Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a significant shift in the investment preferences of public fund of funds (FOF), with a clear inclination towards index funds, particularly bond ETFs, as evidenced by their increased allocation in the third quarter of 2023 [1][6]. Group 1: FOF Investment Trends - In the third quarter, the allocation to index bond funds by FOFs increased from 11.14% at the end of the second quarter to 14.94%, with a total holding size of 15.672 billion yuan, ranking second among all fund types [2][9]. - The most favored index funds by FOFs are not stock ETFs but rather gold ETFs and bond ETFs, with the top ten heavily weighted index funds all being bond ETFs [2][8]. Group 2: Specific Fund Holdings - A total of 98 FOFs held the Huaan Gold ETF, with a holding of 208 million shares valued at 1.735 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of over 7 million shares compared to the previous quarter [3][4]. - The second to fourth most held ETFs by FOFs include the Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF, Peng Yang Zhong Dai 30-Year Treasury ETF, and Hua Xia Hang Seng Technology ETF, with respective FOF holdings of 67, 54, and 39 [4][5]. Group 3: Overall FOF and ETF Growth - As of the end of the third quarter, the total market size of FOFs reached 187.246 billion yuan, an increase of 30.802 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 19.69% [9]. - The total size of index funds reached 7.75 trillion yuan, up from 6.51 trillion yuan at the end of the second quarter, with ETFs alone accounting for 5.77 trillion yuan, including 2.04 trillion yuan in new growth this year [10].

Core Viewpoint - The trend of index-based allocation in public FOFs (Fund of Funds) is becoming increasingly prominent, with a significant preference for ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) over actively managed funds [1][4][7]. Group 1: FOF Holdings and Trends - As of October 25, 2023, many FOFs have shifted their top holdings to ETFs, with 9 out of 10 top funds in some cases being ETFs, indicating a clear trend towards index-based investment strategies [1][3]. - The report highlights that 90.73% of public FOFs are expected to allocate to ETFs by the end of 2024, with approximately 9.2% of FOF holdings being ETFs by mid-2025 [4][6]. - Notably, among the 37 FOFs that disclosed their third-quarter reports, 11 had ETFs as their largest holding, with 5 of these ETFs having a holding value exceeding 10% of the fund's net asset value [4]. Group 2: Product Innovation and Demand - In response to strong demand, new products such as multi-asset allocation FOFs and ETF-FOFs are being introduced, reflecting the evolving landscape of fund offerings [2][5]. - The emergence of multi-asset FOFs, which allow for a mix of active and passive investments, is evident, with recent launches indicating a growing trend towards diversified investment strategies [5][6]. - The ETF-FOF products are designed to allocate over 80% of their non-cash assets to ETFs, showcasing a significant shift towards passive investment strategies [5][6]. Group 3: Managerial Challenges and Opportunities - The proliferation of index funds presents both opportunities and challenges for fund managers, as they must enhance their asset allocation capabilities to navigate a more complex investment landscape [7][8]. - Fund managers are increasingly focusing on diverse asset classes, including equities, fixed income, commodities, and overseas investments, to create optimal portfolios that outperform traditional strategies [7]. - However, challenges such as market volatility and liquidity issues in certain ETFs may complicate asset rotation strategies, necessitating innovative approaches to maintain competitive advantages [8].

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3800 points, reaching its highest level in over ten years, with investor sentiment shifting towards cautious optimism [1][18] - A survey of over 50,000 fund investors indicates that funds remain the primary investment choice, with a significant portion of investors planning to adjust their portfolio towards value stocks [1][24] Investor Sentiment and Behavior - The majority of investors are categorized as "growth-oriented," with nearly 50% expressing optimism about the long-term market outlook despite current high volatility [1][3] - Approximately 70% of respondents believe the market will continue to break through resistance levels, driven by economic fundamentals and policy factors [1][18] Investment Strategies - A notable 45.8% of investors prefer "swing trading," while 39.9% favor "long-term holding," indicating a flexible approach to investment strategies [26] - The rise of index-based investments is evident, with 51% of investors favoring ETFs and index funds, reflecting a shift towards low-cost and transparent investment options [31][32] Portfolio Composition - Fund investments account for 62.5% of investor preferences, followed by stocks and bonds at 37% and 38.3% respectively, indicating a strong inclination towards fund-based strategies [6][10] - Over 70% of investors maintain a moderate exposure to equities, with 36.1% classified as "heavy" investors holding 60%-90% in equity assets [10][12] Risk Awareness - Investors exhibit a cautious approach, with 49.7% opting to reduce exposure or lower risk, while only 24.6% are willing to increase their positions [16] - The primary concerns among investors include economic downturns (46.9%), liquidity tightening (42.9%), and potential policy shifts (35%) [22] Sector Preferences - The technology sector is favored by over 50% of investors, followed by consumer and financial sectors, indicating a strong belief in innovation and growth potential [23][24] - A significant 90.3% of investors plan to adjust their portfolio structure, with a focus on value stocks to mitigate risks associated with market volatility [24] Information Sources and Decision-Making - Investors primarily rely on financial media (62%) and social platforms (53.8%) for investment information, highlighting a trend towards more accessible and interactive content [27] - Company financial reports (53.6%) and macroeconomic data (40.7%) are deemed the most critical factors influencing investment decisions, underscoring a data-driven approach [28] Fund Manager Selection - The experience and past performance of fund managers are the most critical criteria for investors, with 51.4% prioritizing these factors over other considerations [34][35] - The influence of "star fund managers" is diminishing, as investors increasingly focus on the underlying research and investment strategies rather than celebrity status [33]

Core Viewpoint - The survey indicates that fund investors are primarily optimistic about the long-term market outlook, despite current high volatility, with a significant portion opting for defensive strategies like reducing positions [2][21][23]. Investor Structure - The majority of respondents have 1 to 5 years of investment experience, making them "mid-term players," while 21.8% have over 5 years of experience [6]. - Fund investments are the most favored asset class, with 62.5% of investors choosing various types of funds, including active equity funds, ETFs, and bond funds [9]. Market Sentiment and Positioning - Over 70% of investors maintain a positive outlook on the market, believing the index can break through resistance levels [21][23]. - Nearly 60% of investors are currently holding positions that are underwater, indicating a cautious approach amid market fluctuations [16]. Investment Strategies - A significant 49.7% of investors are opting for defensive strategies, such as reducing positions, while 24.6% are looking to increase their holdings [21]. - The preferred investment strategies include "swing trading" (45.8%) and "long-term holding" (39.9%), reflecting a flexible approach to market conditions [34]. Sector Preferences - The technology sector is the most favored, with 50.1% of investors expressing interest, followed by consumer and financial sectors [30]. - A notable 90.3% of investors plan to adjust their portfolio structures, with a focus on value stocks [31]. Use of Leverage - There is a clear divide in the use of leverage among investors, with 35.2% using it, while 51.1% do not [33]. Information Sources - Investors primarily rely on financial media (62.0%) and social platforms (53.8%) for investment information, indicating a shift towards more interactive and accessible content [37][38]. Decision-Making Factors - Company financial reports (53.6%) and macroeconomic data (40.7%) are the most critical factors influencing investment decisions, highlighting a data-driven approach [40]. Index Fund Popularity - ETFs and index funds have become the preferred investment choice for 51% of investors, reflecting a growing trend towards low-cost and transparent investment options [45]. Fund Manager Influence - The influence of "star fund managers" is diminishing, with 55% of investors viewing their insights as reference points rather than absolute guides [47]. Selection Criteria for Funds - The experience and performance of fund managers are the most important criteria for investors when selecting funds, with 51.4% prioritizing these factors [49]. Investor Feedback on Industry - Investors express a desire for lower fees, better product offerings, and improved transparency in the fund industry, indicating a demand for long-term stability and growth [52].

Core Viewpoint - The circulating PPT regarding the A-share market valuation, titled "Bull Market 10,000 Points," has attracted market attention, but it is an internal sharing document from Tongtai Fund, not a definitive market indicator [1][2]. Group 1: Market Valuation and Models - The PPT includes references to the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) and its branches for estimating future valuation ranges, which are common quantitative tools used by professional institutions [2][3]. - The DDM is suitable for mature companies with stable and predictable dividends, but the reliance on a single model for market predictions is deemed unobjective by professionals [3][4]. - Various valuation models, including DCF, PE, and PB, are commonly used in conjunction to validate findings, emphasizing the importance of cross-verification in financial analysis [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - Despite a strong performance in the A-share market recently, there is confusion regarding asset allocation directions, with no clear mainline trend identified in the second-quarter reports from many fund managers [4][5]. - The rapid rotation of market sectors, such as the recent decline in previously popular sectors like water and infrastructure, contrasts with the resurgence of AI and robotics concepts [4]. - Future investment strategies should focus on dividend assets and index-based allocations, with a cautious approach to market participation [4][5].