LFP正极材料

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镍周报:警惕宏观扰动,镍价弱势震荡-20250714
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-14 11:36
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Macro aspect: Trump's tariff turmoil has resurfaced, but the overall tariff pressure has been reduced, leading to strong uncertainty in the policy. Most Fed officials still believe it is appropriate to cut interest rates at the end of the year, and the impact of Trump's tariffs on prices remains uncertain [3]. - Fundamental aspect: Nickel ore prices have weakened, stainless - steel production has declined, spot inventories are high, steel mills' willingness to replenish raw materials is weak, nickel - iron prices are under pressure, and the cost pressure on nickel - iron plants is still prominent. The power market has no significant changes, and nickel sulfate is relatively stable. Pure nickel continues the de - stocking trend, but the spot market is cold, and the premium has dropped significantly [3]. - Future outlook: Supply increases month - on - month, demand decreases month - on - month, and nickel prices lack fundamental drivers. In the short term, focus on macro risks. The nickel price may fluctuate weakly [3][11]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Last Week's Market Important Data - SHFE nickel price rose from 120,540 yuan/ton on July 7, 2025, to 121,390 yuan/ton on July 11, 2025, an increase of 850 yuan/ton. LME nickel price rose from 15,177 dollars/ton to 15,198 dollars/ton, an increase of 21 dollars/ton. LME inventory increased by 3,708 tons to 206,178 tons, while SHFE inventory decreased by 390 tons to 20,442 tons. Jinchuan nickel premium increased by 50 yuan/ton to 2,050 yuan/ton, and Russian nickel premium increased by 250 yuan/ton to 550 yuan/ton. High - nickel pig iron average price decreased by 10 yuan/nickel point to 912 yuan/nickel point, and stainless - steel inventory increased by 1.47 tons to 93.1 tons [4]. 2. Market Review Nickel Ore - The price of 1.5% laterite nickel ore in the Philippines dropped from 52 dollars/wet ton to 51 dollars/wet ton, and that in Indonesia dropped from 46.9 dollars/wet ton to 46.4 dollars/wet ton. Due to rainfall disturbances, the supply shortage at the mine end has persisted. With the long - term pressure on nickel - iron, some nickel - iron plants have reduced production and carried out maintenance, alleviating the shortage of nickel ore and causing the high - level price to weaken [5]. Nickel Iron - The price of high - nickel pig iron (10% - 12%) dropped from 907.5 yuan/nickel point to 905 yuan/nickel point. In June, China's nickel - iron production was expected to be about 24,550 metal tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.82%, and 24,540 tons in July, a month - on - month decrease of 0.04%. In May, domestic nickel - iron imports were about 848,200 tons, a year - on - year increase of 30.19% and a month - on - month decrease of 3.83%. Indonesia's nickel - iron production in June was 136,800 nickel tons, a year - on - year increase of 13.51% and a month - on - month decrease of 3.26%, and 134,700 nickel tons in July, a year - on - year increase of 28.42% and a month - on - month decrease of 1.52%. The stainless - steel production has shrunk significantly, the inventory is at an absolute high level, and the downstream steel mills' willingness to replenish nickel - iron is weak. The cost pressure on nickel - iron plants is increasing, and many plants have reduced production. If the production continues to shrink, it may drive the price to stop falling and stabilize [6]. Nickel Sulfate - The price of battery - grade nickel sulfate rose slightly from 27,400 yuan/ton to 27,420 yuan/ton, and the price of electroplating - grade nickel sulfate remained at 28,000 yuan/ton. In June, the metal output of nickel sulfate was about 24,795 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 18.68% and a month - on - month decrease of 1.39%. The output of ternary materials increased to about 64,600 tons, a year - on - year increase of 30.95% and a month - on - month increase of 1.36%. As of July 4, the downstream nickel - sulfate inventory days increased to 13 days, and the upstream inventory days decreased to about 8 days. The high inventory may suppress the material plants' replenishment intensity, and the nickel - sulfate price may be difficult to rise further [7]. 3. Macro and Fundamental Analysis - Macro: Trump's tariff turmoil has resurfaced, with most countries seeing a decline in tariff rates compared to April. The Fed believes it is appropriate to cut interest rates at the end of the year and emphasizes observing the impact of tariffs on the supply chain [3][8]. - Fundamental: In July, the domestic monthly production capacity decreased slightly by 400 tons to 53,699 tons, and the smelter production increased slightly month - on - month. The expected production of electrolytic nickel in July was 32,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of about 1.25%. The export profit turned negative, which may suppress the domestic inventory de - stocking [8]. 4. Terminal Consumption - From July 1 - 6, the retail sales of new - energy passenger vehicles in China were 135,000, a year - on - year increase of 21% and a month - on - month decrease of 11%. The retail penetration rate of the new - energy market was 56.7%, and the cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year were 6.583 million, a year - on - year increase of 37%. The sales growth rate of new - energy vehicles weakened in the first week of July. The shortage of subsidy funds may drag down demand, and the export of new - energy vehicles to Europe is expected to weaken. The "Big and Beautiful" Act in the US will cancel subsidies for new - energy vehicle purchases after September 30. The domestic policy will focus on the automotive industry, and the demand is not expected to increase significantly [9]. 5. Inventory - The current total social inventory of pure nickel in six places is 39,173 tons, a decrease of 1,144 tons from the previous period. SHFE inventory is 20,442 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 399 tons, and LME nickel inventory is 206,178 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3,708 tons. The total inventory of the two major global exchanges is 226,620 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3,318 tons [10]. 6. Industry News - Indonesia's approved nickel - ore production in 2025 reached 364 million tons, higher than the 2024 target [12]. - Zhongwei Co., Ltd.'s first - phase 40,000 - ton nickel - based material production line in Morocco has been fully put into operation, and the base has a complete industrial - chain layout [12]. - Zhejiang New Era Zhongneng Technology Co., Ltd.'s project of producing electrowon nickel - cobalt in a sulfuric - acid system has been successfully put into production [12]. - Indonesian ITMG acquired a 9.62% stake in a nickel - mining enterprise [12]. 7. Relevant Charts - The report provides charts on the trends of domestic and foreign nickel prices, spot premiums, LME 0 - 3 nickel premiums, nickel domestic - to - foreign ratios, nickel - futures inventories, nickel - ore port inventories, high - nickel - iron prices, 300 - series stainless - steel prices, and stainless - steel inventories [14][16]
基础化工行业研究:多产品价格持续上行,地缘风险溢价上升
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-15 07:47
Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious outlook on the chemical industry, with a focus on price increases for specific products and potential investment opportunities in companies like Kangkuan and nitrated cotton [1][2]. Core Insights - The chemical market is experiencing price increases, with notable price adjustments for products such as chlorantraniliprole and Bacillus thuringiensis, indicating a favorable pricing environment [1][2]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran-Israel conflict, have led to increased oil prices, which in turn affects the chemical sector positively by raising the prices of related products like methanol and strontium carbonate [2][3]. - The report highlights significant events impacting the industry, including the launch of a new production facility by China Pingmei Shenma Group, which could alter the competitive landscape in the nylon industry [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The basic chemical index fell by 0.01%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.24% this week, with strong performances from specific stocks [1][11]. - Brent crude oil averaged $69.45 per barrel, up 6.22% week-on-week, while WTI crude oil averaged $67.89 per barrel, up 7.17% [11]. Key Events - The report notes the successful negotiation of a major potassium fertilizer contract at $346 per ton, indicating a positive outlook for the potassium fertilizer market [1]. - The establishment of a new 100,000 tons/year production facility by China Pingmei Shenma Group marks a significant development in the nylon supply chain [3]. Price Movements - The report tracks price changes for various chemical products, with significant increases noted in sectors such as textile chemical products and compound fertilizers [11][12]. - The report indicates that the prices of methanol and strontium carbonate are gaining attention due to their correlation with rising oil prices [2][11]. Industry Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing recovery in domestic and international demand for chemicals, particularly in the tire and rubber sectors, which are seeing a resurgence in production rates [27][28]. - The AI industry is also highlighted, with significant investments being made, indicating a broader trend of technological integration within the chemical sector [4].
每日速递 | 宁德时代支付富临精工5亿预付款,锁单磷酸铁锂
高工锂电· 2025-06-09 11:41
Group 1: Battery Industry Developments - Shenzhen has initiated the development of local standards for heavy-duty truck battery swapping systems, requiring completion by December 31, 2026, to promote standardization and interoperability in new energy commercial vehicle infrastructure [3] - Source Energy has signed an agreement to establish a solid-state battery industrial base in Hangzhou with a total investment of 2.5 billion yuan, aiming for an annual output value of 5 billion yuan upon reaching full production [4] - Tianhong New Materials has achieved full production capacity of its lithium battery separator production lines, reaching an annual capacity of 650 million square meters, with a focus on ultra-thin and semi-solid battery separators [7] Group 2: Material Supply Agreements - Fulin Precision has signed a supplementary agreement with CATL for a 500 million yuan advance payment to support its production facilities, ensuring that 100% of its capacity from 2025 to 2029 will prioritize materials for CATL [10] - Guangdong Dongdao has received approval for its application to list on the New Third Board, with a total of 60,190,287 shares to be publicly traded, focusing on lithium-ion battery anode materials [12] Group 3: International Collaborations - Wanhua Chemical has signed a memorandum of cooperation with European lithium iron phosphate battery manufacturer ElevenEs to supply key battery materials and support its production base in Serbia, marking a significant step in Wanhua's global strategy [14]
万华化学签约欧洲电池大客户!
起点锂电· 2025-06-09 09:34AI Processing
锂电产业链又一企业加速布局欧洲市场! 6月5日消息, 万华化学与欧洲磷酸铁锂(LFP)电池制造商ElevenEs已于5月签署合作备忘录, 将携手在欧洲建立本地化的电池正 极材料供应链。 根据协议,万华化学将向ElevenEs供应LFP正极材料、PVDF粘合剂、NMP(N-甲基-2-吡咯烷酮)溶剂等关键电池材料,并为后者 塞尔维亚生产基地提供全球供应链支持。 未来,双方还计划在电动汽车、储能系统等领域展开更广泛合作。 起点锂电了解到, ElevenEs是塞尔维亚一家电池制造商,由 Al Pack集团拆分而来,自2019年开始 一直对磷酸铁锂电池进行研 发,在2022年生产出欧洲首款同时也是当时 欧洲最大的磷酸铁锂电池原型。 2023年4月,ElevenEs专门生产磷酸铁锂电池的旗舰工厂,在塞尔维亚的苏博蒂察正式开业。目前,ElevenEs 正计划建设一座年产 能1GWh的磷酸铁锂电池"超级工厂",并进一步将产能扩产至8GWh。 行业认为,磷酸铁锂电池在欧洲市场获得较大的关注,对于 ElevenEs而言,正是推动生产的好时机。同时对于 万华化学来说,与 ElevenEs的合作 有利于海外业绩的增长,并强化其全球竞 ...
万华化学,签约锂电大客户!
鑫椤锂电· 2025-06-09 07:49
关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 本文来源:储能前沿 根据协议, 万华将向ElevenEs供应LFP正极材料、PVDF粘合剂、 NMP(N-甲基-2-吡咯烷酮)溶剂 等 关键电池材料 , 并为后者塞尔维亚生产基地提供全球供应链支持。 相较于今年3月,万华通过旗下万华化学集团电池科技有限公司与IBU-tec 先进材料公司签署在欧合作开 发LFP电池材料的协议,本次合作标志着万华自主产能正式独立进军欧洲电池材料市场。 万华化学表示,此次合作是其全球化战略的重要一步。未来,双方还计划在电动汽车、储能系统等领域展 开更广泛合作。 日前, 万华化学 与欧洲磷酸铁锂电池制造商ElevenEs已于5月签署 合作备忘录 。 会议详情 I C C S I N O END 会议主办: 鑫椤资讯 会议时间: 2025年7月8-9日(8号报到) 会议地点: 中国·上海 会议咨询: 19921233064(微信同) 据了解, ElevenEs总部位于塞尔维亚 北部城市苏博蒂察,于2023年开发出欧洲首款LFP电池。今年5 月,该公司发布一款面向电动车和工业设备的新型电芯产品,具 ...