Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The Guosheng Fixed - income Fundamental High - frequency Index remained stable, with the current index at 126.8 points, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point, and a year - on - year increase of 5.3 points, with the year - on - year growth rate unchanged. The signal factor of the interest - rate bond long - short signal weakened to 4.6% [2][15]. Summary by Directory Total Index: Fundamental High - frequency Index Stable - Based on a statistical system, a high - frequency data system covering overall, production, demand, prices, and financing was constructed, and the Guosheng Fixed - income Fundamental High - frequency Index and its sub - indices were developed. The update period of the fundamental high - frequency data is from July 21 to July 25, 2025 [14][15]. Production: PX Operating Rate Declined Continuously - The industrial production high - frequency index was 126.1, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 5.0 points, with the year - on - year growth rate unchanged. The PX operating rate was 82.4%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.8 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 7.4 percentage points [2][15][22]. Real Estate Sales: Property Transactions Rebounded - The real estate sales high - frequency index was 43.7, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 point and a year - on - year decrease of 6.4 points, with the year - on - year decline rate unchanged. The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities was 210,000 square meters, an increase from the previous value of 171,000 square meters; the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large - and medium - sized cities was 7.8%, an increase from the previous value of 6.7% [2][15][30]. Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Decreased - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 119.8, a week - on - week increase of 0.2 points and a year - on - year increase of 4.2 points, with the year - on - year growth rate expanding. The operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants was 28.8%, a week - on - week decrease of 4.0 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 2.3 percentage points [2][15][38]. Exports: Export Container Freight Index Declined Continuously - The export high - frequency index was 143.9, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 3.7 points, with the year - on - year growth rate narrowing. The CCFI index was 1261 points, a decrease from the previous value of 1304 points; the RJ/CRB index was 303.8 points, a decrease from the previous value of 303.9 points [2][15][43]. Consumption: Passenger Car Retail and Wholesale Continued to Rise - The consumption high - frequency index was 119.7, a week - on - week increase of 0.0 points and a year - on - year increase of 2.5 points, with the year - on - year growth rate expanding. Passenger car manufacturers' retail sales were 58,207 units, an increase from the previous value of 47,548 units; wholesale sales were 57,826 units, an increase from the previous value of 46,085 units; the average daily box office was 140.66 million yuan, an increase from the previous value of 101.19 million yuan [2][15][49]. CPI: Fruit Prices Declined Continuously - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.1% (previous value 0.0%). The average wholesale price of pork was 20.7 yuan/kg, an increase from the previous value of 20.6 yuan/kg; the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.4 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous value; the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits was 7.1 yuan/kg, a decrease from the previous value of 7.3 yuan/kg; the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens was 17.4 yuan/kg, an increase from the previous value of 17.2 yuan/kg [3][15][55]. PPI: Steam Coal Prices Rebounded - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.2% (previous value 0.1%). The ex - works price of steam coal (from Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port was 649 yuan/ton, an increase from the previous value of 637 yuan/ton; the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil was 69 US dollars/barrel, unchanged from the previous value; the spot settlement price of LME copper was 9821 US dollars/ton, an increase from the previous value of 9587 US dollars/ton; the spot settlement price of LME aluminum was 2647 US dollars/ton, an increase from the previous value of 2579 US dollars/ton [3][15][60]. Transportation: Passenger Volume and Flight Numbers Decreased - The transportation high - frequency index was 129.2, a week - on - week increase of 0.2 points and a year - on - year increase of 8.9 points, with the year - on - year growth rate expanding. The passenger volume of the subway in first - tier cities was 39 million person - times, a decrease from the previous value of 41.14 million person - times; the highway logistics freight rate index was 1050 points, unchanged from the previous value; the number of domestic flights was 14,428, a decrease from the previous value of 14,653 [4][15][68]. Inventory: Soda Ash Inventory Declined - The inventory high - frequency index was 161.0, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 9.4 points, with the year - on - year growth rate unchanged. The electrolytic aluminum inventory was 155,000 tons, a decrease from the previous value of 254,000 tons; the soda ash inventory was 1.874 million tons, a decrease from the previous value of 1.895 million tons [3][15][72]. Financing: Net Financing of Local Government Bonds and Credit Bonds Increased - The financing high - frequency index was 232.7, a week - on - week increase of 0.6 points and a year - on - year increase of 29.6 points, with the year - on - year growth rate expanding. The net financing of local government bonds was 29.29 billion yuan, an increase from the previous value of 15.05 billion yuan; the net financing of credit bonds was 5.49 billion yuan, an increase from the previous value of 4.46 billion yuan; the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate was 0.74%, a decrease from the previous value of 0.84%; the average value of the bill rate minus the certificate of deposit rate was - 0.91%, a decrease from the previous value of - 0.82% [4][15][79].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index remained stable, with an increase in the year - on - year growth rate. The bull - bear signal for interest - rate bonds remained unchanged [1][9]. - Different sectors showed various trends, including a decline in the opening rates of major production varieties, an increase in the land transaction premium rate in real - estate sales, a continuous increase in the asphalt production opening rate in infrastructure investment, a decline in the export container freight rate index, a continuous recovery in passenger car retail and wholesale in consumption, a continuous decline in the agricultural product wholesale price index for CPI, an increase in copper and aluminum prices for PPI, a continuous recovery in passenger transport and flights in transportation, a continuous increase in soda ash inventory, a decrease in local government bond net financing and an increase in credit bond net financing in financing [13][25][33][37][52][60][62][74][83][92]. Summary by Directory Total Index - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 126.5 points (previous value: 126.4 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.2 points (previous value: 5.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The bull - bear signal for interest - rate bonds remained unchanged, with a signal factor of 4.8% (previous value: 4.8%) [1][9]. Production - The industrial production high - frequency index was 125.8 (previous value: 125.7), with a year - on - year increase of 4.9 points (previous value: 4.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The opening rates of major production varieties such as electric furnaces, polyester, and steel tires decreased [1][9][13]. Real - Estate Sales - The commercial housing sales high - frequency index was 44.1 (previous value: 44.2), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.4 points (previous value: 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline rate remained unchanged. The land transaction premium rate in 100 large and medium - sized cities increased to 7.8% (previous value: 7.1%) [1][9][25]. Infrastructure Investment - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 119.0 (previous value: 118.8), with a year - on - year increase of 3.0 points (previous value: 2.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The opening rate of the petroleum asphalt device continued to rise to 31.7% (previous value: 31.5%) [1][9][35]. Export - The export high - frequency index was 144.1 (previous value: 144.1), with a year - on - year increase of 4.7 points (previous value: 5.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrowed. The CCFI index and RJ/CRB index decreased [1][9][39]. Consumption - The consumption high - frequency index was 119.5 (previous value: 119.4), with a year - on - year increase of 1.9 points (previous value: 1.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Passenger car retail and wholesale and daily average movie box office continued to recover [1][9][52]. CPI - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). The agricultural product wholesale price index continued to decline, with changes in the average wholesale prices of pork, vegetables, fruits, and white - striped chickens [1][9][60]. PPI - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). Copper and aluminum prices increased, while the prices of动力煤 and Brent crude oil remained relatively stable [1][9][62]. Transportation - The transportation high - frequency index was 128.6 (previous value: 128.4), with a year - on - year increase of 8.5 points (previous value: 8.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Passenger transport and flights continued to recover [2][10][74]. Inventory - The inventory high - frequency index was 160.6 (previous value: 160.5), with a year - on - year increase of 9.6 points (previous value: 9.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. Soda ash inventory continued to increase [2][10][83]. Financing - The financing high - frequency index was 230.9 (previous value: 230.3), with a year - on - year increase of 29.4 points (previous value: 29.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. Local government bond net financing decreased, and credit bond net financing increased [2][10][92].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index remained stable this week, with an increase of 0.1 points week - on - week and 5.0 points year - on - year, and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase, while tire开工率 declined [1][9][16]. - In total demand, the decline in the real - estate sales high - frequency index narrowed year - on - year; the infrastructure investment high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the year - on - year increase in the export high - frequency index narrowed; and the consumer high - frequency index maintained a stable year - on - year increase [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the month - on - month CPI forecast remained at - 0.1%, and the month - on - month PPI forecast improved from - 0.2% to - 0.1% [1][10]. - The inventory high - frequency index showed a narrowing year - on - year increase; the transportation high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the financing high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase [2][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remained Stable - The current GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 126.0 points (previous value: 125.9 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.0 points (previous value: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production: Tire开工率 Declined - The industrial production high - frequency index was 125.5 (previous value: 125.4), with a year - on - year increase of 4.8 points (previous value: 4.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Electric furnace开工率 was 64.7% (previous value: 65.4%); polyester开工率 was 88.9% (previous value: 90.9%); semi - tire开工率 was 73.9% (previous value: 78.3%); full - tire开工率 was 63.5% (previous value: 64.8%); PTA开工率 was 78.6% (previous value: 77.6%); PX开工率 was 84.6% (previous value: 80.6%); and the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port was 47.6 tons (previous value: 47.3 tons) [1][9][16]. 3.3 Real - Estate Sales: New Home Sales Were Continuously Negative Year - on - Year - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 21.0 million square meters (previous value: 31.9 million square meters); the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities was 3.7% (previous value: 10.0%) [27]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt开工率 Rebounded - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 118.1 (previous value: 117.9), with a year - on - year increase of 1.6 points (previous value: 1.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The开工率 of asphalt plants was 31.3% (previous value: 27.7%) [1][9][38]. 3.5 Exports: Container Freight Index for Exports Continued to Rise - The CCFI index was 1155 points (previous value: 1118 points); the export price index of Yiwu small commodities was 104 points (previous value: 108 points); the RJ/CRB index was 297.6 points (previous value: 292.3 points) [45]. 3.6 Consumption: Retail and Wholesale of Passenger Cars by Manufacturers Increased - The retail volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 95,364 units (previous value: 60,823 units); the wholesale volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 156,618 units (previous value: 75,923 units); the average daily box office was 82.57 million yuan (previous value: 34.35 million yuan) [57]. 3.7 CPI: Pork Prices Continued to Fall - The average wholesale price of pork was 20.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.7 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.3 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits was 7.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.8 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens was 17.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.4 yuan/kg) [66]. 3.8 PPI: Rebar Prices Continued to Fall, Copper Prices Continued to Rise - The closing price of steam coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port was 609 yuan/ton (previous value: 611 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil was 65 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 64 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper was 9720 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9650 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum was 2455 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2466 US dollars/ton) [72]. 3.9 Transportation: Passenger Traffic Declined - The passenger traffic of the subway in first - tier cities was 36.66 million person - times (previous value: 39.01 million person - times); the road logistics freight rate index was 1050 points (previous value: 1050 points) [82]. 3.10 Inventory: Aluminum Inventory Continued to Rise - The aluminum inventory was 165,000 tons (previous value: 138,000 tons); the soda ash inventory was 1.627 million tons (previous value: 1.613 million tons) [88]. 3.11 Financing: Local Government Bonds Declined, Credit Bonds Rebounded - The net financing of local government bonds was 5.05 billion yuan (previous value: 13.74 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds was 12.46 billion yuan (previous value: 5.12 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate was 1.08% (previous value: 1.10%); the average value of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate was - 0.73% (previous value: - 0.73%) [99].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of various aspects of the economy from April 19th to April 25th, 2025. The overall fundamental high - frequency index is stable, with different trends in production, demand, prices, inventory, transportation, and financing [10][11]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 125.2 points (previous value: 125.1 points), with a year - on - year growth of 3.8% (previous value: 3.7%), and the year - on - year increase has rebounded. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds is long, and the signal factor has dropped to 5.5% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][10]. 2. Production: Electric Furnace Operating Rate Drops Slightly - The industrial production high - frequency index is 125.0, with a year - on - year growth of 3.8% (previous value: 3.7%). The electric furnace operating rate is 64.1% (previous value: 64.7%); the polyester operating rate is 91.8% (previous value: 91.0%); the semi - tire operating rate is 78.1% (previous value: 78.4%); the full - tire operating rate is 62.5% (previous value: 65.4%); the PTA operating rate is 80.0% (previous value: 76.7%); the PX operating rate is 77.4% (previous value: 78.2%) [10][12][17]. 3. Real Estate Sales: New Home Sales Remain Negative Year - on - Year - The high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 45.4, with a year - on - year decline of 13.2% (previous value: 13.5%). The commercial housing transaction area of 30 large and medium - sized cities has increased to 22.0 million square meters, and the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities has dropped to 4.3% [10][12][31]. 4. Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Rises Slightly - The high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 116.6, with a year - on - year decline of 0.8% (previous value: 1.5%). The operating rate of petroleum installations is 30.7% (previous value: 28.7%) [10][12][39]. 5. Exports: Export Commodity Prices Rise Slightly - The high - frequency index of exports is 144.9, with a year - on - year growth of 6.1% (previous value: 6.7%). The CCFI index has increased to 1122 points, and the RJ/CRB commodity price index has increased to 296.5 points [1][10][49]. 6. Consumption: Movie Box Office Remains Below the Same Period in Previous Years - The high - frequency index of consumption is 119.4, with a year - on - year growth of 0.9% (previous value: 0.7%). The average daily movie box office has increased to 35.62 million yuan, and the average daily retail sales of passenger car manufacturers on April 25th are 54,522 vehicles [2][10][60]. 7. CPI: Pork Prices Rise Slightly - The predicted month - on - month CPI is 0.1% (previous value: - 0.1%). The average wholesale price of pork is 20.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.8 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key monitored vegetables is 4.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.7 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key monitored fruits is 7.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.5 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.3 yuan/kg) [2][10][68]. 8. PPI: Non - Ferrous Metal Prices Rise - The predicted month - on - month PPI is - 0.3% (previous value: - 0.3%). The ex - works price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Shanxi origin) is 658 yuan/ton (previous value: 664 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 67 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 66 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper is 9,371 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9,123 US dollars/ton) [2][10][76]. 9. Transportation: Passenger Transport Rises, Freight Remains Flat - The high - frequency index of transportation is 126.5, with a year - on - year growth of 5.9% (previous value: 5.5%). The passenger volume of the subway in first - tier cities has increased to 39.54 million person - times, the highway logistics freight rate index remains flat at 1050 points, and the number of domestic flights has increased to 12,780 [2][11][87]. 10. Inventory: Steel Stocks Continue to Decline - The high - frequency index of inventory is 159.3, with a year - on - year growth of 6.6% (previous value: 6.4%). The total inventory of soda ash has dropped to 1.691 million tons [2][11][95]. 11. Financing: Net Financing of Government Bonds Rises - The high - frequency index of financing is 224.7, with a year - on - year growth of 14.7% (previous value: 14.1%). The cumulative net financing of local bonds has increased to 162.5 billion yuan, the cumulative net financing of credit bonds has increased to 115.9 billion yuan, and the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill transfer discount rate has dropped to 1.07% [3][11][108].