物极必反
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散户追消息亏钱,机构看数据赚钱的真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 15:55
Group 1 - The recent market behavior is perplexing, with the A-shares declining despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, which is typically seen as a positive signal [3][5] - The brokerage sector has experienced a significant drop of 10% in a week, contributing to the overall market downturn [3] - Historical patterns show that markets often react negatively to anticipated good news, as seen in previous instances of "preemptive rate cuts" [3][5] Group 2 - The easing of U.S.-China relations, highlighted by a positive communication between the two leaders, should theoretically boost the market, yet stock prices remain stagnant [3] - A critical observation is the concept of "stronger getting stronger" and "extreme reversal," indicating that stocks in an upward trend will continue to rise with good news, while those at their peak may face corrections regardless of positive developments [5][15] - Institutions have an advantage over retail investors due to their access to trading data that is not visible to the average trader, allowing them to make informed decisions [7][9] Group 3 - The concept of "institutional inventory" shows that while stock prices may be declining or stagnant, institutional buying activity can remain high, indicating accumulation during market pessimism [9][15] - Examples of stocks with high institutional inventory during price corrections include a leading technology company, a consumer staple, and a new energy leader, all demonstrating that institutions are strategically building positions [11][13][15] - The current A-share market is at a pivotal moment where long-term positive factors like the Fed's rate cut and improved U.S.-China relations will eventually have an impact, despite short-term market reactions [15]
如何抓住“大行情”?
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-07 00:02
Core Viewpoint - The key to capturing a "big market trend" in futures and options trading lies not only in market judgment but also in the ability to endure and maintain positions through volatility [1]. Group 1: Conditions for Capturing Big Trends - Patience is essential as big trends are rare and often characterized by extreme price movements and supply-demand mismatches [2]. - Identifying anchor points is crucial for predicting market trends, focusing on production costs and market sentiment rather than solely on technical indicators [3]. - Commitment to holding positions is vital, as many traders fail due to a lack of patience and discipline [4][5][6]. Group 2: Common Issues Faced by Traders - Many traders exit positions too early, fearing profit loss, which can lead to missed opportunities [4]. - A lack of personal standards and reliance on others' opinions can prevent traders from capitalizing on favorable market conditions [5]. - Focusing only on short-term trends without considering longer cycles can result in premature exits from positions [6]. Group 3: Trading Philosophy - Trading requires discipline and the ability to withstand emotional fluctuations, especially during periods of profit [7]. - The market is filled with opportunities, but success depends on the ability to wait, endure, and persist [7].
如果赚钱的人认知高,为啥被骗的普遍还挺有钱?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-25 02:46
Group 1 - The article discusses the relationship between wealth, skills, and cognitive ability, emphasizing that for most ordinary people, the primary way to earn money is through selling their skills and time rather than relying solely on cognitive enhancement [8][12][24] - It highlights the societal stratification in terms of income generation, where the lowest tier sells pure time, the middle tier sells skills along with time, and the top tier engages in high-risk, high-reward activities [2][3][4] - The article suggests that many individuals mistakenly believe that enhancing their cognitive abilities will directly lead to wealth, while in reality, practical skills and the ability to sell are more crucial [17][24][25] Group 2 - The text points out that a significant number of people with high cognitive abilities still struggle financially due to a lack of practical skills or luck, indicating that cognitive enhancement alone is insufficient for financial success [12][26] - It mentions that many wealthy individuals often rely on marketing and risk-taking rather than deep knowledge, suggesting that practical experience and the ability to sell are more valuable in the marketplace [18][24] - The article concludes that for ordinary people, the best approach to achieving success is through passion and repetition, which can lead to skill improvement and increased opportunities [29][31]