Core Viewpoint - The A-share listed bus companies have shown significant performance divergence for the year 2025, with some companies experiencing nearly double net profit growth while others face profit declines [2][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - King Long Automobile (600686.SH) expects a net profit of approximately 463 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 193.68% [4]. - Zhongtong Bus (000957.SZ) anticipates a net profit between 320 million and 410 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of 28.28% to 64.36% [5]. - Yutong Bus (600066.SH) has not released a full-year forecast but reported a net profit of 3.292 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a 35.38% increase year-on-year [5]. - Ankai Bus (000868.SZ) is projected to incur a net loss of 50 million to 60 million yuan in 2025, a decline from a profit of 839,200 yuan in the previous year [6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The bus industry is experiencing a small growth peak in 2025, with sales of buses over 6 meters reaching 137,212 units, an increase of 8.84% year-on-year [2]. - The export share of domestic buses has risen to 41.01% in 2025, indicating a growing reliance on international markets for growth [2]. - The market is expected to stabilize in 2026, with industry experts suggesting that maintaining sales levels would be a positive outcome [3]. Group 3: Export Performance - King Long's export volume for 2025 is projected at 12,255 units, a 64.90% increase, securing a market share of 15.65% [4]. - Ankai Bus achieved an export volume of 5,034 units in 2025, marking a 152.84% increase, with exports constituting 58.75% of its total sales [8]. - Yutong Bus exported 17,149 units in 2025, a year-on-year growth of 22.49% [5]. Group 4: Industry Challenges - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with some companies struggling to maintain profitability due to market pressures and declining margins [6][7]. - The shift towards international markets is becoming essential, as domestic competition limits growth opportunities [9]. - Companies like King Long and BYD are adjusting their product strategies, focusing on higher-margin products rather than volume [9].

深 度 研 汽车行业 买入（维持） 中国客车龙头，海外业务量价齐升 宇通客车（600066.SH）深度报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 公 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340124020014 电话：0769-22117626 邮箱：wuzhenjie@dgzq.com.cn | 邮箱：wuzhenjie@dgzq.com.cn | | | --- | --- | | 主要数据 2026 年 1 | 月 28 日 | | 收盘价（元） | 31.84 | | 总市值（亿元） | 704.92 | | 总股本（百万股） | 2213.94 | | 流通股本（百万股）2213.94 | | | ROE(TTM) | 37.10% | | 12 月最高价（元） | 34.47 | | 12 月最低价（元） | 证 22.79 券 | | 股价走势 | 研 究 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind | | 股价走势 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind ...

深 度 研 汽车行业 买入（维持） 中国客车龙头，海外业务量价齐升 宇通客车（600066.SH）深度报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 公 分析师：刘梦麟 行业龙头地位稳固，全品类产品矩阵完善 宇通客车是国内客车行业首 家上市公司，截至2025年，大中型客车销量已连续23年稳居国内第一， 国内市占率超30%。公司产品覆盖公路、公交、校车、机场摆渡及自动 驾驶微循环车等全细分市场，并具备全系列新能源适配能力。 究 研究助理：吴镇杰 财务盈利能力强劲，从规模向效益成功转型 公司业绩呈现"营收稳健、 利润爆发"的特征，2025年前三季度归母净利润同比增长35.4%，显著 高于营收增速，验证了向"效益驱动"转型的成功。受益于海外高毛 利业务占比提升及国内存量置换，公司净利率稳步提升至12.76%的高 水平。 深筑技术护城河，"睿控E平台"领跑智能化 公司拥有全球商用车行 业规模最大、体系最完善的研发团队，持续保持高强度研发投入。依 托自主研发的"睿控E平台"，集 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yutong is demonstrating the performance of its electric buses in extreme winter conditions, showcasing the capabilities of its C11E model in a real-world ice and snow environment [1] Group 1: Performance Testing - Yutong's C11E electric bus completed a 341-kilometer route from Changchun to Changbai Mountain in temperatures as low as -20°C, starting with a state of charge (SOC) of 95% and ending with 14% [1] - The challenge serves as a public test of the vehicle's cold weather performance, reinforcing the strength of Chinese electric buses [1] Group 2: Service and Support - Yutong is expanding its verified electric passenger transport model to winter tourism scenarios, providing a reliable operational guarantee for customers across all seasons [1] - The company utilizes the "Yutong + Direct Service" system to ensure service availability wherever Yutong vehicles operate, enhancing operational reliability [1] Group 3: Future Focus - Yutong plans to continue focusing on technological innovation, integrating successful electric passenger transport models with market opportunities to create operational value and growth for customers [1] - The company aims to lead the road passenger transport industry towards a stable and sustainable green transition [1]

12 月销量环比大幅增长，四季度盈利提升展望乐观：12 月公司客车销量8,864 辆，同比增长2.9%、环 比增长118.4%，国内与海外市场同步迎来年末交付高峰，其中新能源出口表现预计尤为强劲，高盈利 大中客产品占比维持在84.4%的高位水平。Q4 公司实现销量1.6 万辆，同比增长2.5%、环比30.5%，预 计Q4 出口占比环比小幅提升，且欧洲新能源订单密集交付优化销售结构，叠加规模效应释放，公司单 车盈利有望进一步提升。 国内公交报废更新政策延续，公司有望持续受益：12 月30 日，国家发改委发布《推动大规模设备更新 和消费品以旧换新行动方案》，明确继续支持新能源城市公交车辆及动力电池更新，补贴标准依据 《2025 年新能源城市公交车及动力电池更新补贴实施细则》，即新能源公交单车平均补贴8 万元，动力 电池补贴4.2 万元。报废更新政策的延续实施，有望持续撬动国内存量公交替换需求释放，公司作为行 业龙头将充分受益于此。 事件：1 月5 日，公司发布2025 年12 月产销快报，实现客车销量8,864辆，同比增长2.9%、环比增长 118.4%；实现客车产量7,066 辆，同比增长2.4%、环比增长36 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨宇通客车（600066.SH） [Table_Title] 宇通客车 11 月销量点评：总量同环比提升，维 持全年销量目标，期待 12 月份放量 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年 11 月客车销量。宇通 11 月销售客车 4058 辆，同比+8.6%，环比+33.5%， 其中大中客车销量 3451 辆，同比+25.8%，环比+40.2%；2025 年 1-11 月共销售客车 4.1 万 辆，同比+6.1%，大中客销量 3.3 万辆，同比+0.7%。全球客车龙头，长期成长性较好+持续高 分红能力，凸显投资价值。国内市场，座位客车持续增长，"以旧换新"政策加码，促进新能源 公交增长；海外市场，全球化+高端化战略推进，出口凸显盈利水平，支撑公司业绩持续提升。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 张扬 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524030004 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [ ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the remarkable sales performance of Foton AUV in October, showcasing a significant year-on-year growth of 179% in sales, particularly in the segment of buses over 7 meters, indicating a strong market presence and competitive strength [1][4][6]. Sales Performance - Foton AUV's sales in October are described as "phenomenal," with a year-on-year increase of 179%, leading the industry in the large and medium bus segment. The sales of its new energy vehicles surged by 289%, while export sales also saw a notable increase of 158%. The total annual sales are projected to reach 11,000 units, indicating a potential doubling of sales [4][6][7]. Market Strategy - The success of Foton AUV is attributed to its strategic alignment with domestic and international market trends, including the push for "public transport electrification" and "integration of urban and rural logistics." The company has successfully launched multiple new energy models in key cities and rural markets, while also expanding its reach to over 130 countries and regions [6][7]. Technological Innovation - Foton AUV's growth is underpinned by its long-term commitment to technological innovation, holding over 7,000 patents. The company has made significant advancements in pure electric and hydrogen fuel technologies, offering a range of electric vehicles with battery capacities from 163 kWh to 350 kWh and hydrogen fuel cell buses with a range of 500-600 kilometers [9][11]. Product Development - The company employs a "core platform + scenario derivation" development logic, creating a comprehensive product matrix that addresses various market needs, including urban public transport, intercity passenger transport, and special vehicles. This approach allows Foton AUV to respond effectively to diverse market demands [15][18]. Quality Control - Foton AUV has established a comprehensive quality inspection system that ensures high standards throughout the production process. The company has invested significantly in smart manufacturing and quality control measures, resulting in improved production efficiency and product reliability [18]. Industry Context - The article positions Foton AUV's sales surge as a reflection of the broader transformation within the bus industry, emphasizing the shift towards electrification, intelligence, and globalization. The company's model, which is based on technology and market-oriented strategies, not only drives its growth but also instills confidence and vitality in the industry [18].

Core Insights - Longzhou Co., Ltd. disclosed significant lawsuits involving its subsidiary Dongguan Zhongqi Hongyuan Automobile Co., Ltd. totaling over 431 million yuan [2][3] - The company announced an extension of the temporary suspension of operations at Zhongqi Hongyuan until May 31, 2026, due to a slowdown in the new energy bus market and insufficient orders [4] Group 1: Lawsuits - Dongguan Zhongqi Hongyuan is facing two lawsuits from Dongguan Bus Co., Ltd. and Dongguan City Bus Transportation Co., Ltd. for contract disputes, with claims amounting to approximately 205 million yuan and 226 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The lawsuits stem from issues related to the performance of electric buses purchased in 2018, which began experiencing battery failures from 2021, leading to significant operational disruptions [2][3] - The company has made provisions for after-sales maintenance costs related to these lawsuits and plans to seek compensation from the battery manufacturer, Weihong Power Systems (Huzhou) Co., Ltd. [3] Group 2: Operational Impact - Due to a lack of business orders since 2024, Zhongqi Hongyuan's temporary suspension of operations has been extended, with minimal impact on Longzhou Co., Ltd.'s revenue, although losses from fixed depreciation and interest expenses will continue [4] - The resumption of operations will depend on market conditions and order availability, indicating ongoing uncertainty in the new energy vehicle sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry is experiencing a strong recovery after years of adjustment, with Yutong Bus showing significant profit growth and robust cash flow, alongside high dividends [4][30]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Yutong Bus achieved a net profit of 1.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79% [4][27]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 26.37 billion yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.29 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.4% increase, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.62 billion yuan, up 26.3% [7][27]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities decreased by 60.4% to 1.796 billion yuan, primarily due to increased payments to suppliers [27]. Market Position and Competition - Yutong Bus maintains a leading position in the bus market, with a market share of 35% to 38% since 2018, despite challenges such as overcapacity and intensified competition [11][12]. - The company holds significant market shares in various segments: 49.5% in the seating bus market, 68.9% in the school bus market, and 23.9% in the public transport market [10]. - The domestic bus market is becoming saturated, prompting companies to expand globally, with Yutong's overseas revenue growing nearly 25% in 2022 [14][17]. Growth Drivers - The recovery in demand for buses, particularly in exports and new energy vehicles, has been a key driver of Yutong's performance, with export sales increasing by 78.9% in 2023 [9][17]. - The company has transitioned from a "manufacturing" to a "manufacturing service" model, exporting to over 60 countries and regions [18]. Research and Development - Yutong Bus invests heavily in R&D, with a research expense ratio of 7.8% in 2022, significantly higher than its competitors [22][23]. - The company focuses on key technologies such as electric drive, control, and battery systems, collaborating with leading suppliers to achieve breakthroughs [25]. Dividend Policy - Yutong Bus has a generous dividend policy, with cumulative dividends of 26 billion yuan over 28 years, exceeding its total fundraising amount by 4.2 times [30].

Core Viewpoint - The export business of Yutong Bus continues to grow, with a year-on-year net profit increase of 79% in the third quarter [2][17]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Yutong Bus achieved an operating income of 26.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.29 billion yuan, up 35.4% year-on-year [3][8]. - For Q3 2025, Yutong Bus reported revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.4%. The net profit for the quarter was 1.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 79.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9% [3][8]. Profitability and Cost Management - Yutong Bus's gross margin for Q3 2025 was 24.0%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating stable profitability primarily driven by the marginal contribution from the increase in new energy exports [5][17]. - The company effectively managed its expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios of 3.3%, 1.7%, and 4.2% respectively, showing improvements compared to the previous year [5][17]. Market Outlook - The domestic bus demand is expected to continue recovering, supported by policies such as vehicle replacement incentives. The export market also presents significant growth potential, particularly in new energy buses, as many countries are implementing policies to promote their adoption [7][17]. - Yutong Bus is enhancing its competitive edge by transitioning from a manufacturing and sales model to a service-oriented and solution-based approach, which is expected to drive further growth in overseas markets [7][17].