Aghion's family history exemplifies "creative destruction," with his mother founding Chloé to revolutionize women's fashion, creating a new concept of "luxury prêt-à-porter" [10] - Aghion transformed this family legacy into a theoretical framework for understanding capitalist economic growth through the Neo-Schumpeterian growth paradigm [11] Group 3: Personal and Societal Values - A small eatery in Zhengzhou gained popularity by emphasizing philosophical and poetic values over mere commercial success, showcasing a form of "creative destruction" [14][15] - The owner chose to close the restaurant at peak popularity to maintain personal integrity and a deeper purpose, reflecting a conscious decision to prioritize authenticity over profit [16][17] Group 4: Parallels in Values - The Aghion family represents an "additive" elegance, using resources to create new possibilities, while the eatery owner embodies a "subtractive" elegance, sacrificing immediate gains for deeper truths [19][20] - Both examples illustrate a commitment to "creative destruction," resisting external pressures to maintain their core values and purposes [21][22] Group 5: Philosophical Reflections - The essence of "creative destruction" is rooted in a pure, unwavering internal core, which can manifest in both grand revolutions and quiet retreats [23] - The pursuit of life's meaning is framed as participation in the ongoing cycle of "creative destruction," emphasizing the importance of understanding and engaging with this process [24][25]
人物|菲利普·阿吉翁:“创造性破坏”的浴火与涅槃
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 13:54
Core Insights - Innovation is often met with resistance and challenges from established interests, embodying the concept of "creative destruction" which leads to economic renewal and growth [2][3][4] Group 1: Aghion's Background and Contributions - Philippe Aghion, born in 1956 in Paris, is influenced by his mother's innovative spirit in the fashion industry, which shaped his approach to economics [3] - Aghion and Peter Howitt developed a mathematical model in 1992 that illustrates how new products lead to the failure of companies selling outdated products, emphasizing the dual nature of innovation as both creative and destructive [3][4] Group 2: Economic Theories and Models - Aghion's work is rooted in Schumpeterian endogenous growth theory, which posits that long-term growth relies on innovation, driven by investments in R&D and skills [4][5] - The theory highlights the conflict between old and new technologies, necessitating government intervention to support transitions and mitigate risks associated with creative destruction [5][6] Group 3: Policy Implications and Global Perspectives - Aghion advocates for open markets and competition as essential drivers of growth, criticizing protectionist policies that hinder innovation [9] - His research extends to developing countries, analyzing paths to economic advancement and the importance of fostering an environment conducive to innovation [10][11] Group 4: Recommendations for China - Aghion emphasizes the need for China to transition from imitation to innovation-led growth, focusing on inclusive and environmentally friendly economic models [11][12] - Key pillars for this transition include fostering competition, enhancing university autonomy, creating a dynamic labor market, and strengthening financial systems to support high-risk investments [12][13]
今年诺奖得主,警告特朗普
凤凰网财经· 2025-10-14 12:38
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Joel Mokyr, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [2][6] - Aghion emphasized that tariffs are detrimental to economic growth, advocating for larger markets to facilitate trade and innovation [6][7] - The scholars warned against government policies that may stifle innovation, highlighting the importance of a unified European market to enhance economic vitality [7][10] Group 1: Contributions of Nobel Laureates - Philippe Aghion, along with Howitt, transformed the concept of "creative destruction" into a theoretical model, emphasizing its role in economic growth [2][11] - Joel Mokyr focused on the historical roots of economic growth, analyzing the interplay between technological progress, knowledge economy, and industrial revolutions [12][13] - Aghion and Howitt's collaboration in 1987 introduced "creative destruction" into endogenous growth models, illustrating the dynamic replacement of old products by new innovations [11][12] Group 2: Economic Growth Dynamics - Aghion argued that AI could significantly enhance productivity and accelerate the process of "creative destruction," which is essential for sustained economic growth [7][10] - Mokyr's research highlighted that economic growth is not a given but a result of various intertwined factors, including political environment and institutional design [16][19] - The laureates collectively stressed that maintaining the mechanisms behind creative destruction is crucial to avoid economic stagnation [24]
2025年诺贝尔经济学奖得主乔尔·莫基尔,论培根和世界经济史
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-10-14 12:19
Group 1 - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the understanding of "innovation-driven economic growth" [1] - The prize amount for this year is 11 million Swedish Krona, with half awarded to Joel Mokyr and the other half shared between Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt [1] Group 2 - Joel Mokyr, born in 1946 in Leiden, Netherlands, is a professor of economics and history at Northwestern University and has a PhD from Yale University [3] - Mokyr's work emphasizes the relationship between economic history and institutional economics, particularly in his book "The Culture of Growth: The Origins of Modern Economy," which discusses the impact of experimental science on the Industrial Revolution and economic history [3][5] Group 3 - The concept of knowledge integration in science and technology, as proposed by Francis Bacon, is highlighted as a foundation for economic progress in the 18th century [5][6] - Bacon's ideas about the importance of practical knowledge and the role of craftsmen in technological advancement are noted as significant influences on the development of modern economic thought [30][32]
不取巧、不片面,万字读透诺奖经济学奖思想:经济增长根治于一个文明的学习能力
经济观察报· 2025-10-14 10:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of the Nobel Prize awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the understanding of "innovation-driven economic growth," emphasizing the interplay between knowledge, innovation, and the process of creative destruction in sustaining economic growth [6][42]. Group 1: Knowledge and Innovation - Mokyr's research highlights that knowledge is the catalyst for modern economic growth, with technological progress driven by the accumulation and dissemination of knowledge rather than mere economic incentives [14][15]. - The integration of theoretical and practical knowledge in modern society is crucial for initiating industrial revolutions and sustaining growth [15][16]. - The Enlightenment period significantly influenced the cultural attitude towards knowledge, enhancing its accessibility and fostering a culture of scientific inquiry [17][19]. Group 2: Creative Destruction - Aghion and Howitt's theory of "creative destruction" posits that economic growth is driven by the replacement of old technologies with new ones through research and development (R&D) investments [30][31]. - Their model addresses the shortcomings of the Solow model by incorporating the technology update process, emphasizing the dual effects of technological change on economic growth and the welfare of society [32]. - The balance between competition and innovation is complex, with competition acting as a double-edged sword that can either stimulate or hinder innovation depending on the market context [35][36]. Group 3: Policy Implications - The article suggests that effective industrial policies should focus on creating a competitive environment that encourages innovation across all firms, rather than solely rewarding the most successful ones [37]. - In the context of carbon neutrality, the discussion emphasizes the need for a holistic approach to energy transition that considers long-term efficiency and the potential pitfalls of gradual reforms [39][40].
万字长文深度解析2025年诺贝尔经济学奖:当文明燃烧,增长才开始
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-10-14 09:40
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their research on "innovation-driven economic growth" [1] - Mokyr received half of the prize for clarifying the necessary conditions for technological progress to drive sustained growth, while Aghion and Howitt shared the other half for their theory on sustained growth driven by the process of "creative destruction" [1] Group 1: Joel Mokyr's Contributions - Mokyr emphasizes that knowledge is the spark for modern growth, arguing that technological progress is driven by the accumulation and dissemination of knowledge rather than mere economic incentives [7][8] - He categorizes knowledge into "epistemic knowledge" (theoretical understanding) and "techne" (practical skills), asserting that the fusion of these two types of knowledge is crucial for initiating the Industrial Revolution and modern growth [8][9] - Mokyr's research highlights the importance of political and cultural conditions in Europe that facilitated the creation, accumulation, and dissemination of useful knowledge, which was essential for modern economic growth [9][10] Group 2: Aghion and Howitt's Contributions - Aghion and Howitt's work is rooted in the concept of "creative destruction," which posits that economic growth is driven by the replacement of old technologies with new ones through research and development (R&D) [22][24] - Their model builds on Joseph Schumpeter's idea of "creative destruction," formalizing the process by which technological advancements lead to both increased economic potential and the obsolescence of existing technologies [23][24] - Aghion argues that competition has a dual effect on innovation, where moderate competition can stimulate innovation, but excessive competition may hinder it, leading to a nuanced understanding of how market dynamics influence growth [27][28] Group 3: Broader Implications - The research of Mokyr, Aghion, and Howitt collectively underscores that economic growth is not merely a function of increased wealth or output, but rather a reflection of a society's ability to accumulate knowledge, foster innovation, and rebuild after destruction [33] - Their findings are particularly relevant in the context of current global challenges, such as the rise of populism and protectionism, which threaten the mechanisms that support creative destruction and, consequently, economic growth [34]
今年诺奖得主,警告特朗普
盐财经· 2025-10-14 09:12
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Joel Mokyr, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [4][28] - Aghion emphasized the negative impact of tariffs on economic growth, stating that trade barriers hinder market fluidity and innovation [10][12] - The trio's research highlights the importance of maintaining mechanisms that support creative destruction to avoid economic stagnation [28] Group 1: Contributions of Nobel Laureates - Philippe Aghion aims to use his prize money to further research on the impact of AI and innovation on economic growth [2] - Joel Mokyr's work focuses on the historical roots of economic growth, analyzing the interplay between technological progress and industrial revolutions [19][20] - Peter Howitt, along with Aghion, developed a theoretical model that incorporates the concept of creative destruction into endogenous growth theory [16][26] Group 2: Economic Policies and Innovation - Aghion warned against government policies that suppress innovation, advocating for a unified European market to enhance technological advancement [12][13] - Mokyr criticized the Trump administration's research policies, labeling them as detrimental to the U.S.'s leadership in science and education [26][27] - The laureates collectively argue that innovation is essential for addressing global challenges such as climate change and aging populations, requiring supportive government policies [27]
南财快评|诺贝尔经济学奖启示:如何应对AI的“创造性破坏”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 03:14
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their groundbreaking contributions to understanding "innovation-driven economic growth" [2][3] Group 1: Historical Insights - Joel Mokyr emphasizes the importance of "knowledge accumulation" and "cultural environment" as key prerequisites for innovation, arguing that the cultural shift in 18th century Europe facilitated the transformation of scientific knowledge into technology, thus promoting economic growth [3][4] - Mokyr's work highlights the significance of ideas and culture in technological innovation and economic growth, asserting that a culture that encourages questioning, values science, and protects intellectual freedom is essential for sustained technological progress [4] Group 2: Theoretical Foundations - Aghion and Howitt introduced the "Schumpeterian Growth Model," which mathematically incorporates the concept of "creative destruction" into mainstream economic analysis, illustrating how new technologies and firms disrupt old market structures to drive economic growth [5] - Their model posits that innovation is profit-driven, with firms motivated to invest in R&D to capture "innovation rents," and that the process of creative destruction is a necessary aspect of economic progress [5] - The model also addresses the inherent contradictions in innovation, where today's innovators may become future obstacles to innovation due to their established advantages [5] Group 3: Policy Implications - The theories of these scholars provide analytical tools and policy insights for managing current technological changes, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) [6] - It is crucial to actively manage the structural unemployment caused by technological advancements and implement strong antitrust policies to prevent tech giants from stifling innovation [6][8] - Investment in education, social security, and an open cultural environment is necessary to support long-term innovation and higher quality economic development [6][9] Group 4: AI and Creative Destruction - AI technology exemplifies "creative destruction" by rapidly replacing traditional jobs across various sectors, necessitating proactive management of this disruption to foster high-quality economic growth [7] - The concentration of AI research within a few tech giants poses risks of monopolistic practices that could hinder innovation, highlighting the need for effective regulatory frameworks and open competition [8] - The sustainability of technological innovation relies on a supportive social environment that fosters critical thinking, creativity, and interdisciplinary skills, alongside robust unemployment support and retraining systems [9]
诺贝尔经济学奖启示:如何应对AI的“创造性破坏”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 03:00
Core Insights - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences 2025 was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their groundbreaking contributions to understanding "innovation-driven economic growth" [1] Group 1: Understanding Economic Growth - The traditional neoclassical growth models view technological progress as an exogenous variable, failing to explain its intrinsic dynamics [2] - Mokyr's research emphasizes the importance of "knowledge accumulation" and "cultural environment" as key prerequisites for innovation [2] - Aghion and Howitt's "Schumpeterian Growth Model" mathematically incorporates the concept of "creative destruction," highlighting that new technologies and firms disrupt old market structures, driving continuous economic growth [3] Group 2: Policy Implications - The theories of these scholars provide analytical tools and policy insights for managing the structural unemployment caused by technological advancements, particularly in AI [4] - Strong antitrust policies are necessary to prevent tech giants from stifling innovation, requiring collaboration among government, market, and civil society [4] - Investment in education, social security, and an open culture is essential to support long-term innovation and higher quality economic development [4] Group 3: AI and Creative Destruction - AI technology is rapidly replacing traditional jobs, exemplifying "creative destruction" by increasing efficiency while posing risks of structural unemployment [6] - The concentration of AI research among a few tech giants raises concerns about monopolistic practices that could inhibit innovation across the ecosystem [7] - The sustainability of technological innovation relies on a supportive social environment, emphasizing the need for critical thinking, creativity, and interdisciplinary skills in the workforce [8]