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贵金属期现日报-20260120
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-20 03:14
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The market may be more affected by the impact of US economic data on Federal Reserve policy expectations and geopolitical situation disturbances. In general, the short - term news impact weakens, the market maintains a relatively strong oscillation, and the volatility declines. Gold long - positions above the 20 - day moving average can be held, and out - of - the - money put options can be sold to earn time value [1] - For silver, the short - term suspension of the 232 investigation tariff by the US and the exchange's position - limit measures have eased the capital sentiment. The price may enter a high - level oscillation. Unilateral trading should be cautious, and out - of - the - money options can be sold to earn volatility - reduction returns [1] - Platinum and palladium are affected by the macro and supply - demand fundamentals and follow the relatively strong oscillation of gold in the short term, but the fluctuation space narrows. Platinum futures are recommended to be traded in a high - selling and low - buying manner around the 20 - day moving average, with a fluctuation range of 587 - 640 yuan. Palladium shows relatively weaker performance than platinum, and out - of - the - money call options above 510 yuan can be sold [1] 3. Summary According to the Catalog Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2604 contract closed at 1048.88 yuan/gram on January 19, up 16.56 yuan (1.60%) from January 16 [1] - AG2604 contract closed at 23,189 yuan/10 grams on January 19, up 706 yuan (3.14%) from January 16 [1] - PT2606 contract closed at 615.10 yuan/gram on January 19, up 5.05 yuan (0.83%) from January 16 [1] - PD2606 contract closed at 477.95 yuan on January 19, up 8.60 yuan (1.83%) from January 16 [1] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力合约 closed at 4,601.10 dollars/ounce on January 19, down 19.40 dollars (- 0.42%) from January 16 [1] - COMEX silver主力合约 closed at 89.95 dollars/ounce on January 19, down 2.27 dollars (- 2.46%) from January 16 [1] - NYMEX platinum主力合约 closed at 2,342.90 dollars/ounce on January 19, down 72.90 dollars (- 3.02%) from January 16 [1] - NYMEX palladium主力合约 closed at 1,846.50 dollars/ounce on January 19, down 19.00 dollars (- 1.02%) from January 16 [1] Spot Prices - London gold was at 4,671.72 dollars/ounce, up 72.68 dollars (1.58%) from the previous value [1] - London silver was at 94.40 dollars/ounce, up 4.26 dollars (4.73%) from the previous value [1] - Spot platinum was at 2,374.54 dollars/ounce, up 46.09 dollars (1.98%) from the previous value [1] - Spot palladium was at 1,841.56 dollars/ounce, up 41.81 dollars (2.32%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1,045.27 yuan/gram, up 14.18 yuan (1.38%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 23,136 yuan/10 grams, up 495 yuan (2.19%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 605 yuan/gram, up 3 yuan (0.45%) from the previous value [1] Basis - Gold TD - Shanghai gold主力: The current value was - 3.61, down 2.38 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [1] - Silver TD - Shanghai silver主力: The current value was - 53, down 211 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [1] - London gold - COMEX gold: The current value was - 2.06, up 2.92 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 92.90% [1] - London silver - COMEX silver: The current value was 0.19, unchanged from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 90.00% [1] Price Ratios - COMEX gold/silver: The current value was 51.15, up 1.05 (2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE gold/silver: The current value was 45.23, down 0.68 (- 1.49%) from the previous value [1] - NYMEX palladium/platinum: The current value was 1.27, down 0.03 (- 2.02%) from the previous value [1] - GZFE platinum/palladium: The current value was 1.29, down 0.01 (- 0.99%) from the previous value [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year US Treasury yield: The current value was 4.24%, up 0.09% (2.2%) from the previous value [1] - 2 - year US Treasury yield: The current value was 3.59%, up 0.08% (2.3%) from the previous value [1] - 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield: The current value was 1.91%, up 0.05% (2.7%) from the previous value [1] - US dollar index: The current value was 99.04, down 0.33 (- 0.33%) from the previous value [1] - Offshore RMB exchange rate: The current value was 6.9568, down 0.0106 from the previous value [1] Inventory and Positions - SHFE gold inventory: The current value was 1,000,530 grams, down 63 grams (- 0.06%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE silver inventory: The current value was 617,760 kilograms, down 9,083 kilograms (- 1.45%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold inventory: The current value was 36,135,901 ounces, up 3,000 ounces (0.01%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver inventory: The current value was 429,156,441 ounces, down 4,225,669 ounces (- 0.98%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts: The current value was 18,864,397 ounces, up 40,600 ounces (0.22%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts: The current value was 120,632,557 ounces, down 2,571,966 ounces (- 2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SPDR gold ETF position: The current value was 1,086 tons, up 10.87 tons (1.01%) from the previous value [1] - SLV silver ETF position: The current value was 16,073 tons, up 11.28 tons (0.07%) from the previous value [1]
《金融》日报-20251201
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 01:32
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present daily data on various financial products including stock index futures spreads, bond futures spreads, precious metals futures and spot prices, and container shipping industry indices. These data provide insights into market trends and price movements of different financial instruments. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spreads - **Price Differences**: On December 1, 2025, the IF spot - futures spread was -20.86, the IC spot - futures spread was -57.35, and the IM spot - futures spread was 73.41. There were also various inter - period spreads and cross - product ratios presented, such as the IC/IF ratio at 1.5478 [1]. Bond Futures Spreads - **IRR and Basis**: As of November 28, 2025, the IRR of some bonds had certain changes. For example, the TF basis was 1.5719, the T basis was 1.4880, and the TL basis was 1.8420. There were also inter - period spreads and cross - product spreads among different bond futures contracts [2]. Precious Metals Futures and Spot - **Price Changes**: On November 28, 2025, domestic futures prices of precious metals like AU2602 increased by 0.71% to 953.92 yuan/gram, AG2602 rose by 1.61% to 12727 yuan/kilogram. In the foreign market, COMEX gold increased by 1.44% to 4256.40 dollars/ounce. There were also data on spot prices, basis, and price ratios [3]. Container Shipping Industry - **Index Movements**: As of November 24, 2025, the SCFIS (European route) increased by 20.75% to 1639.37 points, while the SCFIS (US West route) decreased by 10.54% to 1107.85 points. There were also data on shipping rates, futures prices, and fundamental data such as global container shipping capacity supply and port - related indicators [5].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250825
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 15:24
Report 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical quantiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios on August 25, 2025 [1] Summary by Relevant Catalog - **IF Spreads**: The current - to - next - month spread is - 13.00, down 0.60 from the previous day; the far - month to current - month spread is 5.20, up 0.20 [1] - **IH Spreads**: The current - to - next - month spread is 2.20, down 6.20 from the previous day; the far - month to current - month spread is 34.80, down 242.60 [1] - **IC Spreads**: The current - to - next - month spread is - 46.80, down 1.00 from the previous day; the far - month to current - month spread is - 312.60, up 19.50 [1] - **IM Spreads**: The current - to - next - month spread is - 109.20, up 1.60 from the previous day; the far - month to current - month spread is - 265.80, up 2.20 [1] - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: The ratio of CSI 500 to SSE 50 is 2.3297, down 0.0126 from the previous day; the ratio of CSI 1000 to SSE 300 is 1.6818, down 0.0097 [1] Report 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Displays the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and historical quantiles of various treasury bond futures spreads and cross - variety spreads on August 25, 2025 [2] Summary by Relevant Catalog - **TS Spreads**: The basis is 1.1805, up 0.0273 from the previous day; the current - to - next - season spread is - 0.0040, up 0.0180 [2] - **TF Spreads**: The basis is 1.2096, up 0.1018 from the previous day; the current - to - next - season spread is 0.1050, up 0.0550 [2] - **T Spreads**: The basis is 0.8328, up 0.5664 from the previous day; the current - to - next - season spread is 0.2550, up 0.1300 [2] - **TL Spreads**: The basis is 0.5625, up 1.0072 from the previous day; the current - to - next - season spread is 0.5100, up 0.0500 [2] - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: The spread between TS and TF is - 3.0520, up 0.0720 from the previous day; the spread between TF and T is - 2.2900, up 0.2600 [2] Report 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Provides domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals on August 25, 2025 [10] Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Domestic Futures Closing Prices**: The AU2510 contract closed at 773.40 yuan/gram, down 0.22% from the previous day; the AG2510 contract closed at 9192 yuan/kilogram, up 0.33% [10] - **Foreign Futures Closing Prices**: The COMEX gold main contract closed at 3417.20 US dollars/ounce, up 1.00%; the COMEX silver main contract closed at 38.88, up 2.05% [10] - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3371.24 US dollars/ounce, up 0.97%; London silver was at 38.89, up 2.01% [10] - **Basis**: The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is - 1.77, up 1.69 from the previous day; the basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is - 10, up 8 [10] - **Ratios**: The ratio of COMEX gold to silver is 87.89, down 1.03% from the previous day; the ratio of SHFE gold to silver is 84.14, down 0.55% [10] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.26%, down 1.6%; the US dollar index is 97.72, down 0.94% [10] - **Inventory and Positions**: The SHFE gold inventory is 37455 kilograms, up 2.22%; the SHFE silver inventory is 1109123, down 0.53% [10] Report 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Shows spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry on August 25, 2025 [11] Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Spot Quotes**: The Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate of MAERSK is 2273 US dollars/FEU, down 3.28% from the previous day; that of CMA CGM is 2464, down 0.61% [11] - **Container Shipping Indices**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 2180.17, down 2.47% from August 11; the SCFIS (US West route) is 1106.29, up 2.23% [11] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 futures price is 1465.0, down 3.17% from the previous day; the basis of the main contract is 750.2, down 1.99% [11] - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply is 3293.04 FTEU, unchanged; the port on - time rate in Shanghai is 32.58%, down 5.76% [11] Report 5: Trading Calendar Core View - Lists overseas and domestic data and information release schedules on August 25, 2025 [12] Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Overseas Data/Information**: The US will release USDA export inspection and crop growth data; HAD will release Brazilian secex reports [12] - **Domestic Data/Information**: For manganese silicon, data on global manganese ore shipments, arrivals, and port inventories will be released; for crude oil, Shandong local refinery crude oil arrivals will be released at 14:00 [12]
广发期货《金融》日报-20250707
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 07:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, shipping, and provide data on price differentials, spreads, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions, as well as upcoming economic data releases. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **Price Differentials**: The latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentile data of various stock index futures price differentials are presented, such as the IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts' price differentials and cross - period spreads [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios of different stock index futures, like CSI 500/CSI 300, are provided along with their changes and historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis and IRR**: The basis and implied repo rate (IRR) data of TS, TF, T, and TL treasury bond futures are given, including their latest values, changes, and historical percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Period and Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF) are presented with relevant data [2]. Precious Metals - **Spot and Futures Prices**: Spot prices of London gold, London silver, and futures prices of COMEX gold, COMEX silver, and domestic precious metal contracts are provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [4][5][6]. - **Basis, Ratios, and Other Data**: Basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract), price ratios (e.g., COMEX gold/silver), interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions are presented [4]. Shipping - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe shipping routes of different shipping companies are given, including their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes such as SCFIS (European route) and SCFI comprehensive index are presented, along with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of shipping contracts (e.g., EC2602) and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on global container shipping capacity supply, Shanghai port - related indicators, and overseas economic data are presented [7]. Data Calendar - **Overseas Data**: Upcoming economic data releases in the eurozone and the US, such as the eurozone July Sentix investor confidence index and USDA export inspection data, are listed [9]. - **Domestic Data**: Upcoming domestic economic data releases, including China's June foreign exchange reserves and various commodity - related data, are provided [9].
《金融》日报-2025-04-02
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-02 06:03
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the reports. Core Views - The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and industrial futures, such as prices, spreads, and related economic indicators, to help investors understand market trends and price movements [1][2][4][7]. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spread - **Price Difference Data**: Provides price differences and their changes for IF, IH, IC, and IM futures, including spot - futures spreads and inter - period spreads, along with historical percentile data [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Presents cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, IC/IF, etc., and their historical percentile data [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread - **Basis and IRR**: Displays basis and IRR data for TS, TF, T, and TL treasury bond futures, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - **Inter - Period Spreads**: Provides inter - period spreads for different maturities of TS, TF, T, and TL futures, and their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Presents cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., and their changes and historical percentiles [2]. Precious Metal Futures and Spot - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Shows domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes and price change rates for gold and silver [4]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Provides basis data for gold and silver, as well as price ratios such as COMEX gold/silver and SHFE gold/silver, and their historical percentiles [4]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories**: Displays data on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate, and inventory and position data for gold and silver [4]. Industrial Futures and Spot - **Spot Quotes**: Presents spot quotes for shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route and their changes and price change rates [7]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Displays settlement price indexes for shipping routes, Shanghai export container freight rates, and their changes and price change rates [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Provides futures prices and their changes and price change rates for EC contracts, as well as basis data for the main contract [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Includes data on global container shipping capacity supply, Red Sea detour situation, foreign trade - related indicators, overseas economic indicators, and OECD composite leading indicators [7]. Data and Information Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: Lists macro - economic data and energy - chemical data for the US, including time, data sources, and economic indicators [9]. - **Domestic Data/Information**: Presents data on energy - chemical, black - nonferrous, and special commodities in China, including time, data sources, and economic indicators [9].