Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on November 7, 2025, including weak oscillations for stock index futures, iron ore, crude oil, PTA, PVC, and soybean meal futures; shock consolidation for gold and silver futures; and wide - range oscillations for some other futures contracts [2][3][5][6]. Summary by Directory 1. Macro News and Trading Tips - China emphasizes the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port, promotes trade and investment liberalization, and responds to the issue of Nexperia. The Chinese government also conducts reverse repurchase operations and adjusts administrative divisions. In the US, Trump reaches an agreement on GLP - 1 diet pills, and the employment situation is severe, leading to an increase in interest - rate cut expectations. The US government shutdown affects inflation data and the aviation industry. The UK central bank maintains the interest rate, and the expectation of an interest - rate cut in December increases [8][9][10]. - On November 6, international precious - metal futures generally closed down, oil prices declined, and most London base metals rose. Indonesia stops approving applications for nickel ore processing plants, and Saudi Aramco lowers the price of crude oil sold to Asia [10][11]. 2. Futures Market Analysis and Forecast Stock Index Futures - On November 6, major stock - index futures contracts such as IF2512, IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 showed different degrees of increase. The A - share market rose, with an increase in trading volume. MSCI adjusted its index, and Hong Kong stocks also rose. US and European stock markets generally fell [12][13][14][15][16][17]. - It is expected that on November 7, stock - index futures will show weak oscillations, and in November 2025, they will likely have wide - range oscillations [17][18]. Treasury Bond Futures - On November 6, ten - year and thirty - year treasury - bond futures contracts generally declined. The central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations, resulting in a net withdrawal of funds. It is expected that on November 7, ten - year and thirty - year treasury - bond futures contracts will have wide - range oscillations [34][35][36][38][39]. Precious - Metal Futures - On November 6, gold and silver futures contracts rose. It is expected that in November 2025, the continuous main contracts of gold and silver futures will have wide - range oscillations, and on November 7, they will show shock consolidation [40][48][49]. Base - Metal Futures - On November 6, copper, aluminum, alumina, and carbon - lithium futures contracts showed different degrees of increase. It is expected that in November 2025, copper, aluminum, and carbon - lithium futures will have wide - range oscillations, and alumina futures will have weak wide - range oscillations. On November 7, copper and alumina futures will have weak oscillations, and aluminum futures will have wide - range oscillations and attempt to break through resistance levels [53][59][63][67][68]. Building - Material and Energy - Chemical Futures - On November 6, futures contracts such as rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, crude oil, PTA, PVC, methanol, and soybean meal showed different trends. It is expected that in November 2025, most of these futures will have wide - range oscillations. On November 7, rebar, glass, and soda - ash futures will show shock consolidation; hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, crude oil, PTA, PVC, methanol, and soybean meal futures will have weak oscillations; and carbon - lithium futures will have strong oscillations [70][76][79][84][87][91][95][98][101][103][104].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On November 6, all four stock index futures contracts for the current month rose. IF rose 1.39%, IH rose 1.06%, IC rose 1.65%, and IM rose 1.07% [1] - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures declined, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 5,203 lots, IH by 1,639 lots, IC by 13,675 lots, and IM by 35,254 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF decreased by 5,389 lots, IH by 744 lots, IC by 6,940 lots, and IM by 16,927 lots [1][2] - The trend strength of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend strength value ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1期指期现数据跟踪 - **IF Contracts**: The closing prices of IF2511, IF2512, IF2603, and IF2606 were 4,683.8, 4,670.8, 4,638, and 4,598.8 respectively, with increases of 1.39%, 1.39%, 1.34%, and 1.40%. The trading volumes were 25,490, 71,116, 11,664, and 3,143 respectively, with changes of -2,275, -2,100, +258, and -1,086. The positions were 41,334, 154,733, 56,466, and 12,118 respectively, with changes of -2,507, -1,516, -1,020, and -346 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The closing prices of IH2511, IH2512, IH2603, and IH2606 were 3,043, 3,041.4, 3,038, and 3,032.8 respectively, with increases of 1.06%, 1.04%, 0.91%, and 0.87%. The trading volumes were 10,774, 34,423, 4,594, and 1,690 respectively, with changes of -418, -458, -607, and -156. The positions were 14,300, 61,694, 16,259, and 3,981 respectively, with changes of -862, -181, +156, and +143 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The closing prices of IC2511, IC2512, IC2603, and IC2606 were 7,304.6, 7,246.4, 7,078, and 6,893 respectively, with increases of 1.65%, 1.69%, 1.66%, and 1.76%. The trading volumes were 26,211, 85,816, 16,081, and 5,380 respectively, with changes of -3,023, -7,348, -2,002, and -1,302. The positions were 46,862, 134,122, 51,320, and 17,191 respectively, with changes of -1,474, -2,634, -2,243, and -589 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The closing prices of IM2511, IM2512, IM2603, and IM2606 were 7,487.8, 7,405, 7,186.8, and 6,974.6 respectively, with increases of 1.07%, 1.03%, 1.01%, and 1.05%. The trading volumes were 34,963, 138,409, 21,128, and 8,930 respectively, with changes of -6,787, -21,508, -5,090, and -1,869. The positions were 63,769, 176,903, 77,197, and 31,987 respectively, with changes of -3,317, +40,147, -1,355, and +413 [1] 3.2期指前20大会员持仓增减 - **IF Contracts**: For IF2511, long positions decreased by 1,794 and net long positions decreased by 4,433; short positions decreased by 1,129 and net short positions decreased by 3,098. For IF2512, long positions decreased by 1,767 and short positions decreased by 765. For IF2603, long positions decreased by 549 and short positions decreased by 800. For IF2606, long positions decreased by 323 and short positions decreased by 404 [5] - **IH Contracts**: For IH2511, long positions decreased by 662 and net long positions increased by 607; short positions decreased by 626. For IH2512, long positions increased by 939 and short positions increased by 436, with net short positions decreasing by 80. For IH2603, long positions increased by 330 and short positions increased by 110. The data for IH2606 was not announced [5] - **IC Contracts**: For IC2511, long positions decreased by 1,193 and net long positions decreased by 6,594; short positions decreased by 799. For IC2512, long positions decreased by 2,600 and short positions decreased by 923, with net short positions decreasing by 3,963. For IC2603, long positions decreased by 2,289 and short positions decreased by 1,583. For IC2606, long positions decreased by 512 and short positions decreased by 658 [5] - **IM Contracts**: For IM2511, long positions decreased by 2,930 and short positions decreased by 2,555. For IM2512, long positions decreased by 9,323 and net long positions decreased by 13,143; short positions decreased by 10,151 and net short positions decreased by 13,738. For IM2603, long positions decreased by 890 and short positions decreased by 1,032. The data for IM2606 was not announced [5] 3.3重要驱动 - During the 8th China International Import Expo, China will firmly promote high - level opening - up, expand market access in the service sector, and create a first - class business environment [6] - The EU is actively signing free trade agreements to diversify export markets. China is promoting high - level opening - up, and both sides are willing to deepen cooperation and discuss various economic and trade agreements [6] - The number of US layoffs reached a 20 - year high, Mag7 stocks tumbled, US bonds soared, and cryptocurrencies and gold fell. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.97% to 4,007.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.84%. A - share trading volume reached 2.08 trillion yuan [6]

Group 1 - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing the "Five Reforms and Four Goods" initiative to accelerate high-quality urban renewal and the registration of rural homesteads and collective land use rights [1][2] - The focus is on promoting urban high-quality development, with an emphasis on inner-city development and urban renewal as key strategies to transform urban development methods and drive economic growth [2] - The meeting highlighted the need for a rolling promotion mechanism that includes launching, planning, and reserving urban renewal projects, adhering to principles of small-scale, precise calculations, and gradual improvements [2] Group 2 - The meeting called for a legal and regulatory approach to evaluate the implementation of policies regarding rural homesteads and collective land use rights, ensuring the protection of farmers' legal rights [3]

Core Viewpoint - The increase in foreign-related civil and commercial cases in China reflects the strengthening of the country's international business environment, showcasing the effectiveness of judicial protection for both domestic and international market participants [1][2]. Group 1: Judicial Data and Trends - In the first half of 2025, Chinese courts received 20,000 foreign-related civil and commercial cases, a 52% increase year-on-year [1]. - The recognition and enforcement of Chinese judicial decisions in foreign jurisdictions are on the rise, with 319 foreign civil and commercial judgments recognized in China last year, marking an 11.2% increase [3]. Group 2: Policy and Institutional Support - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of enhancing foreign-related civil and commercial case adjudication, as highlighted in the Central Committee's recent guidelines [2]. - The establishment of specialized international commercial courts, such as the Shanghai International Commercial Court, has significantly increased the volume of cases handled, indicating a growing focus on international commercial dispute resolution [4]. Group 3: Challenges and Future Directions - To become a preferred location for international commercial dispute resolution, China must align its adjudication rules with international standards and enhance the credibility and enforceability of its judgments [5]. - There is a need for a robust talent pool to support the development of the adjudication system, as the current shortage of qualified personnel is a limiting factor [4][5].

Core Points - In the first quarter of 2025, China's total import and export value reached 10.3 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3% [2] - Private enterprises are the largest foreign trade entities in China, with imports and exports amounting to 5.85 trillion yuan, growing by 5.8% and accounting for 56.8% of the total [4][6] - The growth of private enterprises' foreign trade is significant across nearly 180 countries and regions, with notable increases in emerging markets such as ASEAN, Africa, and Latin America [6] - The focus is on both "large-scale" and "high-quality" exports, with companies enhancing product quality and innovation to gain competitive advantages [8] - Equipment manufacturing products saw a 7.6% increase in imports and exports, representing a substantial portion of foreign trade [10] - Foreign-funded enterprises contributed significantly to foreign trade, with over 67,000 having import and export records, marking a three-year high [13] - ASEAN remains China's largest trading partner, with a trade value of 1.71 trillion yuan, a growth of 7.1% [18] - Despite external challenges, China's foreign trade resilience is expected to continue, supported by a broad domestic market [19][22]