机构：银河证券 研究员：石金漫/高峰/秦智坤 研发投入稳定增长，坚定不移推进底层核心技术研发：2025年H1公司研发费用同比增长35.8%至144.8 亿元，研发费用率同比-0.1Pct至6.4%，Q2 单季研发费用同比增长41.2%至77.6亿元，研发费用率同比 +0.5pct至6.7% 研发费用的增长主要来源于智能电动汽车与AI等创新业务的研发开支，公司坚定不移的 推进A工芯片、大模型、操作系统等底层技术研发，提升科技硬实力，截止2025年6月30日，公司研发 人员达到22641人，创历史新高。期间费用率方面，2025年H1公司销售/管理/财务费用率分别为 6.6%/1.4%/ 0.4%，同比分别-0.3pct/-0.5pct/+1.0pct，良好的费用管控能力叠加收入规模高速扩张带来费 用分摊，公司期间费用率稳中有降，推动公司盈利能力提升。 投资建议：预计2025年-2027年公司将分别实现营业收入4977.35亿元、6303.60亿元、7245.73亿元，实 现净利润417.17亿元、557.10亿元， 667.90亿元，EPS分别为1.60元、2.14元、2.57元，对应PE分别为 32.78倍、2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (stock code: 1810.HK) [1][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 227.25 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.2%, and a net profit (NON-GAAP) of 21.51 billion yuan, up 69.8% year-on-year [3]. - The automotive business reached a record high in revenue and sales, with Q2 revenue of 21.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 233.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.4% [3]. - The company plans to enter the European market by 2027, leveraging over 95% brand recognition to replicate its domestic success [3]. - The smartphone business showed strong performance in overseas markets, with Q2 shipments in Southeast Asia ranking first, and market share in Europe rising to 23.4% [3]. - R&D expenses increased by 35.8% year-on-year to 14.48 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a commitment to core technology development [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported an operating profit of 26.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 177.5% [3]. - The automotive business's gross margin improved to 26.4% in Q2, up 11.0 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company forecasts revenues of 497.73 billion yuan, 630.36 billion yuan, and 724.57 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 41.72 billion yuan, 55.71 billion yuan, and 66.79 billion yuan [4][6].

Summary of Xiaomi Group's Q2 2025 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Group - **Date**: Q2 2025 Earnings Call Key Points Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit reached **CNY 10.8 billion**, a **75%** year-on-year increase, marking a record high for three consecutive quarters [2][3] - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was **CNY 116 billion**, up **30.5%** year-on-year, achieving a historical high for five consecutive quarters [3] - Gross margin improved to **22.5%**, an increase of **1.8 percentage points** year-on-year [3] Smartphone Business - Global smartphone market share reached **14.7%**, ranking third globally, with the highest activation volume in mainland China [2][4] - High-end strategy showed significant results, with market share in the **CNY 4,000-6,000** price range increasing by **4.5 and 6.5 percentage points**, respectively [6] - Smartphone sales in mainland China ranked first, with high-end smartphone sales accounting for **27.6%** of total sales, up **5.5 percentage points** year-on-year [11] AIoT Business - AIoT revenue reached **CNY 38.7 billion**, a **44.7%** year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of **22.5%** [2][11] - Smart home appliances revenue grew by **66.2%**, with air conditioner shipments exceeding **5.4 million units**, a growth of over **60%** [2][8] Automotive Business - Delivered **81,302** vehicles in Q2, with over **30,000** units delivered in July alone [9][14] - The first SUV U7 series saw over **240,000** orders within 18 hours of launch [9] - Automotive gross margin stood at **26.4%** [14] User Engagement and Internet Services - Global monthly active users reached **730 million**, a **8.2%** year-on-year increase, with **185 million** in mainland China, up **12.4%** [2][14] - Internet services revenue was **CNY 9 billion**, a **10.1%** increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of **75.4%** [14] Research and Development - R&D expenditure reached **CNY 7.8 billion**, a **41.2%** year-on-year increase, with **22,641** R&D personnel, accounting for **46.2%** of total employees [14][20] - Focus areas include chips, AI, operating systems, and technology across product lines [20] Market Strategy and Future Outlook - Xiaomi aims to continue its high-end strategy and expand its global market presence, particularly in Europe by **2027** [10][28] - The company plans to maintain a focus on product structure optimization and average selling price (ASP) enhancement rather than just volume growth [27] - The overall smartphone market is expected to remain stable, with Xiaomi confident in achieving its annual shipment target of **175-180 million** units [24][26] ESG Initiatives - Xiaomi has increased its use of green electricity and solar power, significantly reducing carbon emissions [15][16] Challenges and Risks - The smartphone business faced margin pressure due to rising costs of memory and battery materials, but long-term strategies are expected to stabilize margins [12][13][17] Conclusion - Xiaomi's strong performance in Q2 2025 reflects its successful high-end strategy, robust growth in AIoT and automotive sectors, and a commitment to R&D and sustainability initiatives. The company is well-positioned for future growth despite challenges in the smartphone market.

Core Viewpoint - The interview with Yu Chengdong highlights the challenges and achievements of the HarmonyOS, positioning it as the fourth major operating system after Apple, Android, and Microsoft [3][6]. Group 1: Operating System Development - HarmonyOS has transitioned from versions 1.0 to 4.0, which were compatible with Android, to version 5.0, which has eliminated the dual-framework system [3]. - The user base for HarmonyOS has rapidly grown, surpassing 10 million users in a short time, indicating that the ecosystem has crossed a critical threshold [3][10]. Group 2: Market Challenges and Recovery - Huawei faced significant challenges over the past six years, with annual shipments plummeting from 240 million units in 2019 to just 20 million in 2022 [6]. - The company has regained market confidence, leading to the term "遥遥领先" (far ahead) becoming popular in discussions about its recovery [6]. Group 3: Investment in Research and Development - The company invests over 10,000 personnel annually in the development of HarmonyOS, with total R&D expenditures amounting to several hundred billion [8]. - The codebase for HarmonyOS has reached 130 million lines, primarily developed by Huawei, with contributions from open-source partners [8]. Group 4: Future Prospects and Applications - HarmonyOS is being utilized across various sectors, including mining, education, healthcare, and aerospace, with the potential for widespread adoption globally [10]. - The system's capabilities allow for single development with multi-device adaptation and deployment, which can benefit developers financially and support global expansion [11].

专题：鸿蒙5设备数突破千万，余承东如何回应外界的质疑？ 他举了两个鸿蒙操作系统的优势，一是文件传输，以往在两个设备之间传输视频等大文件可能需要很 久，而鸿蒙操作系统的传输效率非常高，设备一碰就实现了传输；二是一次开发，多端适配。以往开发 者需要在多个终端上进行应用开发和适配，而鸿蒙操作系统只需要一次开发，就能实现所有的终端版本 适配，开发效率也非常高。 邓庆旭表示，做操作系统很难，历史上的操作系统都有一条微笑曲线，一开始你对它无感，到你痛苦， 再到微笑曲线形成。回望一下那些成熟的操作系统，诞生时都非常艰难。比如苹果的iOS，苹果诞生在 一个诺基亚如日中天的年代里，当时诺基亚手机的待机时间是3~5天，而苹果初代手机只有一天，甚至 不能发中文短信，不能识别中文通讯录。 鸿蒙操作系统也经历了一个非常坚定的抉择和痛苦的过程，发展数年之后，现在已经更加完善。他提 到，这个痛苦的过程也正在出现一些回报。以新浪财经App为例，在鸿蒙生态的助力下，8个月用户活 跃度增长了7倍。鸿蒙操作系统的推出，其实也给中国的开发者提供了一个全新的机会，我们的开发者 一样很优秀，在鸿蒙生态政策的激励下，相信一定会诞生更多优秀的应用。 "发展 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a majority of indices decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.46% to close at 3666.44 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 0.87% to 11451.43 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 1.08% to 2469.66 points, while the Sci-Tech 50 Index rose by 0.75% to 1085.74 points [1] - Overall, there were 4644 stocks that declined, while only 734 stocks increased, and 41 stocks remained flat. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 22792 billion yuan, an increase of 1282.72 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, only the financial sector saw an increase, while all other sectors experienced declines. The sectors that led the decline included comprehensive, defense and military, communication, steel, textile and apparel, and beauty and personal care [1] - The top-performing concept sectors today included insurance selection, digital currency, GPU, cross-border payment, servers, financial technology, and others [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with major indices mostly declining. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.12% to close at 3635.13 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.26% to 11128.67 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.38% to 2333.96 points. The total market turnover was 17102 billion yuan, a decrease of 1153 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][14]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as comprehensive, building materials, building decoration, steel, and non-ferrous metals led the gains, with increases of 1.56%, 1.16%, 1.14%, 1.11%, and 1.06% respectively. Conversely, the computer, electronics, media, non-bank financials, and defense industries experienced declines, with drops of 2.38%, 1.15%, 0.96%, 0.80%, and 0.56% respectively [1][14]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included Xinjiang revitalization, Western infrastructure, excavators, animal vaccines, Tibet revitalization, rare metals, wind power generation, high-speed rail, lithium mines, and duty-free shops. These sectors showed significant upward movement, while sectors like operating systems, independent controllability, and cloud computing experienced pullbacks [2][11].

Core Insights - Chengmai Technology has focused on operating system technology development in smart terminals, smart vehicles, and IoT for 19 years, launching a new product matrix that integrates operating systems, applications, and hardware [2] - The new product matrix offers three core advantages: deep software-hardware optimization, end-to-end security and trust, and an open ecosystem, providing optimal solutions for key industries [2] - Chengmai's products have achieved significant performance improvements, such as the P1 workstation booting in 10 seconds and a 50% increase in office efficiency [2] Industry Developments - Chengmai Technology has introduced a full-stack enterprise innovation product suite to support state-owned enterprises in completing innovation transformations by 2027, including platforms for software migration and localized AI deployment [3] - The company has developed a full-process traceability platform for fentanyl drugs in hospitals, enhancing dynamic control over drug management based on a domestic adaptation system and zero-trust principles [3] - Chengmai aims to deepen its focus on cutting-edge technologies, particularly the integration of AI and operating systems, to support digital transformation across various industries [3] Ecosystem Initiatives - Chengmai Technology has established the "Innovation Co-win Ecosystem Alliance" with over 40 leading companies, emphasizing collaborative innovation and ecosystem building [3] - The alliance represents a strategic shift for Chengmai from a technology pioneer to an ecosystem leader, highlighting its commitment to high-quality innovation ecosystems [3] Talent Development - The company has signed cooperation agreements with 22 universities, focusing on innovation, AI, and HarmonyOS, to create a talent cultivation loop that integrates production, education, research, and application [4] Market Expansion - Chengmai has formed strategic partnerships with 20 companies, including Chang'an Computing and China Unicom, to enhance market coverage and provide comprehensive services from product adaptation to solutions for regional government and enterprise clients [5] - The innovation industry is positioned as a strategic pillar for national technological independence and security, with Chengmai showcasing its capabilities in core operating system technologies and its commitment to advancing the industry from "usable" to "user-friendly" [5] - The company plans to continue collaborating with industry partners to strengthen the foundation of national digital infrastructure and drive new productivity [5]

Group 1 - The current global economic environment is characterized by instability and uncertainty, with the US trade war significantly impacting the multilateral trade system and global supply chains [1][2] - China is committed to high-quality development, showcasing strong economic resilience and stable growth, with an expected increase of 35 trillion RMB in economic output over the past four years [2] - Technological innovation in China has led to advancements in high-performance chips, AI models, and robotics, contributing to a reduction of 11.6% in energy consumption per unit of GDP over the last four years [2] Group 2 - China has fully removed restrictions on foreign investment in the manufacturing sector, with cumulative foreign direct investment reaching 4.7 trillion RMB from 2021 to May this year, positioning China as a preferred investment destination [2] - The trade volume between China and the UK has consistently exceeded 110 billion GBP annually, with bilateral investment stock surpassing 130 billion GBP [2] - Green finance cooperation is advancing, highlighted by China's issuance of 6 billion RMB green sovereign bonds on the London Stock Exchange [2] Group 3 - The potential for cooperation in finance and education between China and the UK is significant, with China being the largest source of international students in the UK, totaling over 200,000 [2][3] - Both countries should focus on mutual respect and open collaboration to enhance cooperation across various sectors, creating a better environment for bilateral relations [3]

Market Performance - A-shares experienced a rapid rise on June 24, with all three major indices increasing by over 1% [1] - Key sectors that led the gains included non-bank financials, automotive, media, computer, and electrical equipment [1] - The popular Xinchang ETF (562570) rose by over 1.5% in early trading [1] Industry Developments - The HarmonyOS 6 operating system was recently released, featuring significant upgrades in user experience [1] - The developer Beta for HarmonyOS 6 has opened for registration, enhancing connectivity, intelligence, security, and smoothness [1] - The new interconnected architecture supports over 660 applications, with features like automatic visual effects generation based on phone posture and seamless app continuity across multiple devices [1] Investment Insights - The Xinchang ETF (562570) tracks the CSI Information Technology Application Innovation Industry Index, which is closely related to the HarmonyOS [1] - This index covers cutting-edge sectors such as artificial intelligence, data computing power, industrial software, and operating systems [1] - According to Huachuang Securities, the DeepSeek content of the CSI Xinchang Index is 48.1%, ranking first among indices tracked by ETFs [1]