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大行评级丨美银:上调小鹏汽车目标价至109港元 看好2026年强劲的产品布局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 03:25
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that XPeng Motors achieved a revenue of 20 billion yuan in Q3, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 102% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 12%, aligning with the bank's expectations [1] Financial Performance - Gross margin stood at 20.1%, increasing by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year and 2.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, surpassing the bank's expectation of 17.7% [1] - Vehicle profit margin was 13.1%, up by 4.5 percentage points year-on-year but down by 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to promotional activities for inventory clearance [1] - Non-GAAP net loss for the period was 152 million yuan, better than the bank's forecast of a net loss of 398 million yuan [1] Future Outlook - For Q4, XPeng's management anticipates delivery volumes between 125,000 to 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 37% to 44%, with projected revenue of 21.5 billion to 23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34% to 43% [1] - The bank has adjusted its 2025 sales forecast for XPeng down by 1%, while increasing forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 3% and 5% respectively [1] - The bank revised its 2025 non-GAAP net loss forecast from 1.094 billion yuan to 884 million yuan, while also reducing the 2026 and 2027 non-GAAP net profit forecasts by 20% and 9% respectively [1] Target Price Adjustment - The bank raised its target price for XPeng's Hong Kong stock from 105 HKD to 109 HKD, and for its US stock from 27 USD to 28 USD, reflecting the upward revision in sales forecasts [1] - The bank maintains a "Buy" rating, expressing optimism about XPeng's strong product lineup in 2026 [1]
零跑汽车10月销量预测
数说新能源· 2025-10-28 08:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the balance between performance and cost in battery cell procurement for automotive manufacturers [3] - Total sales forecast is approximately 65,000 units [3] - The main driving forces include the basic demand from C and B series models, along with a rebound in orders after the holiday [3] - The production target aims for a monthly sales surge to 70,000 units in the fourth quarter [3] Group 2 - BYD is expanding its presence in Southeast Asia [6] - CATL is experiencing growth in the energy storage market that surpasses that of the power market [6]
理想汽车-W早盘一度跌近4% 公司回应上海理想MEGA起火事故
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 03:28
Core Viewpoint - Li Auto's stock experienced a decline following a fire incident involving its vehicle, the Li MEGA, while the company faces challenges with declining delivery numbers and adjusted sales forecasts [1] Group 1: Incident Report - On October 23, a Li MEGA vehicle caught fire in Shanghai, but all passengers were able to exit safely [1] - The company is cooperating with fire department investigations and has sent personnel to the scene [1] Group 2: Delivery Performance - In September, Li Auto delivered 33,951 vehicles, representing a year-on-year decrease of 36.8%, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline [1] Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - HSBC Research maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto, citing strong performance of the newly launched Li i6 electric SUV, which is expected to boost Q4 sales [1] - However, due to pressures on the EREV model's sales and pricing, HSBC has lowered its sales forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 22% to 31%, and corresponding profit forecasts by 55%, 42%, and 31% [1]
招商证券:料小米汽车今年销量达35万-40万辆 YU 7或成下一爆款
news flash· 2025-06-18 02:13
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's automotive division is expected to achieve significant sales growth, with the new SUV model YU 7 anticipated to become a best-seller, potentially doubling sales next year [1] Group 1: Sales Forecast - Xiaomi's automotive sales are projected to reach 350,000 to 400,000 units this year [1] - The YU 7 model is expected to contribute to monthly sales of 30,000 to 40,000 units [1] - Combined sales of SU 7 and YU 7 could reach 50,000 to 60,000 units, with a target of 700,000 to 800,000 units next year [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The starting price for the YU 7 is estimated to be around 250,000 RMB [1] - Key competitors for the YU 7 include Tesla Model Y, NIO EC6, and XPeng G7 [1] - The YU 7 has a higher potential for market impact, with three times the number of pre-registrations compared to the SU 7 at the same stage [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The demand for the SU 7 remains strong despite ongoing price wars in the automotive market [1] - Xiaomi plans to introduce new models next year, with the potential to exceed 1 million units in sales if production capacity is sufficient [1]