受跨节部分高频数据缺失影响，本期国盛基本面高频指数暂无预测值。 利率债多空信号下调，信号因子为 3.1%（前值为 3.2%）。 生产方面，工业生产高频指数为 127.9，前值为 127.8，当周同比增加 4.9 点（前值为增加 4.9 点），同比增幅不变。 证券研究报告 | 固定收益 gszqdatemark 2026 01 06 年 月 日 固定收益定期 铜库存小幅回升——基本面高频数据跟踪 总需求方面，商品房销售高频指数为 40.5，前值为 40.7，当周同比下 降 6.5 点（前值为下降 6.5 点），同比降幅不变；基建投资高频指数为 121.9，前值为 122.0，当周同比增加 8.2 点（前值为增加 8.3 点）， 同比增幅收窄；出口高频指数为 143.7，前值为 143.7，当周同比增加 0.1 点（前值为增加 0.3 点），同比增幅收窄；消费高频指数为 121.2， 前值为 121.1，当周同比增加 3.3 点（前值为增加 3.3 点），同比增幅 不变。 物价方面，CPI 月环比预测为 0.0%（（前值 0.0%）；PPI 月环比预测为 0.0%（前值为 0.1%）。 库存高频指数为 163.8 ...

生产方面，工业生产高频指数为 127.8，前值为 127.7，当周同比增加 4.9 点（前值为增加 5.0 点），同比增幅收窄。 总需求方面，商品房销售高频指数为 40.7，前值为 40.8，当周同比下 降 6.5 点（前值为下降 6.4 点），同比降幅扩大；基建投资高频指数为 122.0，前值为 122.1，当周同比增加 8.3 点（前值为增加 8.5 点）， 同比增幅收窄；出口高频指数为 143.7，前值为 143.7，当周同比增加 0.3 点（前值为增加 0.4 点），同比增幅收窄；消费高频指数为 121.1， 前值为 121.1，当周同比增加 3.3 点（前值为增加 3.4 点），同比增幅 收窄。 物价方面，CPI 月环比预测为 0.0%（（前值 0.0%）；PPI 月环比预测为 0.1%（前值为 0.1%）。 库存高频指数为 163.7，前值为 163.6，当周同比增加 7.4 点（前值为 增加 7.4 点），同比增幅不变。 证券研究报告 | 固定收益 gszqdatemark 2025 12 29 年 月 日 固定收益定期 有色上涨黑色下跌——基本面高频数据跟踪 本期国盛基本面高频指数为 129. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 129.2 points (previous value: 129.1 points), with a week - on - week increase of 6.2 points (previous increase: 6.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded, with a signal factor of 3.4% (previous value: 3.5%) [2][10]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index is 127.7 (previous value: 127.7), with a week - on - week increase of 5.0 points (previous increase: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged [2][10]. - In terms of total demand, the high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 40.8 (previous value: 41.0), with a week - on - week decrease of 6.4 points (previous decrease: 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline rate remains unchanged; the high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 122.1 (previous value: 122.2), with a week - on - week increase of 8.5 points (previous increase: 8.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrows; the high - frequency index of exports is 143.7 (previous value: 143.7), with a week - on - week increase of 0.4 points (previous increase: 0.5 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrows; the high - frequency index of consumption is 121.1 (previous value: 121.0), with a week - on - week increase of 3.4 points (previous increase: 3.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expands [2][10]. - In terms of prices, the month - on - month CPI forecast is 0.0% (previous value: - 0.1%); the month - on - month PPI forecast is 0.1% (previous value: 0.2%) [2][11]. - The high - frequency inventory index is 163.6 (previous value: 163.4), with a week - on - week increase of 7.4 points (previous increase: 7.5 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrows. The high - frequency transportation index is 133.7 (previous value: 133.4), with a week - on - week increase of 11.0 points (previous increase: 10.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expands. The high - frequency financing index is 245.2 (previous value: 244.6), with a week - on - week increase of 30.9 points (previous increase: 30.8 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expands [3][11]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remains Stable - Based on the statistical system, a high - frequency data system covering overall, production, demand, prices, financing, etc. is constructed, and the Guosheng fixed - income fundamental high - frequency index and its sub - items are built [9]. - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 129.2 points, with a week - on - week increase of 6.2 points, and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded [2][10]. 3.2 Production: Electric Furnace Operating Rate Rises - The current electric furnace operating rate is 60.9% (previous value: 60.3%); the polyester operating rate is 88.9% (previous value: 88.9%); the semi - tire operating rate is 71.4% (previous value: 71.6%); the full - tire operating rate is 64.1% (previous value: 64.1%); the PTA operating rate is 73.8% (previous value: 73.8%); the PX operating rate is 89.2% (previous value: 89.2%); the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port is 42.4 tons (previous value: 43.9 tons) [16]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales: Commercial Housing Transaction Area Recovers - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities in the current week is 34.9 million square meters (previous value: 27.9 million square meters); the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities is 1.7% (previous value: 1.9%) [27]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Fluctuates Narrowly - The current asphalt operating rate is 27.6% (previous value: 27.8%) [42]. 3.5 Exports: Freight Rate Index Rises Slightly - The current CCFI index is 1124.7 points (previous value: 1118.1 points); the RJ/CRB index is 293.9 points (previous value: 300.3 points) [44]. 3.6 Consumption: Daily Average Movie Box Office Declines - The daily average movie box office is 98.36 million yuan (previous value: 171.46 million yuan) [53]. 3.7 CPI: Fruit Prices Rise - The latest average wholesale price of pork is 17.5 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.6 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 5.9 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.5 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.8 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.8 yuan/kg) [60]. 3.8 PPI: Kerosene Prices Fall, Copper and Aluminum Spot Prices Continue to Rise - The closing price of thermal coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port is 719 yuan/ton (previous value: 761 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 60 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 62 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper is 11,739 US dollars/ton (previous value: 11,692 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2,855 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2,849 US dollars/ton) [64]. 3.9 Transportation: Subway Passenger Volume Declines - The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities in the current week is 38.63 million person - times (previous value: 39.83 million person - times); the highway logistics freight rate index is 1051 points (previous value: 1052 points); the number of domestic flights is 12,172 (previous value: 12,137) [75]. 3.10 Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Increases Significantly - The current electrolytic aluminum inventory is 190,000 tons (previous value: 167,000 tons); the soda ash inventory is 151,600 tons (previous value: 149,800 tons) [82]. 3.11 Financing: Local Bond Financing Declines - The net financing of local bonds in the week is 28.1 billion yuan (previous value: 62.3 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds is 57.5 billion yuan (previous value: 73.2 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank draft rediscount rate is 0.91% (previous value: 0.84%); the average value of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate is - 0.72% (previous value: - 0.79%) [94].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints - The Guosheng Fixed - income Fundamental High - frequency Index is stable, with the current period at 129.0 points (previous value 128.9 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged at 6.2 points. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded, with the signal factor at 3.6% (previous value 3.7%) [2][10]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Total Index - The Guosheng Fixed - income Fundamental High - frequency Index is stable. The current index is 129.0 points, with a year - on - year increase of 6.2 points, and the growth rate remains unchanged [2][10]. Production - The industrial production high - frequency index is 127.6, with a year - on - year increase of 5.1 points, and the growth rate remains unchanged. PTA开工率 increased to 73.8% from the previous 71.9% [2][10][16]. Real Estate Sales - The commercial housing sales high - frequency index is 41.1, with a year - on - year decrease of 6.3 points, and the decline rate remains unchanged. The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities decreased to 30.20,000 square meters from the previous 31.20,000 square meters [2][10][26]. Infrastructure Investment - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index is 122.3, with a year - on - year increase of 8.9 points, and the growth rate narrows. The operating rate of petroleum asphalt increased slightly to 27.9% from the previous 27.8% [2][10][40]. Exports - The export high - frequency index is 143.7, with a year - on - year increase of 0.6 points, and the growth rate narrows. The CCFI index decreased slightly to 1114.9 points from the previous 1121.8 points [2][10][42]. Consumption - The consumption high - frequency index is 120.8, with a year - on - year increase of 3.3 points, and the growth rate remains unchanged. The average daily box office of movies increased to 26,095 million yuan from the previous 15,036 million yuan [2][10][51]. CPI - The month - on - month CPI forecast is 0.1% (previous value 0.0%). The prices of vegetables and white - striped chickens increased slightly. The average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables rose to 5.9 yuan/kg from the previous 5.8 yuan/kg, and the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens rose to 17.8 yuan/kg from the previous 17.5 yuan/kg [2][10][58]. PPI - The month - on - month PPI forecast is 0.2% (previous value 0.1%). The spot prices of copper and aluminum continued to rise. The LME copper spot settlement price increased to 11,428 US dollars/ton from the previous 10,917 US dollars/ton, and the LME aluminum spot settlement price increased to 2,858 US dollars/ton from the previous 2,803 US dollars/ton [2][10][62]. Transportation - The transportation high - frequency index is 133.2, with a year - on - year increase of 10.8 points, and the growth rate expands. However, the logistics performance declined. The metro passenger volume in first - tier cities decreased to 38.71 million person - times from the previous 39.97 million person - times, the highway logistics freight rate index decreased to 1053 points from the previous 1066 points, and the number of domestic flights decreased to 12,359 flights from the previous 12,484 flights [3][11][74]. Inventory - The inventory high - frequency index is 163.3, with a year - on - year increase of 7.6 points, and the growth rate remains unchanged. The electrolytic aluminum inventory continued to rise to 163,000 tons from the previous 147,000 tons [3][11][81]. Financing - The financing high - frequency index is 244.0, with a year - on - year increase of 30.7 points, and the growth rate expands. However, the financing of local government bonds and credit bonds declined. The net financing of local government bonds decreased to 60.5 billion yuan from the previous 325.9 billion yuan, and the net financing of credit bonds decreased to 58 billion yuan from the previous 120.7 billion yuan [3][11][93].

证券研究报告 | 固定收益 gszqdatemark 2025 11 24 年 月 日 固定收益定期 生产资料价格环比回升——基本面高频数据跟踪 本期国盛基本面高频指数为 128.8 点（前值为 128.7 点），当周同比增加 6.1 点（前值为增加 6.1 点），同比增幅不变。利率债多空信号下调，信号 因子为 3.9%（前值为 4.1%）。 生产方面，工业生产高频指数为 127.5，前值为 127.5，当周同比增加 5.2 点（前值为增加 5.2 点），同比增幅不变。 总需求方面，商品房销售高频指数为 41.4，前值为 41.5，当周同比下降 6.2 点（前值为下降 6.2 点），同比降幅不变；基建投资高频指数为 122.5， 前值为 122.5，当周同比增加 9.1 点（前值为增加 9.1 点），同比增幅不变； 出口高频指数为 143.6，前值为 143.6，当周同比增加 0.8 点（前值为增加 0.9 点），同比增幅收窄；消费高频指数为 120.7，前值为 120.7，当周同 比增加 3.3 点（前值为增加 3.5 点），同比增幅收窄。 物价方面，CPI 月环比预测为 0.1%（（前值 0.1%）；PP ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of fixed - income fundamentals from November 10th to November 16th, 2025. The overall high - frequency index of fundamentals is stable, with changes in various sub - indices such as production, demand, prices, inventory, transportation, and financing. For example, the industrial production high - frequency index shows a narrowing increase, the real estate sales high - frequency index has a stable decline, and the infrastructure investment high - frequency index has an expanding increase [1][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 128.7 points (previous value: 128.6 points), with a week - on - week increase of 6.1 points (previous value: 6.1 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is downgraded, with a signal factor of 4.1% (previous value: 4.4%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production - The industrial production high - frequency index is 127.5, with a week - on - week increase of 5.2 points (previous value: 5.3 points), and the year - on - year increase narrows. The electric furnace and PX operating rates increase. The electric furnace operating rate is 60.9% (previous value: 59.6%), and the PX operating rate is 90.5% (previous value: 89.9%) [1][9][15]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales - The high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 41.5, with a week - on - week decrease of 6.2 points (previous value: 6.2 points), and the year - on - year decline remains unchanged. The transaction land premium rate drops. The 100 - large - city transaction land premium rate is 1.4% (previous value: 3.6%) [1][9][28]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment - The high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 122.5, with a week - on - week increase of 9.1 points (previous value: 9.0 points), and the year - on - year increase expands. The operating rate of petroleum asphalt continues to decline, with a current operating rate of 29.0% (previous value: 29.7%) [1][9][42]. 3.5 Export - The high - frequency index of exports is 143.6, with a week - on - week increase of 0.9 points (previous value: 1.0 points), and the year - on - year increase narrows. The container freight rate index rises continuously. The CCFI index is 1094.0 points (previous value: 1058.2 points) [1][9][44]. 3.6 Consumption - The high - frequency index of consumption is 120.7, with a week - on - week increase of 3.5 points (previous value: 3.6 points), and the year - on - year increase narrows. The average daily box office of movies rises, reaching 54410,000 yuan (previous value: 29640,000 yuan) [1][9][54]. 3.7 CPI - The monthly - on - monthly CPI forecast is 0.1% (previous value: 0.1%). The price of white - striped chickens rises slightly, with an average wholesale price of 17.8 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.6 yuan/kg) [1][9][60]. 3.8 PPI - The monthly - on - monthly PPI forecast is 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). The spot prices of coal and copper rise slightly. The ex - warehouse price of thermal coal in Qinhuangdao Port is 832 yuan/ton (previous value: 798 yuan/ton), and the LME copper spot settlement price is 10841 US dollars/ton (previous value: 10704 US dollars/ton) [1][9][62]. 3.9 Transportation - The high - frequency index of transportation is 132.6, with a week - on - week increase of 10.5 points (previous value: 10.4 points), and the year - on - year increase expands. The highway logistics freight rate index rises slightly, reaching 1051 points (previous value: 1050 points) [2][10][74]. 3.10 Inventory - The high - frequency index of inventory is 163.0, with a week - on - week increase of 7.9 points (previous value: 8.0 points), and the year - on - year increase narrows. The inventory scale of electrolytic aluminum and soda ash increases. The electrolytic aluminum inventory is 122,000 tons (previous value: 116,000 tons), and the soda ash inventory is 1,707,000 tons (previous value: 1,703,000 tons) [2][10][82]. 3.11 Financing - The high - frequency index of financing is 242.2, with a week - on - week increase of 30.5 points (previous value: 30.4 points), and the year - on - year increase expands. The net financing of local bonds turns from negative to positive, with a net financing of 242.8 billion yuan (previous value: - 36 billion yuan) [2][10][93].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of Guosheng bond - related fundamentals from November 3, 2025, to November 9, 2025. It shows that the Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is stable with changes in various sub - indicators. The interest - rate bond long - short signal is adjusted downwards, and different economic aspects such as production, demand, prices, inventory, transportation, and financing present different trends [1][9]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index is Stable - The Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 128.6 points (previous value: 128.5 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 6.1 points (previous value: 6.0 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The interest - rate bond long - short signal factor is 4.4% (previous value: 4.6%), a decrease of 0.2 percentage points [1][9][11]. 3.2 Production: Electric Furnace Operating Rate Drops - The industrial production high - frequency index is 127.5 points (previous value: 127.4 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.0 point and a year - on - year increase of 5.3 points (previous value: 5.4 points), and the year - on - year increase is narrowing. The electric furnace operating rate is 59.6% (previous value: 60.9%), a decrease of 1.3 percentage points [1][9][15]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales: Commercial Housing Transaction Area Drops Significantly - The commercial housing sales high - frequency index is 41.7 points (previous value: 41.9 points), with a week - on - week decrease of 0.2 point and a year - on - year decrease of 6.2 points (previous value: 6.1 points), and the year - on - year decrease is expanding. The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities is 18.8 million square meters (previous value: 31.7 million square meters), a decrease of 12.9 million square meters [1][9][29]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Drops - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index is 122.4 points (previous value: 122.3 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 9.0 points (previous value: 8.8 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The asphalt operating rate is 29.7% (previous value: 31.5%), a decrease of 1.8 percentage points [1][9][44]. 3.5 Exports: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continues to Rise - The export high - frequency index is 143.6 points (previous value: 143.6 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.0 point and a year - on - year increase of 1.0 point (previous value: 1.1 points), and the year - on - year increase is narrowing. The CCFI index is 1058.2 points (previous value: 1021.4 points), an increase of 36.8 points [46]. 3.6 Consumption: Average Daily Movie Box Office Drops - The consumption high - frequency index is 120.6 points (previous value: 120.7 points), with a week - on - week decrease of 0.0 point and a year - on - year increase of 3.6 points (previous value: 3.6 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The average daily movie box office is 29630,000 yuan (previous value: 30900,000 yuan), a decrease of 1270,000 yuan [1][9][55]. 3.7 CPI: Food Prices Rise Slightly Overall - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is - 0.1% (previous value: 0.0%). The average wholesale price of pork is 18.1 yuan/kg (previous value: 18.0 yuan/kg), the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.8 yuan/kg (previous value: 5.6 yuan/kg), the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.1 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.1 yuan/kg), and the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.5 yuan/kg) [2][61]. 3.8 PPI: Spot Prices of Copper and Aluminum Drop - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). The spot settlement price of LME copper is 10704 US dollars/ton (previous value: 10964 US dollars/ton), a decrease of 261 US dollars/ton; the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2859 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2868 US dollars/ton), a decrease of 9 US dollars/ton [2][64]. 3.9 Transportation: Transportation High - Frequency Index Rises Steadily - The transportation high - frequency index is 132.4 points (previous value: 132.1 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.2 point and a year - on - year increase of 10.4 points (previous value: 10.3 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities is 39790,000 person - times (previous value: 40550,000 person - times), a decrease of 750,000 person - times; the road logistics freight rate index is 1050 points (previous value: 1049 points), an increase of 0.3 point; the number of domestic flights is 12273 (previous value: 12461), a decrease of 188 [2][76]. 3.10 Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Increases - The inventory high - frequency index is 162.9 points (previous value: 162.8 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 8.0 points (previous value: 8.1 points), and the year - on - year increase is narrowing. The electrolytic aluminum inventory is 11.6 million tons (previous value: 8.5 million tons), an increase of 3.1 million tons; the soda ash inventory is 170.3 million tons (previous value: 169.7 million tons), an increase of 0.6 million tons [2][82]. 3.11 Financing: Net Financing of Local Bonds Drops Significantly - The financing high - frequency index is 241.6 points (previous value: 241.0 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.6 point and a year - on - year increase of 30.4 points (previous value: 30.4 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The net financing of local bonds is - 36 billion yuan (previous value: 178 billion yuan), a decrease of 213.9 billion yuan; the net financing of credit bonds is 92 billion yuan (previous value: - 12.6 billion yuan), an increase of 104.6 billion yuan [2][94].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The current Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index is 128.4 points (previous value: 128.3 points), with a year - on - year increase of 6.0 points (previous value: 5.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has widened. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds has been downgraded, with a signal factor of 4.7% (previous value: 4.9%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index is 127.4 (previous value: 127.4), with a year - on - year increase of 5.4 points (previous value: 5.5 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed. - In terms of total demand, the high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 42.0 (previous value: 42.2), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.1 points (previous value: 6.1 points), and the year - on - year decline remains unchanged; the high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 122.1 (previous value: 122.0), with a year - on - year increase of 8.7 points (previous value: 8.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded; the high - frequency index of exports is 143.6 (previous value: 143.6), with a year - on - year increase of 1.3 points (previous value: 1.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed; the high - frequency index of consumption is 120.6 (previous value: 120.6), with a year - on - year increase of 3.7 points (previous value: 3.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the monthly - on - monthly forecast of CPI is 0.0% (previous value: 0.1%); the monthly - on - monthly forecast of PPI is 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%) [1][9][10]. - The high - frequency inventory index is 162.7 (previous value: 162.5), with a year - on - year increase of 8.2 points (previous value: 8.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed. - The high - frequency transportation index is 131.9 (previous value: 131.7), with a year - on - year increase of 10.2 points (previous value: 10.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded. - The high - frequency financing index is 240.4 (previous value: 239.8), with a year - on - year increase of 30.3 points (previous value: 30.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged [2][10]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remains Stable - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index is 128.4 points, with a year - on - year increase of 6.0 points, and the year - on - year growth rate has widened. The long - short signal factor of interest - rate bonds is 4.7%, a decrease from the previous value [1][9][11]. Production: Polyester Operating Rate Slightly Increases - The electric - furnace operating rate is 60.9%, unchanged from the previous value; the polyester operating rate is 89.1%, an increase from the previous value of 88.0%; the semi - tire operating rate is 73.7%, an increase from the previous value of 72.7%; the full - tire operating rate is 65.6%, an increase from the previous value of 64.5%; the PTA operating rate is 76.0%, an increase from the previous value of 75.6%; the PX operating rate is 86.3%, a decrease from the previous value of 87.3%; the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port is 46.9 tons, a decrease from the previous value of 54.4 tons [11][16]. Real Estate Sales: Commercial Housing Transaction Area Slightly Declines - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 28.7 million square meters, a decrease from the previous value of 31.0 million square meters; the land premium rate of transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities is 2.0%, unchanged from the previous value [26]. Infrastructure Investment: Infrastructure High - Frequency Index Rises Steadily - The infrastructure high - frequency index is 122.1, with a year - on - year increase of 8.7 points, and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded. The operating rate of local refineries is 50.0%, a decrease from the previous value of 50.3% [11][35]. Exports: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continues to Decline - The CCFI index is 993 points (previous value: 973 points); the RJ/CRB index is 299.6 points (previous value: 294.2 points) [43]. Consumption: Daily Average Box Office of Movies Continues to Decline - The daily average box office of movies is 32.82 million yuan, a decrease from the previous value of 37.49 million yuan [54]. CPI: Pork Prices Slightly Decrease - The latest average wholesale price of pork is 17.7 yuan/kg, a decrease from the previous value of 18.3 yuan/kg; the latest average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.2 yuan/kg, an increase from the previous value of 5.0 yuan/kg; the latest average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.0 yuan/kg, a decrease from the previous value of 7.1 yuan/kg; the latest average wholesale price of dressed chickens is 17.7 yuan/kg, an increase from the previous value of 17.6 yuan/kg [60]. PPI: Prices of Coal, Copper, Aluminum, and Oil Have All Increased - The closing price of thermal coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port is 765 yuan/ton, an increase from the previous value of 727 yuan/ton; the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 63 US dollars/barrel, an increase from the previous value of 62 US dollars/barrel; the spot settlement price of LME copper is 10,679 US dollars/ton, an increase from the previous value of 10,588 US dollars/ton; the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2,814 US dollars/ton, an increase from the previous value of 2,765 US dollars/ton [65]. Transportation: Subway Passenger Volume Slightly Declines - The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities is 39.59 million person - times, a decrease from the previous value of 40.26 million person - times; the highway logistics freight rate index is 1050 points, an increase from the previous value of 1049 points; the number of domestic flights is 13,007, an increase from the previous value of 12,790 [75]. Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Decreases - The electrolytic aluminum inventory is 11.8 tons, a decrease from the previous value of 16.8 tons; the soda - ash inventory is 170.6 tons, an increase from the previous value of 169.3 tons [84]. Financing: Net Financing of Local Bonds Significantly Increases - The net financing of local bonds within the week is 165.8 billion yuan, an increase from the previous value of - 19.8 billion yuan; the net financing of credit bonds is 135.2 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous value of 184.7 billion yuan; the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate is 0.6%, a decrease from the previous value of 0.7%; the average value of the bill rate minus the certificate of deposit rate is - 1.00%, a decrease from the previous value of - 0.93% [95].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of national economic fundamentals from September 19 to September 26, 2025, showing that the overall economic situation is stable with some fluctuations in different sectors [1][9]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 127.9 points (previous value: 127.8 points), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 5.8 points (previous value: 5.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds remains unchanged, with a signal factor of 5.0% (previous value: 5.0%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production: PTA Operating Rate Drops Slightly - The industrial production high - frequency index is 127.1 (previous value: 127.0), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 5.4 points (previous value: 5.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - The PTA operating rate is 76.5% (previous value: 77.3%), a decrease of 0.8 percentage points [11][16]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales: Commodity Housing Transaction Area Rises Slightly - The commodity housing sales high - frequency index is 42.5 (previous value: 42.6), with a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 point and a year - on - year decrease of 6.2 points (previous value: 6.3 points), and the year - on - year decline has narrowed [1][9]. - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 26.7 million square meters (previous value: 21.3 million square meters) [11][27]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Petroleum Asphalt Operating Rate Rises - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index is 121.3 (previous value: 121.2), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 7.3 points (previous value: 6.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - The operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants is 40.1% (previous value: 34.4%), an increase of 5.7 percentage points [11][42]. 3.5 Exports: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continues to Decline - The export high - frequency index is 143.7 (previous value: 143.7), with no week - on - week change and a year - on - year increase of 1.8 points (previous value: 2.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed [1][9]. - The CCFI index is 1087 points (previous value: 1120 points), a decrease of 33 points [11][44]. 3.6 Consumption: Average Daily Box Office of Movies Rises Significantly - The consumption high - frequency index is 120.4 (previous value: 120.4), with no week - on - week change and a year - on - year increase of 3.5 points (previous value: 3.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - The average daily box office of movies is 138.85 million yuan (previous value: 118.67 million yuan), an increase of 20.18 million yuan [11]. 3.7 CPI: Wholesale Price of Pork Drops Slightly - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.2% (previous value: 0.2%) [1][9]. - The average wholesale price of pork is 19.5 yuan/kg (previous value: 19.7 yuan/kg) [62]. 3.8 PPI: Copper and Coal Prices Continue to Rise - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is - 0.1% (previous value: 0.0%) [1][9]. - The spot settlement price of LME copper is $10024/ton (previous value: $9950/ton), and the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is $2648/ton (previous value: $2701/ton) [68]. 3.9 Transportation: Passenger Volume Drops Slightly - The transportation high - frequency index is 131.0 (previous value: 130.8), with a week - on - week increase of 0.2 point and a year - on - year increase of 9.8 points (previous value: 9.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [2][10]. - The passenger volume of the subway in first - tier cities is 35.19 million person - times (previous value: 38.71 million person - times) [79]. 3.10 Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Drops - The inventory high - frequency index is 162.2 (previous value: 162.0), with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point and a year - on - year increase of 8.6 points (previous value: 8.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed [1][10]. - The electrolytic aluminum inventory is 188,000 tons (previous value: 206,000 tons) [86]. 3.11 Financing: Net Financing of Local Bonds Rises Significantly - The financing high - frequency index is 238.0 (previous value: 237.4), with a week - on - week increase of 0.6 point and a year - on - year increase of 30.1 points (previous value: 30.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [2][10]. - The net financing of local bonds is 122.5 billion yuan (previous value: 30.9 billion yuan) [95].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 127.6 points (previous value was 127.5 points), with a week - on - week increase of 5.6 points (same as the previous value), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds is unchanged, with a signal factor of 5.0% (previous value was 5.0%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index is 126.9 (previous value was 126.7), with a week - on - week increase of 5.3 points (previous increase was 5.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - Regarding total demand, the high - frequency index for commercial housing sales is 42.8 (previous value was 42.9), with a week - on - week decrease of 6.3 points (same as the previous value), and the year - on - year decline rate remains unchanged; the high - frequency index for infrastructure investment is 121.0 (previous value was 120.8), with a week - on - week increase of 6.5 points (previous increase was 6.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded; the high - frequency index for exports is 143.7 (previous value was 143.7), with a week - on - week increase of 2.1 points (previous increase was 2.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed; the high - frequency index for consumption is 120.3 (previous value was 120.2), with a week - on - week increase of 3.3 points (previous increase was 3.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the monthly环比 forecast for CPI is 0.1% (previous value was 0.4%); the monthly环比 forecast for PPI is 0.0% (previous value was 0.1%) [2][9]. - The high - frequency inventory index is 161.9 (previous value was 161.7), with a week - on - week increase of 8.8 points (same as the previous value), and the year - on - year growth rate remains unchanged. The high - frequency transportation index is 130.6 (previous value was 130.4), with a week - on - week increase of 9.6 points (previous increase was 9.5 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded. The high - frequency financing index is 236.8 (previous value was 236.2), with a week - on - week increase of 30.0 points (previous increase was 29.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate has expanded [2][10]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remains Stable - The Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is based on a statistical system covering various aspects such as overall, production, demand, prices, and financing. The current index is 127.6 points, with a stable year - on - year growth rate [8][9]. 3.2 Production: Electric Arc Furnace Operating Rate Rebounds - The electric arc furnace operating rate is 62.8% (previous value was 62.2%); the polyester operating rate is 87.4% (previous value was 87.1%); the semi - tire operating rate is 73.5% (previous value was 67.5%); the full - tire operating rate is 65.6% (previous value was 59.8%); the PTA operating rate is 75.0% (previous value was 69.5%); the PX operating rate is 85.9% (previous value was 84.6%); the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port is 49.0 tons (previous value was 51.4 tons) [11][15]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales: Commercial Housing Transaction Area Declines - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 19.6 million square meters (previous value was 22.0 million square meters); the land premium rate for land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities is 4.4% (previous value was 1.8%) [24]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Rises Significantly - The operating rate of the asphalt plant is 34.9% (previous value was 28.1%) [38]. 3.5 Exports: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continues to Decline - The CCFI index is 1125 points (previous value was 1149 points); the RJ/CRB index is 300.7 points (previous value was 301.3 points) [40]. 3.6 Consumption: Average Daily Movie Box Office Continues to Decline Significantly - The average daily movie box office is 51.14 million yuan (previous value was 81.9 million yuan) [49]. 3.7 CPI: Average Wholesale Price of White - Strip Chickens Rises Slightly - The average wholesale price of pork is 19.9 yuan/kg (unchanged from the previous value); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.1 yuan/kg (unchanged from the previous value); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 6.9 yuan/kg (unchanged from the previous value); the average wholesale price of white - strip chickens is 17.6 yuan/kg (previous value was 17.5 yuan/kg) [56]. 3.8 PPI: Copper and Aluminum Prices Rise Slightly - The closing price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Shanxi - produced, Q5500) is 676 yuan/ton (previous value was 682 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 67 US dollars/barrel (unchanged from the previous value); the spot settlement price of LME copper is 9882 US dollars/ton (previous value was 9829 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2644 US dollars/ton (previous value was 2613 US dollars/ton) [58]. 3.9 Transportation: Flight Passenger Volume Drops Significantly - The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities is 37.16 million person - times (previous value was 36.26 million person - times); the road logistics freight rate index is 1050 points (previous value was 1051 points); the number of domestic flights is 11,468 (previous value was 13,157) [69]. 3.10 Inventory: Aluminum Inventory Continues to Rise - The aluminum inventory is 193,000 tons (previous value was 174,000 tons); the soda ash inventory is 1.81 million tons (previous value was 1.821 million tons) [75]. 3.11 Financing: Net Financing of Local Government Bonds Increases Significantly - The net financing of local government bonds is 192.8 billion yuan (previous value was 36.7 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds is 91.9 billion yuan (previous value was - 55.3 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate is 0.8% (previous value was 0.73%); the average of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate is - 0.8% (previous value was - 0.88%) [86].