Core Viewpoint - Gold has experienced a consolidation phase after reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April, forming an ascending triangle that may lead to a breakout and new highs [1] Market Sentiment - Gold is not waiting for the Federal Reserve's next announcement and is already responding to dovish remarks from Chairman Jerome Powell [2] - Traders are anticipating a potential rate cut in September and a policy direction influenced by Powell and possibly his successor, as markets react to expectations rather than confirmations [3] Political Influence - President Donald Trump's comments regarding the Federal Reserve and monetary policy are causing unease among investors, which may benefit gold as credibility concerns rise [4] Central Bank Behavior - For the first time since 1996, foreign central banks hold more gold than U.S. Treasuries in their reserves, reflecting concerns about U.S. debt sustainability and a desire for a neutral reserve asset [5] - This official-sector demand for gold provides a supportive price floor, independent of short-term interest rate fluctuations or dollar movements [5] Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical uncertainties, including energy markets and trade disputes, are driving investors towards hard assets like gold, which is already factoring in various political risks and shifts in the global monetary landscape [6] Technical Analysis - Gold has been forming higher lows against a flat resistance level between $3,430 and $3,450, indicative of an ascending triangle pattern that typically leads to upward breakouts [7] - The target price for gold, based on the triangle's height, is projected to be approximately $3,800, calculated by adding the triangle's height of about $360 to the breakout level [9] Short to Medium Term Outlook - The immediate focus is on whether gold can surpass the $3,450 resistance and retest the $3,500 level, with a successful breakout potentially targeting the $3,800 area in the medium term [10] - Breakout volume will be crucial for investors to assess the validity of the breakout, which could occur suddenly and sharply without a clear fundamental catalyst [10]

Core Viewpoint - WKK International Holdings (00532) reported a mid-term performance for the six months ending June 30, 2025, showing an increase in revenue and a significant reduction in losses, attributed to strong performance in the trading and distribution segment and strategic responses to geopolitical pressures [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of HKD 1.818 billion, representing an increase of 8.64% year-on-year [1] - The loss attributable to equity holders was HKD 11.042 million, a decrease of 86.87% compared to the previous year [1] - Basic loss per share was HKD 0.0151 [1] Segment Performance - The trading and distribution segment generated revenue of HKD 900 million in the first half of 2025, an increase of approximately 25.7% year-on-year [1] - The growth in the trading and distribution segment was driven by increased demand for products distributed by subsidiaries in Taiwan and mainland China, as customers expanded inventory levels and increased capital expenditures [1] - Operating profit for the trading and distribution segment was HKD 69.1 million, compared to HKD 14.5 million in the same period last year [1] Cost Management - The positive performance was also supported by a decrease in financing costs due to reduced bank borrowing interest expenses, reflecting favorable impacts from overall declining interest rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia, once holding a 95% market share in China's AI chip market, is now facing significant challenges due to technological blockades, domestic alternatives, and a trust crisis, which may lead to a complete overhaul of its market position in China within two years [1]. Group 1: Impact of U.S. Export Controls - The U.S. government's export control policies initiated Nvidia's troubles, with the U.S. Department of Commerce blacklisting Nvidia's high-performance H20 chip in 2023, prohibiting exports to China [3]. - This policy resulted in Nvidia losing major clients like Tencent and Alibaba, accumulating $4.5 billion in inventory, and ultimately writing down $5.5 billion in losses [3]. - Although the U.S. government relaxed restrictions on H20 chip exports in July 2025, the Chinese market has not welcomed Nvidia's products back [3]. Group 2: Rise of Domestic Alternatives - Over the past two years, Chinese companies have accelerated the development of domestic alternative chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia, with Huawei's Ascend chip surpassing Nvidia's H20 in computing power and addressing chip security issues through "密态计算" technology [6]. - This technology has eliminated backdoor risks, making it the preferred solution in government and financial sectors, resulting in over one million orders [6]. - Chinese automotive companies have also made significant strides in chip development, with firms like Xpeng and NIO integrating self-developed chips into their latest models, while BYD, GAC, and FAW are rapidly advancing in chip R&D and production [6]. Group 3: Security Concerns and Public Trust - In July, Chinese engineers discovered hidden interfaces and modules in the H20 chip capable of remote power control, positioning, and forced shutdown, raising widespread public concerns about chip security [8]. - This discovery led to the National Internet Information Office of China summoning Nvidia for clarification regarding the security risks associated with the H20 chip [8]. - Nvidia's response, claiming these features were merely "user-managed diagnostic functions," failed to alleviate market concerns, as the domestic AI chip localization rate reached 40%, indicating a near parity with imported chips [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The future landscape suggests that China will transition from being a "follower" to a "rule-maker," fully eliminating its dependence on Nvidia [11]. - Nvidia's challenges in the Chinese market reflect not only technological competition but also the direct impact of geopolitical pressures, as U.S. export controls aimed at stifling China's technological advancement have inadvertently spurred domestic innovation [13]. - The rise of domestic chips poses a significant threat to Nvidia and may alter the competitive dynamics of the global chip industry, as China's chip sector enters a golden development period with maturing technology and improved market ecosystems [13].

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 来源：内容 编译自 chosun ，谢谢。 台积电美国业务的困境在全球半导体行业引发波澜，引发了人们对在亚洲以外建设先进晶圆厂的可 行性的怀疑，而三星电子在德克萨斯州的工厂即将完工之际也陷入了困境。 尽管台积电已在亚利桑那州工厂投入运营，但由于劳动力成本上涨和持续的基础设施投资，该工厂 仍深陷亏损。过去四年，该公司报告称，该工厂累计亏损394.5亿新台币（约合12.2亿美元）。此 外，在与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普会晤后，台积电首席执行官魏哲家在今年3月宣布了一项新的 1000亿美元投资计划，突显出地缘政治压力正迫使企业加倍投资美国业务。 损失也蔓延到了台积电的其他国际工厂。在日本，其子公司JASM于2024年底在熊本开始生产12纳 米及更老的芯片后，亏损创纪录地达到43.8亿新台币。在德国，其新建的德累斯顿工厂亏损了5亿 新台币。 如今，三星也面临类似的困境。由于泰勒工厂尚未获得主要客户，分析师警告称，一旦工厂投产， 三星可能立即面临运营亏损——而美国的劳动力和制造成本远高于韩国，这无疑加剧了三星的困 境。韩国国内的晶圆代工业务目前已处于亏损状态。 这些财务风险或许是三 ...