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广发期货《金融》日报-20250825
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 15:24
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 叶倩宁 | 2025年8月25日 | 全历史分位数 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 价差 | | | | | | | | | | 94.00% | 16.00 | 96,70% | F期现价差 | 21.87 | H期期价差 | 13,39 | 10,16 | 95.0096 | 08 30% | 前现价差 | | | | | | | IC期现价差 | 76.60% | 64.70% | -12.45 | 35.32 | IM湖砌价差 | -14.34 | -21.68 | 95.00% | 65.60% | 次月-当月 | 2.20 | 40.90% | 44.20% | -6.20 | | | 泰月-景月 | -19.20 | ...
《金融》日报-20250814
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 03:11
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints No clear core viewpoints are presented in the reports. The documents mainly provide various data on different financial products such as stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price and Spread Data**: On August 14, 2025, the latest prices and spreads of various stock index futures (IH, IC, IM) were reported, including price differences between current and future contracts, and their historical percentile rankings. For example, the IH current - futures spread was 5.82, with a change of 86.90% and a historical percentile of 3.23 and 84.40% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Price and Spread Data**: On August 14, 2025, data on treasury bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) were presented, including basis, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads. For instance, the T basis was 1.6133, with a change of - 0.0139 and a historical percentile of 55.20% [2]. Precious Metals - **Price and Related Data**: On August 14, 2025, domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions data of precious metals (gold and silver) were reported. For example, the AU2510 contract closed at 777.72 yuan/gram on August 13, up 1.68 yuan or 0.22% from the previous day [6]. Container Shipping - **Price and Fundamental Data**: On August 14, 2025, data on container shipping were provided, including spot quotes, freight indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data. For example, the Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate of MAERSK increased by 6.08% to 2651 US dollars/FEU on August 13 compared to the previous day [8]. Data and Information - **Overseas and Domestic Data**: Overseas data include economic indicators such as GDP, PMI, and consumer confidence indices of the eurozone and the US, as well as agricultural and energy - related data. Domestic data cover various industries such as steel, energy, and chemicals, including production, inventory, and utilization rate data [11].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250731
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 02:14
Report on Stock Index Futures Spread Core View - Presents the latest values, historical quantiles, and daily changes of various spread indicators for stock index futures including IF, IH, IC, and IM on July 31, 2025 [1]. Summary by Category - **Futures - Spot Spread**: IF's futures - spot spread is -14.84, with a 32.30% change from the previous day and a 28.70% historical 1 - year quantile; IH's is 0.65, IC's is -99.29, and IM's is -114.28 [1]. - **Inter - delivery Spread**: Different inter - delivery spreads for IF, IH, IC, and IM are presented, showing their latest values, changes, and historical quantiles [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratio**: Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc. are provided, along with their latest values, changes, and historical quantiles [1]. Report on Bond Futures Spread Core View - Displays the latest values, changes, and historical quantiles of indicators like IRR, basis, inter - delivery spread, and cross - variety spread for bond futures on July 31, 2025 [2]. Summary by Category - **IRR**: For example, the IRR of a certain bond on July 30, 2025, is 1.5292, with a 0.0063 change from the previous day and a 21.20% historical quantile [2]. - **Basis**: TF's basis on July 30, 2025, is 0.0007, T's is 1.4179, etc. [2]. - **Inter - delivery Spread**: TS, TF, T, and TL's inter - delivery spreads are presented, including their latest values, changes, and historical quantiles [2]. - **Cross - variety Spread**: Spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc. are provided, along with their latest values, changes, and historical quantiles [2]. Report on Precious Metals Futures - Spot Core View - Compares the closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metals futures, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions on July 30, 2025 [4]. Summary by Category - **Futures Closing Price**: Domestic AU2510 contract closed at 773.78 yuan/gram on July 30, 2025, with a 0.30% increase; COMEX gold closed at 3327.90 dollars/ounce, up 0.08% [4]. - **Spot Price**: London gold was at 3275.05 dollars/ounce on July 30, 2025, down 1.53%; Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 769.48 yuan/gram, up 0.30% [4]. - **Basis**: The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is -4.30, with a -0.05 change and an 8.40% historical 1 - year quantile [4]. - **Ratio**: The ratio of COMEX gold to silver is 89.52, up 3.34% [4]. - **Interest Rate and Exchange Rate**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.38, up 0.9% [4]. - **Inventory and Position**: The inventory of Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold increased by 7.03% to 33462 [4]. Report on Container Shipping Industry Futures - Spot Core View - Analyzes the spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry on July 31, 2025 [6]. Summary by Category - **Spot Quote**: The 6 - week future freight reference from Shanghai to Europe for MAERSK is 3003 dollars/FEU on July 31, 2025, down 0.06% [6]. - **Container Shipping Index**: SCFIS (European route) settled at 2316.56 on July 28, 2025, down 3.50% from July 21 [6]. - **Futures Price and Basis**: EC2602 contract closed at 1532.0 points on July 30, 2025, up 0.70%; the basis of the main contract is 802.4, down 1.15% [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply remains unchanged at 3273.16 FTEU on July 31, 2025; the port punctuality rate in Shanghai is 34.57, down 18.66% [6]. Report on Trading Calendar Core View - Lists overseas and domestic economic indicators and financial events on July 31, 2025 [7]. Summary by Category - **Overseas Data/Info**: At 2:00, the US Federal Reserve announced the interest rate decision (upper limit) and the FOMC released the interest rate resolution; at 17:00, the eurozone announced the June unemployment rate [7]. - **Domestic Data/Info**: At 9:30, China announced the July official manufacturing PMI; at 15:00, SMM announced the total social inventory of electrolytic copper [7].
金融日报-20250722
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-22 13:14
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, 1 - year historical percentiles, and all - time percentiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios on July 22, 2025 [1]. Summary by Category - **Futures - Spot Spreads**: For example, the F futures - spot spread is - 20.81, down 4.06 from the previous day, with a 1 - year percentile of 30.70% and an all - time percentile of 21.70% [1]. - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: Such as the F inter - delivery spread, where the season - month minus the current - month is - 41.00, down 32.20, with a 1 - year percentile of 20.00% and an all - time percentile of 26.40% [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: For instance, the IC/IF ratio is 1.4898, up 0.0051, with a 1 - year percentile of 62.20% and an all - time percentile of 60.20% [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report provides data on IRR, basis, inter - delivery spreads, and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures on July 22, 2025, including their changes and historical percentiles [2]. Summary by Category - **IRR**: The 15 - year IRR is 1.6099, down 0.0053 from the previous day, with a historical percentile of 24.90% [2]. - **Basis**: For example, the T basis is 1.5727, down 0.0409, with a historical percentile of 53.80% [2]. - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: Like the TS inter - delivery spread, the current - season minus the alternate - season is - 0.0080, with a historical percentile of 11.60% [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Such as the TS - TF spread, which is - 3.5350 on July 22, 2025, up 0.0210, with a historical percentile of 8.10% [2]. Group 3: Precious Metals Futures - Spot Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report shows the domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and holdings of precious metals on July 22, 2025, along with their changes [4]. Summary by Category - **Futures Closing Prices**: The AU2510 contract closed at 781.70 yuan/gram on July 21, up 4.68 (0.60%) from July 18 [4]. - **Spot Prices**: The London gold price was 3396.67 dollars/ounce on July 21, up 47.01 (1.40%) from July 18 [4]. - **Basis**: The gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 basis is - 4.70, down 1.05, with a 1 - year percentile of 5.60% [4]. - **Ratios**: The COMEX gold/silver ratio is 86.91, down 0.42 (- 0.48%) [4]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.38%, down 0.06 (- 1.4%) [4]. - **Inventory and Holdings**: The SPRD gold ETF holding is 947 tons, up 3.44 (0.36%) [4]. Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Futures - Spot Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report offers information on Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rates, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data on July 22, 2025 [7]. Summary by Category - **Freight Rates**: The CMA CGM's Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate is 4226 dollars/FEU on July 21, up 124 (3.78%) from July 20 [7]. - **Indices**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 2400.50 points on July 21, down 21.4 (- 0.89%) from July 14 [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1486.4 on July 21, down 8.7 (- 0.58%) from July 18, and the basis of the main contract is 956.5, down 22.1 (- 2.26%) [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply is 3271.67 on July 22, unchanged from July 21 [7]. Group 5: Trading Calendar Core Viewpoints - The report lists overseas and domestic data and information release schedules on July 22, 2025, including various economic indicators and events [9]. Summary by Category - **Overseas Data**: Such as New Zealand's log exports [9]. - **Domestic Data**: For example, the inventory of manganese ore by variety and the throughput of manganese ore in Qinzhou Port for manganese - silicon [9].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250707
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 07:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, shipping, and provide data on price differentials, spreads, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions, as well as upcoming economic data releases. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **Price Differentials**: The latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentile data of various stock index futures price differentials are presented, such as the IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts' price differentials and cross - period spreads [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios of different stock index futures, like CSI 500/CSI 300, are provided along with their changes and historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis and IRR**: The basis and implied repo rate (IRR) data of TS, TF, T, and TL treasury bond futures are given, including their latest values, changes, and historical percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Period and Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF) are presented with relevant data [2]. Precious Metals - **Spot and Futures Prices**: Spot prices of London gold, London silver, and futures prices of COMEX gold, COMEX silver, and domestic precious metal contracts are provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [4][5][6]. - **Basis, Ratios, and Other Data**: Basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract), price ratios (e.g., COMEX gold/silver), interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions are presented [4]. Shipping - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe shipping routes of different shipping companies are given, including their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes such as SCFIS (European route) and SCFI comprehensive index are presented, along with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of shipping contracts (e.g., EC2602) and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on global container shipping capacity supply, Shanghai port - related indicators, and overseas economic data are presented [7]. Data Calendar - **Overseas Data**: Upcoming economic data releases in the eurozone and the US, such as the eurozone July Sentix investor confidence index and USDA export inspection data, are listed [9]. - **Domestic Data**: Upcoming domestic economic data releases, including China's June foreign exchange reserves and various commodity - related data, are provided [9].
《金融》日报-20250702
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 06:37
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports mainly present daily data on various financial products, including futures price differences, spot-futures price relationships, and related economic indicators. They aim to help investors understand the current market situation and potential trends in different sectors such as stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and shipping industry futures. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Differences**: Provides detailed data on the current values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentile rankings of price differences for various stock index futures contracts, including IF, IH, IC, and IM, in terms of both spot-futures spreads and inter - contract spreads [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Presents the current values, changes, and historical percentile rankings of cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 500/SSE 50, etc. [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis and Spread Data**: Offers data on the basis (including IRR percentile), inter - contract spreads, and cross - variety spreads for different treasury bond futures contracts like TS, TF, T, and TL, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Shows domestic and international futures closing prices, spot prices, and their daily changes and percentage changes for gold and silver [5]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Presents basis data (including historical percentile rankings) and price ratios between different precious metal products [5]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Positions**: Provides information on interest rates (such as 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields), exchange rates (like the US dollar index and offshore RMB exchange rate), and inventory and position data for precious metals [5]. Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Freight Rates**: Includes Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate references, settlement price indices, and Shanghai export container freight rates, along with their daily and monthly changes [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Presents futures prices and basis data for shipping industry futures contracts, and their changes and percentage changes [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: Offers data on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators [8]. Trading Calendar - **Overseas and Domestic Data/Info**: Lists overseas and domestic economic indicators and financial events, including their time, data sources, and related countries/regions or product types [10].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250609
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 02:59
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - The report presents the basis, price ratio, and spread data of various commodities including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures on different dates in June 2025, which can help investors understand the market conditions and potential investment opportunities of these commodities [2][6][16][24][37][47] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - Basis data from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are presented, and the basis is negative. The 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 spreads are all 0 [2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - Basis data of INE crude oil and fuel oil, and the price ratio of crude oil to asphalt from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are provided. The basis of INE crude oil is negative [6] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - Basis, inter - month spread, and inter - commodity spread data of various chemical commodities such as natural rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are given [11] 3.3 Black Metals - Basis, inter - month spread, and inter - commodity data of black metals including rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are presented [16] 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - Domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are provided [24] 3.4.2 London Market - LME price premium or discount, Shanghai - London price ratio, CIF price, domestic spot price, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on June 6, 2025, are given [30] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis, inter - month spread, and inter - commodity spread data of agricultural products such as soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc., from May 30, 2025, to June 6, 2025, are presented [37][39] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis and inter - month spread data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index futures are provided [47]
《金融》日报-20250520
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 05:32
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the documents. Core Viewpoints - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given documents. The reports mainly offer data on various financial products including futures, precious metals, and shipping container transportation. Summary by Relevant Categories 1. Stock Index Futures Spread - **IF, IH, IC, IM Spot - Futures Spread**: On May 20, 2025, the IF spot - futures spread was -33.95 (up 9.14 from the previous day), IH was -16.29 (up 5.17), IC was -97.79 (up 16.25), and IM was -119.94 (up 14.38) [1]. - **IF, IH, IC, IM Inter - delivery Spread**: Different inter - delivery spreads (e.g., next month - current month, quarterly month - current month) for each index showed various changes compared to the previous day, with some increasing and some decreasing [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc., also had corresponding changes on May 20, 2025, compared to the previous day [1]. 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread - **Basis**: On May 19, 2025, the TF basis was 1.0799 (up 0.0148 from the previous day), T basis was 1.6603 (down 0.0272), etc. [4]. - **Inter - delivery Spread**: For TS, TF, T, and TL, different inter - delivery spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) had their respective changes compared to the previous day [4]. - **Cross - variety Spread**: Spreads like TS - TF, TS - T, etc., also showed changes on May 19, 2025 [4]. 3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures - **Domestic Futures Closing Prices**: On May 19, 2025, the AU2508 contract closed at 755.86 yuan/gram (up 0.54% from May 16), and the AG2506 contract closed at 8133 yuan/kg (up 0.40%) [5]. - **Foreign Futures Closing Prices**: The COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 3232.20 US dollars/ounce (up 0.84% from May 16), and the COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 32.50 (up 0.20%) [5]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3229.21 US dollars/ounce (up 0.86% from May 16), and Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 754.09 yuan/gram (up 0.95%) [5]. - **Basis**: The basis between gold TD and Shanghai gold主力 was -1.11 (up 3.05 from the previous day), and between silver TD and Shanghai silver主力 was -20 (up 19) [5]. - **Ratios**: The COMEX gold/silver ratio was 99.47 (up 0.63 from the previous day), and the SHFE gold/silver ratio was 92.94 (up 0.13) [5]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.46% (up 0.7% from the previous day), and the US dollar index was 100.37 (down 0.60%) [5]. - **Inventory and Holdings**: The SHFE gold inventory remained unchanged at 17238, and the SPRD gold ETF holding was 921 (up 0.25% from the previous day) [5]. 4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures - **Spot Quotes**: On May 20, 2025, MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate was 1574 US dollars/FEU (down 4.26% from May 19), and CMA's was 2954 (up 8.76%) [7]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on May 19 was 1265.30 (down 2.86% from May 12), and the SCFI composite index was 1479.39 (up 9.98% from February 16) [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: On May 19, 2025, the EC2602 contract was at 1451.2 (up 2.23% from May 16), and the basis of the main contract was -506.9 (down 32.56% from the previous day) [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: On May 19, 2025, the global container shipping capacity supply was 3228.60 FITEU (up 0.10% from May 18), and the Shanghai port's vessel berthing number was 317.00 (down 4.52% from the previous day) [7]. 5. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information - **Overseas Data**: On May 20, 2025, at 16:00, the eurozone's seasonally - adjusted current account balance for March was to be released, and at 22:00, the eurozone's May consumer confidence index preliminary value was due [9]. - **Domestic Data**: At 9:00 on May 20, 2025, China's 1 - year loan prime rate was to be announced, and various industry - specific data such as manganese ore inventory in Qinzhou Port and glass production - sales ratio were also to be reported [9].
《金融》日评-20250515
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 11:51
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given reports. Core Viewpoints - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the reports. The reports mainly provide data on various financial products such as futures spreads, prices, and related indicators. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **IF期现价差 & 跨期价差**: The IF spot - futures spread is -35.81, up 45 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 10.20% and an all - time quantile of 8.60%. For IF inter - period spreads, e.g., the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts is -35.60, up 5.40, with a 1 - year quantile of 2.00% and an all - time quantile of 9.10% [1]. - **IH期现价差 & 跨期价差**: The IH spot - futures spread is -16.18, up 3.67, with a 1 - year quantile of 15.90% and an all - time quantile of 11.90%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IH is -18.40, up 2.00, with a 1 - year quantile of 11.00% and an all - time quantile of 11.80% [1]. - **IC期现价差 & 跨期价差**: The IC spot - futures spread is -101.32, up 25.75, with a 1 - year quantile of 6.50% and an all - time quantile of 3.20%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IC is -102.20, up 10.40, with a 1 - year quantile of 0.80% and an all - time quantile of 2.30% [1]. - **IM期现价差 & 跨期价差**: The IM spot - futures spread is -117.37, up 37.04, with a 1 - year quantile of 90.00% and an all - time quantile of 6.00%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IM is -113.60, up 16.60, with a 1 - year quantile of 15.00% and an all - time quantile of 0.70% [1]. - **跨品种比值**: Ratios like CSI 500/HS300 is 1.4707, down 0.0132, with a 1 - year quantile of 45.00% and an all - time quantile of 36.10%. IC/IF is 1.4582, down 0.0101, with a 1 - year quantile of 40.50% and an all - time quantile of 48.90% [1]. 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **基差**: TS basis is 1.3819, down 0.0297, with an all - time quantile of 16.00%. TF basis is 1.1686, up 0.1050, with an all - time quantile of 41.60%. T basis is -0.0631, up 0.2955, with an all - time quantile of 3.60% [5]. - **跨期价差**: For TS inter - period spreads, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is -0.1280, up 0.0420, with an all - time quantile of 6.80%. For TF, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is -0.2700, up 0.0400, with an all - time quantile of 10.20% [5]. - **跨品种价差**: TS - TF is 0.0910, up 0.0470, with an all - time quantile of 4.70%. TS - T is -6.2430, up 0.1260, with an all - time quantile of 4.00% [5]. 3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **国内期货收盘价**: The closing price of the AU2506 contract is 761.72, down 5.96, with a decline rate of -0.78%. The AG2506 contract is 8195, down 24, with a decline rate of -0.29% [8]. - **外盘期货收盘价**: The closing price of the COMEX gold main contract is 3180.70, down 73.80, with a decline rate of -2.27%. The COMEX silver main contract is 32.39, down 0.70, with a decline rate of -2.12% [8]. - **现货价格**: London gold is 3176.58, down 72.90, with a decline rate of -2.24%. London silver is 32.20, down 0.69, with a decline rate of -2.10% [8]. - **基差**: The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is -3.12, up 1.16, with a 1 - year quantile of 21.20%. The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is -23, down 18, with a 1 - year quantile of 43.70% [8]. - **比价**: COMEX gold/silver is 98.20, down 0.15, with a decline rate of -0.16%. SHFE gold/silver is 92.95, down 0.45, with a decline rate of -0.49% [8]. - **利率与汇率**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.49, up 0.04, with an increase rate of 0.9%. The US dollar index is 101.07, up 0.08, with an increase rate of 0.08% [8]. - **库存与持仓**: The SHFE gold inventory is 17238, unchanged. The SHFE silver inventory is 919463, down 12721, with a decline rate of -1.36% [8]. 4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **现货报价**: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate is 1547, down 4, with a decline rate of -0.26%. CMA CGM's is 2534, up 107, with an increase rate of 4.41% [9]. - **集运指数**: The settlement price index of SCFIS (European route) is 1302.62, down 76.5, with a decline rate of -5.54%. SCFIS (US West route) is 1455.31, up 134.6, with an increase rate of 10.19% [9]. - **期货价格及基差**: The price of EC2602 is 1518.3, up 103.8, with an increase rate of 7.34%. The basis of the main contract (EC2506) is -423.4, down 337.3, with a change rate of 391.56% [9]. - **基本面数据**: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3223.63 million TEU, up 1.12 million TEU, with an increase rate of 0.03%. Shanghai port's on - time rate is 29.02, down 4.41, with a decline rate of -13.19% [9]. 5. Trading Calendar - **海外数据/资讯**: Eurozone's Q1 GDP annual revised rate, seasonally - adjusted employment quarterly final rate, and other economic indicators are to be released at specific times. The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 10th and other data are also scheduled [11]. - **国内数据/资讯**: There are 1250 billion yuan of 1 - year MLF and 1586 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases due today. Shandong local refinery capacity utilization rate and other industry - related data are to be released at different times [11].