8个欧佩克+产油国将于北京时间今日19:00召开会议讨论产量政策。 ...

金十数据7月5日讯，欧佩克八个成员国——沙特、俄罗斯、阿联酋、科威特、阿曼、伊拉克、哈萨克斯 坦和阿尔及利亚将于周六格林尼治时间9点（北京时间17点）线上开会，决定8月份的产量政策。这八个 国家在4月份开始解除最近一次减产220万桶/日的计划。随后，尽管额外的供应压低了原油价格，该组 织在5月、6月和7月加快了增产步伐。在4月至7月期间，欧佩克+已增加137万桶/日的产量，占其正在削 减的220万桶/日产量的62%，其他仍在实施的减产措施共计366万桶/日。 欧佩克+将于17点开会决定产量政策 4-7月已增加137万桶/日的产量 ...

Gold Market - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 94.4%, and in July, it is 74.9%, indicating a low likelihood of short-term rate cuts, which may pressure gold prices [2] - The EU plans to accelerate trade negotiations with the US under pressure, while Japan is set to hold the fourth round of tariff talks with the US on the 30th, suggesting a cooling of trade tensions [2] - Analysts warn of further risks of gold price declines due to reduced safe-haven demand and the recent bearish market trend, with key resistance at $3328 and support at $3285 [2] Oil Market - OPEC+ has not yet discussed increasing oil production by 410,000 barrels per day ahead of their upcoming meetings, which may impact oil prices negatively [3] - Geopolitical uncertainties remain, with Germany lifting restrictions on military aid to Ukraine and Iran preparing for potential actions against Israel, which may limit the downside for oil prices [3] Copper Market - Recent trading shows a decline from high levels, with a warning of further potential drops; support may be found at the 62-day moving average [7] Nikkei 225 Index - The index has shown strong upward movement, closing positively, and has regained its position above the 20-day moving average, indicating potential for further gains [8]

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices are expected to decline this week due to concerns over OPEC+ supply increases amidst an already oversupplied market [1] Group 1: OPEC+ Supply Concerns - There are growing worries about OPEC+'s potential significant increase in production levels for July, which is putting pressure on the oil market [1] - Analysts from ING indicate that the oil market is facing new pressures as rumors circulate regarding OPEC+'s handling of its production levels [1] - A larger scale supply increase following May and June will solidify OPEC's policy shift from defending prices to defending market share [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - Traders are closely monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East [1] - The upcoming negotiations between the U.S. and Iran scheduled for Friday are also a point of concern for market participants [1]