Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices in China have experienced their first "three consecutive increases" of the year, with gasoline and diesel prices raised by 235 yuan/ton and 225 yuan/ton respectively, leading to increased costs for consumers and logistics [1][3]. Price Adjustments - The latest price adjustments translate to an increase of 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.19 yuan for both 95-octane gasoline and 0 diesel [1]. - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will now cost an additional 9 yuan, while logistics costs for heavy trucks running 10,000 km per month will increase by approximately 337 yuan [1]. Market Trends - This adjustment marks the 13th price change in 2025 and the 6th increase this year, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, five decreases, and two suspensions" [3]. - The international oil market has shown volatility, with significant fluctuations in oil prices due to geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. oil inventory levels [3]. Future Price Predictions - Analysts predict a high likelihood of price reductions in the next round of adjustments, with expectations of a decrease of around 290 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel due to the recent drop in international oil prices [5][6]. - The next price adjustment window is set to open on July 15 at 24:00 [8]. Demand Outlook - Despite the potential for price reductions, domestic gasoline demand is expected to remain strong due to increased travel during the summer and higher air conditioning usage amid rising temperatures [7]. - Conversely, diesel demand may decline due to lower operational rates in downstream sectors influenced by high temperatures and rainy seasons [7].