Economic Overview - China's economy shows resilience and vitality, with a focus on consumer demand and innovation as key drivers of growth [2][3][6] - The automotive industry, particularly the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, has demonstrated significant growth, with production and sales both exceeding 15 million units, marking over 10% year-on-year growth [2] Consumer Demand - NEV sales accounted for 44.3% of total new car sales in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year increase of 27.86% in new registrations [3] - The retail sales of sports and entertainment goods increased by 22.2%, indicating a shift towards service consumption and a growing trend in green consumption [3] Innovation and Technology - Continuous technological innovation is a core driver of development, with significant advancements in battery technology, smart driving, and lightweight materials in the NEV sector [4] - R&D expenditure in China is approaching 2.7% of GDP, surpassing the EU average, indicating strong potential for future innovation [4] Industrial Ecosystem - China has established a comprehensive smart NEV industry chain, including raw material supply, battery production, vehicle manufacturing, and charging infrastructure [5] - The country possesses the most complete industrial system globally, covering 41 major industrial categories, which enhances the resilience and efficiency of its industrial chain [5]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming National Two Sessions are expected to focus on "stabilizing growth" and emphasize macro policy support to boost domestic demand, with a particular focus on enhancing consumer spending [2][3]. Economic Policy Focus - UBS's chief economist Wang Tao predicts increased fiscal spending on consumption and households, including doubling the scale of trade-in subsidies, establishing childbirth and childcare subsidies, raising basic pension payments, and enhancing government support for basic social security [2]. - Nomura's chief economist Lu Ting highlights the government's potential focus on four areas: transfer payments to local governments, funding for large-scale equipment upgrades and trade-in programs, financial support for the real estate sector, and fiscal assistance for low-income families [3]. - The macroeconomic policy is expected to maintain a "moderately loose" stance, with measures to lower financing costs for enterprises and households, reduce reserve requirements and policy interest rates, and promote reasonable inflation rebound [2]. Industry Trends - The emergence of AI applications, particularly driven by DeepSeek, is expected to stimulate investment in emerging sectors like AI and cloud computing, with the AI core industry projected to exceed 17.3 trillion yuan by 2035, accounting for over 30% of the global market [3]. - The focus on innovation, technology, and modernization is evident in the frequency of related terms in government work reports, indicating a strong emphasis on sectors like AI, quality consumption, new urbanization, infrastructure expansion, and food security [3][4]. Consumption and Market Dynamics - The stock market's recovery has shown a certain wealth effect, and the real estate sector has performed slightly better than expected, indicating a potential shift in consumer sentiment and spending [2]. - The National Two Sessions are anticipated to maintain a GDP growth target of around 5%, with a strong emphasis on boosting consumption as a key priority [4].