金十数据6月6日讯，凯投宏观的安德鲁•肯宁汉写道，欧元区年初的强劲增长掩盖了该地区经济潜在的 疲弱表现。周五公布的数据显示，欧元区一季度增长了0.6%，对此前0.3%增长预期的大幅修正。但这 种快速增长在很大程度上要归功于美国征收贸易关税预期推动的药品出口激增。肯宁汉说，德国和爱尔 兰这两个重要的药品生产国在很大程度上支持了此次上修。他说，这种情况将在第二季度初出现逆转。 他警告说："从这种波动来看，潜在的情况是一种微弱的周期性复苏。" 凯投宏观：欧元区由关税引发的增长无法持续 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) reported better-than-expected Q2 results and provided optimistic guidance for Q3, reflecting strong performance in the analog chip and MCU sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached $2.64 billion, exceeding market consensus of $2.51 billion and Morgan Stanley's estimate of $2.50 billion, with a quarter-over-quarter growth of 8.9% and year-over-year growth of 22.3% [1][2]. - Adjusted gross margin was 69.4%, surpassing market consensus of 68.6% and Morgan Stanley's estimate of 69.1% [1]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.85, higher than the market consensus of $1.69 and Morgan Stanley's estimate of $1.70 [1]. Segment Performance - Revenue breakdown for Q2 included: - Industrial: $1.16 billion, slightly above estimates [2]. - Automotive: $849.5 million, exceeding estimates by 13% [2]. - Consumer: $317.8 million, in line with expectations [2]. - Communications: $315.1 million, exceeding estimates by 11% [2]. Q3 Guidance - For Q3, ADI expects revenue of $2.75 billion, above market consensus of $2.60 billion and Morgan Stanley's estimate of $2.60 billion [2]. - Expected adjusted EPS for Q3 is $1.92, higher than market consensus of $1.79 and Morgan Stanley's estimate of $1.86 [2]. Long-term Outlook - Morgan Stanley raised revenue and margin forecasts for FY2025 and FY2026, reflecting increased confidence in cyclical recovery [3]. - The company anticipates strong performance across all end markets and regions, with industrial demand expected to align better with supply in Q3 [3]. - ADI's management acknowledged the impact of customer pull-ins, particularly in the automotive sector, contributing significantly to Q2 revenue outperformance [3]. Operational Efficiency - ADI's operational leverage is expected to normalize in the second half of FY2025, setting a solid foundation for FY2026 [4]. - The company has maintained an operating profit margin above 40% since Q2 FY2024, with guidance for Q3 FY2025 at 41.5% [4]. - Inventory management and communication with distributors have improved, supporting operational leverage [4]. Market Position - Despite a high valuation, ADI's stable performance amidst macroeconomic uncertainty positions it as a defensive play in the analog chip sector [5]. - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on the analog chip industry, believing it is in a recovery phase after hitting a bottom [5]. - ADI is viewed as the most defensive stock in the analog chip/MCU sector due to its strong balance sheet and effective supply-demand management [5].

智通财经APP获悉，汇丰发布研报称，2025年一季度A股盈利同比增长3.8%，材料(+40.3%)和信息技术(+24.7%)板块领涨，成长风格持续跑赢市 场。基于AI渗透率提升、全球化贸易突破及周期性行业复苏三大投资主题，重点推荐小米集团-W(01810)、深信服(300454.SZ)、掌趣科技 (300315.SZ)、和铂医药-B(02142)、立讯精密(002475.SZ)、安克创新(300866.SZ)、巨星科技(002444.SZ)、苏州银行(002966.SZ)、珀莱雅 (603605.SH)、顺丰控股(002352.SZ)等10只买入评级股票。 汇丰主要观点如下： 汇丰重点关注三大投资主题：人工智能(AI)、全球化、周期性复苏 2025 年一季度 A 股盈利同比增长 3.8%，材料和信息技术板块领涨成长风格预计将继续跑赢市场，2025 年一季度和 2024 年的盈利增长强劲支撑这 一趋势。 2025 年一季度及 2024 年业绩关键要点： 2025 年一季度 A 股盈利同比增长 3.8%，但 2024 年同比下降 2.3%; 分行业来看，2025 年一季度材料(+40.3%，有色金属和钢铁价格回升 ...