多家机构看好金价长期走势，德意志银行预测今年金价或突破6000美元/盎司，东方金诚也认为，长期 来看，金价上涨的逻辑延续，且不具备逆转条件，国际黄金价格有望上涨至6000美元/盎司。但同时也 警示，短期涨幅过大积累了大量获利盘，可能引发技术性回调，投资者需警惕高位剧烈波动的风险。 监管应对：门槛与风险等级双提升 1月29日，国际现货黄金价格盘中强势突破5500美元/盎司大关，一度逼近5600美元关口。本周以来，金 价累计涨幅超500美元，年初至今涨幅已高达28%。回顾本轮行情，涨势之迅猛远超传统避险逻辑范畴 ——国际金价在短短一个月内飙升1200美元，从4000美元攀升至5500美元仅耗时不到三个月。 东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监瞿瑞指出，本轮金价飙升主要受三重因素驱动：一是地缘政治风险扩大 引发避险情绪急剧升温；二是政策不确定性提升；三是美元指数持续走弱，显著降低了黄金的持有成 本。这三股合力共同助推金价不断刷新历史新高。 驱动因素：地缘紧张与政策预期的共振 具体来看，地缘政治层面，近期局势急剧恶化。特朗普敦促伊朗尽快达成核协议，否则将面临远比去年 6月更为猛烈的军事打击，而伊朗方面则表态若被步步紧逼，将作 ...

1月28日，上海期货交易所（以下简称上期所）发布公告，再次对黄金、白银等期货涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例进行调整；上海黄金交易所（以下简称 上金所）于同日发布公告，对白银延期合约交易保证金水平和涨跌停板比例进行调整。 上期所调整黄金、白银等期货涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例 白银期货AG2605、AG2606、AG2607、AG2608、AG2609、AG2610、AG2611、AG2612、AG2701合约涨跌停板幅度调整为16%，套保持仓交易保证金比例 调整为17%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为18%。 上期所称，如遇《上海期货交易所风险控制管理办法》第十三条规定情况，则在上述涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例基础上调整。关于涨跌停板和交易保证 金的其他事项按《上海期货交易所风险控制管理办法》及相关业务规则执行。 请输入内容 公告 ▼ 产品 ▼ 数据 - 服务 ▼ 首页 规则 ▼ 首页 > 公告 > 公告通知 稳健 | 进取 | 诚信 | 专业 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 发布日期: 2026-01-28 冒打印 開发〔2026〕414 26年1月30日(星期五)收盘结算时起,涨跌 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：中国基金报 氧化铝、铅、锌期货已上市合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为9%，套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为10%，一 般持仓交易保证金比例调整为11%； 【导读】上期所、上金所对白银等期货交易进行调整 不锈钢、铸造铝合金、螺纹钢、热轧卷板期货已上市合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为7%，套保持仓交易保 证金比例调整为8%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为9%； 中国基金报记者 忆山 黄金期货AU2606、AU2608、AU2610、AU2612、AU2702合约涨跌停板幅度调整为16%，套保持仓交 易保证金比例调整为17%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为18%； 1月28日，上海期货交易所（以下简称上期所）发布公告，再次对黄金、白银等期货涨跌停板幅度、交 易保证金比例进行调整；上海黄金交易所（以下简称上金所）于同日发布公告，对白银延期合约交易保 证金水平和涨跌停板比例进行调整。 上期所调整黄金、白银等期货涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例 上期所发布公告称，经研究决定，自2026年1月30日（星期五）收盘结算时起，涨跌停板幅度和交易保 证金比例调整如下： 镍期货已 ...

Market Overview - Global market trends are mixed, with US stock index futures declining amid geopolitical risks, particularly regarding potential US intervention in Iran, leading investors to seek safety in precious metals [2][19] - As of the latest update, Dow futures are down 0.32%, S&P 500 futures down 0.42%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.63% [20] - European markets are generally rising, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index opening up 0.3%, reaching a historical high [20] Economic Indicators - Key upcoming catalysts include earnings reports from major Wall Street banks, speeches from Federal Reserve officials, and the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales data [21] - The US inflation rate for December remained at 2.7% year-on-year, aligning with expectations, while concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have emerged due to a criminal investigation into Chairman Powell [22] Commodity Market - Precious metals continue to perform strongly, with silver surpassing $90 per ounce and gold reaching a historical high, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [25] - Analysts suggest that ongoing geopolitical tensions and concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence will likely continue to attract investment into gold and silver [25][26] Currency Market - The US dollar remains stable, with the euro holding around 1.1645, as investors await developments from discussions involving Greenland, Denmark, and the US [23] - The potential for a constructive agreement regarding Greenland could alleviate some geopolitical risks affecting the euro, although its overall impact on exchange rates is expected to be limited [23] Stock Market Predictions - Ariel Investments' CEO predicts a potential 20% decline in the Dow Jones index by the end of 2026, citing pressures on ordinary consumers from high living costs as a significant factor [29][30] - Despite a generally bullish outlook from Wall Street financial giants, this prediction highlights a contrasting view regarding the sustainability of the current market conditions [30] Individual Stocks - Rivian is down nearly 3% in pre-market trading due to a recall of over 19,000 electric vehicles and a downgrade to "sell" by UBS [30] - Intel shares are up over 3% in pre-market trading following indications that Apple has invested in Intel [31] - Honeywell is up 1.6% in pre-market trading as its quantum computing division plans to file for an IPO [32] - AstraZeneca is up about 2% in pre-market trading after acquiring Modella AI to accelerate cancer drug development [33] - Bilibili is up nearly 5% in pre-market trading, reporting over 20% growth in advertising revenue for 11 consecutive quarters [34]