Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4] Core Viewpoints - Recent policy guidance has led to a rapid decline in post-slaughter weight, allowing for a rebalancing of volume and price, with positive expectations for pig prices [3] - The long-term perspective indicates that the bottom of the production capacity cycle is becoming clearer, suggesting a potential long-term profit upturn for the sector [3] - The report highlights investment opportunities in various segments, including pig farming, feed, and planting chains, as well as the pet food sector [3] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - In June, 13 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 16.2681 million pigs, a month-on-month increase of 2.65% and a year-on-year increase of 47.55% [2][13] - The average selling price of pigs decreased by approximately 3% month-on-month and about 20% year-on-year, with prices ranging from 13.23 to 15.57 yuan/kg [14][15] - The average weight of slaughtered pigs in June was 125.06 kg, down 0.77 kg from May, indicating a trend towards reducing weight [17] Market Dynamics - The national average price for live pigs was 14.81 yuan/kg as of July 11, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 3.52% [28] - The demand for pork is weakening due to high temperatures affecting consumption and rising storage costs, leading to a gradual loosening of supply-demand dynamics [28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Juxing Agriculture, as well as companies in the feed and animal health sectors like Haida Group and Ruipu Biological [3] - In the planting chain, opportunities are highlighted for companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [3] Other Segments - The pet food industry is experiencing growth, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and continuous growth of leading companies [3]

Market Overview - The three major stock indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3380.21 points, down 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10246.52 points, down 0.03%, and the ChiNext Index at 2052.0 points, up 0.17% [2] Guest Insights - Guotai Junan's senior analyst suggests a strategy to avoid over-concentration in specific sectors while maintaining foundational holdings. Continuous attention should be given to niche segments and structural opportunities within the industry [4] - Liu Jun from Guolian Securities highlights the current market's structural characteristics of policy support and insufficient volume, indicating a stable market sentiment. He recommends focusing on hardware and software breakthroughs, particularly in high-precision components due to surging demand [3] Brokerage Opinions - CITIC Securities emphasizes the rapid progress of AI technology and its positive impact on the industry chain, particularly for software companies with data and customer bases. They recommend focusing on ERP and government sectors for potential orders and products [7] - Huatai Securities continues to actively recommend the pet sector, noting strong Q2 performance data and upcoming industry events that could catalyze further growth. They suggest focusing on leading pet food companies and rare pet medical stocks for investment [8]