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油脂油料2026年度报告:潮平岸阔,静待晨曦
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overall, the report expects the overall trend of oils and fats to be oscillating upward, but currently lacks strong drivers. Without positive macro - capital support, the upside potential for oils and fats is limited. It also suggests paying attention to the arbitrage opportunity of going long on palm oil and shorting rapeseed oil in the first quarter due to the abundant rapeseed harvest and palm oil inventory reduction [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Viewpoint Strategy - CBOT soybeans are unlikely to fall below 1000 cents per bushel. If the U.S. biodiesel policy is favorable, it is expected to oscillate upward. Palm oil prices are unlikely to break through 10,000 yuan per ton. Rapeseed oil will be under pressure in the first half of the year. The overall trend of oils and fats is expected to be oscillating upward, but the upside potential is limited. Pay attention to the arbitrage opportunity of going long on palm oil and shorting rapeseed oil in the first quarter [8]. - The main influencing factors include South American weather, trade policies, biodiesel policies, and Indonesian palm oil production [9]. 3.2 2025 Oils and Fats and Oilseeds Market Review 3.2.1 Oils and Fats Unilateral Review - In 2025, the overall trend of oils and fats was slightly upward with oscillations, showing a differentiated trend. Palm oil prices were volatile, with significant drops in October. U.S. soybean oil prices rose significantly, while rapeseed oil prices fell due to abundant supply. The market was affected by various factors such as USDA reports, U.S. biodiesel policies, and geopolitical conflicts [12][15]. 3.2.2 Oils and Fats Spread Review - The spreads between soybean - palm oil and rapeseed - palm oil changed throughout the year, affected by factors such as palm oil seasonal production, global rapeseed production, and anti - dumping investigations [20]. 3.2.3 Protein Meal Unilateral Review - Protein meal prices were volatile, affected by factors such as USDA reports, U.S. tariff policies, and soybean import volumes. The prices of soybean meal and rapeseed meal showed different trends at different times [23]. 3.2.4 Protein Meal Spread Review - The spread between soybean meal and rapeseed meal mainly oscillated between 350 - 550, with significant changes in March, April, August, and November, affected by tariff policies and anti - dumping investigations [27]. 3.3 Global Oils and Fats and Oilseeds Supply - Demand Analysis 3.3.1 Global Oilseeds - Global oilseeds are in abundant supply with variety differentiation. In the 2025/26 period, the total global oilseed production is expected to be 690.255 million tons, an increase of 5.75 million tons year - on - year. The production of soybeans decreased by 4.613 million tons, while the production of rapeseed increased by 9.274 million tons [31][32]. - Global vegetable oils are expected to see a slight reduction in inventory, while the inventory of protein meals will remain largely unchanged. In the 2025/26 period, the global vegetable oil production is expected to be 233.288 million tons, an increase of 3.732 million tons year - on - year, and the inventory will decrease by 0.393 million tons. The global protein meal production is expected to be 393.578 million tons, an increase of 7.538 million tons year - on - year, and the inventory will remain basically the same [35][37]. 3.3.2 Soybean Series - Global soybean production is decreasing and inventory is being reduced. In the 2025/26 period, the global soybean production is 422.541 million tons, a decrease of 4.613 million tons year - on - year. The production in the U.S. decreased by 3.296 million tons, while that in Brazil increased by 3.5 million tons, and that in Argentina decreased by 2.608 million tons [41]. - U.S. soybean production decreased, and the planting cost increased slightly. The planting area decreased by 6.2 million acres, and the production decreased by 121 million bushels. The estimated planting cost in 2026 is 678.25 dollars per acre [44]. - U.S. soybean crushing demand is strong, and the export proportion is decreasing. In the 2025/26 period, the estimated crushing volume is 2.555 billion bushels, an increase of 4.50% year - on - year, and the export volume is expected to decrease by 6.73 million tons [50][54]. - Brazil's soybean planting area is increasing, and the production and export volume are expected to increase. In the 2025/26 period, the estimated production is 177 million tons, an increase of 3.29% year - on - year, and the export volume and crushing volume are expected to increase [56][66]. - Argentina's soybean production is expected to decrease slightly, but the export volume increased significantly in 2024/25 due to abundant production and reduced export taxes. In the 2025/26 period, the estimated production is 48.5 million tons, a decrease from the previous year [70][74]. 3.3.3 Palm Oil - Malaysia's palm oil production increased in 2025, but exports were weak, and inventory accumulated to a high level. The production from January to November was 18.4541 million tons, an increase of 3.38% year - on - year, and the export volume decreased by 10.41% [83][87]. - Indonesia's palm oil production increased in 2025, and the inventory remained low. The production from January to September was 43.34 million tons, an increase of 11.31% year - on - year. The export volume increased, and domestic consumption also increased [99][106]. 3.3.4 Rapeseed and Sunflower Seeds - Global rapeseed production is abundant, and supply is sufficient. In the 2025/26 period, the global rapeseed production is expected to be 95.273 million tons, an increase of 9.274 million tons year - on - year. The期末 inventory increased by 2.65 million tons to 12.5 million tons [110][111]. - Global sunflower seed production decreased slightly, and sunflower oil inventory continued to be reduced. In the 2025/26 period, the global sunflower seed production is expected to be 51.77 million tons, a decrease of 0.37 million tons year - on - year, and the sunflower oil inventory decreased by 0.4 million tons to 2.28 million tons [136]. 3.3.5 Oils and Fats Demand - Global vegetable oil consumption is increasing year by year. In the 2025/26 period, the estimated consumption is 227.94 million tons, with edible consumption accounting for 71.54% and industrial consumption accounting for 28.00% [141]. - India's vegetable oil demand is increasing year by year, and the import volume is expected to be large in the first quarter of 2026 due to low inventory and Ramadan stocking demand [145]. - U.S. biodiesel production and sales decreased significantly in 2025, but the production is expected to increase in the future. The U.S. biodiesel policy is still uncertain, and it may increase the demand for 1.5 million tons of soybean oil [149][154]. - Indonesia's biodiesel demand is increasing, and the implementation of B50 is expected to increase the demand for 3 million tons of CPO, but it is unlikely to be implemented before 2027. The implementation of B45 may increase the demand for 1.6 million tons of CPO [158][159]. - Brazil's biodiesel blending ratio is continuously increasing, and the demand for soybean oil is expected to increase significantly. If the blending ratio increases to 16% in 2026, it is expected to increase the demand for 400,000 tons of soybean oil [163]. - The production of biodiesel in the EU increased slightly, but the use of vegetable oils decreased, and the use of UCO, animal fats, and other raw materials increased [166][167]. - The global use of vegetable oils for biodiesel production is continuously increasing [171]. 3.4 Domestic Oils and Fats and Oilseeds Supply - Demand Analysis - The domestic soybean inventory is high, and the import volume is expected to increase in the 2025/26 period. The import volume from January to November 2025 was 103.78 million tons, an increase of 6.89% year - on - year. The estimated import volume in the 2025/26 period is 112 million tons, an increase of 4 million tons year - on - year [176]. - The domestic palm oil import volume was low in 2025, and the inventory is expected to decline [187]. - The domestic rapeseed import volume decreased significantly in 2025, and the supply of rapeseed is expected to be tight in the 2025/26 period. The import volume from January to November 2025 was 2.4479 million tons, a decrease of 57.67% year - on - year [192]. - The inventory trends of the three major oils and fats are differentiated. As of the 51st week, the soybean oil inventory was 1.1235 million tons, an increase of 17.90% year - on - year; the palm oil inventory was 700,000 tons, an increase of 30.01% year - on - year; and the rapeseed oil inventory was 303,000 tons, a decrease of 27.65% year - on - year [197]. - The demand for protein meals is expected to decrease due to the reduction of pig and poultry farming capacity [201][206]. - The supply of soybean meal is sufficient, and the inventory of rapeseed meal is continuously being reduced [209]. 3.5 Market Outlook - Supply: Globally, focus on whether the expected abundant South American soybean harvest is realized and whether the palm oil production in Malaysia and Indonesia can remain high. Domestically, focus on China - U.S. and China - Canada trade policies [213][214]. - Oils and Fats Demand: Globally, the consumption of oils and fats is increasing year by year. The growth of edible consumption mainly depends on India, and the growth of biodiesel consumption mainly depends on the biodiesel policies of Indonesia, the U.S., and Brazil [216]. - Protein Meal Demand: The demand for protein meals is expected to decrease due to the reduction of pig and poultry farming capacity. The prices of soybean meal and rapeseed meal are mainly affected by external oilseed prices [219].
为千万企业提供“期货答卷” ,做保障国家粮食安全的“压舱石”
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-20 23:48
Group 1 - The forum focused on how the futures market can assist the oilseed and oil industry in responding to trade changes [2][3] - The oilseed and oil industry is crucial for food security and economic stability in China, with challenges in stabilizing planting areas and managing price risks [3][4] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) has developed oilseed futures over the past decade, becoming an essential risk management tool for industry players [3][4] Group 2 - The global economic landscape is undergoing significant changes, leading to increased trade uncertainties and price volatility in the oilseed and oil market [3][4] - The domestic supply of edible vegetable oil remains robust despite a reduction in imports, with global supply continuing to increase [5] - The development of the biodiesel industry is significantly impacting global oilseed supply and demand, with nearly 20% of vegetable oil used for biodiesel [5][6] Group 3 - The ZCE is committed to enhancing market functions and service quality to help the oilseed industry navigate global trade challenges [4] - The domestic market for rapeseed and peanut oil is expected to face risks due to fluctuations in supply and demand, influenced by weather conditions and import levels [6][7] - The peanut industry in China is transitioning from a net exporter to a net importer, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [7][8] Group 4 - The future of the peanut market is projected to grow, driven by consumption, industry upgrades, and technological innovation [8] - The oilseed market is experiencing a divergence in oil and meal prices, with strong oil prices supported by biodiesel demand while meal prices remain under pressure [8]
油脂油料产业日报-20250611
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 12:26
Report Overview - Report Date: June 11, 2025 [1] - Report Author: Xu Liang [2] - Reviewer: Tang Yun [2] Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. Core Views Fats and Oils - **Palm Oil**: Production in the producing regions is expected to increase month-on-month, and the approaching seasonal production increase adds to the supply expectation. Although the domestic port inventory is currently low, as the origin quotation weakens, subsequent purchases are gradually emerging. On the consumption side, due to the current inverted soybean-palm oil price difference, incremental consumption is not forthcoming, and inventory is expected to increase. The price difference between soybean oil and palm oil needs to be further reduced to stimulate consumption [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: As the purchased ships arrive at ports, supply pressure is approaching, and the expected oil mill crushing volume will increase accordingly. However, due to the lack of incremental consumption to absorb the supply, the inventory is expected to enter an accumulation cycle. With the expected increase in the supply of both palm oil and soybean oil, the price difference between soybean oil and palm oil may be repaired in the far - month to compete for market share [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: Recently, the expected improvement in China - Canada relations has hit the premium of the market's policy - expected trading. The current supply is at a phased peak, and the marginal decline rate is expected to accelerate from the end of the second quarter to the beginning of the third quarter. On the consumption side, due to the policy premium of rapeseed oil, the price difference between rapeseed oil and soybean oil has always been in a range unfavorable for rapeseed oil consumption, suppressing consumption. High inventory exerts pressure, but policy uncertainty provides support for the far - month [3]. Oilseeds - **Imported Soybeans**: Brazilian soybean premiums are firm, the domestic market has strengthened following the international market, and the far - month crushing profit has slightly weakened. China's soybean imports in May were 13.918 million tons; from January to May, imports were 37.108 million tons, a 0.7% decline from the same period last year. Forecasts for June, July, and August are 11 million tons, 11.5 million tons, and 9.5 million tons respectively. Supply in the second and third quarters remains abundant, and the situation of China - US negotiations in the fourth quarter should be monitored [15]. - **Domestic Soybean Meal**: Under the expectation of China - US talks, the domestic soybean meal market has strengthened. Currently, the soybean raw material inventory of oil mills is rising, and the soybean meal inventory is also being repaired. The concentrated arrival of soybeans in the third quarter will put pressure on soybean meal prices. On the demand side, downstream enterprises mainly execute previous contracts, and the enthusiasm for restocking is low, keeping the basis weak [15]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: In June, there is still pressure on the spot supply, downstream demand is lower than expected, and inventory reduction is difficult. Although there are some gaps in the far - month supply, the rigid demand is limited. The market performance is weak, and future attention should be paid to China - Canada trade relations [15]. Key Data Summaries Fats and Oils - **Price Differences**: P 1 - 5 is 82 yuan/ton with a daily decrease of 10 yuan/ton; Y - P 01 is - 382 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 46 yuan/ton, etc [4]. - **Palm Oil Prices**: Palm oil 01 is 7954 yuan/ton with a decline of 1.56%; BMD palm oil main contract is 3868 ringgit/ton with an increase of 0.1% [7]. - **Soybean Oil Prices**: Soybean oil 01 is 7644 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.13%; CBOT soybean oil main contract is 47.77 cents/pound with an increase of 0.76% [12]. Oilseeds - **Futures Prices**: Bean meal 01 is 3064 with a decline of 4 and a decline rate of 0.13%; Rapeseed meal 01 is 2349 with a decline of 7 and a decline rate of 0.3% [16][18]. - **Price Differences**: M01 - 05 is 336 with a daily increase of 4; RM01 - 05 is - 15 with a daily decrease of 6 [19].
油脂油料产业日报-20250514
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 09:19
Report Information - Report Title: Oil and Oilseed Industry Daily Report - Report Date: May 14, 2025 - Report Author: Xu Liang - Reviewer: Tang Yun Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Views Fats and Oils - Palm oil: The estimated production in the producing areas is expected to increase month-on-month, and the approaching seasonal production increase adds to the supply expectation. Although the domestic port inventory is currently at a low level, as the origin quotation weakens, subsequent vessel purchases are gradually emerging. On the consumption side, since the current soybean-palm oil price spread is still inverted, incremental consumption is not given, and the inventory is expected to increase and needs to find consumption by further narrowing the soybean-palm oil price spread [3]. - Soybean oil: On the supply side, as the purchased vessels arrive at the port, the pressure is approaching, and the expected oil mill压榨 is expected to increase accordingly. However, on the consumption side, since there is no incremental consumption to absorb the supply, the inventory is expected to enter an accumulation cycle. Subsequently, under the expectation of a double increase in the supply of palm oil and soybean oil, the soybean-palm oil price spread may be repaired in the far month to compete for market share in the consumer market [3]. - Rapeseed oil: Recently, due to the expected improvement in China-Canada relations, the premium of the market's policy expectation trading has been hit. On the actual supply side, as the previously purchased rapeseed has now arrived at the port, the coastal rapeseed inventory is gradually decreasing. The current supply of rapeseed oil is at a stage peak, and subsequently, with the obvious limitation of new supply, the expected marginal depletion rate is expected to accelerate from the end of the second quarter to the beginning of the third quarter. On the consumption side, due to the policy premium of rapeseed oil, the rapeseed-soybean oil price spread has always been in a range unfavorable for rapeseed oil consumption, suppressing consumption. The consumption of rapeseed oil also remains at the level of rigid demand. Currently, there is high inventory pressure, but the policy uncertainty provides support for the far month [3]. Oilseeds - After the China-US talks, there may be opportunities for China to purchase soybeans for import in the fourth quarter. However, from the current crushing profit situation, the far-month crushing profit under the retained tariffs on US soybeans is still negative, and the progress of vessel purchases is expected to be slow. Moreover, this time, the trade agreement between the two sides was not involved, and it is expected to be mainly emotional trading in the short term. In terms of arrivals, there are currently 12.5 million tons in May and 10.5 million tons in June. Overall, the near-month supply is still relatively abundant [15]. - For domestic soybean meal, the current soybean inventory at ports and oil mills continues to rise, and as the operating rate gradually recovers, coupled with the state reserve auction, the supply in some areas has gradually recovered. The national soybean meal inventory has bottomed out and rebounded, and the spot price has been continuously lowered. From the demand side, oil mills are gradually starting up to realize profits, and downstream customers have basically completed their inventory preparations. Subsequently, it is expected that they will pick up goods at a rigid demand replenishment pace, and the physical inventory will continue to remain at a low level [15]. - On the rapeseed meal side, the rapeseed converted into rapeseed meal at the spot end plus the rapeseed meal inventory in East and South China is still relatively high. Although it has gradually entered the aquatic product inventory preparation month, the inventory depletion rate is still difficult. The registration of rapeseed meal delivery month warehouse receipts has reached a historical peak. On the one hand, the low price of soybean meal is constantly squeezing the demand for rapeseed meal, and it is more appropriate to register warehouse receipts for delivery under the background of a negative spot basis. On the other hand, due to the previous expansion of the number of rapeseed meal delivery factories by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, the delivery month positions and delivery orders on the futures market have increased. Last Friday, an announcement on the customs import management measures for rapeseed meal was released, indicating that the better choice for subsequent imported rapeseed is to process it in the bonded area and then re-export it. It is also more appropriate to re-export imported rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil. Coupled with the uncertainty of China-Canada relations in the future, the long-term expectations for the far month are still relatively strong [15]. Summary by Directory Fats and Oils Price Differences between Months and Varieties - P 1-5: -262 yuan/ton, up 92 yuan; P 5-9: 266 yuan/ton, down 104 yuan; P 9-1: -4 yuan/ton, up 12 yuan; Y-P 01: -270 yuan/ton, down 98 yuan; Y-P 05: -420 yuan/ton, down 48 yuan; Y-P 09: -270 yuan/ton, down 108 yuan; Y/M 01: 2.6678, up 0.48%; Y/M 05: 2.9105, up 0.51%; Y/M 09: 2.7159, up 0.59%; OI 1-5: -136 yuan/ton, up 96 yuan; OI 5-9: -41 yuan/ton, down 67 yuan; OI 9-1: 177 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan; OI/RM 01: 4.0056, up 0.27%; OI/RM 05: 3.8895, down 0.28%; OI/RM 09: 3.7617, down 0.2% [4] Palm Oil Spot and Futures Daily Prices - Palm oil 01: 8188 yuan/ton, up 2.74%; Palm oil 05: 8450 yuan/ton, up 1.51%; Palm oil 09: 8184 yuan/ton, up 2.89%; BMD palm oil main contract: 3951 ringgit/ton, up 1.49%; 24-degree palm oil in Guangzhou: 8690 yuan/ton, up 110 yuan; 24-degree basis in Guangzhou: 506 yuan/ton, down 120 yuan; POGO: 409.539 US dollars/ton, down 1.168 US dollars; International soybean oil-palm oil: 68.52 US dollars/ton, up 54.23 US dollars [7] Soybean Oil Spot and Futures Daily Prices - Soybean oil 01: 7918 yuan/ton, up 1.06%; Soybean oil 05: 8030 yuan/ton, up 0.47%; Soybean oil 09: 7914 yuan/ton, up 0.97%; CBOT soybean oil main contract: 51.65 US cents/pound, up 3.65%; Shandong first-grade soybean oil spot: 8100 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan; Shandong first-grade soybean oil basis: 186 yuan/ton, down 62 yuan; BOHO (weekly): 57.847 US dollars/barrel, down 9.8182 US dollars; Domestic first-grade soybean oil - 24-degree palm oil: -460 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan [12] Oilseeds Futures Prices - Soybean meal 01: 2968 yuan, up 31 yuan, up 1.06%; Soybean meal 05: 2759 yuan, up 13 yuan, up 0.47%; Soybean meal 09: 2914 yuan, up 28 yuan, up 0.97%; Rapeseed meal 01: 2312 yuan, up 17 yuan, up 0.74%; Rapeseed meal 05: 2416 yuan, up 6 yuan, up 0.25%; Rapeseed meal 09: 2509 yuan, up 22 yuan, up 0.88%; CBOT yellow soybeans: 1075 yuan, unchanged, 0%; Offshore RMB: 7.2017, up 0.0045, up 0.06% [16][18] Price Differences between Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal - M01-05: 209 yuan, up 18 yuan; M05-09: -155 yuan, down 15 yuan; M09-01: -54 yuan, down 3 yuan; RM01-05: -104 yuan, up 11 yuan; RM05-09: -93 yuan, down 16 yuan; RM09-01: 197 yuan, up 5 yuan; Soybean meal spot in Rizhao: 3000 yuan, unchanged; Soybean meal basis in Rizhao: 86 yuan, down 28 yuan; Rapeseed meal spot in Fujian: 2453 yuan, down 11 yuan; Rapeseed meal basis in Fujian: -34 yuan, up 46 yuan; Spot price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal: 547 yuan, unchanged; Futures price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal: 405 yuan, up 6 yuan [19]
油脂油料产业日报-2025-04-02
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-04-02 11:25
Report Title - The daily report of the oil and fat, oilseed industry [1] Core Views Fats and Oils - Palm oil: The rise in US soybean oil prices has led to an increase in international palm oil prices, widening the import inversion of the domestic palm oil market. Weak import profits have curbed palm oil purchases, resulting in a continued weak supply outlook. Low port inventories support near - term prices. The large price difference between soybean oil and palm oil has squeezed palm oil consumption, with monthly demand remaining at a rigid level of 200,000 tons. Warmer weather does not boost blended oil demand due to the price difference. The expected increase in production in palm - growing regions is likely to suppress far - term prices [3]. - Soybean oil: In April, previously purchased soybeans are arriving at ports, increasing the pressure on the supply side and expected oil mill crushing rates. With no increase in consumption to absorb the supply, soybean oil inventories are expected to enter an accumulation cycle. Given the expected increase in both palm oil and soybean oil supply, the price difference between the two may narrow in the far - term to compete for market share [3]. - Rapeseed oil: Far - term prices are supported by reduced imports of rapeseed and policy premiums. Currently, the supply of rapeseed oil is at a peak as previously purchased rapeseed has arrived at ports, and coastal rapeseed inventories are decreasing. As new supply becomes limited, the rate of inventory reduction is expected to accelerate. Policy premiums have kept the price difference between rapeseed oil and soybean oil at a level that discourages rapeseed oil consumption, which remains at a rigid level. High inventories suppress near - term prices, while policy uncertainties support far - term prices [3]. Oilseeds - After the release of the planting area report, the futures market declined due to the exhaustion of positive factors. For imported soybeans, recent price drops in both domestic and international markets have led to a decrease in Brazilian soybean premiums. Purchase contracts are mainly for Brazilian soybeans with potential crushing profits in the far - term. The arrival of soybeans is entering a seasonally high - pressure period, with 8.5 million tons expected in April and 10.5 million tons in May. For domestic soybean meal, some northern regions will remain shut down in the first half of April, with a strong price - support mentality in different regions, while the supply in the south is relatively loose. After the arrival of soybeans, the supply is expected to be well - connected. On the demand side, with sufficient future supply, buyers are cautious about long - term stocking, mainly fulfilling previous contracts and purchasing as needed. For rapeseed meal, the supply pressure in the first half of the year is lower than that of soybean meal. Current moderately high inventories may limit price increases. As the downstream aquaculture industry enters the peak stocking season in the second quarter, the rate of inventory reduction is expected to accelerate. The price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal is expected to remain small, but due to weak demand, it is difficult to form an independent or inverted price trend in the spot market [14][16]. Price and Spread Information Fats and Oils - **Inter - monthly and inter - variety spreads**: P 1 - 5 is - 760 yuan/ton, down 12 yuan; P 5 - 9 is 636 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; P 9 - 1 is 124 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan; Y - P 01 is - 652 yuan/ton, down 74 yuan; Y - P 05 is - 1318 yuan/ton, down 68 yuan; Y - P 09 is - 700 yuan/ton, down 86 yuan; Y 1 - 5 is - 94 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan; Y 5 - 9 is 18 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; Y 9 - 1 is 76 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan; Y/M 01 is 2.6501, down 0.03%; Y/M 05 is 2.8199, up 0.14%; Y/M 09 is 2.6711, down 0.07%; OI 1 - 5 is - 163 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan; OI 5 - 9 is - 49 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan; OI 9 - 1 is 212 yuan/ton, down 9 yuan; OI/RM 01 is 3.9672, down 0.06%; OI/RM 05 is 3.7092, up 0.47%; OI/RM 09 is 3.5319, up 0.27% [4][6]. - **Palm oil spot and futures prices**: Palm oil 01 is 8,544 yuan/ton, up 1.74%; Palm oil 05 is 9,304 yuan/ton, up 1.73%; Palm oil 09 is 8,668 yuan/ton, up 1.95%; BMD palm oil futures is 4,520 ringgit/ton, up 2.29%; 24 - degree palm oil in Guangzhou is 9,640 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan; the basis in Guangzhou is 552 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan; POGO is 549.023 dollars/ton, down 1.168 dollars; the price difference between international soybean oil and palm oil is - 155.14 dollars/ton, up 2.12 dollars [8]. - **Soybean oil spot and futures prices**: Soybean oil 01 is 7,892 yuan/ton, up 0.95%; Soybean oil 05 is 7,986 yuan/ton, up 1%; Soybean oil 09 is 7,968 yuan/ton, up 1.08%; CBOT soybean oil futures is 47.42 cents/pound, up 5.71%; Shandong first - grade soybean oil is 8,210 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; the basis in Shandong is 224 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; BOHO (weekly) is 69.3987 dollars/barrel, down 5.7085 dollars; the price difference between domestic first - grade soybean oil and 24 - degree palm oil is - 1,280 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan [11]. Oilseeds - **Futures prices**: Bean meal 01 is 2,978 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan (0.95%); Bean meal 05 is 2,832 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan (1%); Bean meal 09 is 2,983 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan (1.08%); Rapeseed meal 01 is 2,345 yuan/ton, up 36 yuan (1.56%); Rapeseed meal 05 is 2,552 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan (1.27%); Rapeseed meal 09 is 2,694 yuan/ton, up 29 yuan (1.09%); CBOT soybeans is 1,032.75 cents/bushel, unchanged; the offshore RMB exchange rate is 7.2829, up 0.0224 (0.31%) [17]. - **Price differences between bean meal and rapeseed meal**: M01 - 05 is 146 yuan/ton, unchanged; M05 - 09 is - 151 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan; M09 - 01 is 5 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan; RM01 - 05 is - 207 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan; RM05 - 09 is - 142 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan; RM09 - 01 is 349 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan; the spot price of bean meal in Rizhao is 3,080 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of bean meal in Rizhao is 248 yuan/ton, down 28 yuan; the spot price of rapeseed meal in Fujian is 2,571 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan; the basis of rapeseed meal in Fujian is 51 yuan/ton, up 82 yuan; the spot price difference between bean meal and rapeseed meal is 509 yuan/ton, unchanged; the futures price difference between bean meal and rapeseed meal is 280 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan [18].